2020 Election. The State by State Odds and MATH

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  • RoyBacon
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 09-21-05
    • 37074

    #1961
    Originally posted by vitterd
    This country is gonna give him a prison pounding like Roy bacon gets from his Saturday night tranny train.
    Do you think of pounding Trannys 24/7?

    I love getting nearly 2-1 in a toss up state like Wisky.

    My path to 269 is AZ and WI. Trump can definitely win PA and MI but those will be down to the last vote.

    Comment
    • ace7550
      SBR MVP
      • 05-08-15
      • 3729

      #1962
      Originally posted by Mike Huntertz
      Straight up, an attempt to see if any trumpeter fish really believe what they are saying.
      So far no takers?
      Well then, in the same spirit I'd be happy to bet 1000 points on Trump against somebody else's 2000 on Biden. Any takers?
      Comment
      • Itsamazing777
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 11-14-12
        • 12602

        #1963
        Originally posted by Fishhead
        Comment
        • trytrytry
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 03-13-06
          • 23649

          #1964
          new prices and 10,000 in action or so thus far.

          betpoints wagering . see what others are thinking for pizza points



          Comment
          • Judge Crater
            SBR MVP
            • 10-05-20
            • 2024

            #1965
            Race is tightening at Betfair
            282 million USD already bet on it
            Biden -189
            Trump +188


            I saw this on their twitter feed

            "Anyone backing Trump at current odds is betting on the biggest misread in opinion polling history."
            Comment
            • RoyBacon
              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
              • 09-21-05
              • 37074

              #1966
              Originally posted by Judge Crater
              Race is tightening at Betfair
              282 million USD already bet on it
              Biden -189
              Trump +188


              I saw this on their twitter feed

              "Anyone backing Trump at current odds is betting on the biggest misread in opinion polling history."

              Remember a couple of days ago when Trump was at +200 I said he needed to get down to +175 to have a good chance. Let's see sharp buyback.

              Don't get me wrong an .11 move doesn't qualify as "sharp buy back". But another .14 would make it dammmmmm interesting.
              Comment
              • JohnGalt2341
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 12-31-09
                • 9138

                #1967
                Originally posted by trytrytry
                new prices and 10,000 in action or so thus far.

                betpoints wagering . see what others are thinking for pizza points



                https://www.sportsbookreview.com/for...st-wagers.html
                Do you happen to know if SBR will be having any other Lines or Contests for the election?

                An Over/Under for Electoral Votes would be great. I would love to see a price on this at any Book. A contest for predicting the exact number of electoral votes would be great as well. There are tons of things that SBR could have contests for for the election. I was just wondering if you would happen to know if SBR will be having anything like I mentioned. Cheers.
                Comment
                • d2bets
                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                  • 08-10-05
                  • 39990

                  #1968
                  Originally posted by JohnGalt2341
                  Do you happen to know if SBR will be having any other Lines or Contests for the election?

                  An Over/Under for Electoral Votes would be great. I would love to see a price on this at any Book. A contest for predicting the exact number of electoral votes would be great as well. There are tons of things that SBR could have contests for for the election. I was just wondering if you would happen to know if SBR will be having anything like I mentioned. Cheers.
                  I would lay extra juice to get Trump U269.5 as opposed to straight win/loss.
                  Comment
                  • Memento
                    SBR MVP
                    • 01-28-15
                    • 1192

                    #1969
                    Originally posted by Judge Crater
                    Race is tightening at Betfair
                    282 million USD already bet on it
                    Biden -189
                    Trump +188


                    I saw this on their twitter feed

                    "Anyone backing Trump at current odds is betting on the biggest misread in opinion polling history."
                    This wouldn't be the biggest missread in the past two years....DeSantis (+325 closing odds) winning Florida come to mind?
                    Comment
                    • d2bets
                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                      • 08-10-05
                      • 39990

                      #1970
                      Originally posted by Memento
                      This wouldn't be the biggest missread in the past two years....DeSantis (+325 closing odds) winning Florida come to mind?
                      Maybe that is in reference only to presidential elections. Single senate elections are a different dynamic.
                      Comment
                      • Memento
                        SBR MVP
                        • 01-28-15
                        • 1192

