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16-14-2 now
Can't complain about a 2-1-1 day but fukkkk seriously I get fukked by the refs again on a late missed flagrant that leads to a push. Kevin Pangos was tripped so clearly - the St Joes defender stuck his leg out to kick Pangos - with under a minute left and yet no flagrant was called. Pangos hasn't missed a FT in over 2 games. He would've drained the extra FT and covered my 7pt spread.
Done betting tonight since that push likely puts me on tilt. Can't wait for Kansas/Michigan State tomorrow.Comment -
Ya I had a nice hit on wash last night. They looked good. I like them tonight but opening line and the way it's moved to me seems real suspect. I'm gonna stay away. I had zags -6.5 placed it early this morning. I thought I was doomed when the storm came roaring back. Lucked out with that useless foul with 1.7 secs and the kid made both. Couldn't believe itComment -
lol yes that 1.7second foul was a slight bit of justice from the missed flagrant foul, as well as a couple other suspect calls down the stretch.
Offensively, I think Zaga is one of the best in the nation. They need to work on that defense tho. Also noticed their bigs seem to get in fouls trouble often.Comment -
VCU -5 @ ODU
VCU forces more turnovers, including 5 more steals per game than ODU.
VCU has 23 more offensive rebounds than ODU in the same amount of games. With that said, there is no major height advantage either way, so I'll give rebounding advantage to VCU.
I would say VCU has played better comp & neutral games (Tennessee, Villanova, Oregon) than ODU (Richmond who VCU beat 3x last year, LSU). Old Dominion's only real test was @ Illinois State and they lost by 20, also a team VCU beat by 38 last season.
I think Graham has scored 36pts the last two games versus ODU, 21 & 13 pt victories.
I think the line should be around 12, I've watched & researched, just can't see any other play here.Comment -
Dominick I do not know how you cape this sport
so tough to go against home teams no matter what spread
fouls at end of game make this shit untouchableComment -
JJ... NCAA bball is my favorite sport to bet! NFL only 16 max games per week, gives books a lot of time/attention to cap. Pro sports in general have more stats & more public knowledge. College hoops has least available info = our opportunity to find an edge.
I follow a lot of programs' recruiting efforts. Watch highschool highlights of freshmen. And I value FT% because like you mentioned, lots of games come down to FTs at the end.
I occasionally get fukked by some asshole launching a 3pt with 1 second left losing by a million. Even more rare is when I get bailed out by it.
But I love this sport.Comment -
I'm staying away from VCU old dominion I feel will play them tough. Good luck
2 games I like. Missouri st. -2.5 and I really like New Mexico st +7 right now. Gonna wait to see if I can get a better number on that.Comment -
I'm with you on mizz st, they should win at wash st. Might add that -2 bet. But I think Wyoming is good, esp at home.
What do you think of west va -12 vs college of charleston?Comment -
Don't know enough about either team to give u anything reliable. I used to like col of charleston a few years back they were cover machines for me. I would passComment -
Ugh, buriedddddd on that VCU bet.
Just took an impromptu SetonHall 2H bet, & WVU -14Comment -
18-15-2
big day today
Uconn -2
MSU +1
Providence +21
Northern Iowa -7
Bonus play Denver Broncos +1 always bet the sheriff on primetime!!!Comment -
Any reads on long Beach st or Washington game???
I like the providence pick. UK is my team but they can't blow everyone out all year. I'm thinking 16-18 point UK winComment -
providence is short on guards
dunn and lindsey questionable, probably out.
which means bancroft in there a lot.
thing is, they could handle it at home vs yale
but going against KY in their house
and not 100% is another story. reports said
both likely to return after this game
which means they expect to lose, of course.Comment -
Good info snowball. I'm gonna pass on that game. Too many variablesComment -
Wow nice cover there on providence. I was routing for yaComment -
Super Tuesday! Locked in three picks and looking into a few more.
Ohio State +9 @ Louisville
Better shooting & better passing team. Both teams have turnover issues, and while I think Montrezl Harrell is an absolute beast, I don't think his supporting cast is better than OSU. If this were a neutral court I would take buckeye ML. I hate Thad Matta but I think they're an all around better team.
Indiana -3 vs Pitt
I'm really impressed with the freshman shooter Blackmon on IU, he should probably be getting way more coverage even though I can't figure out what's going on with that one gray spot in his hair. IU is healthier & deeper than they've been all season, and I expect big things at Assembly Hall.
Miami -3 vs Illinois
I was wrong about the U. Angel Rodriguez has a sexy stroke. They're good.
Also looking into: Syracuse +5 @ Michigan... Mich a better shooting team but may be without starting guard Walton, and these youngens will probably struggle against the zone D. Cuse can't shoot for shit but their forwards Christmas and mccoulough are dominant. Texas -22 vs Arlington, seems like it should be a bit higher spread, VCU-4.5 vs Illinois St, who they rickrolled last season, DePaul -6.5 vs NIU who are turnover machines...
Guys please give feedback on these 4 leans that I haven't pulled the trigger on yet. Thanks!Comment -
my thing is take dogs and you cannot get hurtComment -
I like indiana and ohio state for sure. Not sure about syracuse, very young team going to play in a tough environment.Comment -
I'm looking at Ohio State too, just cant get over Lousville being #1 in the country in rebounds. I hate betting against teams that rebound well.Comment -
Leans on Indiana, Illinois, Texas and VCU. Might pass tonight and continue to gauge.
Good luckComment -
After further review I really like St. John's -17Comment -
Texas coming off a big win might not come out firing. They will still win but might be 12-14 point winComment -
WNT - NCAAB for while !!Comment -
Explain to me why your boys are an underdog to ND?Comment -
Looks like u had a pretty good night Dom.
St. John's was not the pick. 2nd half they played down to competition. Oh well. Small loss.
Good luck todayComment -
Early looks on Iowa and New Mexico. Any thoughts?Comment -
Statistically speaking, Notre Dame is a top 10 team so far. They are #1 in FG %, #1 adjusted FG%, top 10 in PPG, #15 assists, #8 A/TO margin. But, stats can be skewed this early in the season. Especially when you play the 9th shitttiest SOS. The return of Jerian Grant has a big impact tho.
With that being said, MSU is a better rebounding team and has already been battle tested (while ND's only test was a loss to Providence). I like Izzo in this spot, I just do.
MSU +3 @ ND
Take it now as I believe this line will move. A +3 dog at only +110 ML should be a red flag.Last edited by DOM_Toretto; 12-03-14, 11:42 AM.Comment
