Laying horses - Starting from Feb-12-2018

**littlekona** · 02-20-18, 03:32 PM

LIGHT UP THE DEVIL Sam Houston LAY race 6 5/2 ML

**littlekona** · 02-20-18, 03:37 PM

Originally posted by littlekona

LIGHT UP THE DEVIL Sam Houston LAY race 6 5/2 ML

ching ring it up...or like trevor says go be first in line

**Foxx** · 02-20-18, 03:42 PM

Originally posted by Underdog5229

no update for over an hour. did this horse win?

No. He lost.

**Underdog5229** · 02-20-18, 04:37 PM

Originally posted by Foxx

No. He lost.

thank you sir.

**arie1985** · 02-20-18, 09:31 PM

Sorry I missed all this, went to sleep early.
Back to Australia, got this one for a price close to 101 which is its current price @ Sportsnet.com.au

**arie1985** · 02-20-18, 09:46 PM

I managed to get this one for only 5 EUR, it's a 150 to 1 horse @ Sportsbet.com.au, race is in Avondale, New Zealand Good Luck:

Edit: Got it for 9.15 EUR eventually, before the race started someone or a few people probably bought it from me for a few extra dollars/euros... I feel like this strategy is selling dreams to people (and to myself included), only the betting exchange is surely making money from all this in the end of the day.

**arie1985** · 02-20-18, 10:38 PM

Next one is in 2 mins in Strathalbyn, Australia, one horse is hovering around the 90-100 there.

**arie1985** · 02-20-18, 10:40 PM

Originally posted by arie1985

Next one is in 2 mins in Strathalbyn, Australia, one horse is hovering around the 90-100 there.

Good Luck!

**jjgold** · 02-20-18, 10:42 PM

Australia

It never ends !

**arie1985** · 02-20-18, 10:45 PM

Originally posted by jjgold

Australia

It never ends !

If you checked my posts here you would notice I barely touch the US horse racing, for me it's mainly Australia (&NZ), South Africa and UK.

**arie1985** · 02-20-18, 10:59 PM

This one is 101 in Kyneton, Australia, starts in 1 minute, Good Luck!

**arie1985** · 02-21-18, 12:10 AM

Last race for today in Kyneton, Good Luck!

**arie1985** · 02-21-18, 12:44 AM

2nd Race in Ascot, Australia - Good Luck! (the 1st price of 120 was achieved 40 mins before the race)

**arie1985** · 02-21-18, 01:15 AM

Race 7 in Strathalbyn - Good Luck!

(It's 126 in Sportsbet.com.au)

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 02-21-18, 02:27 AM

Arie:

I've observed. My two-cents on what you're doing. I'm not trying to discourage u...but the key to this approach is accurate pricing.

I don't think u can Lay a longshot horse + just hope that he doesn't win it. Your info is solid + honest. I'd be a little worried about not getting matched in the betting pools and having to settle for massive lay prices.

Don't get me wrong. I'm pulling for u. I just think u should have a better grasp of what the FAIR price is on each race. Then u draw a line in the sand...and don't take a price that isn't +EV. Good luck, pal!

**arie1985** · 02-21-18, 02:38 AM

Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat

Arie:

I've observed. My two-cents on what you're doing. I'm not trying to discourage u...but the key to this approach is accurate pricing.

I don't think u can Lay a longshot horse + just hope that he doesn't win it. Your info is solid + honest. I'd be a little worried about not getting matched in the betting pools and having to settle for massive lay prices.

Don't get me wrong. I'm pulling for u. I just think u should have a better grasp of what the FAIR price is on each race. Then u draw a line in the sand...and don't take a price that isn't +EV. Good luck, pal!

Thanks for that feedback, I believe today I got extremely good prices on 150ish horses - and I matched them for 130ish as well, 30 EUR per race is quite rare in comparison to previous ones I posted here, thanks again.

**arie1985** · 02-21-18, 02:39 AM

Race 5 in Ascot, I'm going against Dark Tactics:

Good Luck!

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 02-21-18, 02:47 AM

Keep it going, pal. Salud.

If you're comfortable w/ the prices you're getting...let it fly. I understand your approach. It would be nice (however) if the "straddle" was shorter btw the track-odds to your Lay price.

