2020 Election. The State by State Odds and MATH

**vitterd** · 10-26-20, 09:19 AM

Originally posted by homie1975

their enthusiasm is that it is ANYONE but Donnie. get it? they might've even voted for Hillary this year in the Rust Belt

I’ve been trying to tell him that for over a year. He doesn’t get much of anything. All one has to do is look at the current vote totals for dem enthusiasm. Like it matters if it’s for Biden or against trump.

**jt315** · 10-26-20, 10:40 AM

Originally posted by homie1975

their enthusiasm is that it is ANYONE but Donnie. get it? they might've even voted for Hillary this year in the Rust Belt

Same playbook as in 2016 .

They both offered nothing except they aren’t Trump .

But please carry on about voter enthusiasm .

**Judge Crater** · 10-26-20, 10:55 AM

Trump picked up 10 cents today.

Biden -204
Trump +200

Todays polls were good for Biden. I wonder if Biden's senior moment stumbling for a name hurt him.

**burdman** · 10-26-20, 12:47 PM

Wow. New numbers out. Millions more keep voting for Harris and Biden. I’m even surprised. I knew we would dominate, but this is insane. Where do all the votes keep coming from??!!!???

And the lines are packed as we speak. Millions more today!

**ByeShea** · 10-26-20, 12:51 PM

Originally posted by burdman

Wow. New numbers out. Millions more keep voting for Harris and Biden. I’m even surprised. I knew we would dominate, but this is insane. Where do all the votes keep coming from??!!!???

And the lines are packed as we speak. Millions more today!

New numbers, like?

<blockquote class="twitter-tweet"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">BREAKING: Trump now leads in PA<br><br>Trump 48.4<br>Biden 45.5<br>JJ: 3<br><br>Internals show Trump closing strong with over 65 & women. This poll had Biden leading 10 days ago. Results suggest that soft Trump supporters & previous undecideds are breaking for DJT. <a href="https://t.co/pNR8rVUWCk">https://t.co/pNR8rVUWCk</a></p>— Chris Buskirk (@thechrisbuskirk) <a href="https://twitter.com/thechrisbuskirk/status/1320772034469654528?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw" >October 26, 2020</a></blockquote> <script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>

Pre-debate this poll was Biden +3.

**GunShard** · 10-26-20, 12:57 PM

Trump supporters created more funny campaign ads than Biden supporters. I haven't seen any funny campaign ads for Biden as far as I know.

https://twitter.com/damonimani/status/1315315305183416324
https://twitter.com/2020TRICKDOTCOM/...96385678774272

**Judge Crater** · 10-26-20, 01:14 PM

Biden is back up with advertising in Texas today. Targeted money and betting odds mean much more than internal polls.

**burdman** · 10-26-20, 01:16 PM

Originally posted by ByeShea

New numbers, like?

<blockquote class="twitter-tweet"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">BREAKING: Trump now leads in PA

Pre-debate this poll was Biden +3.

Dead wrong. Dumbass jews in NY are the only ones voting for trump. And their votes won’t mean crap.

Penn is 100% Harris/Biden

**RudyRuetigger** · 10-26-20, 01:16 PM

Originally posted by Judge Crater

Biden is back up with advertising in Texas today. Targeted money and betting odds mean much more than internal polls.

then why cant i parlay anywhere?

**RudyRuetigger** · 10-26-20, 01:17 PM

Originally posted by burdman

Dead wrong. Dumbass jews in NY are the only ones voting for trump. And their votes won’t mean crap.

Penn is 100% Harris/Biden

another democrat calling out a specific group

yet people claim it is the republicans

sad

**KVB** · 10-26-20, 01:19 PM

Originally posted by RudyRuetigger

another democrat calling out a specific group

yet people claim it is the republicans

sad

The hypocrisy just drips from the walls from the highly intolerant left.

I know a lot of former Democrats because of just how blatant it has been over the last few years,they couldn't stand it anymore.

Very sad.

**ByeShea** · 10-26-20, 01:20 PM

Originally posted by Judge Crater

betting odds

Don't mean squat.

Betting odds held on to a Hillary win until the last seconds of the 11th hour. Anyone using the odds to make judgements got smoked (happens at horse tracks every day, btw). In fact, all we learned about betting odds is that they tail polling. Anyone who can correctly read polls to detect the real trends has the edge.

And good luck with Texas, vitt.

**KVB** · 10-26-20, 01:21 PM

You guys in this thread still think the election markets are efficient and that biased polling should be followed?

Let me guess, that 538 guy makes you think you know the odds.

I suppose you are all waiting for the NextGen stats of elections.

**SEAHAWKHARRY** · 10-26-20, 01:23 PM

Vittard and John gault probably will need to be on meds come nov 4th gonna be a big headache for them

**Judge Crater** · 10-26-20, 01:23 PM

If you click on the poll details
Poll is mix of cell and IVR. Interactive Voice Response Polls are just what they sound like, robocalls with computer asking questions.
Poll has Trump getting over 50% of the 18-44 vote
I would always discount internal polls from both sides

**vitterd** · 10-26-20, 01:23 PM

Originally posted by ByeShea

Don't mean squat.

Betting odds held on to a Hillary win until the last seconds of the 11th hour. Anyone using the odds to make judgements got smoked (happens at horse tracks every day, btw). In fact, all we learned about betting odds is that they tail polling. Anyone who can correctly read polls to detect the real trends has the edge.

And good luck with Texas, vitt.

