Nash 2015 MLB Thread

[stevenash]

Shake it off. Vegas gave up a big fat cookie with that +150 run line and Oakland.
i like cookies, especially big, fat ones.

[Ra77er]

Steve that was a masterful call. I just couldn't see it , probably best pick of the entire card on that one. Hats off sir

[Jayvegas420]

Agreed

[stevenash]

Thank you.

[jjgold]

Nashy excellent work and many of us read your thread daily to see what we could pick off and help us handicap games

[Vasco]

Nashy Cashy lets keep it going.

[Ra77er]

I like 3 early games today Stevo, tell me I'm looking okay

KC +119 5dimes
Houston -112 Heritage
NY Mets -1.5 +140 5dimes

[stevenash]

I'll be back in a second to explain, but there's a prop bet I am playing.

R/H/E over 27.5 Royals/Yankees

Royals one of the best contact hitting teams alive, will spank Eovaldi.
Conversley Gurhtie will get spanked by NYY

Tons of hits in this game

[stevenash]

I like 3 early games today Stevo, tell me I'm looking okay

KC +119 5dimes
Houston -112 Heritage
NY Mets -1.5 +140 5dimes

No lean on the KC game itself, I love the prop bet I made, and the total should go over.

I don't think the Met game is bettable.
Hoston is not a bad play

[Ra77er]

Thanks for the thoughts on my plays Steve.

I hit the R/H/E with you as soon as you posted, so will root for Royals to win handily.

I know -1.5 on the home team is a Nash rule breaker but I don't like laying that much juice and I see them coming alive today. Mets much better at home.

[Ra77er]

Excellent start on that prop

[stevenash]

Excellent start on that prop

Thanks, still takes nine inning though, but so far in the 1 1/3 innings I have 5 runs and 5 hits for 10.
The hardest ones arethe last 17 1/2.

[Ra77er]

May cash it in the 1st inning here, so glad I took KC ML

[swordsandtequila]

Nasher, what's your record ytd (assuming you keep track)? I know you have a good rep for baseball, now that the big soccer leagues are winding down need something to occupy my time 'til football kicks off. Not gonna even pretend I have the patience and/or knowledge to cap baseball. Thanks and good luck this year.

[Jayvegas420]

I like the over in Boston-Minny.
Twins allow a lot of runs while able to score a few every now & then.

[stevenash]

May cash it in the 1st inning here, so glad I took KC ML

Tap YES to will there be a 2nd inning run if you feel adventurous.
Eovaldi has been sitting on his ass forever, may come out stale in inning #2, remember KC can rake too.

[Vinnie Paz]

Took royals live +8.....why not?

[stevenash]

