Miami Heat +3.5 is an easy play today

[wantitall4moi]

Denver is 43-0, 39-3 ATS when hosting a team on the 2nd game of a back to back. Denver or no play.

that isnt true either.

I just looked it up to make sure....

Since 2007 Denver is 30-10 Su and 23-17 at home against a team with no rest. no where near what you claim so you need a new source or you outright made it up.

EDIT if you make it back to back on the road it is even worse...

Denver is only 19-9 Su and 13-15 ATS, that obviously includes every game above, but fine tunes it a little more.

[rm18]

they probably dont even know Wade is out or I would be more worried

[Kindred]

that linemade zero sense, even with no rest.

Theyre saying that denver is 3.5 points better than the clippers? Yeah right.

Wouldnt surprise me if Miami won by 20.

Denver always has a much higher home advantage than the league average..due to altitude. A sharp like yourself should know these things. Betting Denver 2nd half at home used to be money even when they sucked donkey balls. market has caught up, which is why you see Denver -3.5 at home. They have more of a home advantage than the clips.

[wantitall4moi]

Denver always has a much higher home advantage than the league average..due to altitude. A sharp like yourself should know these things. Betting Denver 2nd half at home used to be money even when they sucked donkey balls. market has caught up, which is why you see Denver -3.5 at home. They have more of a home advantage than the clips.

i dont bet too much NBA anymore I stick to fading the lakers, and betting on the clippers and spurs when the lines dictate. NBA is too fixed to take it seriously, even fading the lakers you have to eat a few horrible games. But I did bet Miami ML here, only bet you could make IMO. +160 or -3.5 on a team that isnt that good but has a massive situational advantage?

the one thing I will say is the team that wins will cover, I dont think the 3.5 will be a factor at all, Miami either wins Su or denver does what Clippers did last night.

This is a coin flip game and in a coin flip you take the odds.

[sando]

Home team is 8-3 ATS in the last 11 games between the two
Nuggets are 11-2 ATS in their last 13 games following a S.U. loss
Nuggets are 30-10 ATS in their last 40 vs. Eastern Conference
Nuggets are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games. (Nuggets are a very tough cover at the Pepsi Centre - always have been)
Heat are 3-12-1 ATS in their last 16 games.
Heat are 0-6 ATS in the last 6 games in Denver
Heat are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 v Western Conference
Heat are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games

The Heat are 2-3 on the road this year.
The Nuggets are 2-0 at home this year.

[rm18]

Home team is 8-3 ATS in the last 11 games between the two
Nuggets are 11-2 ATS in their last 13 games following a S.U. loss
Nuggets are 30-10 ATS in their last 40 vs. Eastern Conference
Nuggets are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games. (Nuggets are a very tough cover at the Pepsi Centre - always have been)
Heat are 3-12-1 ATS in their last 16 games.
Heat are 0-6 ATS in the last 6 games in Denver
Heat are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 v Western Conference
Heat are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games

The Heat are 2-3 on the road this year.
The Nuggets are 2-0 at home this year.

Lebron played at most 1 of those 6 games

[BMoreBird]

nuggets, celtics, knicks

[bleek88]

The Hot boys - I need a hot girl

[d2bets]

The Heat are going to bankrupt a lot of bettors this season.

[swankk]

Okay so I stand corrected, I copied n pasted that info from a source on SBR.
This is the accurate info since of back2back games played at Denver since 2010.
Denver Record: 21-3 SU, 13-7-4 ATS

04/22/2012: Denver (-11) vs. Orlando - Win 101-74
03/17/2012: Denver (-7) vs. Boston - Win 98-91
03/11/2012: Denver (-6) vs. Memphis - Loss 94-91
03/05/2012: Denver (-9) vs. Sacramento - Win 119-116
02/20/2012: Denver (-3.5) vs. Minnesota - Win 103-101
02/14/1012: Denver (-8.5) vs. Phoenix - Win 109-92
01/15/2012: Denver (-10.5) vs. Utah - Loss 106-96
01/04/2012: Denver (-12) vs. Sacramento - Win 110-83
12/28/2011: Denver (-11.5) vs. Utah - Win 117-100
04/11/2011: Denver (-12) vs. Golden State - Win 134-111
03/30/2011: Denver (-14) vs. Sacramento - Win 104-90
03/21/2011: Denver (-12.5) vs. Toronto - Win 123-90
03/12/2011: Denver (-9.5) vs. Detroit - Win 131-101
02/28/2011: Denver (-6.5) vs. Atlanta - Win 100-90
02/10/2011: Denver (-3) vs. Dallas - Win 121-120
02/02/2011: Denver (-8.5) vs. Portland - Win 109-90
01/23/2011: Denver (-9.5) vs. Indiana - Win 121-107
01/15/2011: Denver (-17) vs. Cleveland - Win 127-99
01/13/2011: Denver (-1) vs. Miami - Win 130-102
01/03/2011: Denver (-7) vs. Houston - Win 113-106
12/28/2010: Denver (-8) vs. Portland - Win - 95-77
12/16/2010: Denver (+1) vs. San Antonio - Loss 113-112
12/18/2010: Denver (-10.5) vs. Minnesota - Win 115-113
11/20/2010: Denver (-10.5) vs. New Jersey - Win 107-103

[bleek88]

Another conspiracy theorist wow

[swankk]

Another conspiracy theorist wow

Conspiracy theorist? Lol sure buddy
All I did was provide statistics, personally I'm not touching either side but if I had to, it would be Denver ML.

