This is going to sound crazy, but...

[IrishLuck777]

so obviously it would be more profitable this year betting regulation time only, what would this look like with your results?

[a4u2fear]

so obviously it would be more profitable this year betting regulation time only, what would this look like with your results?

not necessarily, but at least a higher pct than 3/17 = 18% in shootouts

[a4u2fear]

slanina, i deleted some, says 230/250 total, try again

[Ghenghis Kahn]

so 50% in shootouts is what you'd expect normally? or do the favs have an advantage?

[ToyotaLC]

so 50% in shootouts is what you'd expect normally? or do the favs have an advantage?

My perspective is that unless there is a highly ranked team with major star power (Peg with Crosby, Malkin; Caps with Ovie; Tampa with Stamkos etc) shootouts are a 50/50 proposition. I think the live betting lines reflect that (1.85 per team). With a4's picks, his O/U is treading solidly, however, the shootouts are nowhere close to even 3-17. While there is likely some variation in 50/50 (i.e., some weeks trend better, some slightly worse), the fact that we aren't even close to even steven has to be almost exclusively attributed to bad luck. Obviously, with sports betting, there are no guarantees, however, the 2-3 unit swings on these shootout loses has been devastating but I've got to think, they can't last. We could go 17-3 and even it out (although unlikely). There is still a ton of hockey to go, and I think the results will start to not only equalize but improve.

[ToyotaLC]

If this goes to a shootout, can someone phone in a favour with their local rabbi?

[ToyotaLC]

Yeah, that's about right. At least it wasn't in a lose in the shootout. Man.

[Slanina]

Wow. This is beyond some bad luck. A goal with 5 seconds? Good lord.

[ToyotaLC]

I repeat. 19:55 the go ahead goal. Wow. Am I the only one that thinks this is strange. I know we would have lost in the shootout, but, at least do us the service of getting there. Sorry if I'm bitter about that. It's crazy.

[oldscho0led]

totals are doing good right?

[Slanina]

totals are doing good right?

Post 485

[bihon]

Wow. This is beyond some bad luck. A goal with 5 seconds? Good lord.

I was already on my way to cache the reg time draw.

[a4u2fear]

well, 5 seconds, but, that happens, unfortunately happening against and not for us; better than a SOL if that's solace

[a4u2fear]

Teams
52-44, -3.26u
Shootouts (3-14)

Totals
12-6-2, +5.5u

Personal Plays
3-0, +3.00u

[a4u2fear]

10 games, and the number of plays is opposite what I thought it would be...

NYI -101

NJ u5 -134
MON u5.5 -152
NAS u5 +105
DAL o5.5 -123

For what it's worth, I liked the DAL and NJ totals as personal plays, but won't play them since they are total plays. So, take a look at the games and see if you like them, maybe make it a 2u bet. Standard 1u here.

[a4u2fear]

Personal Play
MIN -140

[a4u2fear]

Just some NFL talk. I like teasers, a 10 pter I'm working on this weekend:
GB + pts. Would love +4.5 but could settle for anything > +3

Rodgers has covered +3.5 in 33 of his last 35 home games; or every home game he has played in regular season and playoff since 2011.

Also like the over teased 10 pts in DEN/IND. Will be in the 40s with 0 precipitation. Luck looked good vs Cincy's good pass defense, and should've scored even more points if it weren't for a block in the back at the 5 and many other drops. Manning always a beast at home, o43.5 or o44 should happen no problem. Haven't chosen the third leg yet, looking at either u50 for Seattle or o43 for Green Bay. It will be cold in GB and I don't trust the Cowboys to score their points in cold weather just yet. Also hate taking unders just to see Seattle stomp all over the Panthers; and the winner of Bal/NE could very well be NE, so I'm passing on that one.

[Slanina]

Looks like the system recognized our incredibly bad luck on teams and it's trying to stop the bleeding. Either way I'm glad tonight is focused on totals.

[I rike 2 bet]

Personal Play
MIN -140

Besides the great home record in the series vs sharks, you like anything else about Minnesota? They are sporting a bad record, 7 wins in their last 25 games..

[Slanina]

Besides the great home record in the series vs sharks, you like anything else about Minnesota? They are sporting a bad record, 7 wins in their last 25 games..

It's their 3rd game in 4 days. And on a back to back tonight. California to Canada to Minnesota. Legs won't be 100%.

[a4u2fear]

Besides the great home record in the series vs sharks, you like anything else about Minnesota? They are sporting a bad record, 7 wins in their last 25 games..

Travel as Slanina said and they match up well with SJ, and are very good vs them at home. Their poor recent play means we get them at a lower than normal price

[a4u2fear]

Enroth looking awful and its early

[Slanina]

Enroth looking awful and its early

3 already. Jeez. And short handed. Unreal.

[I rike 2 bet]

Travel as Slanina said and they match up well with SJ, and are very good vs them at home. Their poor recent play means we get them at a lower than normal price

Parise is out for MIN. I was going to put down a bet after looking at past matchups but can't pull the trigger now.

[a4u2fear]

3 already. Jeez. And short handed. Unreal.

I was nervous at 0-0 he looked shaky

[a4u2fear]

Sabres again fukk us pull goalie down two

[Slanina]

Sabres again fukk us pull goalie down two

Just when I think we have some luck go our way by hitting that under after a bad first. And I take my dog out only to comeback and TB scores two goals in last minute of second. This is fun.

[a4u2fear]

Just when I think we have some luck go our way by hitting that under after a bad first. And I take my dog out only to comeback and TB scores two goals in last minute of second. This is fun.

I feel like every game goes opposite of us late in games, or is my mind jaded?

[Slanina]

I'm dumping my NHL package after this month. I can't take watching all this crap.

[Slanina]

I feel like every game goes opposite of us late in games, or is my mind jaded?

My bankroll last three weeks says it's going the opposite.

[Slanina]

Nashville and Dallas both look good though. I'm curious to see which one implodes

[ToyotaLC]

My bankroll last three weeks says it's going the opposite.

Mine too. Been a tough run.

[ToyotaLC]

It's their 3rd game in 4 days. And on a back to back tonight. California to Canada to Minnesota. Legs won't be 100%.

I thought at 2-0 we had this one. Hopefully the legs fail in the last of the third. Or.........shootout.. lol.

[Slanina]

Nashville and Dallas both look good though. I'm curious to see which one implodes

And we have a winner! Nashville 3 goals in 3rd already. You can't make this stuff up.

[ToyotaLC]

And we have a winner! Nashville 3 goals in 3rd already. You can't make this stuff up.

wow, we are all hoping for the push now.