Saturday Plays? Tremendous Betting Day

[jjgold]

Lots of selections all sports

Do not blow out early

[wikkidinsane]

Check my soccer and tennis thread sir

[jjgold]

ok Wikkie

[timdog12]

I’m looking at Maryland game. Plus 13 at home there not a bad squad. Also Texas has not proven anything to me.

[LT Profits]

Twins -121

[LT Profits]

Twins -121

Get this in next 5 minutes while overnight lines are still up

[Hman]

Football is here

[timdog12]

I like ole miss a lot today there plus 2. Ole miss returns 9 starters on offense. Texas tech quartbacks are very inexperienced

[LT Profits]

Football is here

I think Twins have better value than any football game today.

[grease lightnin]

Get this in next 5 minutes while overnight lines are still up

I just got -110

Hope you're right, LT

[grease lightnin]

Wouldn't call them tremendous, but I am starting out with Maryland +14 -120 and U 55.5 -120.

Last time I took Maryland +14, the Noles pushed their shit in like 100-0

Bet accordingly

[Ratpack]

Washington state notre dame Michigan under asu

[LT Profits]

I just got -110

Hope you're right, LT

WOW, yeah just saw. I don't get it but oh well.

[trobin31]

FAU +21
Air Force -13

Athletics +105
Brewers +128
Rangers +104
yanks -1.5
Pitt/Atl over 8.5
TBR/Cle over 8
Arz/LaD over 7

[TheToffer]

UW Huskies will win outright...

Huskies ML!

[KVB]

I picked up MIN/TEX UNDER 10.5 for the Contrarian Fund. Will be tracking with 10 as that was the SBR line.

Also have these plays so far...

The NCAAF Totals Fund has picked up.

KENT/ILLINOIS UNDER 56.5 (-105)

NCAFF Totals Fund has added...

WASH/AUB OVER 49.5 (-105).

I got this at 48 but didn't post it in time.

NCAAF Totals Fund added..

WASH ST/WYOMING UNDER 45.5 (-102).

Four plays for the NCAAF ATS/ML Fund...

SMU +3.5 (-109), WASH ST -3 (-103),

MIA (OH) -125, MICH -130


I've had to list two moneylines here for tracking because lines have moved since I bought these plays.

I consider this a tracking problem with trying to post and update at SBR.

For this reason, I will likely stop tracking all but the NCAAF Totals Fund and NCAAF ATS/ML Fund...

I think I will also track the KVB NCAAF UPSET Basket here. It's not as involved and will be easier to post than the Totals baskets which will have 100's of plays.

I picked up two plays here...

SMU +150 and MARSHALL +120.

Marshall is playing MIA (OH) so note the conflicting moneylines. Remember, though, I had to list MIA (OH) moneyline because of the line move, that was supposed to be a spread play in the NCAAF ATS/ML Fund.

Good Luck everyone, my integrity in SBR tracking means I got lines and numbers I should have posted sooner so went with what was available when I posted, it's only right.

Hey Gold,

I will post less moving forward.

I will post plays in the daily here, maybe some discussion in very few threads and I will post in the original threads that those plays come from.

I am getting very busy but I will produce winners, even if they go negative at times, but the Forum is taking too much time.

The Contrarian Fund has been highly volatile, as you can see.

I expect that to be true for some of the other strategies I am running.

Good Luck.

[jjgold]

KVB where is the wife when your in the war room??

[KVB]

KVB where is the wife when your in the war room??

She's in and out, sleeping when I'm burning the candle on both ends. My kids are in and out too. I often walk the house spouting shit, we all interact.

She is handling so much on the family and life end, with errands and kids. We are a team and I am involved, just busy and have work hours, just like any dad. Fortunately, I can work from home and that has pros and cons.

The Ipad is a tremendous asset and very valuable to me. Allows family time, believe it or not.

I just feel unorganized right now, more than I probably am. That's why I will stop the insane tracking for now.

lol

[KVB]

Not going to lie, missing that LAA bet the other night was a wake up call of a mistake.

Mistakes cost money. I am producing winning plays. Weather and other bullshit has already taken winning plays off our board (even if they were going to be losing bets) and to outright miss one is not good.

The fact that it won hurts too..

Swings, losses, bad beats, bullshit, none of that hits my emotions, well, sometimes I post a GIF of Harbaugh or something, but it doesn't get to me.

But missing that winning play, remember, we will only produce so many winners (whether they win or lose) and missing that play got to me.

Yeah, yeah, nobody wins, blah blah blah. But when I am producing winners, and am patient enough to wait for them to roll around, it is important. It is expensive and it must be done right, professionally. Can't rely on laying off or arbs all the time.

I will post less quantity and more quality at SBR. I think I am capable of quality.

The Contrarian Fund has been great to share.

[TheVegasGrind]

Dbacks/Dodgers F5 under 3.5 -130
Also on Louisville +24.5

GL today

[timdog12]

Ole miss easy winner on the moneyline

[Biff41]

Roll Tide -23.

[KVB]

Added some plays to the MLB Contrarian Fund with SEA/OAK UNDER 8 and CLE, PITT and BALTY all on the moneyline.