                        #1971
                        Originally posted by d2bets
                        Maybe that is in reference only to presidential elections. Single senate elections are a different dynamic.
                        So they think it would be more of a shock to see Trump win this year at better odds than 2016? Makes no sense.
                        Comment
                        • d2bets
                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                          • 08-10-05
                          • 39990

                          #1972
                          Originally posted by Memento
                          So they think it would be more of a shock to see Trump win this year at better odds than 2016? Makes no sense.
                          Trump is further behind in the polls right now than he was in 2016 against Hillary, so yeah. Only reason odds are less is because the first time people couldn't imagine him winning (despite close polls) and now they can seemingly easily imagine polls being wrong because they've seen it before and he tends to defy odds. Plus he controls the levers of government and who knows what the hell he'll do to win.
                          Comment
                          • Judge Crater
                            SBR MVP
                            • 10-05-20
                            • 2024

                            #1973
                            Maybe the polling did not match +325

                            Originally posted by Memento
                            This wouldn't be the biggest missread in the past two years....DeSantis (+325 closing odds) winning Florida come to mind?
                            Comment
                            • RudyRuetigger
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 08-24-10
                              • 65086

                              #1974
                              Originally posted by JohnGalt2341
                              Do you happen to know if SBR will be having any other Lines or Contests for the election?

                              An Over/Under for Electoral Votes would be great. I would love to see a price on this at any Book. A contest for predicting the exact number of electoral votes would be great as well. There are tons of things that SBR could have contests for for the election. I was just wondering if you would happen to know if SBR will be having anything like I mentioned. Cheers.
                              this just shows your true ignorance


                              try3 doesnt work for sbr


                              infact, many within sbr's payroll do not like him offering these in the betpoints subforum



                              and here you are, asking try3 if sbr will offer things?


                              what a clown


                              you are so out of touch with reality it is absurd
                              Comment
                              • Art Vandelay
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 09-11-06
                                • 6676

                                #1975
                                Wisky update:

                                Final Marquette Law poll (as reputable as it gets here):

                                2020: Biden 48% // Trump 43%

                                2016: Hillary 46% // Trump 40%

                                Trump actually a bit closer in 2020 but fewer votes going to Lib & Green party candidates
                                Comment
                                • RudyRuetigger
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 08-24-10
                                  • 65086

                                  #1976
                                  People voting for Joe Biden are socialists. That clown could not put 3 coherent sentences together without a teleprompter and everyone knows it


                                  People voting for biden are actually racist white people (johngalt) and ignorant blacks (wikkidinsane)
                                  Comment
                                  • RoyBacon
                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                    • 09-21-05
                                    • 37074

                                    #1977
                                    Originally posted by d2bets
                                    Trump is further behind in the polls right now than he was in 2016 against Hillary, so yeah. Only reason odds are less is because the first time people couldn't imagine him winning (despite close polls) and now they can seemingly easily imagine polls being wrong because they've seen it before and he tends to defy odds. Plus he controls the levers of government and who knows what the hell he'll do to win.
                                    There is some truth to your post.

                                    But dude it's not "he tends to defy odds" at all.

                                    It's people are not admitting to pollsters they are actually voting for Trump.

                                    Remember in 2016 when you and fellow Dems were thrilled with the exit polling in FL???? Trump is not dying anything. People are voting for him and telling you they voted for Biden. And that ain't a theory and it sure ain't defying odds.
                                    Comment
                                    • JohnGalt2341
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 12-31-09
                                      • 9138

                                      #1978
                                      Originally posted by jacksonstreet
                                      Yeah, based on your scientific poll conducted among degenerate gamblers. Or is it because you see pictures of crowded Trump rallies vs. empty Biden rallies? I'll be back on November 4th to make you eat your words.
                                      Prediction:

                                      If/when Trump loses, the cult will claim it was because of voter fraud and they will say that if it wasn't for the millions(they may even say billions) of illegal votes that Trump would have won in a landslide.

                                      The worst part about is, people like Limbaugh and Hannity will parrot all the things Trump says about voter fraud and that the election was rigged. The next thing we know a gigantic chunk of the country will believe this as well.

