D2D's NBA, NHL and MLB Daily wagers.......

**Dollars2Donuts** · 04-09-13, 10:18 AM

And yes, Melzer just got rolled by Kamke....that is quite the upset in my eyes for many reasons (beyond ranking, etc). 6-3 and 6-3....Kamke saved 5 of 6 break points and Melzer saved only 1 of 5....moral of the story? There isn't one.

GL the rest of the day, and it looks like there will not be a POD....sorry folks.

**Dollars2Donuts** · 04-09-13, 10:20 AM

Originally posted by vancityswag

lol told you

Haha, it's a long day....and you will notice that the games have been downgraded a little......definitely not as strong as the weekend plays and I am sure there will be loads of juicy plays all week.

**Minnesota Niice** · 04-09-13, 10:56 AM

Lets get it

**bald_guy** · 04-09-13, 11:18 AM

Originally posted by Dollars2Donuts

And yes, Melzer just got rolled by Kamke....that is quite the upset in my eyes for many reasons (beyond ranking, etc). 6-3 and 6-3....Kamke saved 5 of 6 break points and Melzer saved only 1 of 5....moral of the story? There isn't one.

GL the rest of the day, and it looks like there will not be a POD....sorry folks.

Can't win them all. Worked out good for me as when I seen this pick, 5 dimes done took it off the table even though they wasn't even on the court yet.

I follow WTA some and love to watch the women battle it out in singles action. Don't know enough about ATP to make any decisions, but will gladly trust you enough to follow.

Something about 2 grown men out there isn't the same as 2 (mostly hot) women in mini skirts. LOL

**Minnesota Niice** · 04-09-13, 11:54 AM

Originally posted by bald_guy

Can't win them all. Worked out good for me as when I seen this pick, 5 dimes done took it off the table even though they wasn't even on the court yet.

I follow WTA some and love to watch the women battle it out in singles action. Don't know enough about ATP to make any decisions, but will gladly trust you enough to follow.

Something about 2 grown men out there isn't the same as 2 (mostly hot) women in mini skirts. LOL

Don't get your porn and sports mixed together.. Either watch real porn, or watch real sports.. Lol carry on

**TC Woods** · 04-09-13, 07:27 PM

So far, Sharks getting their ass handed to them

**Dollars2Donuts** · 04-09-13, 09:17 PM

Adding (I am now in Edmonton and nothing to do but hit a pub and watch some NBA and get bombed....needed something to cheer for!):

173880396-1	4/9/13 10:15pm	$128.00	$100.00	Pending	2 Team Teaser (ties win) T tw 6½nfl 7fb & 5½bk
				Pending	4/9/13 10:35pm NBA Basketball 668 Golden State Warriors -1½ * <small>vs</small> Minnesota Timberwolves
				Pending	4/9/13 10:35pm NBA Basketball 670 Los Angeles Lakers -3 * <small>vs</small> New Orleans Hornets

**Jayvegas420** · 04-09-13, 09:20 PM

Posters don't like when you get drunk & gamble.
Maybe it's just me!

Lakers are a good pick though!

**tto827** · 04-09-13, 09:25 PM

Originally posted by Jayvegas420

Posters don't like when you get drunk & gamble.
Maybe it's just me!

Lakers are a good pick though!

Major difference when you're grinding out $15 bets to make a living and only have $2700 in cash, vs. already up 5k in the past two months.

**Dollars2Donuts** · 04-09-13, 09:26 PM

For today we are currently 2-5, BUT because we did a nice job of bet-sizing we are only down $128.50.....at 2-5 I will take that ANY DAY!

**Dollars2Donuts** · 04-09-13, 09:31 PM

Originally posted by tto827

Major difference when you're grinding out $15 bets to make a living and only have $2700 in cash, vs. already up 5k in the past two months.

$8k

Getting drunk works when you travel for work like I do....St. Louis just came through for us, so that brings us to 3-6 but only down $46.50! Bet-Sizing!!

**Dollars2Donuts** · 04-09-13, 09:34 PM

Oops...Blackhawks came through for us.....

