Anyone taking the 49er's tonight?

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  • bigboydan
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 08-10-05
    • 55420

    #1
    Anyone taking the 49er's tonight?
    I do like betting on dogs, however I don't think I can back them in this game at all. Can you guys make a case for me to back the 49er's plus the points tonight?
  • MonkeyF0cker
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 06-12-07
    • 12144

    #2
    Reverse line movement is the only positive I'm seeing at the moment, BBD.
    Comment
    • themajormt
      SBR MVP
      • 07-30-08
      • 3964

      #3
      I really don't see any value in SF at all, maybe if they were the home team but I believe AZ beat them by 10 at SF earlier right?

      I think AZ is getting a lot of confidence and with the strong RB play of hightower I don't see how SF can keep this close. A back door cover is possible but I dont think it is likely...

      gl!
      Comment
      • themajormt
        SBR MVP
        • 07-30-08
        • 3964

        #4
        Originally posted by MonkeyF0cker
        Reverse line movement is the only positive I'm seeing at the moment, BBD.
        Do you think thats true reverse line movement? A couple of the books I have an account with were all 9.5 -115 and are now 10 -105...
        Comment
        • PureGuava
          SBR MVP
          • 04-26-08
          • 1294

          #5
          They are playing at home. That's one advantage right there. Plus your starting the game 10-0, see if you can pay a little more juice for +10.5
          Comment
          • thejrichshow85
            Restricted User
            • 06-15-08
            • 3342

            #6
            im all over the 49ers in a close game.
            Comment
            • Casperwaits
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 08-25-06
              • 5042

              #7
              If you caught the second half of the Seahawks/Niners game, you saw Hill throw the ball better than JT. I think teamed with another week of Singletarys coaching should keep the Niners in this game in a shootout.
              Comment
              • L2Gunz
                SBR MVP
                • 09-23-08
                • 2199

                #8
                Originally posted by Casperwaits
                If you caught the second half of the Seahawks/Niners game, you saw Hill throw the ball better than JT. I think teamed with another week of Singletarys coaching should keep the Niners in this game in a shootout.
                ^^^^^^^^^It's Babyd!ck again...
                Comment
                • BigD
                  SBR MVP
                  • 09-23-05
                  • 1096

                  #9
                  Originally posted by Casperwaits
                  If you caught the second half of the Seahawks/Niners game, you saw Hill throw the ball better than JT. I think teamed with another week of Singletarys coaching should keep the Niners in this game in a shootout.

                  I don't think it matters who the QB. Arzona at home will smoke the niners. I think this team is worst off with this whole Singletary thing . Player are not going to play for him
                  Comment
                  • Casperwaits
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 08-25-06
                    • 5042

                    #10
                    Thank you, Thank you, I'll be here all night.
                    Comment
                    • themajormt
                      SBR MVP
                      • 07-30-08
                      • 3964

                      #11
                      Originally posted by PureGuava
                      They are playing at home. That's one advantage right there. Plus your starting the game 10-0, see if you can pay a little more juice for +10.5
                      ZONA is home... what are you talking about????????
                      Comment
                      • SlicWilly3
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 11-05-08
                        • 607

                        #12
                        Well call me crazy!
                        New to the forum but figured I'd offer my insight for what it's worth:

                        I'm a 49er fan too....And hopefully that's not factoring in here.

                        I'm on the 49ers +11 1/2....Got the line from my local....
                        And the UNDER 47 1/2.

                        S Hill while not being a great deep ball thrower, can dink and dunk fairly well and he's pretty accurate with his shorter throws. I think we will see A LOT of Frank Gore tonight, and with Singletary having 2 weeks with our "d" and "o" we will see a fired up 49ers squad. I read some practice notes on the team and it was said that there was more hard hitting and shit talking this last week in practice then there has been all year.

                        Also the 49ers/Cards rivalry comes into play. These teams know each other very well, and regardless of the spread tend to play fairly close games.

                        And guys....It's MNF! We all know the heavy underdog covers on MNF more often than not.....

                        I predict something around 21-27 for AZ and 17-20 for SF.

