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  • Slanina
    SBR MVP
    • 01-21-09
    • 3827

    #876
    David's week 11 picks.


    D F L 1 DET IND BAL GB SF
    D F L 2 CAR DAL PHI CHI CIN
    Comment
    • Slanina
      SBR MVP
      • 01-21-09
      • 3827

      #877
      Consensus for top 15 finishers last year (12 available)

      Baltimore - 9 selections

      N.Y. Jets - 9 selections

      Detroit - 8 selections

      Denver - 6 selections


      Leader's plays with 40 points in SuperContest:

      OAK---NYJ---MIN---CHI---BUF



      2nd place plays with 37 points in SuperContest:

      DET---DAL---NYJ---CIN---BUF


      Should be noted that the Jets were a top play on consensus. And both leaders have them on their card. The line they got was -2. I'm usually pretty good with flat betting but I think I'm doing 2u on the Jets.
      Last edited by Slanina; 11-21-15, 11:28 PM.
      Comment
      • Slanina
        SBR MVP
        • 01-21-09
        • 3827

        #878
        I'll be out of town on a long weekend for Thanksgiving so I don't know if ill be able to do the consensus next week. Good luck on whatever you play tomorrow. Cash em!
        Comment
        • Capybara
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 08-17-08
          • 11803

          #879
          Good stuff, Slanina. Best of luck this weekend.
          Comment
          • emtyefd
            SBR Hustler
            • 12-03-10
            • 60

            #880
            Thanks Slanina for all the info and enjoy! This is what I´ll be playing:

            MIA PK
            STL +2
            PHI -5.5
            ARI -5
            NE -7
            Comment
            • charcoalbbq
              SBR High Roller
              • 07-18-15
              • 220

              #881
              what place are davids lanes in this year so far?
              Comment
              • Capybara
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 08-17-08
                • 11803

                #882
                Originally posted by charcoalbbq
                what place are davids lanes in this year so far?
                I happened to just look at this. Leader has 40 points. DFL1 has 27, so middle of pack, and DFL2 has 21.5, way down.
                Comment
                • Slanina
                  SBR MVP
                  • 01-21-09
                  • 3827

                  #883
                  Originally posted by emtyefd
                  Thanks Slanina for all the info and enjoy! This is what I´ll be playing:

                  MIA PK
                  STL +2
                  PHI -5.5
                  ARI -5
                  NE -7
                  I'm actually opposite on those games. Didn't bet Philly game. So one of us is going to bed tonight with a smile. Good luck, sir.
                  Comment
                  • Slanina
                    SBR MVP
                    • 01-21-09
                    • 3827

                    #884
                    Originally posted by Capybara
                    I happened to just look at this. Leader has 40 points. DFL1 has 27, so middle of pack, and DFL2 has 21.5, way down.
                    He could be 30+ if he didn't pick Detroit every week for what seemed like the first two months. Most people stopped touching them after the 3rd week.
                    Comment
                    • emtyefd
                      SBR Hustler
                      • 12-03-10
                      • 60

                      #885
                      And so you did go to bed with a smile! Happy thanksgiving in advance. This week he went perfect... the other way around.... Only got a push on NE, the rest pretty awful. On to Week 12
                      Comment
                      • nanderson1134
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 08-07-11
                        • 554

                        #886
                        Some serious favorites in the top 30!

                        TB , TEN, PIT, DEN, CLE
                        Comment
                        • Slanina
                          SBR MVP
                          • 01-21-09
                          • 3827

                          #887
                          Originally posted by emtyefd
                          And so you did go to bed with a smile! Happy thanksgiving in advance. This week he went perfect... the other way around.... Only got a push on NE, the rest pretty awful. On to Week 12
                          Yeah it was a solid week. Too bad the one game I put 2u on decided to lose. I ran the table on all my other bets. Welcome to gambling...
                          Comment
                          • Slanina
                            SBR MVP
                            • 01-21-09
                            • 3827

                            #888
                            Never forget where you came from...


