Kick Me When I'm Down! - Sportsbook Review Forum

Willie Bee

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Join Date: 02-14-06

Posts: 15726
#71

05-06-09, 10:20 AM

How sure are you, Nicky?
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onthewhat

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Join Date: 05-14-08

Posts: 15411
#72

05-06-09, 10:36 AM

Nicky keep that jinx on
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Justin7

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Join Date: 07-31-06

Posts: 8577
#73

05-06-09, 10:53 AM

Don't stress about it, Dave. If you make 12 picks, the odds of going 1-11 are 12 / 2^12, or about 3 in 1000. You should hit a nasty run like this every 300 plays or so.

Doesn't mean your picks are bad - just the laws of large numbers kicking you in the nuts.
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Bread

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Join Date: 03-16-08

Posts: 23726
#74

05-06-09, 11:00 AM

Justin7 what are the odds of having the TX/Sea under 8, the 9th ends with tie 1-1, and then 7 runs being scored in the 10th for a huge LOSER?!?!

I'm curious to find out how much math hates me.
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