**arie1985** · 02-21-18, 02:59 AM

Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat

Keep it going, pal. Salud.

If you're comfortable w/ the prices you're getting...let it fly. I understand your approach. It would be nice (however) if the "straddle" was shorter btw the track-odds to your Lay price.

It seems like Aussie people are much friendlier in this regards, in their races horses with 126 to 1 - they allow you to lay them (=someone wishes to back/bet on them) for 150 or so.

In the UK races - it's all full of sharks, horses with such odds would easily be getting the 1000 to 1 without an option to lay before going live in the race itself.

Are Aussie people better than British lol?

**arie1985** · 02-21-18, 03:14 AM

Race 6 in Ascot - 126 in Sportsbet.com.au - Good name I have to say - What's Up Doc?

Good Luck!

**arie1985** · 02-21-18, 04:20 AM

This one is from the last race today in Ascot, Race No. 8:

**arie1985** · 02-21-18, 04:23 AM

The race starts in about 13 minutes, Good Luck!

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 02-21-18, 04:25 AM

Originally posted by arie1985

It seems like Aussie people are much friendlier in this regards, in their races horses with 126 to 1 - they allow you to lay them (=someone wishes to back/bet on them) for 150 or so.

In the UK races - it's all full of sharks, horses with such odds would easily be getting the 1000 to 1 without an option to lay before going live in the race itself.

Are Aussie people better than British lol?

Not necessarily NICER. Might just be that they crave the ACTION more.

**arie1985** · 02-21-18, 04:41 AM

Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat

Not necessarily NICER. Might just be that they crave the ACTION more.

**arie1985** · 02-21-18, 05:31 AM

Race 2 in Greyville, South Africa - managed to get a small match, would try the rest in live if there is no match by the time the race starts (should start in 1-2 minutes or so).

**arie1985** · 02-21-18, 05:37 AM

Originally posted by arie1985

Race 2 in Greyville, South Africa - managed to get a small match, would try the rest in live if there is no match by the time the race starts (should start in 1-2 minutes or so).

Only 3.58 EUR from this one. It's still better than nothing. The rest of the races in Greyville don't seem appealing, perhaps things will change later on, but if not - it's only the UK races to look at next for today.

**arie1985** · 02-21-18, 08:18 AM

Look @ these BetFair Sharks - if this is not manipulated then what is it?
Why in Aussie races no one is experiencing things like this?

Sharks are not allowing you to lay (=sell) this horse for less than 470 to 1 ... this is happening repeatedly in British races, and the only way to try and grab this one is in live betting.

This is very frustrating, I wouldn't pay 8000 EUR just to get 10 EUR, it's a bad deal, however you look at it, 400 to 1 is my final offer and unfortunately I can only try to grab it in live now.

**arie1985** · 02-21-18, 08:54 AM

Managed to get this one only in live betting:

It got to 120 at best time of the race...

**arie1985** · 02-21-18, 09:08 AM

1st race in Newcastle, managed to get it only in live, Good Luck!

**arie1985** · 02-21-18, 09:18 AM

This is in live as well from 2nd Race from Doncaster:

**littlekona** · 02-21-18, 12:40 PM

Here is a one I will give you arie...JEREMY'S JET 1st Race Kempton 4.5 odds LAY.....

**littlekona** · 02-21-18, 12:48 PM

Originally posted by littlekona

Here is a one I will give you arie...JEREMY'S JET 1st Race Kempton 4.5 odds LAY.....

ching ching!

**littlekona** · 02-21-18, 01:12 PM

kempton Race #2 LILBOURNE STAR 3-1 ML drifts to 6.0 ........LAY

**Foxx** · 02-21-18, 01:20 PM

Originally posted by littlekona

kempton Race #2 LILBOURNE STAR 3-1 ML drifts to 6.0 ........LAY

Close one. You only get one ching for that.

**littlekona** · 02-21-18, 01:21 PM

Originally posted by littlekona

kempton Race #2 LILBOURNE STAR 3-1 ML drifts to 6.0 ........LAY

ching ching! LOL come on the 11 had him measured.......Win is win! HAHA