Nash 2015 MLB Thread

[Ra77er]

Steve I don't like that one, if anything I think TB is worth a look.

Tampa home is 22 hitting
Seattle road is 22 hitting

Tampa is 10th vs LHP compare that to 25th vs RHP

Colome vs Seattle

Nelson Cruz	OF	SEA	No	5/26 7:10 PM	TB	Alex Colome	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	.000	.000	.000	.000
Austin Jackson	OF	SEA	No	5/26 7:10 PM	TB	Alex Colome	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	.000	.333	.000	.333
Justin Ruggiano	OF	SEA	No	5/26 7:10 PM	TB	Alex Colome	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	.000	.000	.000	.000

Robinson Cano

2B

SEA

No

5/26 7:10 PM

TB

Alex Colome

1

1

0

0

0

2

0

1.000

1.000

1.000

2.000

Statistically not really significant but not a great sign.


JA Happ vs TB

Tim Beckham	SS	TB	Yes	5/26 7:10 PM	SEA	J.A. Happ	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1.000	1.000	1.000	2.000
Asdrubal Cabrera	SS	TB	Yes	5/26 7:10 PM	SEA	J.A. Happ	6	2	1	0	0	1	1	.333	.429	.500	.929
Nick Franklin	2B	TB	Yes	5/26 7:10 PM	SEA	J.A. Happ	2	1	1	0	1	1	0	.500	.667	1.500	2.167
Kevin Kiermaier	OF	TB	Yes	5/26 7:10 PM	SEA	J.A. Happ	1	1	0	0	2	0	0	1.000	1.000	1.000	2.000

David DeJesus	DH	TB	Yes	5/26 7:10 PM	SEA	J.A. Happ	5	1	0	0	0	1	1	.200	.333	.200	.533
Logan Forsythe	2B	TB	Yes	5/26 7:10 PM	SEA	J.A. Happ	8	1	0	0	0	1	1	.125	.222	.125	.347
Brandon Guyer	OF	TB	Yes	5/26 7:10 PM	SEA	J.A. Happ	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	.000	.000	.000	.000

[Ra77er]

Just food for thought, probably a no play for me on that one but Tampa would be my personal lean.

J.A. Happ

SEA

No

5/26 7:10 PM

TB

Rays Batters

39

11

4

0

4

6

6

.282

.369

.428

.797

Alex Colome

TB

Yes

5/26 7:10 PM

Sea

Mariners Batters

8

1

0

0

0

3

1

.125

.364

.273

.636

[stevenash]

^
I preach BvP should not be ignored, that is just too small of a sample size to be used.
Has to be at least 15 PA's

[Big Bear]

Someone very sharp told me

Marlins
Mariners
White Sox
Rangers

[stevenash]

However RA77, if you like it, play it, I've been wrong plenty of times.
I'm on Seattle, trust me, I can be faded.

[Ra77er]

No dude I completely agree with the sample size being way too small. Not enough data there for me to make a pick but I would side Tampa gun to head. I'll be content cheering for the Mariners with you and not having anything on it personally.

[Nyjrkm06]

Nasher you liking Detroit?

[Ra77er]

Detroit looks too good. Price 2-3 2.80 ERA in Oakland all as a member of the Devil Rays. He has never given up more than 4 runs in Oakland. I don't understand the line but this is an auto play for me. I'll be fine when they lose 10-2 and everyone tells me it was a trap.

[GT21Megatron]

If line stays put I'm playing Tampa

[stevenash]

^@NYJRK

Do I like Detroit?
No, I'm a KC fan. lol

No, I don't want any piece of that game.
a) Not sure of Miggy.
b) Playing in Oakland is like playing in the Grand Canyon.
c) Forget the 1 and 4 reecord, Chavez is tough, Chavez is tough on RH batters (.197)
d) Chavez WH/IP is 1.10 and his ERA is 2.89
e) Chavez strikes out 1 an inning (41 in 43 inninngs)

Come to think about it, you can make a case for Oakland tonight also.

It's a coin flip on a coin fiip game

[STAX]

Detroit looks too good. Price 2-3 2.80 ERA in Oakland all as a member of the Devil Rays. He has never given up more than 4 runs in Oakland. I don't understand the line but this is an auto play for me. I'll be fine when they lose 10-2 and everyone tells me it was a trap.

I know... it feels trappy to me too. Couldnt believe it when I saw it. Best part is you'll get 12 people telling you it was a trap game at 1 AM, and no one saying it now... lol.

[OckertCR]

Rockies again tonight.

[stevenash]

I'm hungry, it's dinner time, I can not look at any more numbers, my eyeballs are going to bleed, I was off today which is why I spent too much time here.

I'll be back later this evening.

I am on

KC +102
Sea+106

Good luck, if you like TB, then by all means hit it.
I like Seatlle

[Ra77er]

OckertCR - I dunno if this matters much but the Rockpile called up a kid from triple A to make a start tonight instead of De La Rosa. If the listed pitchers had gone I would've been with you here but apparently De La Rosa cut his hand or some shit. Good luck!!

[stevenash]

I know... it feels trappy to me too. Couldnt believe it when I saw it. Best part is you'll get 12 people telling you it was a trap game at 1 AM, and no one saying it now... lol.

