Miami Hurricanes to Upset Florida?

[vinndy]

I don't think this will be an upset when Miami wins.

[LT Profits]

I don't think this will be an upset when Miami wins.

Well it is in literal sense.

[yahoonino]

At first glance, I saw Florida was -3 and said to myself waaaaaaaaaaaaaa?? And naturally much of SBR already started tabbing Gators as the Lock of the Millennium. Look a little deeper though. Remember that Miami was ineligible for post-season play the last two years and that suspension is now over, and this is a statement game for the Canes as if they win it, they will be back on the football map. Playing in Miami obviously helps immensely, but nothing I just said would mean anything if Miami doesn't have the players to pull the upset. Enter my key player of the game in Miami running back Duke Johnson, who was dynamite as a freshman and who rushed for 186 yards on a whopping 9.8 YPC last week, albeit vs. Little Sisters of the Poor (ooops sorry, I meant Florida Atlantic). Johnson did prove himself vs. better competition last year though, and he now has over 1200 all-purpose yards in his last five games. Obviously he hasn't faced a defense with the team speed that Florida possesses, but if he comes anywhere close to what he did over the final month of last season plus last week, then Florida won't be able to dominate time of possessions with its running game as has become its custom and I also like Miami's quarterback Stephen Morris more than I like Driskel. Of course if the Gators can put the clamps on Johnson, then Florida probably wins easily. I think he will do fine though.

nice write up lt profit,,, I respect your opinion,,,i tail you

[SamDiamond]

LT, did you take Miami or not?

It's not in your picks thread.

[2daBank]

I personally think the under 48 makes more sense.

i played it at 49 earlier in the week, def seemed like the best option to me..

[CupWanted]

Under 47.5 for me.

[tblues2005]

Lt I am siding with Miami here too. I think they got a shot at winning the game today.

[blackeyeshamus]

UM should be up for this one. Miami has the worst fans in the country, but even they may bring it for this game. A noon game there is brutal. Hopefully the Cane fan base won't dip out of the stadium permanently for some Cuban melts and Corona Lights at halftime. Still not sold on Driskel and the UF offense. Think this is a close low scoring one and whoever makes the least amount of mistakes wins.

sun life is sold out according to local news. stub hub and craigslist are selling bad seats at 3x their price. should be good rivalry crowd today. gators fans down from gainesville as well, no doubt. 115 degree heat index, police in tactical gear with tasers blasting, shxtfaced swamp people with hatfield/mccoy type grudges from 25 years ago squashing beef outta nowhere, undergraduate hotties, gonna be fxxking sweet!

[ChuckySlick]

What about the under?

[terpkeg]

Is anyone playing the over??? Was going to make the under my first CFB play of the year, but not so sure. Seems too good which generally doesn't exist in big time CFB.

[teaserpleaser]

I don't think this will be an upset when Miami wins.

Don't worry about it won't happen

[nocturnal012]

60% of the ATS bets are on Florida, yet the major books are still juicing the Miami side. Only the two main rec books have rogue lines, with SIA at Fla -3 -115 and Bodog hanging a 3.5.

Doesn't really say anything. Firstly, there might be more people (placed bets) on Florida, but more and big money on the U. Secondly, the percentage you find on those sites could be misleading most of the times. They put them up to confuse those who're looking at the lines way too much and those trying to be sharp by looking at reverse-linemovements. It seems to me that most people are on the U actually.

[LT Profits]

Firstly, there might be more people (placed bets) on Florida, but more and big money on the U.

That is EXACTLY the point. Sites like Sports Insights are accurate, they pay the books for access to parts of their databases. The free percentage sites I'm not so sure.

[LT Profits]

LT, did you take Miami or not?

It's not in your picks thread.

Check again at around 11:30, I am trying to hold out for +150

[k13]

One solid 3 that's for sure.

[HOT WINGS]

Doesn't really say anything. Firstly, there might be more people (placed bets) on Florida, but more and big money on the U. Secondly, the percentage you find on those sites could be misleading most of the times. They put them up to confuse those who're looking at the lines way too much and those trying to be sharp by looking at reverse-linemovements. It seems to me that most people are on the U actually.

Seems like Florida is popular across most forums and in media. Dont really see many on the U myself

[LT Profits]

Settled for +140. When 5 Dimes went to +145 this morning, I was hoping for one more tick up, but alas it turn around. I also got me some Miami 1st Qtr

[odog11]

Totally mushing it with picks on sides and doing well with totals. Under 48.

[SplitAces]

Taking Miami here too but I grabbed the 3. Taking team with better QB at home.

not really at home. Stadium will have more Florida fans. Miami doesnt have on campus stadium so they travel to play home games. Live in area and I see more florid fans by far.

[1sob]

im on mia and under 1st half .. its going to be smash mouth football

[RavensFan2k3]

Canes will win!!!

[SplitAces]

good luck to all. My biggest bet of weekend. FLORIDA wins pulling away.
P.S I hate the gators, but I love my wallet.

[nvrlose37]

That's what UF needed

[LT Profits]

Settled for +140. When 5 Dimes went to +145 this morning, I was hoping for one more tick up, but alas it turn around. I also got me some Miami 1st Qtr

Thanks for that two-point attempt. Now get quarter over with.

[LT Profits]

Thanks for that two-point attempt. Now get quarter over with.

Or score again.

[crustyme]

good call.

[jjgold]

Canes playing well 1st half

Home teams seem pretty tough in college

[ChuckySlick]

Under comin in EASY!

[HOT WINGS]

Florida offense is terrible nice win by the U

[No coincidences]

Florida offense is terrible nice win by the U

Their QB should be embarrassed. Just awful.

[jjgold]

good bounce back win for LT

[Allure]

Lol Florida did everything to lose. Mission accomplished.