5-6 but up over $200.....

Now let's cash this teaser and have a nice (little, but still nice) day (especially after starting 0-3)

D2D

**Kpn** · 04-09-13, 09:36 PM

Originally posted by Dollars2Donuts

Oops...Blackhawks came through for us.....

5-6 but up over $200.....

Now let's cash this teaser and have a nice (little, but still nice) day (especially after starting 0-3)

D2D

Jazz look to be losing vs OKC, Lakers know this game tonight is the big one, I'm on Lakers to win like white on rice.

**tto827** · 04-09-13, 09:36 PM

Originally posted by Dollars2Donuts

$8k

Getting drunk works when you travel for work like I do....St. Louis just came through for us, so that brings us to 3-6 but only down $46.50! Bet-Sizing!!

Nice!
I just remembered 5k from a while back and wanted to make sure I low balled as opposed to high.

As your roll keeps increasing, I'm seriously considering saying fukk capping, I've got my one trend I'll follow and tail you the rest of the way home.

**Jayvegas420** · 04-09-13, 09:38 PM

Originally posted by tto827

Major difference when you're grinding out $15 bets to make a living and only have $2700 in cash, vs. already up 5k in the past two months.

Didn't know the alcohol-consumption to money won ratio.
Thanks

GL D2D

**Dollars2Donuts** · 04-10-13, 02:13 AM

Originally posted by tto827

Nice!
I just remembered 5k from a while back and wanted to make sure I low balled as opposed to high.

As your roll keeps increasing, I'm seriously considering saying fukk capping, I've got my one trend I'll follow and tail you the rest of the way home.

Haha, you are good when yout hit it right....which means better than 90% of the cats out there.

Honestly, I wonder if a few cappers put all of their 'best' together and then only played the ones they agreed on (without bias) how that would turn out. POD on my own is 24-11 (crazy numbers), but I think it could be even better.

Today's recap to come shortly

**Dollars2Donuts** · 04-10-13, 02:16 AM

Today is the best example I have found so far that exemplifies how important bet-sizing is. Even without a POD we managed to turn an average night into a nice night $-wise.

Today:

7-5-0

+ $457

Totals (58 documented days):

414 - 348 - 18

+ $ 8814.60

Play of the Day (NO CHANGE):

24 - 11 (.686)

+ $4372.43

**Dollars2Donuts** · 04-10-13, 03:10 AM

Another early tennis play for tomorrow.....let's start out today in a great way!!

D2D

173935651-1 4/10/13 4:08am $110.00 $100.00 Pending 4/10/13 11:15am ATP Tennis 123 T.Robredo Games Won -3 -110* vs T.Kamke Games Won

**bald_guy** · 04-10-13, 08:21 AM

Originally posted by Dollars2Donuts

Another early tennis play for tomorrow.....let's start out today in a great way!!

D2D

173935651-1 4/10/13 4:08am $110.00 $100.00 Pending 4/10/13 11:15am ATP Tennis 123 T.Robredo Games Won -3 -110* vs T.Kamke Games Won

Thanks for the great night D2D. Won more units again last night between following you and El Nino.
I'm locked on this ATP match, but current match has to get done, then 2 more, before our match even starts. Be hours for sure.

Looking forward to following your plays again today. The work you are doing is greatly appreciated.

**Dollars2Donuts** · 04-10-13, 10:02 AM

OK, first non-tennis picks of the day:

173946142-1	4/10/13 10:54am	$50.00	$85.00	Pending	4/10/13 3:40pm MLB Baseball 953 Pittsburgh Pirates +170* <small>vs</small> Arizona Diamondbacks (J Sanchez - L must Start W Miley - L must Start)
173946142-2	4/10/13 10:54am	$53.00	$50.00	Pending	4/10/13 7:10pm MLB Baseball 972 Boston Red Sox -1 -106* <small>vs</small> Baltimore Orioles (J Arrieta - R must Start R Dempster - R must Start)
173946142-3	4/10/13 10:54am	$115.00	$100.00	Pending	4/10/13 7:05pm MLB Baseball 980 Washington Nationals -1 -115* <small>vs</small> Chicago White Sox (G Floyd - R must Start J Zimmermann - R must Start)

173946027-1	4/10/13 10:52am	$105.00	$100.00	Pending	4/10/13 1:05pm Reduced Baseball 965 Toronto Blue Jays/Detroit Tigers Over 9 -105* (M Buehrle - L must Start R Porcello - R must Start)

**Broncos** · 04-10-13, 10:14 AM

Great Job D2D. Glad to see you back. I know it is only a matter of time for you to hit the 5 digit profit!

