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  • Shortstop
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 01-02-09
    • 27281

    #36
    Driller, how did you get 67 points to give out. Are you wagering with your points?
    Comment
    • MilfDriller
      Restricted User
      • 11-23-08
      • 10186

      #37
      That was all I had, SS. I had 65 in my acct and I gave em away. Don't care about the pts, but I'm going to give em away to people who are civilized.

      45 were in my acct when I logged in yest or something like that... I don't even know how all that shit works.
      Comment
      • Shortstop
        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
        • 01-02-09
        • 27281

        #38
        Thanks buddy!
        Comment
        • MilfDriller
          Restricted User
          • 11-23-08
          • 10186

          #39
          Wow, this is ridiculous.



          Estonia-4.5 +103
          MÁS DE 145.5 +111


          Ucrania+4.5 -114
          MENOS DE 145.5 -122
          Comment
          • MilfDriller
            Restricted User
            • 11-23-08
            • 10186

            #40
            If this stays at 145.5, this is a fvcking hammer. That total is totally, literally, and absolutely wrong.
            Comment
            • MilfDriller
              Restricted User
              • 11-23-08
              • 10186

              #41
              143.5

              even at this # .... 67 first half... w/ 76 spare for a 2half

              that's all wrong
              Comment
              • MilfDriller
                Restricted User
                • 11-23-08
                • 10186

                #42
                sitting on 143.

                Est 4-0 Under
                Cze 4-0 Under... but they're playing Hungary... so that's definitely a no-go

                Estonia is the worst 3-ball shooting team, I believe. 20/98 or 20.4%. When they played vs. UKR they were 5/29 from 3-land. Their games have seen just atrocious droughts... and over their last 3 games have been avg'ing 29 pts per 2half. 4Q's are even worse where they've avg'd 13 pts/qrtr in their last 3 games.

                They've had a qrtr of 12 pts or less in every game they've played.. dumping in 12, 12, 09, 10
                Comment
                • MilfDriller
                  Restricted User
                  • 11-23-08
                  • 10186

                  #43
                  gonig by the numbers ...

                  143, -3.5 ... 73-70 Estonia victory...

                  yet Estonia is 1-3 and have lost 3 in a row. and there is no way Estonia dumps in 73 pts this game. Absolute max of 68.... which leaves UKR w/ 75

                  And, o/c, not one of Est's games have even hit 140 pts.

                  Absolute max by UKR of 77.... but that seems rather high. Even 75 seems high.
                  Comment
                  • MilfDriller
                    Restricted User
                    • 11-23-08
                    • 10186

                    #44
                    it's an under or nothing. it's just that simple.

                    the only question I have is, 'How long can I go back to this well?' The end of the under streak will either have been the last game or it will be this game.
                    Comment
                    • MilfDriller
                      Restricted User
                      • 11-23-08
                      • 10186

                      #45
                      Interesting tidbit for Group C.


                      Home teams? ... 8-0 SU, 7-1 ATS
                      Road teams? ... avg'ing exactly 64.0 ppg


                      W/ Estonia being the lowest scoring team (62.8) out of all the teams combined from diff groups... plus the fact they have never even hit 70 pts in one of their games... most likely I'm going to roll w/ the under again.

                      EST 4-0 Under ... avg cover of the under by 8.0 ppg
                      UKR 2-2 Under ... one of the under losses was by 1.5 pts

                      Est .. 142.5 , 145.5 , 143.5 , 142.5
                      Ukr .. 148.0 , 145.5 , 149.5 , 144.5 ... = Hungary (middle games under by 25 pts)
                      Comment
                      • MilfDriller
                        Restricted User
                        • 11-23-08
                        • 10186

                        #46
                        I love this kind of stuff:


                        ... then held Estonia without a basket for the first seven minutes of the third quarter and opened a 46-24 advantage.
                        Comment
                        • MilfDriller
                          Restricted User
                          • 11-23-08
                          • 10186

                          #47
                          3rd Play:


                          EST/UKR Under 143.0



                          there it is
                          Comment
                          • diogee
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 01-11-08
                            • 19477

                            #48
                            MilfPump is all over the place with plays. Gotta love it....need my action. Good luck.
                            Comment
                            • MilfDriller
                              Restricted User
                              • 11-23-08
                              • 10186

                              #49
                              this tourney is just heating up, bro. there'll be lots of good opps next month when they start playing every day
                              Comment
                              • diogee
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 01-11-08
                                • 19477

                                #50
                                I'm in...just going to follow your cue on some of these games.
                                Comment
                                • MilfDriller
                                  Restricted User
                                  • 11-23-08
                                  • 10186

                                  #51
                                  went to the well one too many times

                                  they went 6/8 from 3 ball land in the first .... 20-22, E1

                                  still possible, but unlikely
                                  Comment
                                  • MilfDriller
                                    Restricted User
                                    • 11-23-08
                                    • 10186

                                    #52
                                    20 15 xx xx
                                    22 17 xx xx


                                    42 32 ?? ??

                                    maybe a final of 71-68?
                                    Comment
                                    • MilfDriller
                                      Restricted User
                                      • 11-23-08
                                      • 10186

                                      #53
                                      15-15 ... but whatever
                                      Comment
                                      • MilfDriller
                                        Restricted User
                                        • 11-23-08
                                        • 10186

                                        #54
                                        game went to OT. right pick.. just got unlucky .. 135 in regulation
                                        Comment
                                        • MilfDriller
                                          Restricted User
                                          • 11-23-08
                                          • 10186

                                          #55
                                          last game of this core round.

