2020 Election. The State by State Odds and MATH

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  • Judge Crater
    SBR MVP
    • 10-05-20
    • 2024

    #2031
    Dave Wasserman
    @Redistrict
    The political version of hell is scheduled for next Wednesday, when Dems are freaking out (and GOPers rejoicing) over vote totals that show Trump with large leads in Upper Midwestern states - but it's a mirage b/c millions of mail ballots have yet to be counted.
    Dave Wasserman
    2020
    Five days from Election Day, it's clear who's the favorite. And it's not Donald Trump.
    Quote Tweet


    Dave Wasserman
    @Redistrict
    ยท Nov 3, 2016
    Five days from Election Day, it's clear who has the momentum. And it's not Hillary Clinton. This thing is close.
    Last edited by Judge Crater; 10-29-20, 04:04 PM.
    Comment
    • lakerboy
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 04-02-09
      • 94365

      #2032
      Trump odds In florida have hit-150. This is what happens when you have Obama screaming for 35 minutes and telling lies .
      Comment
      • jt315
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 11-12-11
        • 21701

        #2033
        Laughable !


        This is what 538 considers a B+ pollster .




        October 29, 2020 - Florida And Iowa Races Are Too Close To Call, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Biden Maintains His Lead In Pennsylvania, Has Narrow Lead In Ohio

        PDF format

        Additional Information



        FLORIDA: Biden 45%, Trump 42%


        IOWA: Trump 47%, Biden 46%



        PENNSYLVANIA: Biden 51%, Trump 44%



        OHIO: Biden 48%, Trump 43%
        Comment
        • RoyBacon
          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
          • 09-21-05
          • 37074

          #2034
          Originally posted by jt315
          Laughable !


          This is what 538 considers a B+ pollster .




          October 29, 2020 - Florida And Iowa Races Are Too Close To Call, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Biden Maintains His Lead In Pennsylvania, Has Narrow Lead In Ohio

          PDF format

          Additional Information



          FLORIDA: Biden 45%, Trump 42%


          IOWA: Trump 47%, Biden 46%



          PENNSYLVANIA: Biden 51%, Trump 44%



          OHIO: Biden 48%, Trump 43%
          That's downright embarrassing. Trump is +9%. Propaganda.
          Comment
          • vitterd
            Restricted User
            • 09-14-17
            • 58460

            #2035
            Originally posted by RoyBacon
            That's downright embarrassing. Trump is +9%. Propaganda.
            Iโ€™m not sure what he is but you and jt315 donโ€™t know....I mean both you guys combined are 0-fer on stuff like this. We will find out Tuesday.
            Comment
            • RoyBacon
              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
              • 09-21-05
              • 37074

              #2036
              Originally posted by vitterd
              I’m not sure what he is but you and jt315 don’t know....I mean both you guys combined are 0-fer on stuff like this. We will find out Tuesday.
              Who was closer on our midterm prediction? Vitturd or Mr Roy Bacon???? Thank ya, Thank you very much....
              Comment
              • ByeShea
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 06-30-08
                • 8040

                #2037
                Originally posted by d2bets
                No, it's not. It's very possible that the surprise is that Biden wins by more than expected and wins across a lot of these unexpected states, including Iowa, Georgia, maybe Texas.
                Yeah - so with all of these red states he might win ... he's spending the Friday before Election Day in Minnesota?

                Last time GOP won Minnesota was 1972. Reagan lost there twice.

                But Biden who, you know, has an election on Tuesday and limited schedule to begin with a minimum number of live events ... IS GOING TO MINNESOTA? BET THE RANCH ON TRUMP.
                Comment
                • jt315
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 11-12-11
                  • 21701

                  #2038
                  Originally posted by RoyBacon
                  That's downright embarrassing. Trump is +9%. Propaganda.
                  And you have a clown like the low IQ welfare rat Vitfraud mocking Trafalgar .
                  Comment
                  • jt315
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 11-12-11
                    • 21701

                    #2039
                    Originally posted by ByeShea
                    Yeah - so with all of these red states he might win ... he's spending the Friday before Election Day in Minnesota?

                    Last time GOP won Minnesota was 1972. Reagan lost there twice.

                    But Biden who, you know, has an election on Tuesday and limited schedule to begin with a minimum number of live events ... IS GOING TO MINNESOTA? BET THE RANCH ON TRUMP.
                    Another that was all in on Hillary in 2016 . But but it’s different this time around .