Good Luck.

[KVB]

...The KVB NCAAF Market Reads Fund will consist of market reads based on the action we've seen during the day. It will consist of forecast predictions and overlay the same market analysis as the other NCAAF Funds but will add one more element. It will overlay existing market conditions to further refine potential market reads.

This will not be a basket, but could comprise more than one play some nights. The manager element comes into play as I will need to choose the best market reads for the evening based on what ever perceived edges we can find. I will not play every "advanatagous" play uncovered, I will personally try to weed out the losers.

This can result in manager error, something I try avoid with most Funds, but this risk is what makes this fund different.

The first play in this fund is BYU +10 (-104) over Arizona....

Accidental edit and lost the gif.

[Biff41]

Bama likely to cover before half.

[jjgold]

0-1 so far

never win

3 left

[timdog12]

Ole miss and Marshall winners today up 8k for day

[Ratpack]

twins looking like crap fudge

[KVB]

After hitting the high of more than 12 units, it looks like I could go 0-5 tonight in the MLB Fund.

Not bad, still up 7 units and you know the volatility by now, I am confident we get another spike.

Need the Under in Oakland.

[jjgold]

It usually happens when you’re doing very well at a sport, it’s called the law of averages

[KVB]

Some Results coming in for the day...

		1 Unit	Closing	Beat	BTC
Date	NCAAF Totals Fund	per bet	Line	Closer?	Average
30-Aug	NM ST/MINN UNDER 47 (-110)	-1	49.5	N	-2.5
	UCF/CONN UNDER 73 (-113)	0	69	Y	4
	WAKE/TULANE UNDER 57.5 (-110)	0.91	56	Y	1.5
31-Aug	W KENT/WISC UNDER 52 (-108)	0.93	52	PUSH	0
1-Sep	KENT/ILLINOIS UNDER 56.5 (-105)	0.95	57	N	-0.5
	WASH/AUB OVER 49.5 (-105)	-1	50.5	Y	1
	WASH ST/WYO UNDER 45.5 (-102)	-1	45	Y	0.5
	Total	-0.21		4-2-1	0.571429

Here's the Upset basket. Honestly, I am happy that we are about even after week 1. I do believe that with all these funds there will be an early struggle. If that struggle means even or just less, then I will take it.

I am optimistic here.

Date	NCAAF UPSET Basket	1 Unit	Closing	Beat	BTC ML
		per bet	Line	Closer?	Average
30-Aug	KENNESAW ST +130	-1	120	Y	0.10
	UC DAVIS +120	1.2	120	PUSH	0.00
1-Sep	MARSHALL +120	1.2	-102	Y	0.22
	SMU +150	-1	143	y	0.07
	MTENN ST +130	-1	134	N	0.04
	Total	-0.6		3-1-1	0.09

Still listening to that last Dead jam.

Going to spank NCAAF with these remaining Funds, I am getting a little more organized.

[KVB]

There's some volatility, but there is profit in this grind, 0-5 today in the Contrarian Fund.

The KVB MLB Contrarian Fund after 229 plays, SBR prices, links, etc.

Got blanked today. It has happened before. Wait until you see the graph of results. That's the cool part.

1-Sep	PIT +126	-1
	CLE -115	-1
	BAL -112	-1
	MIN/TEX UNDER 10 (+100)	-1
	SEA/OAK UNDER 8 (-115)	-1
	Sat	-5
	Week 1	3.64
	Week 2	4.73
	Week 3	-5.88
	Week 4	2.15
	Week 5	1.32
	Week 6	-1.04
	Mon	3.09
	Tue	0.96
	Wed	-1.56
	Thu	1.24
	Fri	3.46
	Total	7.11

[KVB]

Gold if we see a dip in this one go on for a bit, I will buy into it for the Total Return Fund.

That's a call to start hitting the plays hard.

It will be a market rotation...

The Totals record is in the Total Return thread but here's the ATS/ML Fund.

Early season weakness but, could see it dip 7 or 8 units, maybe more, before coming back, could see it come back...

Record	Date	NCAAF ATS/ML Fund	1 Unit	Closing	Beat	BTC ATS	BTC ML
ATS			per bet	Line	Closer?	Average	Average
0-1	30-Aug	WAKE -6.5 (-105)	-1	-7.5	Y	1
	1-Sep	MIA (OH) -125	-1	-110	N		0.15
0-2		SMU +3.5 (-109)	-1	3	Y	0.5
1-2		WASH ST -3 (-103)	0.97	3	PUSH	0
		MICH -130	-1	-151	Y		0.21
1-2		Total	-3.03		3-1-1	0.5	0.18

...

Nothing wrong with the idea of rotation.

[KVB]

I hope you got down Gold, win or lose these are the plays.

Here's one for you Gold, almost started a new thread just for the market reads..

...The KVB NCAAF Market Reads Fund will consist of market reads based on the action we've seen during the day...

...The first play in this fund is BYU +10 (-104) over Arizona.

...These plays are the fruits of the labor of the war room...

[KVB]

BYU going to come through huge for us tonight!!