Hate to do it but time for my NFL pick of the yeaar

[SBR_John]

It's hard to make a living betting road favorites in any sport much less the NFL.

With that said I should fade myself and take Balt +2.5, but I'm not.

Houston has had a couple of uneven games to become 2-0. The matchup with Balt will be to their liking. In this matchup last year Hou tripled them up in total yardage and on the scoreboard cruising to a 42-13 win at home. Houston's front four shut down the run and puts a ton of pressure on the qb without blitzing. They did let Tenn back in the game despite having nearly double the total yardage but that's the NFL.

So there you have it. My pick of the year. If it gets smoked check back next week.

[Louisvillekid1]

Good Luck JW

[C-Gold]

Good luck.

[Sledge187]

so agree and I hardly ever pick the Texans since I'm a fan.

[lakerboy]

Totally agree. I can see houston slapping them around.

[Chi_archie]

good luck I like it

[mcgeezer1883]

Watt will have Flacco's arse this weekend. I like it.

[jjgold]

I would never fade Mr Walker

Afraid too

[crustyme]

did your finger grow back from the last one?

lol

[BIGDAY]

Lets cash!

[broadway6]

how many sbr points are you putting on the game, john?

[InTheDrink]

Wow

Walker lets see a prop on this game in the sbr sports book gueye

[SBR Lou]

Balt is one of my BTP picks.

[The Kraken]

Hope you lose your ass pal.

Otherwise I'll be reloading again

[Russian Rocket]

like that pick...gl with your bet!

[tacostand]

I'm in with ya brother. BOL to us.

[Cyyyyk]

I like Houston -2.5...... but I am not sure it is pick of the year worthy.

[Ghenghis Kahn]

you don't care both of the balty rbs are gimpy?

[No coincidences]

Interesting.

I don't see it, but good luck JW.

[BigDeem5]

Interesting.

I don't see it, but good luck JW.

What don't you see?

Useless post.

[lakerboy]

Interesting.

I don't see it, but good luck JW.

Why not? Give us your thoughts?

[No coincidences]

Why not? Give us your thoughts?

I know what's past is past, but I think Baltimore is 6-1 all-time vs. Houston, are they not? Ravens have also won like 20 of 22 at home I think I heard tonight. Texans have looked very pedestrian in "beating" the Chargers and Titans (more like those two teams beat themselves). Foster hasn't looked right at all so far. He's far from 100 percent.

I guess I just don't see how this is a "game of the year" type pick -- not that I necessarily think Houston will lose. Plus, as John pointed out, it was 42-13 last year and yet this line is only 2.5 (-1 at Pinny with heavy juice on the Texans)? Seems like a really hard game to get a gauge on, but I guess that's why JW is JW.

[SBR_John]

I know what's past is past, but I think Baltimore is 6-1 all-time vs. Houston, are they not? Ravens have also won like 20 of 22 at home I think I heard tonight. Texans have looked very pedestrian in "beating" the Chargers and Titans (more like those two teams beat themselves). Foster hasn't looked right at all so far. He's far from 100 percent.

I guess I just don't see how this is a "game of the year" type pick -- not that I necessarily think Houston will lose. Plus, as John pointed out, it was 42-13 last year and yet this line is only 2.5 (-1 at Pinny with heavy juice on the Texans)? Seems like a really hard game to get a gauge on, but I guess that's why JW is JW.

There probably should be a rule No GOY on road favorites.

Balt may be 6-1 but 0-2 ATS in the last two and one of those was a Houston third string qb cover. That aside Tenn didnt beat themselves more like Houston got caught napping. Offensively they have been plotting but defensively they are the real deal. I love the matchup of Houstons defense against Balts offense. Flacco is slow to set and fronts like Denver, Sea and Houston will give him fits. Of course he throws a great deep ball and this is the NFL so my breakdown and $1.87 will get you a coffee at Starbucks, not necessarily any cash from the books.

[texhooper]

if baltimore is not going to wake up and crush the browns off that denver beating, then really what are they doing this year? i think despite the close wins the texans have looked pretty good this year. i think also we will find that san diego and tennessee might be better competition than expected. i probably won't bet this game but i can see how someone might think they have a bead on this game and hit the texans.

[No coincidences]

There probably should be a rule No GOY on road favorites.

Balt may be 6-1 but 0-2 ATS in the last two and one of those was a Houston third string qb cover. That aside Tenn didnt beat themselves more like Houston got caught napping. Offensively they have been plotting but defensively they are the real deal. I love the matchup of Houstons defense against Balts offense. Flacco is slow to set and fronts like Denver, Sea and Houston will give him fits. Of course he throws a great deep ball and this is the NFL so my breakdown and $1.87 will get you a coffee at Starbucks, not necessarily any cash from the books.

Cushing being back makes all the difference in the world. I think Rice is still banged up and not really sold on Pierce. Anyway, good luck John. I'll be watching with more interest now and hopefully you hit it.

[texhooper]

i'm also not from texas nor do i give a shit about texas athletics. i never realize how my posts may be misconstrued until after i post them. i should have picked a different handle but whatever...

[No coincidences]

if baltimore is not going to wake up and crush the browns off that denver beating, then really what are they doing this year? i think despite the close wins the texans have looked pretty good this year. i think also we will find that san diego and tennessee might be better competition than expected. i probably won't bet this game but i can see how someone might think they have a bead on this game and hit the texans.

SD and TEN aren't terrible, but they also aren't in the same category as Houston. The Texans falling behind 28-7 to the Chargers and all but sleepwalking through a weak home win over the Titans would worry me a little, because this team's supposed to be elite. Maybe they take a step forward and get a statement road win this week. I don't know. I still think Foster doesn't look 100%.

[texhooper]

no coin, i may be a self hating titans fan, but i agree with john's statement that houston was caught napping moreso than the titans really beat them. i watched that whole game, and it was one of those games where you could write the script before it happened. right down to the two point conversion to send it to ot. and that was foster who muscled his own way in the end zone. but their other back, his name escapes me, he is more than capable of being a good back in this league.

however, i do think the titans are much better than they have been the last couple of years. excited to see how their season goes. coincidentally they face the chargers this week so we will see which of the teams who barely lost to the texans are better.

[suicidekings]

Under normal circumstances, I think you should be concerned about QBs with big arms taking advantage of the HOU secondary. However with no Boldin, Pitta, or Jones, Flacco's ability to spread the field is somewhat limited. With a depleted receiving corps, Baltimore will have to lean more on the run, and like John says, that Texas defensive front is very tough to run against. If Houston can limit the run, that will severely cut into Flacco's play-action passing game, further hobbling his ability to maintain drives. Baltimore is in a tough spot on offense right now.

[ttwarrior1]

real good if ray rice is out, baltimore has that good line because of being superbowl champs.
They were gonna be my play of the week,

[Ferndog68]

I'm all over houston i also like
sf ov 46
vikes-5.5
pitt +2.5
jet -2.5

[Wulfman14]

i think houston took a couple of years off my life when i bet them in the first two games of the season. im sitting this one out. watch they cruise for the win here. lol . gl walker

[JMobile]

Sorry Walker, I have to fade here

[SBR_John]

Sorry Walker, I have to fade here

Looks like the line is about to move to +3. If you want Balt I'd wait until game time or grab a some the first time you see a +3. Books would rather gouge out an eyeball than cross 3 these days.

[jjgold]

Are we underestimating Flacco?

Guy is becoming a big time winner in NFL

Another game Sunday that looks too easy