                                          EST/HUN 146.5

                                          UKR/CZE 143.5


                                          both look like unders to me. Est is 4-1 for the Under... w/ that one loss coming due to OT. CZE is 5-0 to the Under. I think this total actually opened around 146.5.

                                          Think they both go under... but after being burned on that OT bs... just going to wait.

                                          Also, EST is 1-4 ATS... w/ their lone cover coming from huge 4th-qrtr comeback. Since then they've lost 4 in a row SU and ATS... they shouldn't be a 2.5 fave, but the home teams are 9-1 SU or whatever it is.. w/ EST being the only loss on Monday in OT.

                                          Finally, Finland has not lost ATS and Italy has not won ATS... Italy is a 8.5 fave at home. I think that's right... but I'd ahve to go back and check.
                                          Comment
                                          • Shortstop
                                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                            • 01-02-09
                                            • 27281

                                            #56
                                            Driller is the SBR Euro Hoops Guru. Go Get 'Em Milf! Good Luck!
                                            Comment
                                            • MilfDriller
                                              Restricted User
                                              • 11-23-08
                                              • 10186

                                              #57
                                              Again, this Estonia total makes no sense.

                                              The way they have it.... it plays out to approx 74-72 final in favor of Estonia.

                                              No way in hell EST get 74pts. They got 72 w/ the help of an OT, but otherwise have not hit 70 pts in any of their games. Road teams still avg'ing around 65 pts or whatever... plus you throw in that EST's motivation will be off for this game.

                                              A total of 146.5 is ridiculous.
                                              Comment
                                              • Shortstop
                                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                • 01-02-09
                                                • 27281

                                                #58
                                                Driller how did you get another 22 points? I thought you gave them away as soon as you collected them?
                                                Comment
                                                • MilfDriller
                                                  Restricted User
                                                  • 11-23-08
                                                  • 10186

                                                  #59
                                                  I'm gonna be saving em up. I have a contest planned in the future which will be quite entertaining... and I'll be giving away pts. So all I can give right now is 2 pts.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Shortstop
                                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                    • 01-02-09
                                                    • 27281

                                                    #60
                                                    Thanks buddy! I'm looking forward to your contest!
                                                    Comment
                                                    • MilfDriller
                                                      Restricted User
                                                      • 11-23-08
                                                      • 10186

                                                      #61
                                                      8-2 @ 5:20 in the EST game

                                                      not a chance in holy hell that game goes over.

                                                      10-2 , 4:30
                                                      Comment
                                                      • MilfDriller
                                                        Restricted User
                                                        • 11-23-08
                                                        • 10186

                                                        #62
                                                        14-7 , E1
                                                        29-25 , HT

                                                        07 18 xx xx
                                                        14 15 xx xx
                                                        Comment
                                                        • MilfDriller
                                                          Restricted User
                                                          • 11-23-08
                                                          • 10186

                                                          #63
                                                          2-1 for the qualification round so far.... with that one loss on the under being caused by OT


                                                          First game of a 2-game set between Belg. and France starts tomorrow. FRA plays at BEL and is listed as a -6.5 fave, -280 ML. Total means nothing... no real angle.

                                                          I don't really understand the logic of this setup... there are 2 games.... so what if they split the games? Do they go on point differential? Wtf? That doesn't make any sense.

                                                          The game should be a tight game.. and one would do better to buy pts up to the -280 price for Belgium at home.... for example, getting Belgium at +10.0 or so... that would be a better bet than taking FRA ML on the road.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • MilfDriller
                                                            Restricted User
                                                            • 11-23-08
                                                            • 10186

                                                            #64
                                                            Just read an excellent write-up on this game. And they are doing the ticket to the tourney based on POINT DIFFERENTIAL.... the concept of this tournament is absolutely ridiculous. Anyways, if Belgium wins by 4 at home, then France will have to win by 5 when they play in Pau.

                                                            But what the hell happens if they both win at home by 4 pts? Go by who has the best FT %?

                                                            France is loaded w/ solid NBA guys, namely Parker. But w/ this game not having true significance, it can only be a 'no bet'. France can play not 100% in this game, maybe lose by a little and know in the bank of their minds that they can pound Belgium at home on Sunday. Hence the low line.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • MilfDriller
                                                              Restricted User
                                                              • 11-23-08
                                                              • 10186

                                                              #65
                                                              Fra blimped up to 8 and 8.5 ... and a -385 on the ML leading up to the game.

                                                              Clear class difference in watching this game.... basically NBA-ers vs. scrubs. Fra looks lacadasical (sp) but they're doing fine. Up 16-11 w/ Parker going to the line. Looks like Tony has taken the last 6 or 7 shots.

                                                              Maybe Fra up 8-12 at HT... and then a great by Belg in the 2half. That was what they did vs. Bosnia where they played even at home for the 1H, then blasted Bosnia in the 2H. O/c, I dont think they'll have enuff for the win if Fra sticks w/ it

                                                              20-13
                                                              Comment
                                                              • MilfDriller
                                                                Restricted User
                                                                • 11-23-08
                                                                • 10186

                                                                #66
                                                                Fra up 27-17 near end of 1Q.... Parker goes out....

                                                                Belg goes on a 11-0 run.

                                                                Parker comes back and it's 4-4 evens

                                                                32-31 Belg

                                                                If Fra doesn't start strong in the 2H, they will lose
                                                                Comment
                                                                • MilfDriller
                                                                  Restricted User
                                                                  • 11-23-08
                                                                  • 10186

                                                                  #67
                                                                  Belg wins 70-66. This opens up a definite massive cover for Fra in Pau on Sunday. Line will prolly be -11.5 or -12.5 ... but they will win by 20+ minimum
                                                                  Comment
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