pico: espn streak for cash picks thread.

[losturmarbles]

streak +3

in mlb i like all the home favs, atl/stl/cub/laa

im stayin away from the laa pick though, i'll take one of the others.

gl

[pico]

streak -1

angels

[yisman]

I took the Angels with a streak of 2. The HR prop was too random.

The Angels did take that one. I would've said Orioles, if forced to pick.

Also, the h/r/e prop went over!

[yisman]

We just want to share it with you dick-wads who have something so you can be poor bastards like us!

[SamsNCharge99]

Easily going w/ 4 or 5 sets in Murray Roddick match, that is as close to a lock as it gets

[yisman]

The streakmaster screwed that one up. Pretty sure he meant to do 3/5 vs. 4, but instead he copied the Federer/Haas one, which is crazy when you're talking Andy x2.

99.6% are taking 4/5, the highest percentage I've ever seen, and there are a ton of people picking that one, considering it's the fourth matchup of the day.

[yisman]

• giommin (7/2/2009 at 11:15 PM)
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  easiest pick ever on 4/5
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  elderly pickle (7/2/2009 at 11:12 PM)
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  im puttin my 34102 win streak on roddick in 3 sets, considering its the logical choice
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  hazelnut014 (7/2/2009 at 11:07 PM)
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  ill be shocked if murray wins in straights, roddick has to be good for a set or two via tiebreaker.
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  KungPowKick84 (7/2/2009 at 11:07 PM)
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  worth puttin a 13 streak on 4 or 5 sets?
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  revalesq (7/2/2009 at 10:59 PM)
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  3 sets- you friggin' joking?
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  athrun340 (7/2/2009 at 10:51 PM)
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  andy murray can win in 3 straight sets.. this is a 50/50 prop
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  TheRedemption (7/2/2009 at 10:48 PM)
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  This is a Lock 4 or 5 Sets in every way. Don't out-think it!
  NBC doesn't understand the word LIVE
  http://washingtonti mes.com/news/2009/ju l/02/sportsbiz-littl e-is-lively-about-nb cs-tape-delay/?feat= home_themes_tab2_lis t
  Says it the best.
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  makavelincsu (7/2/2009 at 10:42 PM)
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  how does this match up make it on the streak. roddick won't win 3-0 and murray NOT to win 3-0 is -250. large favorite gotta take it
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  Shah_2 (7/2/2009 at 10:30 PM)
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  Raymicus, i must agree. NBC does a terrible job showing the Championships every year. They just dont get the value of live tennis.
  expect a classic tomorrow on Centre Court as the Brits will be worried by their ever-loyal ally, but I think Murray will move through 4-6, 7-6, 7-6, 7-6
  
  raymicus (7/2/2009 at 10:25 PM)
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  I love 4 or 5.
  Ofc, NBC will not being showing this match live. Apparently it is much more important that we see the 19th hour of Today than maybe the match of the tournament.
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  TheCenterMid (7/2/2009 at 10:16 PM)
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  Wonder how many from the leaderboard will pick 4 or 5 sets... maybe even some at the top.
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  gowild88 (7/2/2009 at 9:47 PM)
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  -250 for Andy Murray to NOT WIN in 3 sets (aka HIGH odds favoring the 4 or 5 sets right now)
  +180 for Andy Murray to win 3-0
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  LilMunky (7/2/2009 at 9:47 PM)
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  I dunno that Murray has been playing that great. He went 5 sets in the first round with Kendrick, and then nearly lost to Wawrinka.
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  Future_Tiger (7/2/2009 at 9:39 PM)
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  This is a heck of an easy choice, if either one of them won in straight sets, it would be worse than todays S.Williams versus Dementieva which had an amazing third and final set. Both Andy's are going to keep the crowd on their feet, so that 99.6% of people are smart going with 4 or 5 sets.
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  MIKE42786 (7/2/2009 at 9:30 PM)
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  I hear ya FatherSnitch, I wouldn't be surprised to see Murray winning in 3, but I think Roddick is ready to go this year even with how great Murray has been playing. Roddick is going to win at least 1 set.
  Gotta go with 4 or 5
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  FatherSnitch (7/2/2009 at 9:26 PM)
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  Currently only 0.5% picking 3 sets? That's insane!
  Murray in straight sets.
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  LilMunky (7/2/2009 at 9:08 PM)
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  I don't think Roddick will win the match, since he's a pretty hefty underdog to do so, but you have to like this to go more than 3 sets. I'm even afraid of taking Federer to win in straight sets vs Haas. Roddick vs Murray looks like a good matchup.
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  scf81 (7/2/2009 at 8:57 PM)
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  yeah go ahead and put your 18 streak that you don't have on the line. I don't see you on the leaderboard.
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  redsoxfan426 (7/2/2009 at 8:51 PM)
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  roddick wins in 5
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  hamfan32 (7/2/2009 at 8:48 PM)
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  msetton is a ####
  murray wins in 5
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  msetton22 (7/2/2009 at 8:20 PM)
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  im putting my 18 streak on the line
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  tide58169 (7/2/2009 at 8:08 PM)
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  This years mens semifinals are the best in years, this match could go either way and Tommy Haas is skillful on grass Federer wont have it easy, its good to see mens tennis have these great matchups.
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  DonStille (7/2/2009 at 7:54 PM)
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  I'd bet my streak on Andy winning in 4 or 5.
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  orodgers (7/2/2009 at 7:34 PM)
  memphis10ac (7/2/2009 at 6:52 PM)
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  Everyone needs to pick 4 or 5. Its like they got lazy with this selection
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  9yankeefan9 (7/2/2009 at 6:51 PM)
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  Going with 4 or 5 sets no matter what
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  T.W.C (7/2/2009 at 6:34 PM)
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  Lock=4 or 5 sets!!! easy win for everyone, not real sure why SM put this won up there, but thanks!!
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  rmody83 (7/2/2009 at 6:18 PM)
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  i really thought they would put this matchup straight up because its a toss up. This prop I feel is alot easier. Its going at least 4, more likely 5.
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  CarolinaCorgis (7/2/2009 at 6:13 PM)
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  This looks like a gift. I'm sure Murray is favored but I think Roddick wants to win more than ever. I've gotta believe that he wins at least one set. This prop is probably gonna finish at 95% for 4-5 sets and there might be some long streaks biting the dust after this one if it goes 3.
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  gharm (7/2/2009 at 6:07 PM)
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  Will Roddick Win 3-0?
  Yes +1212
  No -1772
  Will Murray Win 3-0?
  Yes +218
  No -239
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  alex_grice (7/2/2009 at 5:55 PM)
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  it's neither a lock nor a trap, but it will go at least 4 sets. i'll bet my 9-0 wimbledon record on it
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  Xcelent (7/2/2009 at 5:29 PM)
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  this is a trap, when roddick and murray play against each other all 8 of their games ended in either 2 or 3 sets
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  houndgolf02 (7/2/2009 at 5:23 PM)
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  i mean if this isn't the lock of all locks, then i don't know what is?!
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  bevo10193 (7/2/2009 at 5:08 PM)
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  omg really????? 4 or 5

