2020 Election. The State by State Odds and MATH

[KVB]

[Slipknot26]

You think anyone cares what a former Bernie staffer says? Have you read what trumps former staffers say about him? None of them think he’s fit for office.

Sanders , Biden are wannabe Presidents . Trump is the President whether you like it or not .
Never one of these rat bastards has worked a day outside politics in their life , damn near 100 yrs between these 2 vultures and not a thing the people can say they've done for them .

[vitterd]

Sanders , Biden are wannabe Presidents . Trump is the President whether you like it or not .
Never one of these rat bastards has worked a day outside politics in their life , damn near 100 yrs between these 2 vultures and not a thing the people can say they've done for them .

Trump has worked as a con man for 50 years. Stealing from people.

[Infowars2833]

Trump has worked as a con man for 50 years. Stealing from people.

And He's going to steal this election just for you vit-turd. Take the -180 chump.

[vitterd]

And He's going to steal this election just for you vit-turd. Take the -180 chump.

He’s trying to steal it. You’re demented and need lots of therapy.

[ace7550]

We're back to -110/-110. According to the sportsbook world it's an even race.

[ByeShea]

Save your money. Trump can’t win.

[Itsamazing777]

I think vitterd died

[ByeShea]

I think vitterd died

Either that or his mom took away computer privileges.

[chico2663]

Hillary is a lock in 2016 they said and the polls and CNN told us this!!!.. Take your polls and shove them up your asss fake news media!!!

Trump voters don't poll.. Remember that!! I'm one of them and I never polled in my life..

Rumor has it you poll your pecker every night!

[Tanko]

I think vitterd died

He was "dismissed" from SBR. I think they call it "suicide by MOD".
Post #83 in the attached thread I think was the last straw...

https://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/saloon/3616357-sbr-mods-you-need-remove-morino-site-p4.html#post29648596

[chico2663]

I think vitterd died

He got suspended by opti for picking on auto donk. Donk sent is p.i. Philly to find him. Sbr afraid of lawsuit. One had to go. Just what I heard. I miss the vit-donk battles.

[ace7550]

He was "dismissed" from SBR. I think they call it "suicide by MOD".
Post #83 in the attached thread I think was the last straw...


https://www.sportsbookreview.com/for...l#post29648596

That's a shame. it was entertaining when he got triggered

[Itsamazing777]

Everything he said was a lie

[TheMoneyShot]

Trump wins by a landslide. Won't even be close. Michigan as Trump Underdog... might want to look into that. A lot of Michigan people pissed off at Whitmer. Gyms still aren't open. Everyone turning Republican. You'll get over 50% Republican.... guaranteed.

[King Mayan]

Trump wins by a landslide. Won't even be close. Michigan as Trump Underdog... might want to look into that. A lot of Michigan people pissed off at Whitmer. Gyms still aren't open. Everyone turning Republican. You'll get over 50% Republican.... guaranteed.

Dude you don’t need the gym to have chicken legs like you bro.

[TheMoneyShot]

Dude you don’t need the gym to have chicken legs like you bro.

Let me know when you want to compare dikks.

[King Mayan]

Wtf?

[TheMoneyShot]

WTF? It's ok tiny.

That's what happens when you're a midget.

[King Mayan]

Watch your tone around me Money! Watch it!

[ace7550]

Trump wins by a landslide. Won't even be close. Michigan as Trump Underdog... might want to look into that. A lot of Michigan people pissed off at Whitmer. Gyms still aren't open. Everyone turning Republican. You'll get over 50% Republican.... guaranteed.

I just drove across half of Michigan about a week ago. We saw about 10 Trump signs to every one Biden sign.

[ByeShea]

Everything he said was a lie

He's reading these posts in a stone silent rage, tears streaming down his face.

[Itsamazing777]

He's reading these posts in a stone silent rage, tears streaming down his face.

[navyblue81]

Question I have is while I think a majority of Americans may want to vote for Biden, I think in the end the undecideds will sway to the incumbent. Just think Biden’s age and health too much a risk for many to pull the trigger on and they’ll just settle with the status quo.

[Snowball]

Trump wins.

[JohnGalt2341]

I know we've all heard this before but if Trump doesn't win both Florida and Pennsylvania his chances of winning the election are slim to none.

I took a look at 5Dimes state by state(and DC) odds and I narrowed down the 10 states that are the closest according to the current odds. Of the 41 states with odds of -350 or more Trump is winning 21 of them for 164 delegates. Dem's are winning 20 states for 229 delegates. There are 145 delegates remaining in the 10 closest contested states.

Trump needs 106 of the remaining 145 delegates and Dems need 41. Below are the 10 states that are the most closely contested and their number of delegates.

States Trump is favored:
Georgia -190 16
Iowa -210 6
North Carolina -130 15
Ohio -170 18

States Dems are favored:
Arizona -160 11
Florida -140 29
Michigan -295 16
New Hampshire -270 4
Pennsylvania -265 20
Wisconsin -215 10

If the -350's or higher hold up, then Trump needs to win at least 6 of the closest contested states to have any chance at all. There might be a couple -350's or higher that flip but I doubt there will be many. If 5Dimes is wrong on any of the -350's or higher... which states do you think that they are wrong about? If they are not wrong... which of the 10 states above do you think Trump wins?

