Originally posted by ToyotaLC
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4 goals now. Empty netter coming in 2 minutes for the loss.Comment -
Funnily enough, Dallas probably won't cover the over.Originally posted by SlaninaComment -
I've got Min. Is it wrong to feel defeated on a bet before it actually plays out? Been getting burned so frequently, I can't help but think it is a natural reaction.Comment -
Min did me in guys. I think I'm done. 3-17 in shootouts, a loss last night with 2.5 secs, a two goal come back and then losing in OT. Is this a normal trend in sports betting. I'm relatively new to this hobby, but this is this bad luck the norm?Comment -
This is incredibly bad luck. Bad luck runs happen but this is way beyond that. I have no expectations of winning going into a day now. Winning only 15% of Shootout games over 20 games isn't normal in any language. Sometimes you just have to fight through weeks like these as it will turn around. The only issue is how buried we get before it does turn.Originally posted by ToyotaLCComment -
Well put Slanina. I suppose the question becomes, how long should I (or anyone for that matter) "stick with it". I gamble for fun. My life does not depend on it. However, it is still nice to have some fun, follow some games and win and few bucks.Originally posted by SlaninaComment -
If it makes you feel any better I'm starting my system tomorrow. It hasn't been fully tested so I'm going small for now. You can watch me get murdered as I'm going in blind.Originally posted by ToyotaLCComment -
You should probably fade these picks, as the team picks are in a fantastic slump
TOR +115
NYR +103Comment -
I will fade on Toronto pick
Thank you.Comment -
I'm not fading anything. I will go down with the ship. I'm keeping faith.Comment -
Me tooOriginally posted by SlaninaComment -
Awesome! I did a number of NBA picks tonight, and I'll jump back on board tomorrow. I'm still new so I'll have to investigate what fading means. Are you finishing up your system this weekend? I know this is a4's thread, but I'd be interested to see if we couldn't get a few consensus picks each night. I'm sure someone will chime in that that isn't possible.Originally posted by SlaninaComment -
My system has Pittsburgh tonight. But it's kinda messed up for now. Have to sort it out. I bet on it though. For NBA capping, search filmoz. He's a solid capper. Fading = doing opposite. So instead of betting Toronto, you'd bet Washington.Originally posted by ToyotaLCComment -
Thanks. Looks at though that might have been the play. They are in tough with Wash.Originally posted by SlaninaComment -
Ok, so teams still in dog house, but totals are still going well, our worst day lately was 1-1-2
DAL +140
STL -170
WPG -105
NYR +143
CAR u5 -115
MIN o5.5 +115
LA o5 -122Comment -
a4u, the team record is sucking because of the SO right? What would be the record if we are just betting them 1st period?Comment -
Today is the day the sun shines!Comment -
Yes, SOs are likely the reason we are 8-10 units off, and that's with 50/50 outcome.Originally posted by oldscho0led
I can check 1P but not soonComment -
Another loss in OT. At least it wasn't a shootout. Double stinger with the end also not hitting.Comment -
I'm wondering how the Rangers will lose this one.Comment -
They came close. Was waiting for it to get tied up and go to a shootout. Ugh,Originally posted by SlaninaComment -
Me too. Was looking at a bad night when it was 2-0 Kings. Nice turn around for +1.42 units. Well 1.42 for me on the day.Originally posted by ToyotaLCComment -
Totals still our cash cow. Will update records this weekend, want the teams to win some first! ha
TOR o6 +100
TOR -130
CHI -210Comment -
That is why I'm just betting the Totals w/ +money only. So far, so good. I just started tailing you last week.Comment -
Checking any other play on those games couldn't provide better results UNLESS you can find some common denominator e.g. is there any correlation among all those games ending in SO. Otherwise you can't pinpoint the SO games in advance. If you could, then RT draw would be the best bet.Originally posted by a4u2fear
I would be also interested in your results for ALL the games played, as your original system was devised in that way, right?Comment -
I don't think anything needs filtered. The backtesting showed amazing success. It's just in a big rut. It was even up almost +13 units before it started going South. I'm sure there were some ugly month long runs in prior years.Comment -
Maybe this evening is our turning point. 5 goals in the first!Comment -
I think we had this last time an O/U was posted at 6. Maybe TO v Phil? Can't remember. Is it sound logic to bet over whenever they O/U is 6? Looks like this one will also hit.Comment -
Hello, Toronto! Can't ask for a better 1st period then that.Comment -
I gotta think long term it will even out. 7 goals is hard to do even with great offenses and bad goalies.Originally posted by ToyotaLCComment -
I agree. Just very rare to see an O/U set at 6. Maybe it is pops up again under is the play considering the last few outcomes.Comment -
Please no tie on total, would be depressingComment -
Guys, there are plenty of totals at 6, more than you would think, I have prior dataComment -
Really a4, lots of O/U 6? Man, since I started trailing about month and a half ago, we've only had 2 (both involving the Leafs). I suppose I was wondering aloud if someone should always be inclined to take the over in such circumstancesComment -
Guess I meant more than you would think.Comment
