Yankees open new stadium today, value play..

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  • SBR Lou
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 08-02-07
    • 37863

    #1
    Yankees open new stadium today, value play..
    I'm a New York fan, but there is no way that any team opposing Cliff Lee should be -210 chalk, I don't care if the stadium was being built since the 19th century.
  • Vonnegut
    SBR MVP
    • 01-08-09
    • 1499

    #2
    All over the Indians here. Worth it at +192, just bought it.
    Comment
    • bradleysnyder
      Restricted User
      • 04-18-07
      • 6662

      #3
      hahaha,you will both lose.
      Comment
      • Alexander
        SBR High Roller
        • 08-17-08
        • 223

        #4
        hahahah -230 too much guys here indians win hahahah Yankees will loose!
        Comment
        • VegasDave
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 01-03-07
          • 8056

          #5
          Cliff Lee has not looked sharp at all this season, and the Indians have been terrible. I'm surprised the line on the Yanks isn't higher.

          "Value play" or not, nothing wrong with just saying "no thanks" and moving on to a different game.
          Comment
          • themajormt
            SBR MVP
            • 07-30-08
            • 3964

            #6
            YANKS RUN LINE -110 ALL DAY!!! Cliff Lee has not looked like last years Cliff Lee and neither has the Indians...
            Comment
            • SBR Lou
              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
              • 08-02-07
              • 37863

              #7
              Originally posted by VegasDave
              Cliff Lee has not looked sharp at all this season, and the Indians have been terrible.
              Recent performances are irrelevant, just because he has not been sharp so far doesn't mean he will continue to stink it up here.

              At odds of +190 or better, I'll take my chances on the Cleveland ace.

              Originally posted by VegasDave
              I'm surprised the line on the Yanks isn't higher.
              Over-reactionary.
              Comment
              • onthewhat
                Restricted User
                • 05-14-08
                • 15411

                #8
                Would take Indians here.
                Comment
                • Boner_18
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 08-24-08
                  • 8301

                  #9
                  Originally posted by VegasDave

                  "Value play" or not, nothing wrong with just saying "no thanks" and moving on to a different game.
                  This.
                  Comment
                  • VegasDave
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 01-03-07
                    • 8056

                    #10
                    Originally posted by CrazyLou
                    Recent performances are irrelevant, just because he has not been sharp so far doesn't mean he will continue to stink it up here.

                    At odds of +190 or better, I'll take my chances on the Cleveland ace.
                    While you are right that he may not continue to stink it up here, recent performances are not irrelevant, as they give us some indication of the form a pitcher is in, as well as an idea of what his confidence level might be.

                    Nothing wrong with your taking the Indians +190 at all. But ignoring the fact that their bats have been slumping AND their ace (who only has one great season under his belt, remember) being off to a slow start isn't a great idea.

                    Originally posted by CrazyLou
                    Over-reactionary.
                    Please explain what you mean by this... with all of the public adoration for the Yankees, the new stadium, and CC, against a team with one of the worst records in baseball and a pitcher with an ERA over 10, why is it over-reactionary that I thought the line would be higher?
                    Comment
                    • SBR Lou
                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                      • 08-02-07
                      • 37863

                      #11
                      Originally posted by VegasDave

                      Please explain what you mean by this... with all of the public adoration for the Yankees, the new stadium, and CC, against a team with one of the worst records in baseball and a pitcher with an ERA over 10, why is it over-reactionary that I thought the line would be higher?
                      When you said you were surprised the line wasn't higher, I thought you meant the line should be higher, which would be over-reactionary because the line is already inflated due to it being the Yankees and their opening game in new stadium, etc.

                      Either way, I do not think a pitchers last game or two really factors in much here, one could say the same about CC in April historically, doesn't mean he's any more likely to lay an egg here than Cliff is, so I'll opt for the juicy dog.
                      Comment
                      • EaglesPhan36
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 12-06-06
                        • 71662

                        #12
                        Cliff Lee stinks. Betting on games in new stadiums is probably always unwise. Go for the total. Lee gets raked. Sabathia feels the pressure. Maybe the over, but like someone else said - PASS.
                        Comment
                        • Shark79
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 11-19-07
                          • 11211

                          #13
                          May the jinx be created today.
                          Comment
                          • RogueScholar
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 02-05-07
                            • 5082

                            #14
                            Originally posted by CrazyLou
                            Recent performances are irrelevant,...
                            That just makes no sense. Analyzing recent performance is as vital in evaluating pitchers as it is in tennis. The best way to evaluate a tennis player is to look at the last ten matches on the surface in question. With pitchers, this early in the season, you look at spring training. Cliff Lee has been horrendous so far, with nothing indicating today as his breakout performance. If youwanna have action on this game because it's on MLB Network, I think the Yankees RL +100 is the play, but I'm leaving this game alone.