The post above is from just over 2 months ago. Let's see what it looks like now with just over 2 months to go. Again, this is the 10 closest contested states according to the odds. If all the big favorites(-400 or more) hit Biden will have 229 delegates and Trump will have 164.

States Trump is favored:

Georgia -350 16
Iowa -335 6
North Carolina -155 15
Ohio -210 18

States Dems are/were favored:

Arizona +115 11
Florida -105 29
Michigan -280 16
New Hampshire -300 4
Pennsylvania -175 20
Wisconsin -150 10

*Minnesota -245 10. Minnesota wasn't listed in the first message the first time because they were a bigger favorite. But now... they are also a swing state. You can ignore what I wrote below because I was counting MN as a big fave. But now it's much closer. If Trump wins MN he could get to 270 other ways.

5Dimes has this at an exact Coin Flip right now which sort of surprises me a little because let's just assume that Trump wins all the states where he's favored and he also get's Arizona and Florida. That would bring him to 259 if I calculated correctly. He would still have to get either Michigan or Pennsylvania. OR, get both Wisconsin and New Hampshire. It's close... but just by going by each individual state i think Biden should still be a slight favorite.

*I forgot Minnesota was a huge favorite in the first post but now they are considered a swing state. If Trump wins MN he would have other easier ways to get to 270. It's really close right now.
I'm still expecting at least a couple of black swans within the next 2 months that will likely affect the outcome of the election.

[rkelly110]

I hope the electorate has a conscience and not make the orange thing a winner.

[Itsamazing777]

I hope the electorate has a conscience and not make the orange thing a winner.

Its over
You have lost

[trytrytry]

The post above is from just over 2 months ago. Let's see what it looks like now with just over 2 months go. Again, this is the 10 closest contested states according to the odds. If all the big favorites(-400 or more) hit Biden will have 229 delegates and Trump will have 164.

States Trump is favored:

Georgia -350 16
Iowa -335 6
North Carolina -155 15
Ohio -210 18

States Dems are/were favored:

Arizona +115 11
Florida -105 29
Michigan -280 16
New Hampshire -300 4
Pennsylvania -175 20
Wisconsin -150 10

*Minnesota -245. Minnesota wasn't listed in the first message the first time because they were a bigger favorite. But now... they are also a swing state. You can ignore what I wrote below because I was counting MN as a big fave. But now it's much closer. If Trump wins MN he could get to 270 other ways.

5Dimes has this at an exact Coin Flip right now which sort of surprises me a little because let's just assume that Trump wins all the states where he's favored and he also get's Arizona and Florida. That would bring him to 259 if I calculated correctly. He would still have to get either Michigan or Pennsylvania. OR, get both Wisconsin and New Hampshire. It's close... but just by going by each individual state i think Biden should still be a slight favorite.

*I forgot Minnesota was a huge favorite in the first post but now they are considered a swing state. If Trump wins MN he would have other easier ways to get to 270. It's really close right now.
I'm still expecting at least a couple of black swans within the next 2 months that will likely affect the outcome of the election.

if Trump wins Minnesota we will win the election in a landslide a big one.

[Mike Huntertz]

5D today:

Tue 11/3		101 Joe Biden wins Presidential Election		-110
8:00PM		102 Donald Trump wins Presidential Election		-110
any third party winner = no action
Tue 11/3		111 Republican wins Presidential Election		-110
8:00PM		112 Democrat wins Presidential Election		-110

[ace7550]

In 2016

Georgia -350 16 - Trump won easily.
Iowa -335 6 - Trump won easily.
North Carolina -155 15 - Trump won easily.
Ohio -210 18 - Trump won easily.
Arizona +115 11 - Trump won.
Florida -105 29 - Trump barely won.
Michigan -280 16 - Trump barely won.
New Hampshire -300 4 - Trump barely lost.
Pennsylvania -175 20 - Trump barely won.
Wisconsin -150 10 - Trump barely won.
Minnesota -225 - Trump barely lost.

Couple of other notably close races:
Republican to Win Texas -325 Democrat to Win Texas +250

Republican to Win Nevada +350 Democrat to Win Nevada -450

Republican to Win Maine +400 Democrat to Win Maine -550

[Mike Huntertz]

if Trump wins Minnesota we will win the election in a landslide a big one.

Florida is where this election will be determined.
It's a toss up.

[ace7550]

Florida is where this election will be determined.
It's a toss up.

It's true. Tough to see either one losing Florida and winning the election.

[The General]

Mr Trump wins again. Greatest winner in American history.

[thechaoz]

as a texan that grew up in ohio. take trump in ohio and texas. Have to many friends from home that love Trump. Have many family that love Trump in Texas. Those rich wetbacks that love Trump... I am related to them.

Might be shaky after he threw a snowflake fit in Ohio at the only American Tire manufacter and tanked their retirement, pension, 401 and stock. Trump is the ultimate snowflake. Tweets more than unemployed college girls daily.