At first glance, I saw Florida was -3 and said to myself waaaaaaaaaaaaaa?? And naturally much of SBR already started tabbing Gators as the Lock of the Millennium. Look a little deeper though. Remember that Miami was ineligible for post-season play the last two years and that suspension is now over, and this is a statement game for the Canes as if they win it, they will be back on the football map. Playing in Miami obviously helps immensely, but nothing I just said would mean anything if Miami doesn't have the players to pull the upset. Enter my key player of the game in Miami running back Duke Johnson, who was dynamite as a freshman and who rushed for 186 yards on a whopping 9.8 YPC last week, albeit vs. Little Sisters of the Poor (ooops sorry, I meant Florida Atlantic). Johnson did prove himself vs. better competition last year though, and he now has over 1200 all-purpose yards in his last five games. Obviously he hasn't faced a defense with the team speed that Florida possesses, but if he comes anywhere close to what he did over the final month of last season plus last week, then Florida won't be able to dominate time of possessions with its running game as has become its custom and I also like Miami's quarterback Stephen Morris more than I like Driskel. Of course if the Gators can put the clamps on Johnson, then Florida probably wins easily. I think he will do fine though.
Miami Hurricanes to Upset Florida?
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LT ProfitsSBR Aristocracy
- 10-27-06
- 90963
#1Miami Hurricanes to Upset Florida?Tags: None -
hankcreamSBR MVP
- 06-30-10
- 2049
#2I was holding off & hoping line goes to 3.5 and then pound The U, but now that a Moderator is humping it I have to play it today before the reverse line movement hits.Comment -
RGGSBR MVP
- 09-11-11
- 1045
#3Forget about it. Gators win by 10.Comment -
LT ProfitsSBR Aristocracy
- 10-27-06
- 90963
#4You never know if there will be a flood of money on Gators on game-day tomorrow, but as of now, Miami is the side getting juiced on the +3 so I don't think +3.5 seems likely.Comment -
RGGSBR MVP
- 09-11-11
- 1045
#5BM was showing 57% or so on UM ML bet. Surprises me. Guess people think our O is that bad.Comment -
downsouthSBR Posting Legend
- 01-13-11
- 11580
#6I took the U +3 at -115. Im normally all for being a homer of the SEC but your right believing in Driskells shortcomings. Big spot for Miami with a lot to prove. Not saying the win SU but think they keep it close with a chance to pull it off in the 4th. Was also debating hoping Saturday money would push it to 3.5 but decided to go ahead and pull the triggerComment -
Louisvillekid1SBR Aristocracy
- 10-17-07
- 52143
#7All over Miami +130 & Temple +130Comment -
Killer_DemoSBR Hall of Famer
- 06-15-08
- 8409
#8UF -3 on itComment -
WinTheDay24SBR High Roller
- 07-02-13
- 223
#9Hopefully you tards will pound UF so I can get a few more points on the U.. Oregon is another line you look @ and think wtf? Looks like easy $ but I hate betting publics #1 bet of the day.Comment -
jjgoldSBR Aristocracy
- 07-20-05
- 388179
#10Miami if I had to make a bet
dead even type gameComment -
RatpackSBR MVP
- 02-15-12
- 4133
#11florida wins defense is better fla's running back was suspended last week and will be back this week fla wins 27-17Comment -
blackeyeshamusSBR Hall of Famer
- 02-19-11
- 6632
#12leanin' 'canes, LT. GL.Comment -
Danielk123SBR High Roller
- 07-16-10
- 198
#13
Pounded it and they won 55-0
Don't overthink guys, Oregon and Gators will roll.Comment -
Vinnie PazSBR Posting Legend
- 03-27-12
- 12177
#14This is the epitome of a trap line, really
That being said.....Comment -
daneblazerBARRELED IN @ SBR!
- 09-14-08
- 27861
#15UM should be up for this one. Miami has the worst fans in the country, but even they may bring it for this game. A noon game there is brutal. Hopefully the Cane fan base won't dip out of the stadium permanently for some Cuban melts and Corona Lights at halftime. Still not sold on Driskel and the UF offense. Think this is a close low scoring one and whoever makes the least amount of mistakes wins.Comment -
Danielk123SBR High Roller
- 07-16-10
- 198
#16There is a reason the Gators will not be playing the Canes anymore... They are a waste of time.Comment -
LowpineSBR Rookie
- 10-16-12
- 17
#17Give me that Uf D on the road, fishy line be damned.Comment -
daneblazerBARRELED IN @ SBR!
- 09-14-08
- 27861
#18The reason the Gators don't schedule games like this is because of their neutral game with UGA and they already have a very good set rival in FSU. Georgia is in the same boat except they tend to schedule stronger OOC opponents more often. No other teams in the country have that scheduling conflict. Tough to schedule another home and home when you have a yearly OOC rival and a neutral game every year.Comment -
Aye J MacSBR Hall of Famer
- 07-13-12
- 5424
#19True upset of the weekComment -
Darkside MagickSBR Posting Legend
- 05-28-10
- 12638
#20Florida by a tdComment -
Mac4LyfeSBR Aristocracy
- 01-04-09
- 48397
#21Dammit LT, I hate being on the other side of you :respect:
I love UF here. I'm a UF homer but I fade them 2x as much as I play them but this is the game to play them. I watch a lot of Miami games and both Duke and Morris don't like physicality. The Gators are a physical, smash mouth team with a lot of deoth on both lines. UFs defense may be the best in the country and potentially the best ever at UF. The defensive backs arecover blankets which allows the front guys to get after the ball.
