A-League Soccer

[Duckshit]

Parked the Buses.......

[Duckshit]

Thank you for moving them....lol

[Optional]

Oh wow.

Wanderers do it again!

2 injury time goals for Brisbane to throw away another win.

2-2 final

[cincinnatikid513]

i think thats the first. time i have seen an a league game start on time

[funnyb25]

I didn't play this over due to the 30mph winds and it's 1-0 5 min into match. Fuk me

[cincinnatikid513]

I didn't play this over due to the 30mph winds and it's 1-0 5 min into match. Fuk me

haha i played over 2.5 -110 was wondering why it fell from -130 to -110 i bit

[funnyb25]

haha i played over 2.5 -110 was wondering why it fell from -130 to -110 i bit

Windy as hell there. That's why the price shot down I would imagine.

[cincinnatikid513]

who u like in late game should be a good one number 2 vs number 3

[funnyb25]

who u like in late game should be a good one number 2 vs number 3

I'll be asleep, but I wouldn't be surprised to see Sydney steal one on the road there.

[cincinnatikid513]

Windy as hell there. That's why the price shot down I would imagine.

yah sometimes the early goals arent that great for the over seen too many games early goals and then none in 2nd half

[Optional]

City look flat and not really a chance to come back. But Wellington need to convert another chance soon before City steal a draw against run of play.


Odds on Victory are blowing out for next match. Think I'll add another unit on them.

Sydney without De Jong and short turnaround, against Victory who had no mid week match to worry about so have been preparing for this one for 6 days... Can't see Victory losing this outright. Draw at worst.

[eaglesfan371]

City look flat and not really a chance to come back. But Wellington need to convert another chance soon before City steal a draw against run of play.

Odds on Victory are blowing out for next match. Think I'll add another unit on them.

Sydney without De Jong and short turnaround, against Victory who had no mid week match to worry about so have been preparing for this one for 6 days... Can't see Victory losing this outright. Draw at worst.

Are you having a better week so far? Up late tonight but sidelined. Cashed out 4k in profit this week, decided to take break from sports betting until Super Bowl. Stressful always watching games.

If you were on Brisbane and up 2-0 and the Wanderers, one of the worst teams, scored 2 in injury time...just wow. I'd be tilted.

[cincinnatikid513]

City look flat and not really a chance to come back. But Wellington need to convert another chance soon before City steal a draw against run of play.


Odds on Victory are blowing out for next match. Think I'll add another unit on them.

Sydney without De Jong and short turnaround, against Victory who had no mid week match to worry about so have been preparing for this one for 6 days... Can't see Victory losing this outright. Draw at worst.

put a dime on victory and over hoping for 2-1 3-0 3-1 victory

<a href="https://ibb.co/tZjMfTm"><img src="https://i.ibb.co/0B4jNRD/Screenshot-2019-01-26-03-06-31.png" alt="Screenshot-2019-01-26-03-06-31" border="0"></a>

[Optional]

Are you having a better week so far? Up late tonight but sidelined. Cashed out 4k in profit this week, decided to take break from sports betting until Super Bowl. Stressful always watching games.

If you were on Brisbane and up 2-0 and the Wanderers, one of the worst teams, scored 2 in injury time...just wow. I'd be tilted.

It was other way around. I was on Brisbane PK, and they scored 2 in injury time to steal a draw. Poor Wanderers. 3rd time in 4 games they have given away a "sure" win late. The two goal scorer props I hit left me about 1.5 units up for the night. So good start to the round

[Optional]

[cincinnatikid513]

i should just bet wellington pk took over instead keep strugglimg. take a side or total

[Optional]

Superb keeping from Nix goalie saved equalizers twice quickly. Both should have been goals.

[Optional]

i should just bet wellington pk took over instead keep strugglimg. take a side or total

I feel like I am just guessing betting totals.

[Optional]

WOW, another mega save from Phoenix keeper 3 mins into injury time.

City deserve the draw here.

12 shots to 3 in the 2nd half to City

[cincinnatikid513]

I feel like I am just guessing betting totals.

i feel like i need start betting the pk lines of teams i think will win would save alot on losing to draws

[eaglesfan371]

i feel like i need start betting the pk lines of teams i think will win would save alot on losing to draws

I read somewhere that ML sides are generally juiced a bit more than the corresponding probability implied and that soccer's biggest value 3way ML is often found in the draw because no one bets it. I'm with Optional though, I usually only bet spreads, typically PK or asian.