                            D F L 1 DET DAL GB NO ATL
                            D F L 2 TB WAS BUF SF NE
                            Comment
                            • ToPHeR
                              SBR MVP
                              • 12-06-11
                              • 1326

                              #889
                              I've been following rounding again and he went 0-5 last week and is still top 3. Think he has another bad week?
                              Comment
                              • Slanina
                                SBR MVP
                                • 01-21-09
                                • 3827

                                #890
                                Consensus for top 15 finishers last year (12 available)


                                Cleveland - 10 selections

                                Tampa Bay - 7 selections

                                Washington - 7 selections

                                Buffalo - 6 selections



                                Little late on the post due to being out of town. Last week the consensus went 3-1. Hopefully this will be the 3rd week in a row hitting a 3-1 record. And it turns out posting the leader's plays in the SC may be a jinx. Started 36-7-2 but since I began adding his plays for reference he's 3-7-1. Brutal. I won't add his plays this week and see what happens for him


                                Good luck on your action today. Hopefully we'll all see each other at the pay window!
                                Comment
                                • Slanina
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 01-21-09
                                  • 3827

                                  #891
                                  Originally posted by ToPHeR
                                  I've been following rounding again and he went 0-5 last week and is still top 3. Think he has another bad week?
                                  I know, crazy. I touched on that in my last post. I feel like we may be jinxing him. Gambling has me believing in that now it seems.
                                  Comment
                                  • Wolfpackofone
                                    SBR Rookie
                                    • 03-03-15
                                    • 30

                                    #892
                                    Originally posted by Slanina
                                    I know, crazy. I touched on that in my last post. I feel like we may be jinxing him. Gambling has me believing in that now it seems.
                                    Normal regression to the mean imo.
                                    Comment
                                    • emtyefd
                                      SBR Hustler
                                      • 12-03-10
                                      • 60

                                      #893
                                      Yep, same can be said about my the guy I´m trailing, 3 straight losing weeks. Let´s see what they come up to.
                                      Comment
                                      • jt315
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 11-12-11
                                        • 21874

                                        #894
                                        Not 1 guy in the top 10 had a winning week.
                                        Let's hope they get hot in the home stretch.
                                        Comment
                                        • Slanina
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 01-21-09
                                          • 3827

                                          #895
                                          Originally posted by jt315
                                          Not 1 guy in the top 10 had a winning week.
                                          Let's hope they get hot in the home stretch.
                                          Wow. I gotta think Pittsburgh and Cleveland had a lot to do with that. I don't track all 10 though.
                                          Comment
                                          • Slanina
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 01-21-09
                                            • 3827

                                            #896
                                            Originally posted by emtyefd
                                            Yep, same can be said about my the guy I´m trailing, 3 straight losing weeks. Let´s see what they come up to.
                                            Brutal week for all of us it seems.
                                            Comment
                                            • jt315
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 11-12-11
                                              • 21874

                                              #897
                                              Originally posted by Slanina
                                              Wow. I gotta think Pittsburgh and Cleveland had a lot to do with that. I don't track all 10 though.
                                              It was an amazing consensus for these guys

                                              8-0 Tampa/ 7-0 Pitt/ 6-0 Clev. / 4-0 Denver which ended in a 1-3 week

                                              I try to get these plays in as soon as they are posted but the lines these guys are playing at are hard to get .
                                              More so, the last two weeks.

                                              Tampa wasn't available at 3.5, I got + 3(-20)
                                              Pitt was available at 3.5
                                              Cleveland wasn't available at 2.5, I got -3 (-20)
                                              Denver at +3 was there but at -125.
                                              Comment
                                              • Capybara
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 08-17-08
                                                • 11803

                                                #898
                                                Originally posted by jt315
                                                It was an amazing consensus for these guys

                                                8-0 Tampa/ 7-0 Pitt/ 6-0 Clev. / 4-0 Denver which ended in a 1-3 week

                                                I try to get these plays in as soon as they are posted but the lines these guys are playing at are hard to get .
                                                More so, the last two weeks.