<small>Kansas City Royals at New York Yankees - Live In Play wagering during every commercial break - Internet Only</small>
Mon 5/25		9965 Kansas City Royals	<input id="editx" name="S1_5" size="4" style="font-size: 1em; font-family: Tahoma, Verdana, Arial, sans-serif; color: rgb(68, 68, 68);"> <select id="altS1_5" name="altS1_5" style="font-size: 1em; font-family: Tahoma, Verdana, Arial, sans-serif; color: rgb(68, 68, 68);"><option value="0" selected="">+8 -110</option><option value="1">+8½ -135</option><option value="2">+7½ +120</option></select>		<input id="editx" name="L1_5" size="4" style="font-size: 1em; font-family: Tahoma, Verdana, Arial, sans-serif; color: rgb(68, 68, 68);"> <select id="altL1_5" name="altL1_5" style="font-size: 1em; font-family: Tahoma, Verdana, Arial, sans-serif; color: rgb(68, 68, 68);"><option value="0" selected="">o15½ -105</option><option value="1">o14½ -150</option><option value="2">o15½ +110</option></select>	<input id="editx" name="E1_5" size="4" style="font-size: 1em; font-family: Tahoma, Verdana, Arial, sans-serif; color: rgb(68, 68, 68);"> o3½ -110	<input id="editx" name="E3_5" size="4" style="font-size: 1em; font-family: Tahoma, Verdana, Arial, sans-serif; color: rgb(68, 68, 68);"> u3½ -120
1:05PM		9966 New York Yankees	<input id="editx" name="S2_5" size="4" style="font-size: 1em; font-family: Tahoma, Verdana, Arial, sans-serif; color: rgb(68, 68, 68);"> <select id="altS2_5" name="altS2_5" style="font-size: 1em; font-family: Tahoma, Verdana, Arial, sans-serif; color: rgb(68, 68, 68);"><option value="0" selected="">-8 -110</option><option value="1">-8½ +115</option><option value="2">-7½ -140</option></select>		<input id="editx" name="L2_5" size="4" style="font-size: 1em; font-family: Tahoma, Verdana, Arial, sans-serif; color: rgb(68, 68, 68);"> <select id="altL2_5" name="altL2_5" style="font-size: 1em; font-family: Tahoma, Verdana, Arial, sans-serif; color: rgb(68, 68, 68);"><option value="0" selected="">u15½ -115</option><option value="1">u14½ +130</option><option value="2">u15½ -130</option></select>	<input id="editx" name="E2_5" size="4" style="font-size: 1em; font-family: Tahoma, Verdana, Arial, sans-serif; color: rgb(68, 68, 68);"> o11½ -110	<input id="editx" name="E4_5" size="4" style="font-size: 1em; font-family: Tahoma, Verdana, Arial, sans-serif; color: rgb(68, 68, 68);"> u11½ -120
Mon 5/25		9965 KAN runs in 2nd inning	<input id="editx" name="S1_8" size="4" style="font-size: 1em; font-family: Tahoma, Verdana, Arial, sans-serif; color: rgb(68, 68, 68);"> +½ -355	<input id="editx" name="M1_8" size="4" style="font-size: 1em; font-family: Tahoma, Verdana, Arial, sans-serif; color: rgb(68, 68, 68);"> +107	<input id="editx" name="L1_8" size="4" style="font-size: 1em; font-family: Tahoma, Verdana, Arial, sans-serif; color: rgb(68, 68, 68);"> o½ +100
1:05PM		9966 NYY runs in 2nd inning	<input id="editx" name="S2_8" size="4" style="font-size: 1em; font-family: Tahoma, Verdana, Arial, sans-serif; color: rgb(68, 68, 68);"> -½ +265	<input id="editx" name="M2_8" size="4" style="font-size: 1em; font-family: Tahoma, Verdana, Arial, sans-serif; color: rgb(68, 68, 68);"> -137	<input id="editx" name="L2_8" size="4" style="font-size: 1em; font-family: Tahoma, Verdana, Arial, sans-serif; color: rgb(68, 68, 68);"> u½ -130
Mon 5/25		9965 KAN total hits 2nd inning	<input id="editx" name="S1_9" size="4" style="font-size: 1em; font-family: Tahoma, Verdana, Arial, sans-serif; color: rgb(68, 68, 68);"> +½ -195	<input id="editx" name="M1_9" size="4" style="font-size: 1em; font-family: Tahoma, Verdana, Arial, sans-serif; color: rgb(68, 68, 68);"> -105	<input id="editx" name="L1_9" size="4" style="font-size: 1em; font-family: Tahoma, Verdana, Arial, sans-serif; color: rgb(68, 68, 68);"> o1½ -140
1:05PM		9966 NYY total hits 2nd inning	<input id="editx" name="S2_9" size="4" style="font-size: 1em; font-family: Tahoma, Verdana, Arial, sans-serif; color: rgb(68, 68, 68);"> -½ +160	<input id="editx" name="M2_9" size="4" style="font-size: 1em; font-family: Tahoma, Verdana, Arial, sans-serif; color: rgb(68, 68, 68);"> -125	<input id="editx" name="L2_9" size="4" style="font-size: 1em; font-family: Tahoma, Verdana, Arial, sans-serif; color: rgb(68, 68, 68);"> u1½ +110

[HockeyRocks]

11.5 R/H/E's more to go over 8 innings....What a start...

[Ra77er]

I should've known better...KC leaves battle for Missouri series to face a struggling Yankee squad...letdown city plus the line was drifting from KC. Hard for me to not back good teams regardless of these situations. Eovaldi will probably win the cy young today.

