CFL 2018 Thread

[Hngkng]

QB injuries have messed with this league for years.

Oh for sure. Especially since this is such a QB driven league.

[bloke]

CFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Road dogs of +4 to +13 and Home dogs between -1 and +2 that finished last season at least 2 games below .500 are 88-44-4 ATS. (Active Hamilton and Montreal this week!)

[KVB]

Dogs a good bet in general for early CFL weeks. The trend is strong.

[Hngkng]

Dogs a good bet in general for early CFL weeks. The trend is strong.

And that is why I’m taking (2.0) Saskatchewan +3.0; and (0.5) Saskatchewan win tonight!

[Coolcanuck79]

Definitely on Sask tonight +3!

[KVB]

This is not forecast based and to keep it separate I opened a 4 pick parlay for CFL market reads.

I took Toronto Argonauts -2.5 (-103) over Saskatchewan Roughriders.

It's based on the line move and few other metrics we will get into.

The open parlay at Heritage forced a price of Toronto -2.5 (-108) .

[KVB]

I know there was a lot of talk about the underdog but the metrics used make the (-103) price worth the risk for me. I might have not have picked up the -108 price, had I noticed the change.

Starting to think the -140 Toronto moneyline might have been a better bet for an open parlay.

[KVB]

I just picked up Toronto Argonauts -120 LIVE over Saskatchewan Roughriders.

[KVB]

It's a matter of time before Duron Carter makes his mark.

In this game and in this season.

Guy's a beast.

[KVB]

Just picked up Toronto Argonauts LIVE +360 over Saskatchewan Roughriders.

A glutton for punishment.

[KVB]

Just missed Toronto +8.5, probably for the best. I might blow the whole early season gamble roll tonight...lol.

[KVB]

Just picked up Toronto Argonauts LIVE +360 over Saskatchewan Roughriders...

I just picked up Saskatchewan Roughriders -270 over Toronto Argonauts.

Instead of a flat bet, I layed the 270 to win one unit for a free shot at .9 units on Toronto's win.

[KVB]

For those two trades I risked a total of 3.7 units to either return 3.7 units with a Saskatchewan win or a return 4.6 units with a Toronto win.

[KVB]

Just in time too, Saskatch driving and offense clicking.

[KVB]

I believe trades like this may still be available in the 4th.

It's now -480/+330 so let's see.

[KVB]

I believe trades like this may still be available in the 4th.

It's now -480/+330 so let's see.

Now -250/+200.



Could have +330 and -250 here.

[KVB]

Now -270/+200

The book shading the line further on the favorite.

There is a time value to trades like this and the CFL offers some of the best opportunities because of the nature of the game. Some trades close very late because that's just how they bring it.

The more we hit these markets, the harder it will be to keep doing it without giving more and more back on already stupid vigorish.

Limits on the games can be an issue but you can get down all over the place.

[KVB]

Toronto now +710, if they score quick that will change.

Any takers?

[KVB]

And that is why I’m taking (2.0) Saskatchewan +3.0; and (0.5) Saskatchewan win tonight!

Definitely on Sask tonight +3!

Good win guys.

[Hngkng]

Good win guys.

Thanks!

oh my KVB what happened? Hope you didn’t lose too much of your bank roll.

[sourtwist]

Thanks!

oh my KVB what happened? Hope you didn’t lose too much of your bank roll.

I had to PM him the name of a guy i know who knows a guy who can help him out of this mess

[Hngkng]

Collaros burned alot of public money (including mine) when he was a Hamilton Tiger-Cat.

Learned the hard way how horrible he could be.

Collaros’s 12 game losing streak as a starting QB comes to an end. That ties a CFL record.

[KVB]

Thanks!

oh my KVB what happened? Hope you didn’t lose too much of your bank roll.

Just two Toronto -2.5's (one was a parlay that's no longer a parlay) and a -120 live play.

I sold the rest back for a free shot as I started to get exposed LIVE. Funny thing is that the +8.5 I didn't buy would have paid.

[cankid]

And that is why I’m taking (2.0) Saskatchewan +3.0; and (0.5) Saskatchewan win tonight!

Nice picking wasnt sure they had enough but revenge from the playoffs, decent team playing at home as a dog got er done, congrats fellas

[KVB]

I had to PM him the name of a guy i know who knows a guy who can help him out of this mess

[Coolcanuck79]

Good win guys.

Thx!!! On to the next one.

[Coolcanuck79]

On BC -8 tonight. GL with all your picks today guys.

[icon]

Rain and thunderstorms possible in Calgary today. Not sure if it will be an issue at kickoff but just wanted to give a heads up.

https://www.theweathernetwork.com/ca/36-hour-weather-forecast/alberta/calgary

[Hngkng]

On BC -8 tonight. GL with all your picks today guys.

Im placing 2 units on this too.

Also small 0.5 bet on CGY/HAM under 27.5 first half.

[Coolcanuck79]

Im placing 2 units on this too.

Also small 0.5 bet on CGY/HAM under 27.5 first half.

Might join you on the under 1st half. I have it at under 28 -111.

[Hngkng]

Might join you on the under 1st half. I have it at under 28 -111.

I love the early season first half under angle. I bet it in the TOR/SSK game yesterday, but didn't post it. So won't be counting it for my record.

https://cflpicks.weebly.com/early-1h-unders.html

[KVB]

Good Luck guys, I'm watching game one for a possible reaction for the final game of week 1.

[Coolcanuck79]

Good win on the 1st half under in CGY.

Liking the 1st half over in BC. I have 24.5 -110 or 24 -133. The hook scares me a little.

Thoughts??

[KVB]

Good high line with that 28 but you're right, I think the 24-24.5 is a big jump.

It also shows in the price.

Personally, I'd pass if I hit the first bet today.

[Hngkng]

Good win on the 1st half under in CGY.

Liking the 1st half over in BC. I have 24.5 -110 or 24 -133. The hook scares me a little.

Thoughts??

I’m going to the well again with first half under. Will do Montreal/BC under 24.5 for 0.5 units.

I got under 24.5 at 1.9 at bet 365