                                      If this election isn't one of the ugliest things this country has ever seen, I will be very surprised.
                                      Comment
                                      • RudyRuetigger
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 08-24-10
                                        • 65086

                                        #1979
                                        Originally posted by RudyRuetigger
                                        this just shows your true ignorance


                                        try3 doesnt work for sbr


                                        infact, many within sbr's payroll do not like him offering these in the betpoints subforum



                                        and here you are, asking try3 if sbr will offer things?


                                        what a clown


                                        you are so out of touch with reality it is absurd
                                        any comment here galt?


                                        fukkin clown
                                        Comment
                                        • Judge Crater
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 10-05-20
                                          • 2024

                                          #1980
                                          It is also (rough estimate) six or seven states he is 2 or more points underwater. Though, they are of course corelated.


                                          Originally posted by Memento
                                          This wouldn't be the biggest missread in the past two years....DeSantis (+325 closing odds) winning Florida come to mind?
                                          Comment
                                          • DwightShrute
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 01-17-09
                                            • 102360

                                            #1981
                                            Originally posted by JohnGalt2341
                                            Prediction:

                                            If/when Trump loses, the cult will claim it was because of voter fraud and they will say that if it wasn't for the millions(they may even say billions) of illegal votes that Trump would have won in a landslide.

                                            The worst part about is, people like Limbaugh and Hannity will parrot all the things Trump says about voter fraud and that the election was rigged. The next thing we know a gigantic chunk of the country will believe this as well.

                                            If this election isn't one of the ugliest things this country has ever seen, I will be very surprised.
                                            There already is rampant voter fraud going on. How many examples do you need? There is no chance Trump loses in a fair election.

                                            The fake news cult is lying to you as always.
                                            Comment
                                            • RudyRuetigger
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 08-24-10
                                              • 65086

                                              #1982
                                              Originally posted by Judge Crater
                                              It is also (rough estimate) six or seven states he is 2 or more points underwater. Though, they are of course corelated.
                                              tell us how


                                              THANK YOU!!!
                                              Comment
                                              • JohnGalt2341
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 12-31-09
                                                • 9138

                                                #1983
                                                Originally posted by RudyRuetigger
                                                this just shows your true ignorance


                                                try3 doesnt work for sbr


                                                infact, many within sbr's payroll do not like him offering these in the betpoints subforum



                                                and here you are, asking try3 if sbr will offer things?


                                                what a clown


                                                you are so out of touch with reality it is absurd
                                                I never said that he did. I was just asking. I don't know why you have to be a total prick in nearly every single one of your posts. I've never seen anyone that hates themselves as much as you do, except for maybe Trump.

                                                Here's the reality, your life revolves around the SBR forum. And your days are spent insulting as many people as you possibly can that don't suck Trump's dikk 24/7 like you do.

                                                I'm going to let you in on a little secret that you might not know... insulting people constantly doesn't make you an alpha-male. It just makes you look weak.

                                                Comment
                                                • vitterd
                                                  Restricted User
                                                  • 09-14-17
                                                  • 58460

                                                  #1984
                                                  Originally posted by DwightShrute
                                                  There already is rampant voter fraud going on. How many examples do you need? There is no chance Trump loses in a fair election.

                                                  The fake news cult is lying to you as always.
                                                  Lmao. This foreign idiot
                                                  Comment
                                                  • RudyRuetigger
                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                    • 08-24-10
                                                    • 65086

                                                    #1985
                                                    Originally posted by JohnGalt2341
                                                    I never said that he did. I was just asking. I don't know why you have to be a total prick in nearly every single one of your posts. I've never seen anyone that hates themselves as much as you do, except for maybe Trump.

                                                    Here's the reality, your life revolves around the SBR forum. And your days are spent insulting as many people as you possibly can that don't suck Trump's dikk 24/7 like you do.

                                                    I'm going to let you in on a little secret that you might not know... insulting people constantly doesn't make you an alpha-male. It just makes you look weak.

                                                    like i said, you are just out of touch with reality

                                                    only about 3 people i hate here

                                                    you are one


                                                    guys like pavyracer are too dumb to be hated
                                                    Comment
                                                    • trytrytry
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 03-13-06
                                                      • 23649

                                                      #1986
                                                      Originally posted by RudyRuetigger
                                                      this just shows your true ignorance


                                                      try3 doesnt work for sbr


                                                      infact, many within sbr's payroll do not like him offering these in the betpoints subforum



                                                      and here you are, asking try3 if sbr will offer things?