                                                Tampa wasn't available at 3.5, I got + 3(-20)
                                                Pitt was available at 3.5
                                                Cleveland wasn't available at 2.5, I got -3 (-20)
                                                Denver at +3 was there but at -125.
                                                And that should have been 0-4!! Denver was the ultimate gift from the refs!! Also, not a bad-beat among that group, they were all just bad picks.
                                                Comment
                                                • jt315
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 11-12-11
                                                  • 21874

                                                  #899
                                                  Originally posted by Capybara
                                                  And that should have been 0-4!! Denver was the ultimate gift from the refs!! Also, not a bad-beat among that group, they were all just bad picks.
                                                  Pitt should have covered. 3rd and 7 from the Seattle 20 turns into an 80 yd td.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Capybara
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 08-17-08
                                                    • 11803

                                                    #900
                                                    Originally posted by jt315
                                                    Pitt should have covered. 3rd and 7 from the Seattle 20 turns into an 80 yd td.
                                                    True enough.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Heandog
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 12-30-09
                                                      • 1634

                                                      #901
                                                      do we have the plays for this week yet
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Slanina
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 01-21-09
                                                        • 3827

                                                        #902
                                                        Sorry fellas. Been a busy last 24 hours. Probably my first 5 free minutes I had.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Doughboy22
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 02-01-12
                                                          • 4189

                                                          #903
                                                          This thread dead??
                                                          Comment
                                                          • emtyefd
                                                            SBR Hustler
                                                            • 12-03-10
                                                            • 60

                                                            #904
                                                            Slanina I can help, if you have a chance let me know who you pull out the consensus.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Slanina
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 01-21-09
                                                              • 3827

                                                              #905
                                                              Switched Saturday schedules for our yearly maintenance at work so my sleep schedule was rough. Anyways, back to business for the rest of the way. I'll start with David's picks this week.


                                                              D F L 1 DAL HOU NYG CIN DET
                                                              D F L 2 MIN ATL BUF PIT DET
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Slanina
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 01-21-09
                                                                • 3827

                                                                #906
                                                                Consensus for top 15 finishers last year (12 available)

                                                                New York Giants - 8 selections

                                                                Baltimore - 6 selections


                                                                Those were the only plays that met my personal criteria. But below I added all the teams selected 4 and 5 times.

                                                                Dallas - 5 selections

                                                                Green Bay - 4 selections

                                                                Buffalo - 4 selections

                                                                Tennessee - 4 selections
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Slanina
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 01-21-09
                                                                  • 3827

                                                                  #907
                                                                  Originally posted by Doughboy22
                                                                  This thread dead??
                                                                  Never!
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Slanina
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 01-21-09
                                                                    • 3827

                                                                    #908
                                                                    Also here are the selections for the 1st and 2nd place entries. Rounding is in 1st with 50.5 points. Michael Andrew is 2nd with 48 points. Then it really becomes bunched up at 46 points for 3rd.



                                                                    rounding again NYJ WAS ARI GB SD

                                                                    MICHAEL ANDREW IND KC WAS CIN NO

                                                                    As you see they both have Washington. Food for thought.
                                                                    Last edited by Slanina; 12-20-15, 12:57 AM.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Heandog
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 12-30-09
                                                                      • 1634

                                                                      #909
                                                                      do we have picks for this week
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • TxBulldog
                                                                        SBR High Roller
                                                                        • 08-03-10
                                                                        • 185

                                                                        #910
                                                                        Here is a consensus of the current Top 20. Caution.....They bet into "Locked" lines that in some cases have shifted substantially.

                                                                        10-1 ARI -4-
                                                                        8-1 MIN -4-
                                                                        7-0 STL +13-
                                                                        7-2 DEN -3-
                                                                        6-2 TB -3
                                                                        7-3 PIT -10
                                                                        Comment
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