Vegas Dave's How Philosophy Picks Work (Video)

[VegasDave]

Should clear up why I like these plays. Hope you find interesting.

[Dante799]

Great Video Dave, are you coming out with the bowl games video anytime soon?

[pat venditto]

thats rigged theory you idiot.

[pat venditto]

no way around it you are playing rigged theory you're a square. you bet games accordly to what the oddsmakers spread is you're a dick

[VegasDave]

How is accepting the fact that bookmakers know more than I do and betting what they like a 'rigged theory'? Im pretty sure this is just a character you are playing; if so, I think its kind of lame. If you really are this dense and hateful... its just sad.

[InTheHole]

Vegas...Venditto is a 20 year old prick from Long Island NY. Have you ever been to Long Island NY? I have 20+ cousins from there and theyre all egocentric pricks.

[pat venditto]

Okay dave so if the yankees are playing your local tball team and the yankees are +300 you're going to bet your little league team just because of what the oddsmaker is setting the line at. Thats not how you win you are angle shooting. In the longrun those philosophy picks will not hit over 55%

[Chi_archie]

Okay dave so if the yankees are playing your local tball team and the yankees are +300 you're going to bet your little league team just because of what the oddsmaker is setting the line at. Thats not how you win you are angle shooting. In the longrun those philosophy picks will not hit over 55%

that might be the dumbest post this year? seriously? live in the real world, bud.

[Chi_archie]

Dave, nice to see ya rocking the Troy jersey!!1

[pat venditto]

Archie it's a valid example

[AGENT99]

hey dave can you tell me how to post a video? thanks

[VegasDave]

Okay dave so if the yankees are playing your local tball team and the yankees are +300 you're going to bet your little league team just because of what the oddsmaker is setting the line at. Thats not how you win you are angle shooting. In the longrun those philosophy picks will not hit over 55%

Obviously not a valid example at all, because this would never happen. We are talking about professional team VS. professional team here. This line would never exist and thus can not be considered a valid question at all.

Like I've said, I'm over 63% over 4 years. How long until this counts as long run? 5 years? 10 years? Let me know so I can talk to you then. Until then, please go away. Your act is really getting old.

[pat venditto]

when you hit 55% through 1000 plays than its a valid angle.

[InTheHole]

Case in point...Venditto quotes himself in his tagline

[VegasDave]

hey dave can you tell me how to post a video? thanks

After you've uploaded a video to youtube, use the "YouTube" button under advanced post. you'll get these bars...

[ youtube ] Insert Here [/youtube]

Then insert the link to the youtube video there, and it should pop up and be viewable. If you need more detailed instructions, PM me.

[VegasDave]

when you hit 55% through 1000 plays than its a valid angle.

Sounds good.

82 - 48 - 5

63.1% over 135 plays.

I'll let you know in 25 years or so if I stayed over 55% when I hit 1000 plays. Any chance you can leave me alone until I'm done collecting the data?

[Chi_archie]

Archie it's a valid example

pat when that "valid example" game happens let me know, cuz i'll give you +10000 on the yanks with no max bet? ok...

in the longrun On VD's philo picks doesn't matter, cuz if he actually had $$$$...and he bet these this year... he'd be living quite large for a year at least... no doubt.....and I think most gamblers would take that..

[pat venditto]

vegas dave is hitting 52.9% of his picks which means he has just about broken even on the whole year. What are you talking about?

[VegasDave]

pat when that "valid example" game happens let me know, cuz i'll give you +10000 on the yanks with no max bet? ok...

in the longrun On VD's philo picks doesn't matter, cuz if he actually had $$$$...and he bet these this year... he'd be living quite large for a year at least... no doubt.....and I think most gamblers would take that..

Post 2000 defending me, congrats Chi

Im hoping by the time next season rolls around I will have money to gamble

[Chi_archie]

Post 2000 defending me, congrats Chi

Im hoping by the time next season rolls around I will have money to gamble

son of bitch... now you are my enemy Dave.... didn't even notice... i had planned to throw myself a big party thread..... ah well,

I'll wait till 3k

[pat venditto]

Too bad his 2000th post made no sense whatsoever.

[VegasDave]

son of bitch... now you are my enemy Dave.... didn't even notice... i had planned to throw myself a big party thread..... ah well,

I'll wait till 3k

Awww come on, I wore the Troy in honor of your achievement!