UF fans are buying up a lot of the tix so dont be surprised if UF has a slight home field advantage.
The only troubling thing for me is that the line hasnt moved but I think a lot of people do not trust UFs offense which is valid.
At first glance, I saw Florida was -3 and said to myself waaaaaaaaaaaaaa?? And naturally much of SBR already started tabbing Gators as the Lock of the Millennium. Look a little deeper though. Remember that Miami was ineligible for post-season play the last two years and that suspension is now over, and this is a statement game for the Canes as if they win it, they will be back on the football map. Playing in Miami obviously helps immensely, but nothing I just said would mean anything if Miami doesn't have the players to pull the upset. Enter my key player of the game in Miami running back Duke Johnson, who was dynamite as a freshman and who rushed for 186 yards on a whopping 9.8 YPC last week, albeit vs. Little Sisters of the Poor (ooops sorry, I meant Florida Atlantic). Johnson did prove himself vs. better competition last year though, and he now has over 1200 all-purpose yards in his last five games. Obviously he hasn't faced a defense with the team speed that Florida possesses, but if he comes anywhere close to what he did over the final month of last season plus last week, then Florida won't be able to dominate time of possessions with its running game as has become its custom and I also like Miami's quarterback Stephen Morris more than I like Driskel. Of course if the Gators can put the clamps on Johnson, then Florida probably wins easily. I think he will do fine though.Comment -
luckyutahSBR Hustler
- 11-16-08
- 83
#22It's strength on strength with Miami's offense versus Florida's defense.
And it's weakness on weakness with Florida's offense versus Miami's defense.
Miami will have to get a few big plays to win or Driskel will have to make a couple of bonehead decisions. Both of these things could easily happen, but on a hot day and a noon kickoff for the second game of the season, I have to side with the better defense.
* UF may bring a ton of people, but it won't give them a home field advantage.Comment -
Mac4LyfeSBR Aristocracy
- 01-04-09
- 48397
#23I think it will be 60/40 Gator fans. Not really home field but a good turn out. I agree the early start and heat should favor defense.
I think UF will be able to move the ball by pushing Miami's Dline. I also think Miami players football IQ are questionable.Comment -
thetrinitySBR Posting Legend
- 01-25-11
- 22431
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wildcorndogSBR MVP
- 08-30-10
- 1456
#25No way buddy. I would bet your mom on thisComment -
MoneyLineDawgSBR Posting Legend
- 01-01-09
- 13253
#26SEC guy here but passing on this game....could easily see the U winComment -
suicidekingsSBR Hall of Famer
- 03-23-09
- 9962
#27The key to the game for Miami is stopping UF's rushing attack for 60 minutes. If they do that, and get some pressure on Driskel, they have a chance. If Matt Jones and Mack Brown are allowed to get rolling, the Miami D-Line is going to wear out and this game won't be close.Comment -
DutchSBR MVP
- 09-21-10
- 4339
#28Seems like lately Miami shits the bed when it comes to playing decent opponents.Comment -
SuperHappyTimeSBR Rookie
- 01-14-13
- 42
#29Im with you. It's easy to say most SEC teams beat other teams, but UF isn't what they were under Urban Meyer Wiener, a solid winning football team. Meanwhile, I don't see Miami as a good team either. Miami is already hyped as favorite to be the Coastal Division Champ, and I don't think they deserve it. Too much uncertainty for one game, I'll pass and I'd advise everyone else the sameComment -
SplitAcesSBR Sharp
- 09-22-12
- 434
#30Remember this boys. Last year similar spot for Miami when they played well and went into K state as 3 pint dog and lost by 600.
Also Remember last year when everyone was jerking of in their pants about FSU. Florida won easy.
Lots of hype on Miami now; I am not buying. Florida -3 is a bargain. Good luck.Comment -
LT ProfitsSBR Aristocracy
- 10-27-06
- 90963
#3160% of the ATS bets are on Florida, yet the major books are still juicing the Miami side. Only the two main rec books have rogue lines, with SIA at Fla -3 -115 and Bodog hanging a 3.5.Comment -
RatpackSBR MVP
- 02-15-12
- 4133
#32which means florida in a BLOWOUTComment -
OmagaSBR Sharp
- 07-10-12
- 460
#33I personally think the under 48 makes more sense.Comment -
HOT WINGSSBR Hall of Famer
- 01-29-10
- 8055
#34Taking Miami here too but I grabbed the 3. Taking team with better QB at home.Comment -
SmokeSBR Aristocracy
- 10-09-09
- 48111
#35Pinny juiceComment
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