                    Trump takes Minnesota before Biden takes Iowa , Georgia or Texas .
                    Comment
                    • d2bets
                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                      • 08-10-05
                      • 39990

                      #2040
                      Originally posted by jt315
                      Another that was all in on Hillary in 2016 . But but it’s different this time around .

                      Trump takes Minnesota before Biden takes Iowa , Georgia or Texas .
                      Wanna bet?

                      If Trump takes Minny and Biden doesn't win any of those, you win
                      If Trump loses Minny, but Biden wins any of them, I win
                      Anything else we push.

                      1,000 betpoints even money.
                      Deal?
                      Comment
                      • vitterd
                        Restricted User
                        • 09-14-17
                        • 58460

                        #2041
                        Originally posted by d2bets
                        Wanna bet?

                        If Trump takes Minny and Biden doesn't win any of those, you win
                        If Trump loses Minny, but Biden wins any of them, I win
                        Anything else we push.

                        1,000 betpoints even money.
                        Deal?
                        I wouldnโ€™t bet him if I were you. Heโ€™s a welch. Be careful.
                        Comment
                        • Itsamazing777
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 11-14-12
                          • 12602

                          #2042
                          trump sweeps the midwest
                          only fools blinded by the media think otherwise...

                          the media knows smart people know they are full of Shit, but they draw in low iq types.

                          food industry workers, laborers.
                          dumb people who cant advance past 12 an hour

                          If you dont make 25 plus by age 30 Your a retard and your opinion means nothing
                          Comment
                          • d2bets
                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                            • 08-10-05
                            • 39990

                            #2043
                            Originally posted by Itsamazing777
                            trump sweeps the midwest
                            only fools blinded by the media think otherwise...

                            the media knows smart people know they are full of Shit, but they draw in low iq types.

                            food industry workers, laborers.
                            dumb people who cant advance past 12 an hour

                            If you dont make 25 plus by age 30 Your a retard and your opinion means nothing
                            aka Trump's base.
                            Comment
                            • vitterd
                              Restricted User
                              • 09-14-17
                              • 58460

                              #2044
                              Originally posted by Itsamazing777
                              trump sweeps the midwest
                              only fools blinded by the media think otherwise...

                              the media knows smart people know they are full of Shit, but they draw in low iq types.

                              food industry workers, laborers.
                              dumb people who cant advance past 12 an hour

                              If you dont make 25 plus by age 30 Your a retard and your opinion means nothing
                              Lmao. This guy said Thalib would lose in Michigan....she won by 30 points. Why do all these loser mush trump voters even try.
                              Comment
                              • Judge Crater
                                SBR MVP
                                • 10-05-20
                                • 2024

                                #2045
                                New Florida Polls
                                Monmouth (A+): Biden +6
                                Marist (A+): Biden +4
                                Quinnipiac (B+): Biden +3

                                Trump still a betting favorite to win Florida

                                Betfair
                                Trump -119
                                Biden +116
                                Comment
                                • DwightShrute
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 01-17-09
                                  • 102359

                                  #2046
                                  Comment
                                  • 15805
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 06-10-12
                                    • 3604

                                    #2047
                                    Originally posted by d2bets
                                    No, it's not. It's very possible that the surprise is that Biden wins by more than expected and wins across a lot of these unexpected states, including Iowa, Georgia, maybe Texas.
                                    If you really feel landslide is a possibility here is a bet you should jump at
                                    2020 USA Presidential Election - Dems. wins by 280 + Electoral Votes +415
                                    (All action whenever election takes place) bookmaker.eu

                                    It would have to be 410 to 130. Biden would have to win Texas for that to happen
                                    Last edited by 15805; 10-29-20, 07:27 PM.
                                    Comment
                                    • jt315
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 11-12-11
                                      • 21701

                                      #2048
                                      Originally posted by ByeShea
                                      Yeah - so with all of these red states he might win ... he's spending the Friday before Election Day in Minnesota?

                                      Last time GOP won Minnesota was 1972. Reagan lost there twice.

                                      But Biden who, you know, has an election on Tuesday and limited schedule to begin with a minimum number of live events ... IS GOING TO MINNESOTA? BET THE RANCH ON TRUMP.



                                      Hmmmm ! Maybe this explains it .


