McCain +925

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  • Tchocky
    SBR MVP
    • 02-14-06
    • 2371

    #1
    McCain +925
    5 Dimes has Obama at -1400. The most accurate election forecast is by hardcore gamblers. Here is an interesting article on how gamblers are better at forecasting elections than all the polls put together.

    British bookmaking site Betfair had all 50 states right in 2004. As did rival site Intrade. As one gambler told me, "A pollster can still bill for an inaccurate poll. Bookmakers must make an accurate line or they lose -- period."
  • ryanXL977
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 02-24-08
    • 20615

    #2
    i got obama at even money in january. mccain is toast
    Comment
    • element1286
      Restricted User
      • 02-25-08
      • 3370

      #3
      Interesting article.
      Comment
      • Shark79
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 11-19-07
        • 11211

        #4
        Hard to believe McCain will be elected ... but hey .. Bush was in office for 8 yrs ... anything can happen.
        Comment
        • Tchocky
          SBR MVP
          • 02-14-06
          • 2371

          #5
          Originally posted by ryanXL977
          i got obama at even money in january. mccain is toast
          I hope you bet more than $20.00
          Comment
          • ryanXL977
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 02-24-08
            • 20615

            #6
            i bet 250. that was the max gthey allowed
            but i also got obama to win iowa in feb or whenever it was
            Comment
            • Deuce
              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
              • 01-12-08
              • 29843

              #7
              I have McCain for a dime at +850. Closer then polls show. Will go down to a few votes. McCain has the edge on the 7% undecided.
              Comment
              • ryanXL977
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 02-24-08
                • 20615

                #8
                not closer than polls show, its bigger. another lie
                Comment
                • Deuce
                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                  • 01-12-08
                  • 29843

                  #9
                  Originally posted by ryanXL977
                  not closer than polls show, its bigger. another lie
                  Another lie on your part ace.

                  5% has some room serious marginal error. You nit wits think/hope for 20% here. Not even close.
                  Comment
                  • ryanXL977
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 02-24-08
                    • 20615

                    #10
                    its done
                    have you slept for 8 yrs?
                    Comment
                    • ryanXL977
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 02-24-08
                      • 20615

                      #11
                      As the 2008 presidential campaign draws to an end, the final USA Today/Gallup pre-election poll shows Barack Obama with a 55% to 44% advantage over John McCain in the allocated estimate of the 2008 presidential vote.
                      Comment
                      • etothep
                        SBR MVP
                        • 09-14-07
                        • 1299

                        #12
                        Hey, the public elected dubya a second time so you never know
                        Comment
                        • Deuce
                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                          • 01-12-08
                          • 29843

                          #13
                          Originally posted by ryanXL977
                          its done
                          have you slept for 8 yrs?
                          Was I polled? Were you polled? No exactly. They are biased polls. Show me a real poll bipartisan showing him up double digits. He will need double digits to have a guarenteed win.
                          Comment
                          • ryanXL977
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 02-24-08
                            • 20615

                            #14
                            yes, bc you and i werent polled, the polls are invalid
                            as if these polling places have no clue how to do their jobs
                            Comment
                            • JBC77
                              SBR MVP
                              • 03-23-07
                              • 3816

                              #15
                              Originally posted by Deuce
                              Another lie on your part ace.

                              5% has some room serious marginal error. You nit wits think/hope for 20% here. Not even close.
                              Duece is right on here. Most of the polls are totally unreliable and put out by bias left wing dems.

                              The reason they tip the polls is to make people think McCain has no chance so you mind as well vote Obama.

                              The Bush / Gore debacle shows that anything is possible, would not surprise me one bit if McCain ends up winning the election.

                              It would shock the African Americans though, who would then in turn riot and burn down their own neighborhoods.
                              Comment
                              • Deuce
                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                • 01-12-08
                                • 29843

                                #16
                                Originally posted by JBC77
                                Duece is right on here. Most of the polls are totally unreliable and put out by bias left wing dems.

