This is going to sound crazy, but...

**a4u2fear** · 01-21-15, 06:03 PM

Originally posted by IrishLuck777

I haven't been making any hockey bets, but have popped in here a few times a week to check progress. If I remember correctly, your original strategy was to put puck lines and not money lines. Wouldn't this have created a lot more OT wins when you're playing dogs? Not trying to criticize, just honestly curious because I think you have a good thing going here and if a few minor things get tweaked this could be a money machine. If all ends well, I am looking forward to playing this system next season. gl buddy

Irish, you're right about puck lines, but it was really both. If the PLs are doing well, the MLs would be too. I decided at the beginning to just follow MLs.

The totals are already a cash machine as we are only betting 1u a game, so it's not like those are up just a bet or two with a big unit bet.

The sides are obviously not doing that great but if you look at the performance in OT and SO, it really is the defining factor. It could be a down season, but OT/SO are so poor that it can be determined as bad luck.

**a4u2fear** · 01-21-15, 06:04 PM

Teams
76-61, +0.45u
Shootouts (5-15, -15.48u)

OT (6-8, -4.96u)

Totals
32-22-4, +8.96u

Personal Plays
4-3, +0.6u

**a4u2fear** · 01-21-15, 06:05 PM

Plus, give me another 2.5 months of plays. We'll get there.

**a4u2fear** · 01-21-15, 06:06 PM

CHI o5.5 +110
ANH u5 +129

**a4u2fear** · 01-21-15, 06:08 PM

Personal
PIT +117

**oldscho0led** · 01-21-15, 06:25 PM

Originally posted by a4u2fear

Plus, give me another 2.5 months of plays. We'll get there.

No problem man. Keep it comin.

**blackHIPPY** · 01-21-15, 06:42 PM

Things will turn around

**IrishLuck777** · 01-21-15, 07:06 PM

Originally posted by a4u2fear

Irish, you're right about puck lines, but it was really both. If the PLs are doing well, the MLs would be too. I decided at the beginning to just follow MLs.

The totals are already a cash machine as we are only betting 1u a game, so it's not like those are up just a bet or two with a big unit bet.

The sides are obviously not doing that great but if you look at the performance in OT and SO, it really is the defining factor. It could be a down season, but OT/SO are so poor that it can be determined as bad luck.

I get where you're coming from but there's just one thing that sticks out to me, correct me if I am wrong, but it is that some teams, mainly dog bets, have terrible SO and OT stats. Yes, it may be "bad luck" but I don't think it should be over looked. The puck line is there for dogs to cash for forcing OT, not winning it. Just my opinion, I haven't done any numbers to back this up, just makes sense in my head lol

**a4u2fear** · 01-21-15, 07:18 PM

Originally posted by IrishLuck777

I get where you're coming from but there's just one thing that sticks out to me, correct me if I am wrong, but it is that some teams, mainly dog bets, have terrible SO and OT stats. Yes, it may be "bad luck" but I don't think it should be over looked. The puck line is there for dogs to cash for forcing OT, not winning it. Just my opinion, I haven't done any numbers to back this up, just makes sense in my head lol

We are mostly betting favs here, and those SO and OT losses were them, that's why it's so negative

**IrishLuck777** · 01-21-15, 07:26 PM

Thanks for the info. sorry for clogging up your thread. gl tonight

**oldscho0led** · 01-21-15, 10:36 PM

Chicago-Pitt still have a chance in OT to hit goal #6, no?

**Slanina** · 01-21-15, 11:28 PM

Rough past two days. We can't buy a win right now.

**oldscho0led** · 01-21-15, 11:42 PM

Totals just ain't hitting. I need to lower my bet size.