[wantitall4moi]

Okay so I stand corrected, I copied n pasted that info from a source on SBR.
This is the accurate info since of back2back games played at Denver since 2010.
Record: 21-3

04/22/2012: Denver (-11) vs. Orlando - Win 101-74
03/17/2012: Denver (-7) vs. Boston - Win 98-91
03/11/2012: Denver (-6) vs. Memphis - Loss 94-91
03/05/2012: Denver (-9) vs. Sacramento - Win 119-116
02/20/2012: Denver (-3.5) vs. Minnesota - Win 103-101
02/14/1012: Denver (-8.5) vs. Phoenix - Win 109-92
01/15/2012: Denver (-10.5) vs. Utah - Loss 106-96
01/04/2012: Denver (-12) vs. Sacramento - Win 110-83
12/28/2011: Denver (-11.5) vs. Utah - Win 117-100
04/11/2011: Denver (-12) vs. Golden State - Win 134-111
03/30/2011: Denver (-14) vs. Sacramento - Win 104-90
03/21/2011: Denver (-12.5) vs. Toronto - Win 123-90
03/12/2011: Denver (-9.5) vs. Detroit - Win 131-101
02/28/2011: Denver (-6.5) vs. Atlanta - Win 100-90
02/10/2011: Denver (-3) vs. Dallas - Win 121-120
02/02/2011: Denver (-8.5) vs. Portland - Win 109-90
01/23/2011: Denver (-9.5) vs. Indiana - Win 121-107
01/15/2011: Denver (-17) vs. Cleveland - Win 127-99
01/13/2011: Denver (-1) vs. Miami - Win 130-102
01/03/2011: Denver (-7) vs. Houston - Win 113-106
12/28/2010: Denver (-8) vs. Portland - Win - 95-77
12/16/2010: Denver (+1) vs. San Antonio - Loss 113-112
12/18/2010: Denver (-10.5) vs. Minnesota - Win 115-113
11/20/2010: Denver (-10.5) vs. New Jersey - Win 107-103

still not right, but i had the wrong info put in as well.


Team on back to back road games playing in denver with no rest....

0-12 SU; 4-8 ATS since 2010.

20101120	NJN	DEN	A	103-107	0&1	40-47	+10'	+203'	-4	6.5	6.5	6.5	0.0	L	W	O
20110202	POR	DEN	A	90-109	0&1	42-51	+8'	+203'	-19	-10.5	-4.5	-7.5	3.0	L	L	U
20110210	DAL	DEN	A	120-121	0&0	53-52	+3	+210'	-1	2.0	30.5	16.2	14.2	L	W	O
20110228	ATL	DEN	A	90-100	0&2	40-48	+6	+202	-10	-4.0	-12.0	-8.0	-4.0	L	L	U
20110312	DET	DEN	A	101-131	0&1	50-56	+9'	+208	-30	-20.5	24.0	1.8	22.2	L	L	O
20110321	TOR	DEN	A	90-123	0&1	40-47	+12'	+214	-33	-20.5	-1.0	-10.8	9.8	L	L	U
20111228	UTH	DEN	A	100-117	0&1	48-53	+12	+203	-17	-5.0	14.0	4.5	9.5	L	L	O
20120101	LAL	DEN	A	90-99	0&0	39-46	+5'	+198'	-9	-3.5	-9.5	-6.5	-3.0	L	L	U
20120214	PHO	DEN	A	92-109	0&2	33-51	+8'	+206	-17	-8.5	-5.0	-6.8	1.8	L	L	U
20120220	MIN	DEN	A	101-103	0&0	36-40	+3'	+209	-2	1.5	-5.0	-1.8	-3.2	L	W	U	1
20120305	SAC	DEN	A	116-119	0&0	45-45	+9	+211'	-3	6.0	23.5	14.8	8.8	L	W	O	1
20120422	ORL	DEN	A	74-101	0&0	37-56	+11	+204	-27	-16.0	-29.0	-22.5	-6.5	L	L	U
20121115	MIA	DEN	A		0&2		+3	+202

[Enkhbat]

I like the over in this game, both teams score 100+ points

[No coincidences]

Unbettable.

[swankk]

still not right, but i had the wrong info put in as well.


Team on back to back road games playing in denver with no rest....

0-12 SU; 4-8 ATS since 2010.

