Sunday's SBR Positive Energy Parlay

[accuscoresucks]

PTJ has oak/sd over 8. Its one of those don't ask just bet he's been hitting those like a mutha****a lately.


Damn it! that was the play for the game that already happened.

yes i had them today over 8 only 8 wow i couldnt beleive the line when i saw it those pitchers really sucked

[Minkus]

yes i had them today over 8 only 8 wow i couldnt beleive the line when i saw it those pitchers really sucked

Exactlly how i felt

[accuscoresucks]

yes man didnt post the play,been a rough 2 months on the south side of the hill

[Razz_Donkey]

We are getting some new players in here, I like it. Except this:

Should call this the negative energy bankroll depletion bust out bankroll zero reverse energy gay ass thread. With the PEP record of 1-9 think you would get the picture by now. Can't win betting parlays.

Dude, if it sucks then fade us and make money. I have no idea why lurkers feel the need to criticize after a losing day. Stuff like this just looks so pity and small. Really pathetic.

Anyway, glad to see a few new faces. I'm gonna get some early rest but will be back at it the morning. i like the picks so far, I'll be checking in again in the AM to see how the lines have reacted and to statistically breakdown some of our front running picks. Good night everyone.

[Minkus]

detroit tigers ov 8 **
White sox over 8 **

Jays ML *

Royals un 8.5 *
Rockies over 10*
Padres over 7.5*

[head_strong]

Toronto Blue Jays get it done tomorrow

Not Playing the Blue Jays, Martis stats show he gives up very little to right handed hitters while lefties are hitting over .300 against him. The Blue Jays only had 2 left handed hitters in the lineup today w/ Joe Inglett who is hitting a mere .167 (0HR 1RBI) and Adam Lind who is having a solid season thus far. (Lyle Overbay pitch hit in the 11th and struck out) Going to look elsewhere for value and pass on this one....gl to those that play it.

[TheIntegrityKid]

Not Playing the Blue Jays, Martis stats show he gives up very little to right handed hitters while lefties are hitting over .300 against him. The Blue Jays only had 2 left handed hitters in the lineup today w/ Joe Inglett who is hitting a mere .167 (0HR 1RBI) and Adam Lind who is having a solid season thus far. (Lyle Overbay pitch hit in the 11th and struck out) Going to look elsewhere for value and pass on this one....gl to those that play it.

Alright headstrong... you seem to know your shiit... a few of us seem to like the Jays, but this is a good argument to look elsewhere. Maybe it can also be a sign to take the under as well...

I'm liking Kinger's position about going with the Red Sox RL since that's the opposite of what he would usually do. I think I'm one of a few that actually like the Braves in this spot. That Knuckleball of Wakefield's seems too hard to predict.

I'm looking at all these sites with projections and what not, and am just confusing the shit out of myself. I'm prob over thinking this.

But, with me being happy to see some new faces in here, I'm inclined to defer on my selections and pay more attention to what they suggest. New energy is always appreciated and I don't mind backing it.

[TheIntegrityKid]

detroit tigers ov 8 **
White sox over 8 **

Jays ML *

Royals un 8.5 *
Rockies over 10*
Padres over 7.5*

Det over**
Padres over**
and White Sox over** I'm really liking tho... One of these is prob bound to go under, but with them being 8 or 7.5, they seem like good value

Cleanuphitter likes the Det Over and the WhiteSox Over especially...Both games may feature great pitching matchups, but all we need is for one of those hot offenses to start off good and when the starters go out of the game, tack on a couple more runs.

When they project det to be 2.5 over the over and cws to be 3 over the over, I think we gotta go with them..

[head_strong]

Personally I like to attempt to read the adjusted run lines (+1.5-2.5/reverse run lines), player props, team props, team totals, 1st team to 3 runs (@ blowdog) etc. to get more of a feel of what seems to have the most value which in turn generally doesn't pay so I like to go the other way. I also find the consensus sites very misleading, for wagerline to say 62% is on the Yankees is just not true (more like 85%). I also find it funny that pregame consensus will tell you 45% is on one team, while caribsports will say it's 65%, while twominutewarning says it's 30%, then sportsbook says 70%, in other words very inconsistent. So the only way I can figure out where the $ really are, is by going straight to the source....covers/therx/predict'em/insideslant/betting talk/eog/statfox & majorwager forums so it takes time before I lock anything in. All my own capping is done before any of the previous steps so I have a general idea of what I'm looking for before going into information overload.