**IrishLuck777** · 01-27-15, 01:03 PM

Do you mind posting what your estimated total profits should be at according to your system? and what is your plan for the second half of the season? thanks

**a4u2fear** · 01-27-15, 05:05 PM

Wpg -106
phi -165
dal +142
det -120

pit o5 -134
cbus u5.5 -116
car u5.5 -138
fla u5 +112
nas u5.5 -120

**a4u2fear** · 01-27-15, 05:06 PM

Originally posted by IrishLuck777

Do you mind posting what your estimated total profits should be at according to your system? and what is your plan for the second half of the season? thanks

Sorry for short response but Internet is out. Before season plan was to get to 20-30u with each type of bet, seeing where each is right now, I can see totals getting there, but teams to be at 10-15 unless our current luck continues in SO and OT

**IrishLuck777** · 01-27-15, 05:11 PM

Originally posted by a4u2fear

Sorry for short response but Internet is out. Before season plan was to get to 20-30u with each type of bet, seeing where each is right now, I can see totals getting there, but teams to be at 10-15 unless our current luck continues in SO and OT

that was good enough for me. thanks and gl

**Slanina** · 01-27-15, 09:35 PM

Looks like every team was well rested after break. Well besides Rangers. Overs across the board it looks like.

**a4u2fear** · 01-28-15, 05:11 PM

Originally posted by Slanina

Looks like every team was well rested after break. Well besides Rangers. Overs across the board it looks like.

yep. terrible couple of days. betting daily really sucks sometimes.

**a4u2fear** · 01-28-15, 05:12 PM

NJ -124

NJu5.5 -160
LA o5 -138

**Slanina** · 01-28-15, 10:25 PM

Two Shootout wins in a row? Never thought I'd see the day. Get the totals out of this current slump and we are back on track.

**a4u2fear** · 01-29-15, 12:53 AM

Originally posted by Slanina

Two Shootout wins in a row? Never thought I'd see the day. Get the totals out of this current slump and we are back on track.

getting there, need a rebound. both systems started hot, got to +12, and slipped.

**Slanina** · 01-29-15, 01:07 AM

There we go! 3-0 on the day. Have Chicago ML as a personal play. Hoping for a 4-0 night.

**a4u2fear** · 01-29-15, 04:50 PM

Teams
79-63, +1.39u
Shootouts (7-15, -13.48u)

OT (6-8, -4.96u)

Totals
35-28-4, +5.45u

Personal Plays
4-4, -0.4u

**a4u2fear** · 01-29-15, 04:52 PM

get another good day.

WPG -116
NYR -136
TOR -143
CBUS -145

PHI o5.5 +107
TOR o5.5 -116
STL o5.5 +121

plus on both types of bets, but still feels like a downer so far, still plenty of games left.

**TrojanMan8** · 01-29-15, 05:18 PM

Is the pick supposed to be Columbus as a dog or Florida as a favorite?

**a4u2fear** · 01-29-15, 05:27 PM

Originally posted by TrojanMan8

Is the pick supposed to be Columbus as a dog or Florida as a favorite?

Columbus, thanks for catching
+145

**bihon** · 01-29-15, 11:15 PM

I had exactly the same moneylines and I expected at least 3-1.

**IrishLuck777** · 01-29-15, 11:42 PM

lol i decided to tail second half of season and we drop 10 units in 3 days lol

**Slanina** · 01-30-15, 12:34 AM

4 teams we are on scores 5 goals total. San Jose and Dallas scored 6 each. Unreal.

**odog11** · 01-30-15, 12:52 AM

This may have been covered, but is there anyway to get this thread moved from the NFL to the NHL forum? There must be some movers and shakers reading this.

**a4u2fear** · 01-30-15, 04:46 PM

Teams
79-67, -3.56u
Shootouts (7-15, -13.48u)

OT (6-8, -4.96u)

Totals
37-29-4, +6,57u

Personal Plays
4-4, -0.4u

**a4u2fear** · 01-30-15, 04:47 PM

Originally posted by IrishLuck777

lol i decided to tail second half of season and we drop 10 units in 3 days lol

not sure how you are betting but we aren't down 10. sorry for short term loss, but this is a long term thread.

**a4u2fear** · 01-30-15, 04:48 PM

Nas +113
CHI -110

CAR u5 +125
Col o5.5 +117

**a4u2fear** · 01-30-15, 04:52 PM

Personal
VAN -1.5 -135 2u