                                                      what a clown


                                                      you are so out of touch with reality it is absurd

                                                      who specifically does not like the betpoints forum and its use?
                                                      Comment
                                                      • trytrytry
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 03-13-06
                                                        • 23649

                                                        #1987
                                                        Originally posted by JohnGalt2341
                                                        Do you happen to know if SBR will be having any other Lines or Contests for the election?

                                                        An Over/Under for Electoral Votes would be great. I would love to see a price on this at any Book. A contest for predicting the exact number of electoral votes would be great as well. There are tons of things that SBR could have contests for for the election. I was just wondering if you would happen to know if SBR will be having anything like I mentioned. Cheers.
                                                        im 99% sure SBr will not have a political contest or offer too much more politics this late in the cycle but that is just my guess I have nothing to do with it.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • RudyRuetigger
                                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                                          • 08-24-10
                                                          • 65086

                                                          #1988
                                                          Originally posted by trytrytry
                                                          who specifically does not like the betpoints forum and its use?
                                                          i have absolute proof of 2 though I wouldnt discuss names



                                                          it is weird spider now does it and employed by sbr so maybe things changed



                                                          but im being honest here
                                                          Comment
                                                          • RudyRuetigger
                                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                                            • 08-24-10
                                                            • 65086

                                                            #1989
                                                            Originally posted by trytrytry
                                                            im 99% sure SBr will not have a political contest or offer too much more politics this late in the cycle but that is just my guess I have nothing to do with it.
                                                            like i said


                                                            THANKS for confirming
                                                            Comment
                                                            • trytrytry
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 03-13-06
                                                              • 23649

                                                              #1990
                                                              Originally posted by RudyRuetigger
                                                              i have absolute proof of 2 though I wouldnt discuss names



                                                              it is weird spider now does it and employed by sbr so maybe things changed



                                                              but im being honest here
                                                              spider is a paid SBR MOd or employee? what is his role? hes good at getting lots of things started up, graded, hes one of the great things about SBr for sure. happy for him
                                                              Comment
                                                              • RudyRuetigger
                                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                                • 08-24-10
                                                                • 65086

                                                                #1991
                                                                Originally posted by trytrytry
                                                                spider is a paid SBR MOd or employee? what is his roll?
                                                                im not paid here, dont ask me bro

                                                                i have so many problems with betpoints forum i had to get loans from daggles
                                                                Comment
                                                                • JohnGalt2341
                                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                  • 12-31-09
                                                                  • 9138

                                                                  #1992
                                                                  Originally posted by DwightShrute
                                                                  There already is rampant voter fraud going on. How many examples do you need? There is no chance Trump loses in a fair election.

                                                                  The fake news cult is lying to you as always.
                                                                  Feel free to post a link from a non-biased source.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • RudyRuetigger
                                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                                    • 08-24-10
                                                                    • 65086

                                                                    #1993
                                                                    Originally posted by JohnGalt2341
                                                                    Feel free to post a link from a non-biased source.
                                                                    ok, and which source is nonbiased in your eyes?
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • RudyRuetigger
                                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                                      • 08-24-10
                                                                      • 65086

                                                                      #1994
                                                                      Originally posted by JohnGalt2341
                                                                      Feel free to post a link from a non-biased source.
                                                                      Originally posted by RudyRuetigger
                                                                      ok, and which source is nonbiased in your eyes?
                                                                      and, do you want to wager betpoints on voter fraud with proof?


                                                                      1441 betpoints risked proof

                                                                      ok?
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • JohnGalt2341
                                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                        • 12-31-09
                                                                        • 9138

                                                                        #1995
                                                                        Originally posted by trytrytry
                                                                        im 99% sure SBr will not have a political contest or offer too much more politics this late in the cycle but that is just my guess I have nothing to do with it.
                                                                        Thanks. I was thinking about putting together another contest for the election myself but I already have a couple going.

                                                                        My hats off to you for doing these elections contests on your own.
                                                                        Comment
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