[head_strong]

Alright headstrong... you seem to know your shiit... a few of us seem to like the Jays, but this is a good argument to look elsewhere. Maybe it can also be a sign to take the under as well...

I'm liking Kinger's position about going with the Red Sox RL since that's the opposite of what he would usually do. I think I'm one of a few that actually like the Braves in this spot. That Knuckleball of Wakefield's seems too hard to predict.

I'm looking at all these sites with projections and what not, and am just confusing the shit out of myself. I'm prob over thinking this.

But, with me being happy to see some new faces in here, I'm inclined to defer on my selections and pay more attention to what they suggest. New energy is always appreciated and I don't mind backing it.

I'm was leaning towards Atlanta as well, Jurrjens should be well rested after only throwing 2 innings on Tuesday in the lengthy rain delay @ Cincinnati. His outing before that he went 6 innings, so that's only 8 innings of work in the last 11 days. He should be fresh, but betting against the 2nd best team in baseball on their home field in the deciding game of the series is personally not in my playbook. Also Boston has won every one of Wakefield's home starts avg. 8.5 runs per game in those contest.

[payingthejuice]

**Minnesota Twins**
A's/Padres OVER 7.5
Wash Nationals

[head_strong]

Fk it….I’ve seen more people backing Atlanta then Boston and not sure why. Braves have only scored 4 or more runs in 3 of the last 11, they also haven’t won a series this month (Cincinnati, Baltimore, Pittsburgh, Milwaukee, Chicago Cubs). Boston has only lost 1 series this month (Texas) while winning series vs. Florida, Philadelphia, New York Yankees, Detroit. I can see why this line may seem off cause it has the same look and feel as Friday’s game which resulted in a Braves 8-2 win. But it’s hard to ignore the overwhelming #’s that point to Boston, the best team in the AL vs. the 4th best team in the NL East, I might have to make a move on this one.
If it looks too good to be true it usually is, 50% of the time when it comes to gambling

[payingthejuice]

Fk it….I’ve seen more people backing Atlanta then Boston and not sure why. Braves have only scored 4 or more runs in 3 of the last 11, they also haven’t won a series this month (Cincinnati, Baltimore, Pittsburgh, Milwaukee, Chicago Cubs). Boston has only lost 1 series this month (Texas) while winning series vs. Florida, Philadelphia, New York Yankees, Detroit. I can see why this line may seem off cause it has the same look and feel as Friday’s game which resulted in a Braves 8-2 win. But it’s hard to ignore the overwhelming #’s that point to Boston, the best team in the AL vs. the 4th best team in the NL East, I might have to make a move on this one.
If it looks too good to be true it usually is, 50% of the time when it comes to gambling

Braves are 1-4 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Braves are 1-4 in their last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Braves are 1-4 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
Braves are 1-5 in their last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Braves are 4-0 in Jurrjens' last 4 interleague starts.
Braves are 7-1 in Jurrjens' last 8 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Braves are 4-1 in Jurrjens' last 5 starts during game 3 of a series.
Braves are 4-1 in Jurrjens' last 5 starts with the total set at 9.0-10.5.
Braves are 4-1 in Jurrjens' last 5 road starts with the total set at 9.0-10.5.

Braves are 5-1 in their last 6 games with Hohn behind home plate.
Road team is 5-2 in Hohns last 7 Sunday games behind home plate.
Under is 5-2 in Hohns last 7 games behind home plate vs. Atlanta.
Red Sox are 2-6 in their last 8 games with Hohn behind home plate.

I would SLIGHTLY lean for the Braves on this one.

