SBR saved my life.

[Vonnegut]

No. Actually he doesn't.

Cmon Monkey you are just being a contrarian. I dont need to prove myself to anyone, you can check my record every day. I post every single pick I make and my up to date record everyday.
Come back and see me September, sweetheart.

[Vonnegut]

Aren't you insinuating you're one of those people by following that list? An edge is an edge is an edge. What you described is a side that probably doesn't have edge. But there are quite a few instances throughout a season where a side of -140+ has edge in MLB.

Thats right, when the edge in in my favour, sure. Just look at the -176 line on the Cardinals today with Wellemeyer? Do you really think Wellemayer is a -176 pitcher? Ill bet 80% of the public is on the Cards today and while they very well may win, Wellemeyer isnt a -176 pitcher therefore I am playing the Pirates.

[MonkeyF0cker]

Cmon Monkey you are just being a contrarian. I dont need to prove myself to anyone, you can check my record every day. I post every single pick I make and my up to date record everyday.
Come back and see me September, sweetheart.

A contrarian? Hardly. I'm simply telling it like it is. What is your rationale for eliminating possible +EV wagers other than some simple arbitrary ruleset that you've decided to follow?

[MonkeyF0cker]

Thats right, when the edge in in my favour, sure. Just look at the -176 line on the Cardinals today with Wellemeyer? Do you really think Wellemayer is a -176 pitcher? Ill bet 80% of the public is on the Cards today and while they very well may win, Wellemeyer isnt a -176 pitcher therefore I am playing the Pirates.

Perhaps you overvalue starting pitching as well...

[Vonnegut]

It doesnt matter, whatever I say you will say its overvalued (which is a very very subjective word). If I said I liked a team because I was fading their pen you would say I overvalue their bullpen, if I said I faded a team because they went 3-46 vs Central Division teams during day games you would say I am overvaluing trends.
How about we call a truce, we'll call it that you think I dont know what I am doing and I'll say you are a bit of a pompous ass.

[MonkeyF0cker]

There probably isn't much value on either side at that price. My model won't be ready to roll for another week or so, so I couldn't say for certain but you have to realize that Jack Wilson and Ryan Doumit are out for Pittsburgh. This team will have a tough time scoring runs.

[Vonnegut]

Yes I know both Doumit and Wilson are out.

Good luck to you this season.

[MonkeyF0cker]

It doesnt matter, whatever I say you will say its overvalued (which is a very very subjective word). If I said I liked a team because I was fading their pen you would say I overvalue their bullpen, if I said I faded a team because they went 3-46 vs Central Division teams during day games you would say I am overvaluing trends.
How about we call a truce, we'll call it that you think I dont know what I am doing and I'll say you are a bit of a pompous ass.

Aww. Don't take offense to that fact that your arbitrary ruleset is taking heat. No. I wouldn't say that. But you only brought up one facet of a complete game in arguing a point. I didn't bring it up. Call me an ass. I don't care. I've been called worse here. It still doesn't make you right.

[Vonnegut]

Dude its not a "rule list". Its a numbered set of guidelines for guys on here who routinely go all in, take the Yankees and Cubs at-200 on the road and fade home faves all year. Thats all. So you think its horrible advice, thats nice to hear, its better advice than standing by while some guy on here goes all in on the Cubs at -210 on the road.

[MonkeyF0cker]

How so? If they aren't betting with edge, they will go broke regardless. Why not just tell them to bet $1 a game? That's a much better "guideline" for the slowest bleed...

[Vonnegut]

Good point.
Looking very much forward to seeing your picks this year. Best of luck to you.

[flyingillini]

Unreal