You still sticking with horses that go off near 8/1 odds?
Comment
curious
Restricted User
07-20-07
9093
#39
Mohawk Race 8
Mohawk Race 8 #9 Wellthereyougo $20 $40 $80 WPS
Comment
curious
Restricted User
07-20-07
9093
#40
Mountaineer Race 8
Mountaineer Race 8 #6 Tenvince $20 $40 $80 WPS
Comment
curious
Restricted User
07-20-07
9093
#41
Originally posted by Imgoinhungry
You still sticking with horses that go off near 8/1 odds?
Yes
Comment
curious
Restricted User
07-20-07
9093
#42
Ocean Race 9
Ocean Race 9 #8 All Spades $20 $40 $80 WPS
Comment
curious
Restricted User
07-20-07
9093
#43
Balmoral Race 9
Balmoral Race 9 #7 Peter Lugar $20 $40 $80 WPS
Comment
curious
Restricted User
07-20-07
9093
#44
Mohawk Race 9
Mohawk race 9 #2 Initial Strike $20 $40 $80 WPS
Comment
curious
Restricted User
07-20-07
9093
#45
Ocean Race 10
Ocean Race 10 #2 Proud Juliet $20 $40 $80 WPS
Comment
curious
Restricted User
07-20-07
9093
#46
Mountaineer race 9
mountaineer race 9 #4 Notarized $20 $40 $80 WPS
Comment
Kav
SBR MVP
02-25-09
3281
#47
where do you go for live feeds (if your watching them) and results?
Comment
bobbyfk
SBR Posting Legend
01-19-09
15218
#48
TVG
Comment
bobbyfk
SBR Posting Legend
01-19-09
15218
#49
Originally posted by curious
6 other races she had exactas at various amounts. $10 bet, payoffs from 5-1 to 40-1
cool
Comment
UltimateSelector
Restricted User
01-28-08
15926
#50
.
Hi Curious!
I'll throw down with ya for the last at Mountaineer & Los Alamitos as well!
Best of Luck to ya!
Comment
Imgoinhungry
SBR Sharp
03-31-09
264
#51
I am very intrigued by this system. I imagine it is tough keeping up w/ the odds though, as they change so frequently. Are you finding it to be profitable over the long haul?
Comment
UltimateSelector
Restricted User
01-28-08
15926
#52
. .
Los Alamitos 5th Race ... #1 at 2-1 .. & .. #4 at 2-1
Comment
UltimateSelector
Restricted User
01-28-08
15926
#53
. .
Mountaineer 10th Race ... #6 at 9-1 .. & .. #7 at 13-1
Comment
UltimateSelector
Restricted User
01-28-08
15926
#54
Originally posted by UltimateSelector
. .
Los Alamitos 5th Race ... #1 at 2-1 .. & .. #4 at 2-1
.
Ran 2nd on the #4 .. Paid .. $2.40
Ran 3rd on the #1 ...
Comment
sportscash
Restricted User
01-16-09
2894
#55
Australia track a race 2 #11
Comment
UltimateSelector
Restricted User
01-28-08
15926
#56
Originally posted by UltimateSelector
. .
Mountaineer 10th Race ... #6 at 9-1 .. & .. #7 at 13-1
I am very intrigued by this system. I imagine it is tough keeping up w/ the odds though, as they change so frequently. Are you finding it to be profitable over the long haul?
It is very profitable with one caveat. Sometimes you hit droughts. You have to up the bet size after a drought has been going on for a while, then when you start hitting again you take the bet size back down.
you also have to use common sense. If a race has a super favorite you have to take the super favorite in a weighted exacta. Then you play your 8-1 pick in the Place and Show position.
Some tracks don't work so you have to keep accurate records and review them each night. Night seems to work better than day. Weekdays seem to work better than weekends. Small tracks seem to work better than large tracks. Don't know about wagons vs thoroughbreds yet, wagons seem to be very well, but that needs to be validated with more data.
. .
Los Alamitos 6th Race ... #2 at 7-1 .. & .. #6 at 5-2
Comment
UltimateSelector
Restricted User
01-28-08
15926
#62
.
Curious ...
I am not knocking what your doing at all. However I will just give you my knowledge of what you are attempting to do. I guarantee you will go broke playing the way you are advocating. I applaud your efforts cause this is how you learn about horse racing & cappin & numbers. You will Win & lose your way thru many attempts to find out for yourself. I have done it many times & have been broke because of it as well. On the other hand I have made a living at it after many years of trial & error.
I would suggest you put your money where it does the best to WIN only unless it goes off at 10- or higher ... Then Win & Place it! FORGET the SHOW hole!
Just my 2 cents of knowledge for ya ... Not That it means anything!
Keep the faith & Best of Luck my friend!
Comment
curious
Restricted User
07-20-07
9093
#63
Balmoral Race 12
Balmoral Race 12 #8 Jeremy Moon $20 $40 $80 WPS
Comment
Imgoinhungry
SBR Sharp
03-31-09
264
#64
Are you aware of any sites that post the percentage of races that the favorites win? I know that Delaware has like 40% of favorites win. I wouldn't use this system there. I'd try to find tracks with the lowest percentage of favorites that win.
Comment
UltimateSelector
Restricted User
01-28-08
15926
#65
Originally posted by UltimateSelector
. .
Los Alamitos 6th Race ... #2 at 7-1 .. & .. #6 at 5-2
.
Ran 2nd on the #2 to just miss! .. Paid .. $6.60
Comment
curious
Restricted User
07-20-07
9093
#66
Originally posted by Imgoinhungry
Are you aware of any sites that post the percentage of races that the favorites win? I know that Delaware has like 40% of favorites win. I wouldn't use this system there. I'd try to find tracks with the lowest percentage of favorites that win.
That is irrelevent. We are not betting to Win, we are betting to hit the board. Using a betting ratio of X 2X 4X for W P S you don't have to win, you just have to hit the board. The question you need to answer is "What % of entrants at odds of 7.2-10.4 hit the board?".
Comment
Imgoinhungry
SBR Sharp
03-31-09
264
#67
Got it. Good point.
Do you know those numbers? Are there stats on it, or did you take the time to track it? That's a lot of work.
I might start tracking that to stay away from the tracks where those odds dont hit all that often.
Comment
curious
Restricted User
07-20-07
9093
#68
Originally posted by UltimateSelector
.
Curious ...
I am not knocking what your doing at all. However I will just give you my knowledge of what you are attempting to do. I guarantee you will go broke playing the way you are advocating. I applaud your efforts cause this is how you learn about horse racing & cappin & numbers. You will Win & lose your way thru many attempts to find out for yourself. I have done it many times & have been broke because of it as well. On the other hand I have made a living at it after many years of trial & error.
I would suggest you put your money where it does the best to WIN only unless it goes off at 10- or higher ... Then Win & Place it! FORGET the SHOW hole!
Just my 2 cents of knowledge for ya ... Not That it means anything!
Keep the faith & Best of Luck my friend!
The majority of the winnings come from the Show. After that is the Place, only a small % of the picks Win straight up.