                                      The 8th Circuit appeals court is forcing Minnesota to reject all absentee ballots received after 8 pm on Election Day.
                                      Comment
                                      • King Mayan
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 09-22-10
                                        • 21326

                                        #2049
                                        Trump can easily win. Especially with courts having his back.
                                        Comment
                                        • vitterd
                                          Restricted User
                                          • 09-14-17
                                          • 58460

                                          #2050
                                          Originally posted by King Mayan
                                          Trump can easily win. Especially with courts having his back.
                                          Trump has so much shit in court to stop voting. He wants nobody to vote. Lmao. I wonder why. Heโ€™s trying to cheat again....itโ€™s his only shot.
                                          Comment
                                          • RudyRuetigger
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 08-24-10
                                            • 65086

                                            #2051
                                            where is the liberal nutjob that told roy to bet on it with points?



                                            no liberal will bet


                                            hilarious
                                            Comment
                                            • vitterd
                                              Restricted User
                                              • 09-14-17
                                              • 58460

                                              #2052
                                              Originally posted by RudyRuetigger
                                              where is the liberal nutjob that told roy to bet on it with points?



                                              no liberal will bet


                                              hilarious
                                              A lot of betting has gone on.....I think most donโ€™t wanna bet you.
                                              Comment
                                              • Judge Crater
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 10-05-20
                                                • 2024

                                                #2053
                                                6 cent Biden move today
                                                Betfair
                                                Biden -192
                                                Trump +190
                                                Comment
                                                • homie1975
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 12-24-13
                                                  • 15442

                                                  #2054
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Headsterx
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 12-03-16
                                                    • 22390

                                                    #2055
                                                    Originally posted by d2bets
                                                    Wanna bet?

                                                    If Trump takes Minny and Biden doesn't win any of those, you win
                                                    If Trump loses Minny, but Biden wins any of them, I win
                                                    Anything else we push.

                                                    1,000 betpoints even money.
                                                    Deal?
                                                    I'll take that bet. I don't have the pts yet but can work it up before election is all settled.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • DwightShrute
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 01-17-09
                                                      • 102359

                                                      #2056
                                                      Comment
                                                      • vitterd
                                                        Restricted User
                                                        • 09-14-17
                                                        • 58460

                                                        #2057
                                                        Originally posted by DwightShrute
                                                        Lmao
                                                        Comment
                                                        • d2bets
                                                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                          • 08-10-05
                                                          • 39990

                                                          #2058
                                                          Originally posted by Headsterx
                                                          I'll take that bet. I don't have the pts yet but can work it up before election is all settled.
                                                          OK. Hopefully I can trust you. Reply to confirm and I'm in.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Judge Crater
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 10-05-20
                                                            • 2024

                                                            #2059
                                                            "Biden Family"?

                                                            I am sure that's exactly what the DOJ said
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Headsterx
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 12-03-16
                                                              • 22390

                                                              #2060
                                                              Originally posted by d2bets
                                                              OK. Hopefully I can trust you. Reply to confirm and I'm in.
                                                              Confirm. Yeah, I'll get 1k betpoints for it. Cool, thanks!
                                                              Comment
                                                              • hawkwind
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 04-25-11
                                                                • 4038

                                                                #2061
                                                                Absolutely correct.
                                                                Originally posted by judge crater
                                                                "biden family"?

                                                                I am sure that's exactly what the doj said
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Judge Crater
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 10-05-20
                                                                  • 2024

                                                                  #2062
                                                                  link please

                                                                  Originally posted by hawkwind
                                                                  Absolutely correct.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Headsterx
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 12-03-16
                                                                    • 22390

                                                                    #2063
                                                                    Originally posted by Judge Crater
                                                                    link please
                                                                    It's a link to a facebook, twitter, or snapchat.

                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Judge Crater
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 10-05-20
                                                                      • 2024

                                                                      #2064
                                                                      Trump up 3 in todays Trafalgar Florida Poll

                                                                      Interesting poll, Trump got 45.6% of 18-24 year old's. He actually beats Biden for the college age crowd. Maybe he should have done a college tour. He also only lost the female vote by less than a point.
                                                                      Last edited by Judge Crater; 10-29-20, 10:46 PM.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • vitterd
                                                                        Restricted User
                                                                        • 09-14-17
                                                                        • 58460

                                                                        #2065
                                                                        Originally posted by Judge Crater
                                                                        Trump up 3 in todays Trafalgar Florida Poll

                                                                        Interesting poll, Trump got 45.6% of 18-24 year old's. He actually beats Biden for the college age crowd. Maybe he should have done a college tour. He also only lost the female vote by less than a point.
                                                                        Trafalgar polls are nonsense. When you look inside his polls.....they are insane.
                                                                        Comment
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