20101120	NJN	DEN	A	103-107	0&1	40-47	+10'	+203'	-4	6.5	6.5	6.5	0.0	L	W	O
20110202	POR	DEN	A	90-109	0&1	42-51	+8'	+203'	-19	-10.5	-4.5	-7.5	3.0	L	L	U
20110210	DAL	DEN	A	120-121	0&0	53-52	+3	+210'	-1	2.0	30.5	16.2	14.2	L	W	O
20110228	ATL	DEN	A	90-100	0&2	40-48	+6	+202	-10	-4.0	-12.0	-8.0	-4.0	L	L	U
20110312	DET	DEN	A	101-131	0&1	50-56	+9'	+208	-30	-20.5	24.0	1.8	22.2	L	L	O
20110321	TOR	DEN	A	90-123	0&1	40-47	+12'	+214	-33	-20.5	-1.0	-10.8	9.8	L	L	U
20111228	UTH	DEN	A	100-117	0&1	48-53	+12	+203	-17	-5.0	14.0	4.5	9.5	L	L	O
20120101	LAL	DEN	A	90-99	0&0	39-46	+5'	+198'	-9	-3.5	-9.5	-6.5	-3.0	L	L	U
20120214	PHO	DEN	A	92-109	0&2	33-51	+8'	+206	-17	-8.5	-5.0	-6.8	1.8	L	L	U
20120220	MIN	DEN	A	101-103	0&0	36-40	+3'	+209	-2	1.5	-5.0	-1.8	-3.2	L	W	U	1
20120305	SAC	DEN	A	116-119	0&0	45-45	+9	+211'	-3	6.0	23.5	14.8	8.8	L	W	O	1
20120422	ORL	DEN	A	74-101	0&0	37-56	+11	+204	-27	-16.0	-29.0	-22.5	-6.5	L	L	U
20121115	MIA	DEN	A		0&2		+3	+202

How is the info I put in wrong? Your info is b2b road games... Mines is b2b in general

[CanuckG]

01/13/12	@ covers.com/pageLoader/pageLoader.aspx?page=/data/nba/teams/team404065.html	L covers.com/pageLoader/pageLoader.aspx?page=/data/nba/results/2011-2012/boxscore838032.html	Regular Season	L -3.5	O 210
01/11/12	@ covers.com/pageLoader/pageLoader.aspx?page=/data/nba/teams/team404135.html	L covers.com/pageLoader/pageLoader.aspx?page=/data/nba/results/2011-2012/boxscore838017.html (OT)	Regular Season	L -3	U 203

[vyomguy]

those ats records are meaningless now...coz this is a very different denver team.

This denver team is very young and not many consistent scorers.

People blindly looking at previous years stats..are also probably long term losers. Books love when people look at trends when they have no real meaning for a different team.

Having said that, I like denver...not because of meaningless trends...but because of the line...-3.5 is pretty much books way of telling us that miami will get blown out.

Denver or no play.

[swankk]

01/13/12	@ covers.com/pageLoader/pageLoader.aspx?page=/data/nba/teams/team404065.html	L covers.com/pageLoader/pageLoader.aspx?page=/data/nba/results/2011-2012/boxscore838032.html	Regular Season	L -3.5	O 210
01/11/12	@ covers.com/pageLoader/pageLoader.aspx?page=/data/nba/teams/team404135.html	L covers.com/pageLoader/pageLoader.aspx?page=/data/nba/results/2011-2012/boxscore838017.html (OT)	Regular Season	L -3	U 203

Almost seems like de ja vu

[CanuckG]

Two nights in a row Miami is the easy play on PT

[Stelio Kontos]

Heat ML (+160) + O202.5 Parlay FOR 1 UNIT....

[wantitall4moi]

How is the info I put in wrong? Your info is b2b road games... Mines is b2b in general

generic back to back with no rest regardless of location then would be


3-22 SU and 7-16-2 ATS for denvers opponents.

[marcoloco]

Denver altitude on b2b with no Wade doesnt sound like an easy play.... yet I am on Miami ML tonight. GL

[RawBillyIce]

im on it

Bet Posted

Miami Heat vs Denver Nuggets
Proposition: Game Winner
Outcome: Miami PK+125
Risking $xx.xx to win $xx.xx

[CanuckG]

Wow Brewer of the Nugs must of bet MIA

[bleek88]

MIA was the play, you conspiracy theorists need to learn how to cap.

[daimoshokage]

Looks like a winner!!

[wantitall4moi]

that linemade zero sense, even with no rest.

Theyre saying that denver is 3.5 points better than the clippers? Yeah right.

Wouldnt surprise me if Miami won by 20.

dont tell me I am going to be the smartest guy in yet another thread?

[Cuse0323]

I fell for the trap with the 3 games in 4 days. I should have known, no Wade means Lebron takes over and these fckers Miller/Battier won't miss.

[iifold]

dont tell me I am going to be the smartest guy in yet another thread?

When rm18 starts a thread, no one enters or leaves it the smartest...

iifold inc. tracks this type shit...

No disrespect

[CanuckG]

wanti you going tout yet?

found some square guido on twitter who had the Heat is he shawp?

Anthony <s style="text-decoration: initial; color: rgb(187, 187, 187);">@</s>_AO_ant
If Miami wins this game, I'm breaking fukking Bank!!

[ThaWoj]

2pt game..

[CanuckG]

dont tell me I am going to be the smartest guy in yet another thread?

Heat by 20 put the booze down

[romaldinho88]

my god cole is complete and utter fooking garbish, if charmers was still on the floor, this game would be long over....

[CanuckG]

Will be a buzzer beater Yes -380