Your prediction record is awful. You understand that campaigns have the best access to data in the world and Biden is going to Georgia tomorrow and Harris is going to Texas in friday. Dems map expanding and Trump is defending.

You’re stupid and a twitter dope.

**RoyBacon** · 10-26-20, 01:25 PM

Originally posted by burdman

Dead wrong. Dumbass jews in NY are the only ones voting for trump. And their votes won’t mean crap.

Penn is 100% Harris/Biden

Don't you mean Biden/Harris?

That is by far the lowest IQ ticket in American history.

**Judge Crater** · 10-26-20, 01:27 PM

"you understand that campaigns have the best access to data in the world and Biden is going to Georgia tomorrow and Harris is going to Texas in friday."

insightful

**RudyRuetigger** · 10-26-20, 01:27 PM

Originally posted by KVB

The hypocrisy just drips from the walls from the highly intolerant left.

I know a lot of former Democrats because of just how blatant it has been over the last few years,they couldn't stand it anymore.

Very sad.

it has been said many times on various social media outlets

trump didnt cause the hatred of the left, he exposed it

**vitterd** · 10-26-20, 01:28 PM

Originally posted by SEAHAWKHARRY

Vittard and John gault probably will need to be on meds come nov 4th gonna be a big headache for them

You are in the cult bubble. Gonna be funny watching your excuses though.

**RudyRuetigger** · 10-26-20, 01:28 PM

Originally posted by Judge Crater

"you understand that campaigns have the best access to data in the world and Biden is going to Georgia tomorrow and Harris is going to Texas in friday."

insightful

where is biden today?

DELAWARE

thanks clown

**jt315** · 10-26-20, 01:30 PM

The poster Vitterd (aka Eddie Mush) who went all in on Hillary in 2016 actually thinks Texas and Georgia are in play .

**Judge Crater** · 10-26-20, 01:32 PM

IVR polling much faster and cheaper: they can complete a survey in hours, and charge about 1/10th the cost of live interviewers. However, as anyone who’s called a customer service line can attest, voice response systems are far from foolproof. They also have even lower response rates than traditional phone sampling, seem to encourage more false responses, and cannot legally reach cell phones. IVR may work for populations of older, whiter voters with landlines, such as in some Republican primary races, but they’re not generally useful.

**KVB** · 10-26-20, 01:33 PM

Originally posted by GunShard

Trump supporters created more funny campaign ads than Biden supporters. I haven't seen any funny campaign ads for Biden as far as I know...

I don't know, Biden posing for this picture in his latest ad was pretty funny...

**vitterd** · 10-26-20, 01:34 PM

Originally posted by jt315

The poster Vitterd (aka Eddie Mush) who went all in on Hillary in 2016 actually thinks Texas and Georgia are in play .

You are king mush. You are 0-fer predictions here.

You have 8 days left and the life I’ve given you ends. Don’t welch again

**RudyRuetigger** · 10-26-20, 01:36 PM

Wait, is that really Eddie Mush?

**vitterd** · 10-26-20, 01:42 PM

Originally posted by RudyRuetigger

Wait, is that really Eddie Mush?

Ummmm.....I’ve hit 96 percent of my predictions. So no. But I have a list of jt315 predictions. Here’s one.

“ it will only get worse for Dems in the midterms”—jt315

**RudyRuetigger** · 10-26-20, 01:47 PM

eddie mush created a new account in 2012, wouldnt surprise me if this is retards 3rd account

**Judge Crater** · 10-26-20, 01:50 PM

Midterms are almost always bad for the party in power

**JohnGalt2341** · 10-26-20, 01:52 PM

Originally posted by vitterd

You are in the cult bubble. Gonna be funny watching your excuses though.

This is precisely correct. For anyone that has read or seen the movie The Big Short it's not difficult to figure out why there was a housing bubble. It seems completely obvious now in retrospect but most people refused to believe it at the time.

The Trump Cult Bubble is even more obvious and the damage done will be far worse. Just like in The Big Short, it's only a matter of time until everyone figures out the truth. The Trump cult is in for a rude awakening and it's only a matter of time until they figure out that they have been conned. Some just figure it out sooner than others.

**RudyRuetigger** · 10-26-20, 01:53 PM

Originally posted by JohnGalt2341

This is precisely correct. For anyone that has read or seen the movie The Big Short it's not difficult to figure out why there was a housing bubble. It seems completely obvious now in retrospect but most people refused to believe it at the time.

The Trump Cult Bubble is even more obvious and the damage done will be far worse. Just like in The Big Short, it's only a matter of time until everyone figures out the truth. The Trump cult is in for a rude awakening and it's only a matter of time until they find out that they have been conned. Some just figure it out sooner than others.

you are a fukkin psycho 30 year old

quit the bullshit

**vitterd** · 10-26-20, 01:57 PM

Originally posted by RudyRuetigger

eddie mush created a new account in 2012, wouldnt surprise me if this is retards 3rd account

You’re a drunk

**RudyRuetigger** · 10-26-20, 02:07 PM

Originally posted by vitterd

You’re a drunk

why are you offended?

oh, you thought retard was the same as vitterd?

you said it...NOT ME

**RoyBacon** · 10-26-20, 02:13 PM

Originally posted by RudyRuetigger

why are you offended?

oh, you thought retard was the same as vitterd?

you said it...NOT ME

.....everybody knows that. jus sayin

**vitterd** · 10-26-20, 02:20 PM

Originally posted by RoyBacon

.....everybody knows that. jus sayin

You in Florida or Texas? You got on Biden and you don’t even know where you live. I’m always gonna catch you......start being honest and I will stop checking you.