**Dollars2Donuts** · 04-10-13, 10:17 AM

Ok everybody, we have two PODs today.....and I must say I will probably press those bets as the day goes on....they are both totals and they are both unders. First the Celts/Nets and then the Wolves/Clips. The games will go under for different reasons, but I love both of them. I also like the Heat, but I could have had it at +2.5 and waited a second too long and had to take it at +2....should still cash.....these guys just know how to win.

GL today everyone.....

173947172-1	4/10/13 11:12am	$105.00	$100.00	Pending	4/10/13 7:05pm Reduced Basketball 707 Miami Heat +2 -105* <small>vs</small> Washington Wizards
173947172-2	4/10/13 11:12am	$105.00	$100.00	Pending	4/10/13 8:05pm Reduced Basketball 709 Brooklyn Nets +3½ -105* <small>vs</small> Boston Celtics
173947172-3	4/10/13 11:12am	$214.00	$200.00	Pending	4/10/13 8:05pm Reduced Basketball 709 Brooklyn Nets/Boston Celtics Under 192½ -107*
173947172-4	4/10/13 11:12am	$216.00	$200.00	Pending	4/10/13 10:35pm Reduced Basketball 717 Minnesota Timberwolves/Los Angeles Clippers Under 201 -108*

**createdaily** · 04-10-13, 10:46 AM

Hi Guys, I'm new here. Been dabbling in sports betting a bit lately and thought this would be a good place to get pointers.

Anyway, I have a question for you D2D.

Why did you pick the Pirates over the Dbacks today? Wade Miley is probably AZ's best pitcher, and Sanchez for the Pirates gave up 3 runs in his last start vs a very cold Dodgers offense. While I wouldn't completely count out the pirates since they've won the last 2 vs az, my intuition steers me towards Miley and the AZ offense to pull through against weaker pitching. Maybe I'm missing something, but I'm interested in hearing your thoughts.

Thanks!

**Aussiefalconfan** · 04-10-13, 10:48 AM

I also have a question whos that in your DP?

**Dollars2Donuts** · 04-10-13, 11:04 AM

Originally posted by createdaily

Hi Guys, I'm new here. Been dabbling in sports betting a bit lately and thought this would be a good place to get pointers.

Anyway, I have a question for you D2D.

Why did you pick the Pirates over the Dbacks today? Wade Miley is probably AZ's best pitcher, and Sanchez for the Pirates gave up 3 runs in his last start vs a very cold Dodgers offense. While I wouldn't completely count out the pirates since they've won the last 2 vs az, my intuition steers me towards Miley and the AZ offense to pull through against weaker pitching. Maybe I'm missing something, but I'm interested in hearing your thoughts.

Thanks!

First off, thanks for saying hi.

Now, when capping this game it isn't all about 'the pirates will win this', it is about VALUE. Arizona is in a situation where they are going to be pressing today. Nobody will want to lose to the 'lowly' Pirates and be swept at home. This extra pressure creates issues on the field and in the box. The Pirates will play loose here, knowing that even 2-1 in enemy territory is not too shabby.

Last two points....Miley had a rough spring and while he looked good last game this is the perfect 'oops' game for him, AND the Pirates are an underrated team. A small wager, at +170 has a ton of value in my opinion. Again, they won`t win this every time....but even if they win this game 2 out of 5 it is still a +++EV play at +170.

D2D

**createdaily** · 04-10-13, 11:15 AM

Ok ok, I see what you mean. I hadn't thought about a lot of what you mentioned, particularly the fact that even if they win 2/5 at +170 you're still up. Thanks for the insight!

