El Niño's MLB Thread

[El Nino]

8/27

San Diego Padres (+108) 5Dimes
Lean on the over in the Yankees/Blue Jays game. Waiting for confirmation on the roof being open. Still undecided as of an hour ago.

Kennedy facing his old team that traded him away for peanuts. Revenge angle plus Dbacks starting a AA prospect in Holmberg. Kid has good #'s in AA, but I doubt he sees more than 6 innings in a spot start. Leaves plenty of room for the bullpen.

[El Nino]

Line jumping on the over @ 5Dimes, no roof info yet. Speculating that it will be open based on yesterday.
Added: Over 9 Yankees/Blue Jays (-110) 1.1u BookMaker

[snakedrew]

Line jumping on the over @ 5Dimes, no roof info yet. Speculating that it will be open based on yesterday.
Added: Over 9 Yankees/Blue Jays (-110) 1.1u BookMaker

Watching the game, they just showed a closed roof Nino. Thunderstorms about apparently.
Edit: Happ's getting lit up, i wouldn't sweet it.

[El Nino]

Watching the game, they just showed a closed roof Nino. Thunderstorms about apparently.
Edit: Happ's getting lit up, i wouldn't sweet it.

Yeah, the Twitter feed for Rogers Centre wasn't updating, took a gamble and fired on it anyway. I'll never complain about a 4 spot in the top of the 1st.

[El Nino]

0-2 -2.1u Close, but no cigar on both plays. Dbacks game was entertaining at least. Prado lays out for a sick catch to save the game from getting busted open in the top of the 9th with the bases loaded. Prado is up there with McCutchen as one of the NL's best hitter since the All-Star Break, Prado is batting .356 with an OBP of .409 Slugging .559 and an OPS of .968. Too late for a Dbacks wild card run? I think so, but I hope there's a battle down the stretch at least.

8/28

Toronto Blue Jays (+123) 5Dimes

YTD
154-146-2 +18.80u

Yeah, Yeah, the Yankees are 13-2 against the Blue Jays this season. But they are only 3-2 @ Rogers Centre. Robinson Cano is most likely out resting his hand that he initially thought was broken. Mark Reynolds slotted to play second base, so there will be a roster move tomorrow. Kuroda has great #'s against the Blue Jays, but he faced them at the end of April and mid May. Kuroda is having his worst month of the season in August. He's 1-3 with a 4.79ERA he gave up more HR's in his last start (4) than he did in the entire month of July. Dead arm, lack of command, whatever it may be he isn't getting away with his pitches like he was earlier in the season. Batters are hitting .299 off Kuroda in August. If Kuroda leaves pitches hanging like he did in Tampa, the Blue Jays are going to put them way out. Kuroda has the 2nd lowest run support in the AL averaging 3.19 runs of support/start.

The Yankees have never faced Blue Jays pitcher Todd Redmond. In 4 home starts this season Redmond has gone 1-0 with 3ND's. The Blue Jays are 2-2 in Redmond's 4 home starts. In 22 innings at home Redmond has given up 14H 6ER 3HR 7BB's with 25K's. I have this much closer than the line suggests and I'm taking the home dog.

[El Nino]

1-0 +1.23u
YTD
155-146-2 +20.03u

[El Nino]

8/29

Minnesota Twins (+120) 5Dimes

Game starts in 20 min. Was hoping the line would keep going up. No time for a long write up. Chen struggling, fading the home sweep, taking another home doggie.

[El Nino]

0-1 -1u

YTD
155-147-2 +19.03u

[Chi_archie]

good luck man!

I'll be following along

[El Nino]

good luck man!

I'll be following along

Archiiiiiiie, I'm trying to finish strong, pal. Thanks. The Twins are in some kind of slump. They already set a club record for team strikeouts and they have 30 games left. Willingham placed on waivers, claimed, who knows what happens with him. Mauer done for the season (most likely) with his concussion issues. Morneau is awful. A bad year for the Twins, about to be closed out horribly bad. Gardy got himself tossed in the 2nd inning today and still couldn't fire up the boys. Yu Darvish is (-300) against the Twins tomorrow, the RL is (-150) Darvish has the ability and opportunity to strike out 16+ tomorrow night.