[stevenash]

It's going to take a 80 burger to cash at Fan Duel today
I got Gardner is every lineup with Marcum and Keuchel.

Gardner had 11 points in the first inning alone.

[stevenash]

I should've known better...KC leaves battle for Missouri series to face a struggling Yankee squad...letdown city plus the line was drifting from KC. Hard for me to not back good teams regardless of these situations. Eovaldi will probably win the cy young today.

Sent you a PM

[Ra77er]

[jameski999]

Nasher you got any leans for the later games?

[buddha]

I should've known better...KC leaves battle for Missouri series to face a struggling Yankee squad...letdown city plus the line was drifting from KC. Hard for me to not back good teams regardless of these situations. Eovaldi will probably win the cy young today.

Ah hindsight you know. We all are plagued by seemingly obvious angles later but if I've learned nothing else a fact is to try and win $ backing teams to awaken from slumps is a bankroll draining proposition, over time a massively -EV approach. Chalk it up, move on, s%#t happens....I saw that line move as well so you're not alone in the self-kicking in fact the bookieman should begin the day well as LT Profits was the only guy on earth on NYY here.

[buddha]

Guthrie visited Asia!!!

[Ra77er]

Well spoken Buddha.

[buddha]

Well spoken Buddha.

Thanks R. Just glad you grasped I wasn't knockin' ya. I hate it when we beat ourselves up about crazy unforeseeable shizzat cuz bottom line this pursuit ('capping/wagering) is way far from easy and it seems to have become more difficult over my lifetime though that could be largely me growing more feeble-minded.

We do well to minimize mental energy sapping aggravation wherever possible.

Maybe this game will set the Yanks back on Track?

[stevenash]

^
Once upon a time I was a laison for an idependent bookmaker in Boston.
I learned a lot from the 'boss'.
They'll move lines just to fuk with your head sometimes.
Books profile too, we used to have a client that liked to bet Ron Darling at Shea pretty much every start.
He would juice the line 5 cents on him, hey, it's nothing personal it's business.
So the Darling bettor firghured it out, and said, "but I can get 5 cents cheaper with Joe the Book"
So the boss says "then bet it with Joe" And the client would still bet it with my boss

[Ra77er]

I believe Guthrie also suited up for the Red Sox today I am on the Twins so I guess I can call it even.

[stevenash]

I think the best 4pm play is

Over 9 Cleveland/Texas

Klein is a breathing hamburger, a human punching bag, and Cleveland has been swinging hot sticks.
You know who is swinging hotter bats? The Rangers.

Marcum has looked good in his return so far (2 starts), still I think Cleveland will outslug them.

I have a regular sized play - OVER 9 in that game.

I have an opened ended two team parlay with Marcum -134 to be filled when I feel like closing it.

Oh, if you are wondering, I think, (I said I think) I am 25-18 and 2 total pushed for the season.
I know I'm up a little more than 11*

[swordsandtequila]

Over 9 Cleveland/Texas

Klein is a breathing hamburger, a human punching bag, and Cleveland has been swinging hot sticks.
You know who is swinging hotter bats? The Rangers.

Marcum has looked good in his return so far (2 starts), still I think Cleveland will outslug them.

I have a regular sized play - OVER 9 in that game.

I have an opened ended two team parlay with Marcum -134 to be filled when I feel like closing it.

Oh, if you are wondering, I think, (I said I think) I am 25-18 and 2 total pushed for the season.
I know I'm up a little more than 11*

Thank you

[stevenash]

Thank you

I don't know exactly, sometimes I give advice which doesn't count as a play, but some do count as a play, or I'll say something is a lean.....

I don't know the exact record for sure officially, I do know one thing, the most important thing I am plus money, not life changing money, but I can prove I am showing a decent profit.

[swordsandtequila]

Figured you were up, was more curious than anything. At the end of the day we make our own decisions, but it doesn't hurt to have someone else handle the heavy lifting

[stevenash]

Figured you were up, was more curious than anything. At the end of the day we make our own decisions, but it doesn't hurt to have someone else handle the heavy lifting

I hear ya, when it comes to DFS, I have a go to guy myself.

It's like this, who does a guru go to when a guru needs guruing.