**Dollars2Donuts** · 04-10-13, 11:20 AM

Adding:

173952266-1

4/10/13 12:19pm

$50.00

$66.00

Pending

4/10/13 7:05pm MLB Baseball 970 Cleveland Indians -1 +132* vs New York Yankees (I Nova - R must Start Z McAllister - R must Start)

**Huckleberry Pig** · 04-10-13, 11:40 AM

GL today D2D, one of my favorite threads to follow

**bald_guy** · 04-10-13, 11:46 AM

One of your POD 4/10/13 10:35pm Reduced Basketball 717 Minnesota Timberwolves/Los Angeles Clippers Under 201 -108* is now under 200.5 -105 on 5 dimes.

Most likely due to the great following you have well earned. Hopefully this is still a good value. I took it anyway. Will be an interesting day for sure.

**Smoke** · 04-10-13, 11:47 AM

Nice work donut

Keep up the good work

**Kpn** · 04-10-13, 01:40 PM

Originally posted by bald_guy

One of your POD 4/10/13 10:35pm Reduced Basketball 717 Minnesota Timberwolves/Los Angeles Clippers Under 201 -108* is now under 200.5 -105 on 5 dimes.

Most likely due to the great following you have well earned. Hopefully this is still a good value. I took it anyway. Will be an interesting day for sure.

It just dipped again on some sites to 199, the books must be watching

**MonkeyMoney** · 04-10-13, 02:24 PM

Originally posted by Dollars2Donuts

Ok everybody, we have two PODs today.....and I must say I will probably press those bets as the day goes on....they are both totals and they are both unders. First the Celts/Nets and then the Wolves/Clips. The games will go under for different reasons, but I love both of them. I also like the Heat, but I could have had it at +2.5 and waited a second too long and had to take it at +2....should still cash.....these guys just know how to win.

GL today everyone.....

173947172-1	4/10/13 11:12am	$105.00	$100.00	Pending	4/10/13 7:05pm Reduced Basketball 707 Miami Heat +2 -105* <small>vs</small> Washington Wizards
173947172-2	4/10/13 11:12am	$105.00	$100.00	Pending	4/10/13 8:05pm Reduced Basketball 709 Brooklyn Nets +3½ -105* <small>vs</small> Boston Celtics
173947172-3	4/10/13 11:12am	$214.00	$200.00	Pending	4/10/13 8:05pm Reduced Basketball 709 Brooklyn Nets/Boston Celtics Under 192½ -107*
173947172-4	4/10/13 11:12am	$216.00	$200.00	Pending	4/10/13 10:35pm Reduced Basketball 717 Minnesota Timberwolves/Los Angeles Clippers Under 201 -108*

nice picks.. i am going to tease them with a 4 teamer with 10 points

**MonkeyMoney** · 04-10-13, 02:27 PM

also the dbacks vs pirates game has one good stat to look at... both lefties pitching, and the offense has been bad for both sides vs lefties... take the under 9

on a side note.. i have noticed a trend in the early baseball season, when a team is coming off a blow out win with lots of runs, usually they dont score a lot the next day, and vice versa..

**16johnnymac** · 04-10-13, 02:50 PM

[QUOTE=MonkeyMoney;18352782]also the dbacks vs pirates game has one good stat to look at... both lefties pitching, and the offense has been bad for both sides vs lefties... take the under 9

The rats will find away to give a ton of runs today my bestfriend is close to Sanchez's family and his family member is very sick he almost didn't pitch today but they convinced him he will get blown up today game will go over easy so good luck fellows

**funguys_2005** · 04-10-13, 03:28 PM

Originally posted by Smoke

Nice work donut

Keep up the good work

Smoke can I pay you in SBR points to change your avatar...there isnt one thing about it that doesnt freak me out from the facial expression to the damn nut suck on a pole...Look D2D changed his to some hot chick and now he's on fire again...ok maybe I just made a point to not change it, but if D2D goes on an extended cold streak I am paying you to change it...

D2D Keep up the good work!