Nuggets -7.5 (Game 5)

[vyomguy]

Hate to go against my warriors.

But this game has blow-out city written all over it.

[hawley]

Warriors shooting a ridic clip. Will it continue on the road?

[Aye J Mac]

i love it, putting 20k on nuggets MONEYLINE & -7 SPREAD with a hook!! B.o.L

[You mad bro]

^^ i put 45 k on denver ML and 100 k on the spread ..all day

[Jago2008]

Hate to go against my warriors.

But this game has blow-out city written all over it.

Funny I asked Vyom yesterday what he thought about Houston given his pick, with their poor 3 point shooting, disorganization in half court offense, and horrible play by Harden. Vyom suggested law of averages behind his understanding, not only was he right about Houston but also abt Atlanta, seriously people that bet off Vyom's opinions should pay him, because he makes this looks easy.

[Sport_Fish]

^^ i put 45 k on denver ML and 100 k on the spread ..all day

haha fkn peasants. I got 550k on the spread. Flying to Vegas in my private jet tomorrow to place the other 2 mill.

[Potentate]

Damn, you guys are some ballers. I only put all my houses.

But seriously though, vyom, we need Dub Nation to run them out of their own arena. I'm going to have to leave this one alone, I think.

[JayLA]

Funny I asked Vyom yesterday what he thought about Houston given his pick, with their poor 3 point shooting, disorganization in half court offense, and horrible play by Harden. Vyom suggested law of averages behind his understanding, not only was he right about Houston but also abt Atlanta, seriously people that bet off Vyom's opinions should pay him, because he makes this looks easy.

does vyom lay real money at the time he posts his selection? only he knows that. clearly, there's a method to the madness. he picks winners all the time.
would i pay 4 picks? probably not. i'll buy him a couple beers and a hooker tho

[SteelRain]

law of averages

no such thing

law of large numbers yes but not averages

[Jago2008]

no such thing

law of large numbers yes but not averages

explain?

[SteelRain]

explain?

law of averages aka gamblers fallacy is a statistical misnomer. probability is independent of its expected value if it is a random event. for example, if you flip coin 99 times and get heads 99 times in a row, the probability of getting heads at your 100th flip is still 50%. if you want more info, wiki does a fairly decent job on it: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Law_of_averages another good one is http://www.probabilitytheory.info/co...aw-of-averages

[oldscho0led]

Tough one. Hard to go against the Warriors. Denver have beaten this team only once in playoffs. And that's from a miracle by Miller. Vyom ur thoughts on Memphis-Clipps? I like takin the points here

[sonofben]

Thunder from Down Under (Bogut) will dominate once again.

[Smoke]

Lion is right

[amrit]

Vyom, are you as confident with this as you were with the Hawks and rockets? Also what do you think about over 180 for the Clippers and grizzlies game

[dizzyd]

Best of luck vyom. Wonder if the game is out of hand mid-late 3rd they shut down curry knowing best shot is game 6.

[vasilli07]

Line already drop to -7.5. Should drop maybe another half a point with all the love on Warriors.

[You mad bro]

warriors -3.5 +750

[CaVengo]

Line already drop to -7.5. Should drop maybe another half a point with all the love on Warriors.

Line have been -7.5 all day and night according to pinnacle

[vasilli07]

Line have been -7.5 all day and night according to pinnacle

Oh ok, thought I actually saw it at -8 at Bet365.

[You mad bro]

just admit you have been day drinking .. i do it often

[CaVengo]

Oh ok, thought I actually saw it at -8 at Bet365.

You are right. 5dimes had -8 for a couple of hours, but with public all over Golden, it does make sense going back to -7.5!

[Sumalia]

Oh ok, thought I actually saw it at -8 at Bet365.

You thought wrong. I use bet365 and I'm still waiting for it to get to 8(since morning hours EU time).

[PorkChop]

Rather bet it live.

[DigBick86]

Rather bet it live.

If you gonna pick nuggets you will get a better number

[Jayvegas420]

Pinnacle was the only book to open a -7 flat line. (Covers)
I remember Bet365 had -8 last night.

Pork Chop's right, if you want to get a lower line, bet In Play. At some point during the game you'll get -4,-4.5.
If you're looking to get the points I'd bet now.

[Vinnie Paz]

guys got it all wrong
even if nuggets go down some, live lines will still have at least -6, or something close to pregame spread. Unless they go down by20, doubt you get anything around 4. Books arent dumb, theyre down 3-1 @ home, they know(or at least theyre gonna protect themselves) the nuggets comeback is inevitable if they go down a bit. Im gonna take denver 1st quarter/1st half. Gotta think they come out blazing with their season on the line. If you like gsw, id wait to get a live line.

[Potentate]

guys got it all wrong
even if nuggets go down some, live lines will still have at least -6, or something close to pregame spread. Unless they go down by20, doubt you get anything around 4. Books arent dumb, theyre down 3-1 @ home, they know(or at least theyre gonna protect themselves) the nuggets comeback is inevitable if they go down a bit. Im gonna take denver 1st quarter/1st half. Gotta think they come out blazing with their season on the line. If you like gsw, id wait to get a live line.

To be fair though, if you like the favorite, -6 is still better than -7.5 or -8. And like y'all are saying, if you like Warriors, wait for the Nuggets to make their first really big run and when the public starts hammering the nuggets, take the live line on the Warriors.

[tylerjz24]

I going with my Dub's to win! Why not...

[YouHave2outs]

thanks for posting the last few days vyom. i can't bet against my boys. should be a fun one to watch.

[ZP3]

law of averages aka gamblers fallacy is a statistical misnomer. probability is independent of its expected value if it is a random event. for example, if you flip coin 99 times and get heads 99 times in a row, the probability of getting heads at your 100th flip is still 50%. if you want more info, wiki does a fairly decent job on it: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Law_of_averages another good one is http://www.probabilitytheory.info/co...aw-of-averages

Correct. Someone paid attention in class!

[StateChamp]

guys got it all wrong
even if nuggets go down some, live lines will still have at least -6, or something close to pregame spread. Unless they go down by20, doubt you get anything around 4. Books arent dumb, theyre down 3-1 @ home, they know(or at least theyre gonna protect themselves) the nuggets comeback is inevitable if they go down a bit. Im gonna take denver 1st quarter/1st half. Gotta think they come out blazing with their season on the line. If you like gsw, id wait to get a live line.

this guy is right. this isnt a coinflip game. if the nuggets are down 14-10 at the first tv timeout live betting will still be like nuggets -5.5

if you like them just take them pregame. this isnt a game to live bet i dont think

[KingJD31]

Tail

[greenhippo]

Putting my car and my dog on the line, I'd like to have two cars and two pups.

[konck]

VYOM this is the 3rd game in a row I agree.
We had Smeltic when no one thought they had a chance
Rockets again 36% public
And here this line screamssssssssssssssssssss ez cover total blow out tonight.
I agree again. Guess anyone betting the Newgets can get on line at the bank.