Good luck today
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14-1-1 for you SBR fellas so far in December. Much more if you tailed those leans I pussed out of betting but still wrote about.
33-19-2 this seasonComment -
Thoughts on sdsu?Comment -
It's a pass for me. I haven't seen Washington play at all this year but it wouldn't surprise me to see SDSU lose on the road. The Aztecs are one of the worst offenses in the country. Seriously. Horrible. I would take Washington if I had to pick, but the power to pass is one of the bettor's biggest edges.
I thought about taking Nebraska or UCLA spreads but I'm 1-0 today and already see sides I really like for Monday & Tuesday, so I may just call it a night, idk.Comment -
Nice. I might make a couple small nba plays.Comment -
Good hold outs on Nebraska and ucla. USD will give us fits in the future with their 3 point threat.Comment -
Butler -24.5 vs Kennesaw State
Bulldogs have been through one of the toughest schedules so far this year. Butler shoots a better adj %, more points per shot, double the Assist/TO ratio and out rebound Kennesaw st. Kenn St has a whopping 19 turnovers per game and I'm sure butler can stretch that even higher. Bulldogs will score off the t/o and score in transition to put this one away by a huge margin.
UC Santa Barbara +7 @ SMU
These teams are very similar in RPI, adj shooing %, pps, and A/TO. Guachos would win on neutral court and will keep this one close to the final shot.
Was hoping to get a spread on the Miami and the Harvard games but no such luck. Was debating IPFW +15 @ Purdue but might stay away. Also debating Minnesota...Comment -
I've been tailing since last Wednesday, I think U have 1 loss in that time , thanks for the hard work and the picks ... I don't know a thing about college hoops but its nice to have a guy who knows his stuff to be able to follow ... Thanks againComment -
I played the Gauchos +4 1H and +7 game earlier. Lets get it.
Smu seems overvalued here this is a winnable game for UcsbComment -
I've seen pretty much everyone I butler here. I hardly ever touch such a big number on the favorite. I'm gonna pass. Good luck tho, hope it hits.
The Ucsb is intriguing. I might tail, I gotta do a ill research on my end. Haven't done any yet. Just might pass and end the week on a 9 game winning streak.
Again good luck and keep up the good workComment -
Damn didn't want OT here. No worse feeling than having +7 no ml heading to OT. Hope they got a decent 5 mins left.Comment -
Buzzer layup to break even.. Lost overtime 13-6. Unbelievable.Comment -
Anyway, lost my other account. Had to make a new one. Going to have to hop on your train man. I like how you pick and explain yourself, it's comforting. Not to mention you're having a hell of a December in NCAA Hoops. Keep it up.
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WOW a last second layup for the push. We deserved it after a last second 3pt shot ruined our cover. UCSB +7 and going into OT I had a sick feeling... SMU just needed to make that second to last FT, or UCSB just miss that buzzer beater 3, and we cover. Oh well a push is okay. Got my heart racing a bit down that stretch. It's good to have to sweat one out every now n then. Maybe some of you bought the hook and won. Normally though, a good philosophy for NCAAB is I never buy the hook to win, I only buy the hook not to lose (I only buy to even numbers).
Butler -24.5 and we won by 42. Nice. I told my brother whenever Savannah State or Kennesaw State are playing a halfway decent team, go ahead and take the fav up to -35 and feel comfortable doing it. There's a few others I keep my eye on just to hammer their opponents.
Anyway, 34-19-3 now this season.
Tomorrow is Super Tuesday and we will have a few winners. I appreciate all the support fellas.
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Illinois +5 vs Villanova
This wasn't my first instinct, but after thinking a lot about it I like Illinois here. They're similar shooting #s to Nova, but with better A/TO ratio. I think about how Nova played vs UofM at MSG, and Illinois has better paint presence (Egwu), better at drawing fouls and FT%, and arguably the most clutch shooter on the court (Ray Rice). In looking at offensive/defensive efficiencies, Illinois should be the favorite here.
Evansville +4.5 @ Belmont
The Aces shoot slightly better and for most part look about even with Belmont. However, Evansville defends well against the 3, which Belmont relies too heavily on. Slight size advantage down low goes to Evansville also.
Indiana +12 vs Louisville
I really like this IU team. Much better shooters than the cards. Better passers, & just played against a (weak) full court pressure too. Sure, lville owns the boards but they are poor shooters and sloppy with the ball. IU's shooting might win this one, or at the minimum keep it interesting.
All dogs, let's go!Comment -
Like indiana and Evansville. How about new hampshire?Comment -
Nice run so far man first time seeing your thread. Agree with you on EvansvilleComment -
I can get Illinois and Evansville both at +5.5.. I think Evansville will stay around the same, but with the public jumping Villanova.. I wonder if that line could rise as far as 7 if I waited long enough?Comment -
I like Illini and IU as well. Not sure if I'm gambling tonight tho. We'll see.
Good luckComment -
Take a look into Baylor as well. Should win by more than 7Comment -
Tailed you on all except for Indiana, just because Louisville scared me. Jumped on Iowa State to mix in a favorite with the two dogs.. Lost that one. They beat UMKC last year by 50+ thought they could handle 25 this year.. NOPE. It's a new day!Comment -
Ohio State -20 vs High Point
Obviously, Buckeyes have better shooting %, higher pps, better A/TO, much tougher SOS, and a suggested 33pt spread according to adj scoring efficiencies. Blah blah blah, right? The thing that sticks out to me is I don't think high point can even begin to guard Amir Williams down low. OSU just lost on national TV and they wanna make a statement at home.
UNI -3 @ Denver
Northern Iowa is taking twice the amount of FTs as Denver is. That means foul trouble for Denver, which is a problem that gets compounded because UNI definitely has the size advantage from their scorers. UNI is a much better rebounding team than Denver and that is usually key for road teams to win.
I also got my eye on Wisonsin -19 and Gonzaga -22.... I just wish these were a couple points lower.Comment -
Are you going to bet either of those leans?Comment -
DOM based off your avatar... makes me want to tail youComment -
BYU-2 vs Utah
I think the home team gets revenge from last year. The Utes won last year, in large part because of Loveridge's contributions, but he won't be playing tonight. BYU will run up the score and the way Utah has occasional scoring droughts, they can't keep up with Haws and the Stormin' Mormons.
Gonna pass on Wiscy, but still keepin an eye on a potential zaga night cap. GL!Comment -
Utah seems to be a much better team then last year and still a threat to win without loveridge. Hope u win. No play on my end. No action for me yet this weekComment -
With you on All 3 man.. Money to be made! I added Columbia +25.5 vs Kentucky. Pleased with that outcome as well.. Solid start.Comment -
Gonzaga -22 vs Washigton State
Gonzaga is gonna make a statement after losing to Arizona. Zags shoot better, score more efficiently, and rebound better than WSU. When Hawkinson shoots under 50% WSU struggles, and with 7' Karnowski or 6'7"+ Wiltjer or Sabonis guarding him, I don't see Hawkinson scoring or defending as well. Zags gonna make this a high scoring affair on their end and hopefully take the opportunity to showcase their defense.Comment -
would you believe me if I said that Kentucky last night lost me my 6T Parlay ATS to a tune of 500 off of a 10 bet lol... good lordComment