                        For the NBA I like Phoenix -11 1/2 and Portland +7 1/2

                        Best of luck to all!
                        "Success doesn't just happen, it happens for those that take action"
                        -Donald J. Trump
                        Comment
                        • fiveteamer
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 04-14-08
                          • 10805

                          #13
                          Arizona wins by 2 TD's
                          Comment
                          • NashvilleGambler
                            SBR High Roller
                            • 10-17-08
                            • 190

                            #14
                            San Fran and UNDER is the Play. Why?? Because Brandon Lang has Arz and Over in a Teaser, and Most of The Touts are going with Arz. Me, I'm taking the points and Under for a Two Hundred Dollar Parlay!! ATS Sports Service also taking Arz and Over, So What the Hell, I'm up, took the G Men and Over on a Parlay, so there ya Go!!
                            Comment
                            • seaborneq
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 09-08-06
                              • 22556

                              #15
                              Niners are not worth a play at all. A no play for me.
                              Comment
                              • NashvilleGambler
                                SBR High Roller
                                • 10-17-08
                                • 190

                                #16
                                Im with Slic Willy!!!!! Lets Do It!!!!!!
                                Comment
                                • dwaechte
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 08-27-07
                                  • 5481

                                  #17
                                  San Fran is my biggest play of the season. Maybe I'm wrong here, but I really don't understand this line when using my stats.
                                  Comment
                                  • Big_Cheese
                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                    • 04-11-08
                                    • 970

                                    #18
                                    Why the hell would anyone play SF they suck so bad. Arizona is one of the hottest teams in the league and they are at home 38-6 Arizona ...
                                    Comment
                                    • Big_Cheese
                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                      • 04-11-08
                                      • 970

                                      #19
                                      Oh and one more thing. Which game this weekend was the fishiest of them all. Thats right, NYG being a 3 pt dog to philly.
                                      Comment
                                      • Casperwaits
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 08-25-06
                                        • 5042

                                        #20
                                        I don't know if the Eagles -3 was all that fishy. They had ample chances to cover that spread (at times covering). The Giants have been playing well, but against subpar teams for the most part (with the exception of Pittsburgh).
                                        Comment
                                        • I.R.B
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 08-12-08
                                          • 3209

                                          #21
                                          9ers should cover..
                                          Comment
                                          • SlicWilly3
                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                            • 11-05-08
                                            • 607

                                            #22
                                            Other than SF +11 1/2 and Under 47 1/2

                                            I also did 3 player props: From Bodoglife.com

                                            I love Joe Nedney OVER 7 pts at -135. He should have 2 or 3 fg's alone.
                                            Tim Hightower UNDER 74 1/2 RUSHING yds at +115. I don't see him having a huge day rushing at all. Isn't he also giving up carry's to JJ Arrington and Edge?
                                            And Frank Gore 1st TD of game at +500. I figure the 1st time SF gets in the red zone......Frank will running with it, or catching it out of the backfield 2 out of 3 times. Hopefully SF gets down there 1st
                                            "Success doesn't just happen, it happens for those that take action"
                                            -Donald J. Trump
                                            Comment
                                            • Casperwaits
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 08-25-06
                                              • 5042

                                              #23
                                              SF +11.5? Really? I must be using the wrong sportsbook.
                                              Comment
                                              • Big_Cheese
                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                • 04-11-08
                                                • 970

                                                #24
                                                betgameday has a. boldin at 6.5 rec. not everyone has 7 rec a game. im playing this one for sure
                                                Comment
                                                • SlicWilly3
                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                  • 11-05-08
                                                  • 607

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by Big_Cheese
                                                  Why the hell would anyone play SF they suck so bad. Arizona is one of the hottest teams in the league and they are at home 38-6 Arizona ...

                                                  BECAUSE.....It's MNF my friend!
                                                  When NFL really means No F'ing Logic
                                                  "Success doesn't just happen, it happens for those that take action"
                                                  -Donald J. Trump
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Masu485
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 08-14-08
                                                    • 7700

                                                    #26
                                                    go with a teaser, best option
                                                    Comment
                                                    • SlicWilly3
                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                      • 11-05-08
                                                      • 607

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by Casperwaits
                                                      SF +11.5? Really? I must be using the wrong sportsbook.
                                                      With my local.....He said everyone jumped on AZ so he moved his line.

                                                      Fine with me! I liked the points either way.
                                                      "Success doesn't just happen, it happens for those that take action"
                                                      -Donald J. Trump
                                                      Comment
                                                      • daggerkobe
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 03-25-08
                                                        • 10744

                                                        #28
                                                        Whose bright idea was it to put this farce on MNF?
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Big_Cheese
                                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                                          • 04-11-08
                                                          • 970

                                                          #29
                                                          carib still has -9.5


                                                          And in College ya wanna here a joke they have Georgia -8 over Auburn LMAO Tease this to -1... All you need to do then is find a winner for the other side !!!