                            Originally posted by StraitShooter
                            90% of the guys dont give a shit about your problems..and the other 10 are glad you have them..
                            Comment
                            • crisp
                              SBR MVP
                              • 06-02-08
                              • 1377

                              #15
                              i like the yankees -197 from matchbook. i don't like laying that much but they should get the win.
                              Comment
                              • pavyracer
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 04-12-07
                                • 82905

                                #16
                                All over Indians tonight. Cy Young winner at +192? Are you kidding me? Thank you people.
                                Comment
                                • Shark79
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 11-19-07
                                  • 11211

                                  #17
                                  Pavers ... good call.
                                  Comment
                                  • DwightShrute
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 01-17-09
                                    • 103748

                                    #18
                                    ny yankees -2½+170
                                    Comment
                                    • SBR Lou
                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                      • 08-02-07
                                      • 37863

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by RogueScholar
                                      That just makes no sense. Analyzing recent performance is as vital in evaluating pitchers as it is in tennis. The best way to evaluate a tennis player is to look at the last ten matches on the surface in question. With pitchers, this early in the season, you look at spring training. Cliff Lee has been horrendous so far, with nothing indicating today as his breakout performance. If youwanna have action on this game because it's on MLB Network, I think the Yankees RL +100 is the play, but I'm leaving this game alone.

                                      The line is inflated, pretty egregiously so. If you like NY, maybe RL is the better play than ML, but laying over -200 against the reigning Cy Young winner is not a good idea.

                                      The value is with the tribe here any way it's sliced.
                                      Originally posted by pavyracer
                                      All over Indians tonight. Cy Young winner at +192? Are you kidding me? Thank you people.
                                      Comment
                                      • laxdjock
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 09-15-07
                                        • 4074

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by pavyracer
                                        All over Indians tonight. Cy Young winner at +192? Are you kidding me? Thank you people.
                                        My thought too.

                                        Lee is -1.5 +285 @ 5Dimes....which seems like a good value (considering CC could blow up). I was thinking of taking a 1 unit flyer on it.
                                        Comment
                                        • UnDeRDaWg
                                          SBR High Roller
                                          • 04-15-09
                                          • 137

                                          #21
                                          Ck, what is your play on the Indians game. You going ML or RL?
                                          Comment
                                          • kmarinouofm
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 01-26-09
                                            • 8437

                                            #22
                                            the bet is indians +1.5 at -110 come on people
                                            Comment
                                            • laxdjock
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 09-15-07
                                              • 4074

                                              #23
                                              I'm on CLE +190 @ 2 units.
                                              Comment
                                              • sportsguy04
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 10-21-08
                                                • 11885

                                                #24
                                                NY Yanks RL -1.5 (-115)
                                                Comment
                                                • SBR Lou
                                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                  • 08-02-07
                                                  • 37863

                                                  #25
                                                  Looks like Cleveland ML dropped 8 cents at Pinny.

                                                  Let's hear some more of the last-game-performance value guys...
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Willie Bee
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 02-14-06
                                                    • 15726

                                                    #26
                                                    I just can't believe this isn't in prime time with an hour lead-in show and one network or another selling ads out the ass.

                                                    Also, what's up with ESPN's editors? "Sunshine is forecast for and frail owner..."

                                                    http://sports.espn.go.com/mlb/preview?gameId=290416110

                                                    Sunshine is forecast for and frail owner George Steinbrenner is expected to be on hand to personally watch New York play Cleveland in the first official game at the house he built -- at a price of $1.5 billion.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • SBR Lou
                                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                      • 08-02-07
                                                      • 37863

                                                      #27
                                                      Stadium looks breath-taking.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • VegasDave
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 01-03-07
                                                        • 8056

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by CrazyLou
                                                        Looks like Cleveland ML dropped 8 cents at Pinny.

                                                        Let's hear some more of the last-game-performance value guys...
                                                        You are free rolling here Lou,

                                                        If the Indians lose, you'll just say you still got good value.

                                                        If the Indians win, you get to brag that you called it.



                                                        Comment
                                                        • dwest718
                                                          SBR Sharp
                                                          • 12-06-07
                                                          • 443

                                                          #29
                                                          I am fading Cliff Lee this year like its my job.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • SBR Lou
                                                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                            • 08-02-07
                                                            • 37863

                                                            #30
                                                            The value is there win or lose. The line is unquestionably inflated and sharps are responding to that if you examine the market right now.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • laxdjock
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 09-15-07
                                                              • 4074

                                                              #31
                                                              I'm following my CLE +190 ML, 2 units with a flyer on CLE -1.5 (+285), 1 unit and CLE o3.5 (+1.5), 1 unit. I'm looking for a CC implosion and relief stinking it up for the Yanks.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Willie Bee
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 02-14-06
                                                                • 15726

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by CrazyLou
                                                                Stadium looks breath-taking.
                                                                Other than being cleaner than the old one, most of the huge upgrades for the park are out if sight. Almost to a player nearly two weeks ago, the consensus was it looked just like the old park to them when they were on the field.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • DwightShrute
                                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                                  • 01-17-09
                                                                  • 103748

                                                                  #33
                                                                  6-1 Yankees
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • pavyracer
                                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                                    • 04-12-07
                                                                    • 82905

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by Willie Bee
                                                                    I just can't believe this isn't in prime time with an hour lead-in show and one network or another selling ads out the ass.

                                                                    Also, what's up with ESPN's editors? "Sunshine is forecast for and frail owner..."
                                                                    He is 79 Willie. He's with one foot in the grave already.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • laxdjock
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 09-15-07
                                                                      • 4074

                                                                      #35
                                                                      I'm thinking 5-2 CLE. CC gives up 3, their BP another 2.
                                                                      Comment
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