Because the casual fan knows Price is elite, and they will bang the Tigers with Price and the big name bats not really Oakland is a tough park, Chavez is a tough counterpart, etc. etc. etc.

It's like flipping a coin, and you have to lay juice on either side -103/-107

I'm out for now.

[stevenash]

OckertCR - I dunno if this matters much but the Rockpile called up a kid from triple A to make a start tonight instead of De La Rosa. If the listed pitchers had gone I would've been with you here but apparently De La Rosa cut his hand or some shit. Good luck!!

I saw that earlier, Rusin.
He's a hamburger.

[OckertCR]

OckertCR - I dunno if this matters much but the Rockpile called up a kid from triple A to make a start tonight instead of De La Rosa. If the listed pitchers had gone I would've been with you here but apparently De La Rosa cut his hand or some shit. Good luck!!

I saw that.

He is piss poor and I am glad that I don't have to watch him pitch tonight, but I just can't pass up +125 when the Reds can't hit a beachball, let alone win a game.

[STAX]

^@NYJRK

Do I like Detroit?
No, I'm a KC fan. lol

No, I don't want any piece of that game.
a) Not sure of Miggy.
b) Playing in Oakland is like playing in the Grand Canyon.
c) Forget the 1 and 4 reecord, Chavez is tough, Chavez is tough on RH batters (.197)
d) Chavez WH/IP is 1.10 and his ERA is 2.89
e) Chavez strikes out 1 an inning (41 in 43 inninngs)

Come to think about it, you can make a case for Oakland tonight also.

It's a coin flip on a coin fiip game

Despite the good numbers, Chavez is only giving you 6 innings. A's pen is bad after Scribner and Clippard, and I don't trust Clippard yet at all as a closer. A's almost need a perfect outing from Chavez (7 innings) AND have the pen hold up to win this game 2-1 or 3-2, because I think its a given Oakland won't sniff 4 runs. Throw in a potent (but presently cold) Detroit lineup, its just a lot to ask of this A's team right now. DET has the better starter and the better offense. Only thing that worries me is if Price can't go at least 8 innings. If he gets into trouble in the 6th or 7th look for an A's comeback win late. Anytime Detroit pen has to go 2+ innings you're in for heartbreak. Oakland should have one goal: Get Price out before the 8th.

[stevenash]

[JJJ]

nashy why are the red sox favored vs the twins

[Zebenjamin]

Hey guys what are the thoughts on SF beating MIL tonight? Bumgarner is fresh off that dual he won with Kershaw and has been pitching great. Braun and Ramirez are both hitting him well ( .300 & .294 AVG respectively and 1.000 and .804 SLG) but aside from that I don't see much to worry about from the Brewers line up. Any additional insight or tips to look at for this game would be greatly appreciated.

[Ra77er]

I see that game as Garza's numbers aren't that bad against Giants bats combined with poor team hitting on both sides vs RHP/LHP. I think the total Under is worth a look a little more than the number, even though it is pretty reasonable at -128 now compared to the opener. I just don't see much offense in this one, maybe Gigantes scratch out 2 or 3 on the pen but I think it will be a tight one. 4-3 final

[Zebenjamin]

Thanks Ra77er for the input

[OckertCR]

Can someone tell me why there aren't team totals up for the yanks/royals anywhere

[leetreaper]

Can someone tell me why there aren't team totals up for the yanks/royals anywhere

KC Over 4 -120
Yanks Over 4 +103

@Pinny

[OckertCR]

KC Over 4 -120
Yanks Over 4 +103

@Pinny

thanks

[Ra77er]

Well I dont have time to put these on my spreadsheet tonight before the games but I'm going with -

Arizona 1st 5 innings +136 5Dimes
LA Dodgers -1.5 +104 5Dimes
Houston +105 Heritage
Minnesota +130 5Dimes
Washington -101 5Dimes
Toronto -1.5 +135 5Dimes
Tex/Clev Over 8.5 -105 Heritage
Detroit -108 and -1.5 +155 5Dimes
KC/NYY Under 8.5 -115 5Dimes
San Diego +157 Heritage
Miami/Pitt Over 8-105 5Dimes
SF/Mil Under 8 -105 Heritage
NYM -1.5 +120 5Dimes

Lean

Tampa -111
SF -128

[Ra77er]

Hoping I go 8-6

[dfish]

Hit the Royals pretty hard @ +102, tend to just watch guys off the DL but even if he struggles I have no problem backing @ +$.
GL

[stevenash]

nashy why are the red sox favored vs the twins

Because Pelfry is a gas can against righties, and DP, Napoli, and Han-Ram should smoke him

[stevenash]

Ugh, my man Vargas hung one to Tex.
Boom. NYY 2-0

[OckertCR]

Call went our way on that review in Mariner game

[Ra77er]

Good start Steve and good call no matter how this goes.

[stevenash]

Adding Red Sox run line -1.5 runs +115

Boston on the road, should croak Pelfry.
Won't lay the -146
Will gladly trade a run for +115 though.
Reduced juice 5Dimes

(you got the one Dave?)

[jameski999]

Everything the Royals are getting good wood on is right at somebody.