                                                          Yeah this is a freebie
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Beat up the book
                                                            SBR Sharp
                                                            • 08-21-08
                                                            • 380

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by Casperwaits
                                                            I don't know if the Eagles -3 was all that fishy. They had ample chances to cover that spread (at times covering). The Giants have been playing well, but against subpar teams for the most part (with the exception of Pittsburgh).
                                                            It was fishy.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • CaneDawg
                                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                                              • 08-25-08
                                                              • 6256

                                                              #31
                                                              got the cards-2.5 in the second leg of two teasers(giants/giants over)

                                                              like arizona to score 30 or so

                                                              31-21 cards
                                                              Comment
                                                              • nick2060
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 10-28-08
                                                                • 1051

                                                                #32
                                                                ok lets look at how san francisco can stay in this game. Vernon davis might be playing a bit more inspired and with a team ethic, they got isaac bruce and bryant johnson, a former cardinal, frank gore, and a shaky offensive line at best. I think if arizona gets pressure on shaun hill its pretty much over, frank gore is an awesome back playing at a high level, which is also why its important for arizona to build a lead early and take him out of the game as much as possible.

                                                                Defensively for the 49ers they do got some good linebackers to limit the run with manny lawson, takeo spikes, patrick willis, and they got nate clements and micheal lewish who r both good defensive backs. I dont personally think arizonas gonna get most of their success by running, one good mismatch is Walt harris, the 49ers second starting corner is 5-11. Now im not sure who Nate Clements is going to be covering but fitzgerald is 6-3, thats 4 inches which could potentially be a difference maker on a jump ball in the end zone or just overpowering him off the line of scrimmage, on the other side you got anquan boldin, those 2 recievers are 217 pounds and 220 respectively. Walt Harris is 196, point being im not sure he can jam either of these guys and be physical. Even on running plays to the outside, either receiver should be able to block this guy easily.

                                                                For the Cardinals the only guy i can see them picking on would be okeafor, with vernon davis or frank gore, but i do like the cardinals defense, They got a lot of big boys out there and shouldn't get overpowered or nothing.

                                                                Onto the forgotten part of most games, and this could be big towards the spread, Allen Rossum is a solid return man and Arizonas punter Dirk Johnson is a pretty good punter, lets just hope arizona doesnt have to punt very much or allen rossum can do some damage. San Fran has some solid special teams with andy lee and joe nedney kicking for them, while Neil Rackers missed two field goals this year both on the road though, so he should be fine with the roof closed tonight i believe.

                                                                Lastly i did just watch highlights of the first game and while the 49ers seem to have blitzed Warner a lot he hung in there and got some offense, fitz beat nate clements for a jumpball in the endzone and could do the same tonight. 49ers only touchdown was a huge frank gore run, so hopefully the cards shut him down, dont think shaun hill is gonna beat them. ANND i really believe monday night football homefield advantage is huge, the crowd gets into it like its a playoff game, its really discouraging to be betting on a road team when the crowd goes so crazy everytime something bad happens to your team lol. In the end i think the cards will win this game with that crowd behind them, Shaun hill probably doesnt have his chemistry and timing down with the receivers completely so hopefully he'll overthrow or underthrow a couple of important third down passes and even moreso be under pressure with just a 4 man rush so he'll have to throw quicker and get picked off at least once today.

                                                                It might be of some importance to note the cards beat the 49ers on the road by 10, albeit the 49ers turned the ball over 5 times. San Francisco is -10 in turnover margin while Arizona is +1. Arizona's defense is third in the league in forcing fumbles, while San Fran is 23rd. Arizona has 21 sacks on the year compared to san fran's 14, but im done with fun facts for now this got way too long, hope this helped somebody though. Lastly (for real this time) Both games Arizona played at home saw the two opposing teams they faced bring in their backup quarterbacks lol
                                                                Comment
                                                                • aiyerrc
                                                                  SBR High Roller
                                                                  • 10-17-08
                                                                  • 112

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by Big_Cheese
                                                                  carib still has -9.5


                                                                  And in College ya wanna here a joke they have Georgia -8 over Auburn LMAO Tease this to -1... All you need to do then is find a winner for the other side !!!

                                                                  Yeah this is a freebie
                                                                  IN AUBURN, agaisnt a team that really has nothing to play for? they barely got by kentucky last week. be careful
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • nick2060
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 10-28-08
                                                                    • 1051

                                                                    #34
                                                                    And might i also say if anybody thinks this game sucks, this time next week we're going to be discussing the cleveland browns @ Buffalo bills lol
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • reno cool
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 07-02-08
                                                                      • 3567

                                                                      #35
                                                                      SF a big bet for me. I only got 9.5 ....earlier in the week.
                                                                      bird bird da bird's da word
                                                                      Comment
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