[head_strong]

BOSTON is 130-74 (+32.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 58-31 (+18.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 82-38 (+23.2 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
WAKEFIELD is 27-9 (+14.1 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
WAKEFIELD is 27-9 (+14.1 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
WAKEFIELD is 19-4 (+12.8 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)

I try to not pay too much attention to all these different trend sheets, I generally won't look back much more than a month when it comes to an overall teams performance. Too many variables with the majority of those, like roster changes, injuries, errors, etc. but gl with your plays payingthejuice just my opinion.

[JamesBrown]

Anyone like the Rangers to avoid the sweep in SF today. Millwood (7-4, 2.62, 1.19 Whip) vs Zito (3-7, 4.72, 1.49 Whip).

Thinking Rangers RL

[dreamjob]

Anyone like the Rangers to avoid the sweep in SF today. Millwood (7-4, 2.62, 1.19 Whip) vs Zito (3-7, 4.72, 1.49 Whip).

Thinking Rangers RL

Sounds good to me JB. Zito is really struggling right now. A good time to pounce on the Rangers.

[Minkus]

tigers over 8?

[dreamjob]

tigers over 8?

The public is pretty heavy on the under, around 65%. Good time to fade them.
Like it.

[dreamjob]

The public is heavy on the tigers 79%. The line has moved down from -130 to -125 . I must admit I am with the public on this one.
tigers ml

[JamesBrown]

Minnesota and the OVER looks good to me

[dreamjob]

Minnesota and the OVER looks good to me

The public agrees with you JB 76% min ml, 84% over 8.5. I don't know I gotta look deeper in that game

[Razz_Donkey]

Hey guys, looking great in here. PTJ and head strong, you guys are creating some great discussion, thank you both. TIK private messaged and said he won't be around for the early games, but to go ahead and put something together if we wanted to. What do you guys want to do and where are we with our best leans for now?

[dreamjob]

tigers ml*
tor ml*

Thats all i got so far

[Dbldown11]

I tried to be more selective today, I've got only 6 picks for the day and I like em all:

Tigers ML -125
White Sox +105
Nationals +120
Cubs -160
Pirates/Rockies Over 10.5 +105
Giants +120

[dreamjob]

I tried to be more selective today, I've got only 6 picks for the day and I like em all:

Tigers ML -125
White Sox +105
Nationals +120
Cubs -160
Pirates/Rockies Over 10.5 +105
Giants +120

I like them all but the Nats. I miss fading them it was easy money.

[Razz_Donkey]

Alright guys, we're going to miss the boat on any early plays. There's some good picks out here already, just play your stuff straight up and lets regroup and decide if we ant to play the later games. There are 9 games from the 2:00et on out through the rest of the day.

[dreamjob]

I just booked a 6 teamer. Pays 19 to 1. So I said what the hell.
tor -133
bos -126
det -127
bal +1.5 -140
tb +1.5 -230
cws +1.5 -210


I know lots of juice but I think this can hit.

[payingthejuice]

**Minnesota Twins**

[dreamjob]

**Minnesota Twins**

I got them straight PTJ

[JamesBrown]

I took a 3 teamer..Bos, Min, StL....Already losing the RedSox game in the first.
duh

[OB 2138]

you needa turn this into like a 3 best bets thread instead..the parlays are just throwing money out the window.

[Minkus]

How was todays parlays/bets?

i was with the family all day and will be stepping out soon again

so far im 1-0 and im keeping it to that(tigers ml)

Can someone PM me with what todays plays/parlays were please...i dont want to have to go through this thread.....THANKS

[dreamjob]

we came up with nothing minkus. we did our own thing. i'm about to leave myself

[dreamjob]

I just booked a 6 teamer. Pays 19 to 1. So I said what the hell.
tor -133
bos -126
det -127
bal +1.5 -140
tb +1.5 -230
cws +1.5 -210


I know lots of juice but I think this can hit.

Looking good so far. I hope it hits. I'll be gone the rest of the day. I'll be spending time bored off my ass with the in-laws. Nice people but boring as ****. I'll be back tomorrow. What ever the team goes with then good luck on all your plays.

[OB 2138]

looks like the team decided to use their brains and not bet on a parlay today.