[pico]

streak 1

4 or 5 sets

[MexicanStallion]

Streak +2

Federer/Haas 4 or 5 Sets

[yisman]

streak 1

4 or 5 sets

first one or second one?

I have a streak of 3 and I think I'm going with the second one.

I assume you mean first one?

Pinnacle odds:

Federer to win 3-0: -124/+115
Haas to win 3-0: +2678/-6000

Murray to win 3-0: +210/-230
Roddick to win 3-0: +1212/-1772

The true implied probability is actually somewhere in the middle, but I'm going to use different numbers for Haas and Roddick due to ridiculous vig.

Federer/Haas: -119.5 (54.44%) + 3000 (3.23%) = 57.67%
Murray/Roddick: 220 (31.25%) + 1350 (6.9%) = 38.15%

[yisman]

it's actually gone up! 99.7% now.

[pico]

^^^federer

[pico]

streak -1

roddick not 3 sets

[SamsNCharge99]

easily 4 or 5 sets for Roddick Murray match.....that was a gimme.

I think they made a mistake and meant to put 3 or 5 as 1 option and 4 for the other, but ohh well. We took advantage

I know have a streak of 5+ for 10th time this round. No more than a 5 game losing streak and had 8 2x.

DO WORK

Cubs at 2:20

[yisman]

easily 4 or 5 sets for Roddick Murray match.....that was a gimme.

I think they made a mistake and meant to put 3 or 5 as 1 option and 4 for the other, but ohh well. We took advantage

You're repeating what I said.

I know [sic] have a streak of 5+ for 10th time this round. No more than a 5 game losing streak and had 8 2x.

You're still far short of my winning percentage.

[losturmarbles]

streak +4

i'm taking the cubs also.

[MexicanStallion]

Streak -1

Chicago Cubs

[SamsNCharge99]

You're still far short of my winning percentage.

you're still far short of my number of wins

I think I've won each month so far b/t us for most wins each moth

[yisman]

You didn't win last month, which was the first month I tried for it.

Winning % is far more important than # of wins.

[yisman]

streak +4

i'm taking the cubs also.

Same thing for me.

[MexicanStallion]

I don't care about the number of wins in a month. I am never going to come close to the top guys, so I have been just trying to build up a streak. I have no shot at that either, but would like to try and get 10 in a row since that is the record now for the group.

[losturmarbles]

well cubs win on a walk off walk.
full count, 2 outs, bases loaded,
guy fouls off about 4 strikes. then doesnt swing, ump calls the next pitch a ball, but it was clearly a strike. lol oh well, i'll take it though.

[MexicanStallion]

Streak +1

Seattle Mariners

I like Seattle, Sky, and Real Salt Lake

[losturmarbles]

streak +5

i'm going to go ahead and take a chance on cleveland

[pico]

streak 1

dodgers

[MexicanStallion]

Streak +2

I wanted to take Dodgers or RSL, but Seattle let the game go extra.

Venus Williams

[SamsNCharge99]

Streak of 6

Going w/ Venus

my dad as well going w/ Venus

[pico]

push

streak 1

venus

[losturmarbles]

ouch venus loses in straight sets

[pico]

streak -1

cubs

[losturmarbles]

streak +6

i'm risking it on mls

picking los angeles

[pico]

wow, cubs got killeds

streak -2

new england win or draw

[MexicanStallion]

Streak -3

I will go with Roddick/Federer 4 or 5 sets. I hope it's a good match.

[yisman]

bunch of nitwits risked 19, 16, and 15 game streaks on 4 or 5 sets.

They won, but that was dumb as hell. I wonder how they made it that high making such stupid picks.

[SamsNCharge99]

I thought Federer would win in 3, but lost again...went from winning streak of 6 to losing streak of 4 in a day...lol

on to the Cards