Archie, hit the Dodgers Run Line tomorrow. Waiting to see if it is (+110) on 5Dimes, no RL posted yet. It's sitting at +105 on BookMaker at the moment. San Diego has been awful in the first game of an away series. Padres are 6-14 this season in the first game of a road series this season. Of those 14 losses, 12 have been lost on the run line. Happened in the last 4 road series (Dbacks, Rockies, Reds, & Dbacks).

[El Nino]

8/30

Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (+110) 5Dimes

YTD
155-147-2 +19.03u

[El Nino]

Added: Arizona Diamondbacks FF (-125) 1.25u BookMaker

[thunderous]

Lets do it Nino!

[El Nino]

Lets do it Nino!

Actually loved the card today. Easily could have been a 6-pack play day. Keeping it conservative though.

[El Nino]

Cy Lincecum 4hits and not one scare in the FF, dealing with off speed garbage.

[BigDeem5]

Nino, I'm on D'backs big -125 game

R they gunna wake the fuk up?

[El Nino]

Nino, I'm on D'backs big -125 game

R they gunna wake the fuk up?

The way this team has played this year, they will tie it in the 7th, take the lead in the 8th, blow the save in the 9th, and win in the 14th. Better start main lining Red Bull.

[BigDeem5]

The way this team has played this year, they will tie it in the 7th, take the lead in the 8th, blow the save in the 9th, and win in the 14th. Better start main lining Red Bull.

What is the delay?

[El Nino]

What is the delay?

Timmay whining about the mound. Came out and manicured it. Business as usual at Chase Field.

[El Nino]

Bang...now they execute a hit and run.

[BigDeem5]

Loaded 1 out... Montero gunna fuk me nino?

[El Nino]

Loaded 1 out... Montero gunna fuk me nino?

Yup swinging for the pool. He blows this season.

[El Nino]

3 straight monster swings.

[BigDeem5]

Fuk Montero.

[El Nino]

Fuk Montero.

Great defensively, whoreshit at the dish this season. After he signs for big money, of course. Making $10 million this season...total joke.

[BigDeem5]

Fuk D'backs too.

[El Nino]

Wow...Kung Fu Panda goes horizontal and makes a great play. Saves at least 2 runs on a grounder down the line. Ball was hit hard.

[BigDeem5]

Fuk panda.

[BigDeem5]

Can't ask much more outta Delgado... figured d'backs woulda hit Timmy for 5 runs

[El Nino]

Can't ask much more outta Delgado... figured d'backs woulda hit Timmy for 5 runs

Agreed. I debated the value on gambling with the Dbacks' pen over them getting to Timmay before the 6th. He dodged bullets in the 6th. Dbacks couldn't string anything together.

Delgado pitching well, staying down in the zone. Switched to glasses from contacts, was having issues with him. He's rebounded nicely.

[El Nino]

1-1 -0.15u Should have just stuck with my profitable angle fading the Padres in the first road game of a series. I will be very close to auto betting this angle for the remainder of the season. That brings the count to 6-15 with 13 of the 15 losses on the RL. 4 opportunities left on the season for this play. 9/10 @ Philly, 9/13 @ Atlanta, 9/16 @ Pittsburgh, and 9/27 @ San Francisco.

8/31

Tampa Bay Rays (+119) 5Dimes
Toronto Blue Jays (-122) 1.22u 5Dimes

YTD
156-148-2 +18.88u

[billysink]

Very big on Toronto myself today. Turned them into a dog @ 110 to win first five.

What a great job in this thread.

[El Nino]

Very big on Toronto myself today. Turned them into a dog @ 110 to win first five.

What a great job in this thread.

Thanks, Billysinker! Let's start the weekend with a cash.

[italianbandit]

Agree with Billy, good thread. Best of luck the rest of the way.

[El Nino]

Agree with Billy, good thread. Best of luck the rest of the way.

Thanks, pal.