[Optional]

Added on to Victory ML +146

Toivonen to score anytime +150

[cincinnatikid513]

I read somewhere that ML sides are generally juiced a bit more than the corresponding probability implied and that soccer's biggest value 3way ML is often found in the draw because no one bets it. I'm with Optional though, I usually only bet spreads, typically PK or asian.

i dont know how to bet the draw what to even look for, sometimes i bet for certain leagues like argentina or lower leagues where teams lack scoring

[eaglesfan371]

i dont know how to bet the draw what to even look for, sometimes i bet for certain leagues like argentina or lower leagues where teams lack scoring

Oh I would never bet draw either, just saying that is why I avoid 3 way MLs and instead take spread, usually PKs since its hard to lose if your team gets first goal

[Optional]

Poster Beefcake bets draws a lot and appears to do ok with it.

One of the reasons I decided to get into A-League was that mistake thinking the historical probability of a draw meant odds of about +850 odds were the fair average... so I could afford to forget draws and just hit the sides where some value must exist if the draw odds are so far off.

I kind of wish I was still labouring under that mistaken idea, as now i am thinking about draws more... but really, Draws are still realtively low in this league. 20% = +400 odds average needed to break even if picking them. And so far I don't think I have seen any draw even over +300.

So I think the basic idea I had is still sound. Just not quite as outrageously advantageous as I first thought.



Bottom line, I am going to try to keep resisting losing value by covering draws and sticking mostly with MLs.

[Optional]

Added on to Victory ML +146

Toivonen to score anytime +150

BOOM.

Toivenon makes it 1-0


these player score props are gold!

[cincinnatikid513]

BOOM.

Toivenon makes it 1-0


these player score props are gold!

i like it , i like it, Let's Go score some more goals

[eaglesfan371]

BOOM.

Toivenon makes it 1-0


these player score props are gold!

Jeez running good today. Saw the lines disappear and noticed Victory scored. Congrats. Hope the goals continue for Victory so both of you guys win. Have a play on Kvitova beating Osaka that I placed a couple days ago. Even match in that so far.

[eaglesfan371]

Poster Beefcake bets draws a lot and appears to do ok with it.

One of the reasons I decided to get into A-League was that mistake thinking the historical probability of a draw meant odds of about +850 odds were the fair average... so I could afford to forget draws and just hit the sides where some value must exist if the draw odds are so far off.

I kind of wish I was still labouring under that mistaken idea, as now i am thinking about draws more... but really, Draws are still realtively low in this league. 20% = +400 odds average needed to break even if picking them. And so far I don't think I have seen any draw even over +300.

So I think the basic idea I had is still sound. Just not quite as outrageously advantageous as I first thought.



Bottom line, I am going to try to keep resisting losing value by covering draws and sticking mostly with MLs.

That is a very low goal rate, curious how far back that trend is. Surprised there hasn't been much regression. Might have to start tailing your plays for a unit man, you seem to be running over this league.

[Optional]

Jeez running good today. Saw the lines disappear and noticed Victory scored. Congrats. Hope the goals continue for Victory so both of you guys win. Have a play on Kvitova beating Osaka that I placed a couple days ago. Even match in that so far.

Good luck.

I have a complaint case open where a guy bet Osaka to win US Open and Aussie Open at about 50/1 back in May 2018. He kept hitting both for the max (which was small) about 10 different days. Then didn't use the account again.

They would not pay him for the US Open win but left his account open with Osaka bets. I have fingers crossed Osaka wins to help us put pressure on the book over both sets of bets.

That is a very low goal rate, curious how far back that trend is. Surprised there hasn't been much regression. Might have to start tailing your plays for a unit man, you seem to be running over this league.

2017-2018 20.74% = +382
2016-2017 26.66% = +275
2015-2016 22.22% = +350


It was running at 20.39% so far this year, until we had 5 draws in the last 10 matches which has seen it jump up near 28%.

I am crossing fingers that was an aberration and the average will drop back nearer 20% again by season end.

[cincinnatikid513]

got the draw at halftime at +302 put a small amount to cut my losses down in the event of a 1-1 tie the only thing that really hurts me

[Optional]

2-0 Victory

Troisi scores.

Almost took him to score as well. He was +320 I think

[Optional]

Oh, more luck. Looks like it deflected off a defender for an own goal. Glad I didnt bet him after all



EDIT: Nope, Troisi credited with it.

[cincinnatikid513]

Oh, more luck. Looks like it deflected off a defender for an own goal. Glad I didnt bet him after all



EDIT: Nope, Troisi credited with it.

like it, would love one more goal

[Optional]

2-1

Over cashes too for you Cinci