[Chi_archie]

Awww come on, I wore the Troy in honor of your achievement!

dude, you are honored just to BE wearing that jersey with the year he is having...

[VegasDave]

dude, you are honored just to BE wearing that jersey with the year he is having...

Carson Palmer - Out for Season
Matt Leinart - Backup, Bust
Mike Williams - Out of the NFL
Reggie Bush - Not too bad

Needless to say, Polamalu is my best ex-Trojan jersey by miles

[AGENT99]

vegas dave do you have to have ear phones to make a video on youtube?

[Chi_archie]

Carson Palmer - Out for Season
Matt Leinart - Backup, Bust
Mike Williams - Out of the NFL
Reggie Bush - Not too bad

Needless to say, Polamalu is my best ex-Trojan jersey by miles

Oh...WOW i'm not very good at observation... I never made the connection...

Dude you have a VD jersey jinx, that is gonna rival the SI or Madden cover jinx... put that Troy jersey in the closet immediately

[VegasDave]

vegas dave do you have to have ear phones to make a video on youtube?

No, but my built in mic on my comp is static-y, and the wireless one on my cam wasn't working today for some reason.

[Kingctb27]

Patty you are a ****ing idiot.

[pat venditto]

Dave would you enlighten me on what your edge was in the niners/jets game. You in the video said the jets are the better team and niners are bad. So wheres your edge?

[AGENT99]

you look like a big twinkee with a steelers jersey on

[pat venditto]

you look like a big twinkee with a steelers jersey on

[VegasDave]

Dave would you enlighten me on what your edge was in the niners/jets game. You in the video said the jets are the better team and niners are bad. So wheres your edge?

You are either deaf, or incapable of understanding me. Either way, explaining is a waste of my time.

I'll be polite this once.

In the video, as I explained, bookmakers know these teams inside and out, a lot better than you and I do. They saw the edge where you and I could not.

You saw that Jets -4 and your eyes lit up. You thought it was free money. You came into the chat room and told everyone to bet it, and said anyone who went against you was a square. When I said I liked SF, you called me a square. http://forum.sbrforum.com/players-ta...ml-sunday.html

I saw that line and thought wow, that looks way too easy. Bookmakers want guys like you and me to bet the Jets. So I went the other way, and, I won.

Of course instead of saying nice pick, you call me a lucky idiot, because you are incapable of understanding anything outside of your little box, or of being a nice/decent guy.

Your idol, Nicky Santoro, has said on numerous occasions that you can't outsmart the bookmakers, you can't outcap them. So when they put all their money on one side (by letting the public pound the hell out of the other side), instead of trying to beat them, I join them. Why is this such a difficult concept for you to grasp?

[gm2022]

You are either deaf, or incapable of understanding me. Either way, explaining is a waste of my time.

I'll be polite this once.

In the video, as I explained, bookmakers know these teams inside and out, a lot better than you and I do. They saw the edge where you and I could not.

You saw that Jets -4 and your eyes lit up. You thought it was free money. You came into the chat room and told everyone to bet it, and said anyone who went against you was a square. When I said I liked SF, you called me a square. http://forum.sbrforum.com/players-ta...ml-sunday.html

I saw that line and thought wow, that looks way too easy. Bookmakers want guys like you and me to bet the Jets. So I went the other way, and, I won.

Of course instead of saying nice pick, you call me a lucky idiot, because you are incapable of understanding anything outside of your little box, or of being a nice/decent guy.

Your idol, Nicky Santoro, has said on numerous occasions that you can't outsmart the bookmakers, you can't outcap them. So when they put all their money on one side (by letting the public pound the hell out of the other side), instead of trying to beat them, I join them. Why is this such a difficult concept for you to grasp?

Im only laughing at how know one listens just for the record!

[pat venditto]

If you can't outsmart the bookie nobody would win thats dumb reasoning. I didn't say it was a lock but taking the niners in that spot is not profitable long term.

[VegasDave]

If you can't outsmart the bookie nobody would win thats dumb reasoning. I didn't say it was a lock but taking the niners in that spot is not profitable long term.

There is such a thing as agreeing to disagree. I'm not saying everyone needs to think this way; its just my thought process. I wish you the best in however you go about capping, and I hope you wish me the best as well.