                                The reason they tip the polls is to make people think McCain has no chance so you mind as well vote Obama.

                                The Bush / Gore debacle shows that anything is possible, would not surprise me one bit if McCain ends up winning the election.

                                It would shock the African Americans though, who would then in turn riot and burn down their own neighborhoods.
                                I encourage them to riot and burn down their hovels. Obama is a kook. He wants to put in forth a civilian militia. This guy has Hitler written all over him except the fact he doesn't want to kill anyone yet.

                                I fear the day I have to pay 60% income tax just to back his whore shit socialized plans. He will bury this country.
                                Comment
                                • ryanXL977
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 02-24-08
                                  • 20615

                                  #17
                                  the polls arent run by either party, thats not how polling companies work. they have a job to do, bias doesnt factor into these polls or they would lose their jobs. you guys should read how the polls work. they arent run by left or right wing anything.
                                  Comment
                                  • Deuce
                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                    • 01-12-08
                                    • 29843

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by ryanXL977
                                    the polls arent run by either party, thats not how polling companies work. they have a job to do, bias doesnt factor into these polls or they would lose their jobs. you guys should read how the polls work. they arent run by left or right wing anything.
                                    They actually are and that is why polls vary. Liberal media show polls with a larger lead for Obama. Bipartisan polls are at a closer margin. Open your eyes.
                                    Comment
                                    • JBC77
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 03-23-07
                                      • 3816

                                      #19
                                      Just for the record, I'm not voting for either of these scumbags. Don't like McCain, definitely don't like Obama.
                                      Comment
                                      • ryanXL977
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 02-24-08
                                        • 20615

                                        #20
                                        fair enough. i think there is a 1% chance obama can fix anything, compared with a 0% chance mccain can


                                        as for polls, deuce you have no clue what you are talking about

                                        you really dont. liberal polls? like what? tell me which companies are liberal polls and how the exhibit such bias?
                                        Comment
                                        • onthewhat
                                          Restricted User
                                          • 05-14-08
                                          • 15411

                                          #21
                                          ryan you fukkin nit wit kerry was leading all the polls in 2004
                                          Comment
                                          • mmike032
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 09-11-08
                                            • 8905

                                            #22
                                            the polls are manipulated to favor whomever they want. read some of the fine print.
                                            I'm not saying Obama wins or loses but I will say that the media feeds the sheep what they want them to believe.
                                            I sure as hell know that here Obama will be lucky to get 30% of the votes
                                            Comment
                                            • pavyracer
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 04-12-07
                                              • 82875

                                              #23
                                              Why does noone bet the +925 if there is a chance? I challenge or McCain supporters to bet $1000 each at +925 on McCain.
                                              Comment
                                              • Deuce
                                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                • 01-12-08
                                                • 29843

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by onthewhat
                                                ryan you fukkin nit wit kerry was leading all the polls in 2004
                                                Just let him look like a fuktard like he has for every argument. He is so liberal its not even funny. I can't wait if Obama gets elected how fukked he will see it is. He blames Bush and Repubs for everything when in fact most of the countries flaws are Dem/Rep based 50/50.
                                                Comment
                                                • ryanXL977
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 02-24-08
                                                  • 20615

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by onthewhat
                                                  ryan you fukkin nit wit kerry was leading all the polls in 2004
                                                  no he wasnt, he wasnt leading florida, virginia, colorado, or nevada

                                                  try again
                                                  Comment
                                                  • ryanXL977
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 02-24-08
                                                    • 20615

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by Deuce
                                                    Just let him look like a fuktard like he has for every argument. He is so liberal its not even funny. I can't wait if Obama gets elected how fukked he will see it is. He blames Bush and Repubs for everything when in fact most of the countries flaws are Dem/Rep based 50/50.
                                                    please tell me what beliefs i hold that are liberal. go ahead. tell me how any of my beliefs, even one, differ from dwight eisenhower. go ahead. tell me.

                                                    you are a ****ing brain dead moron who chooses what to believe by what the radio tells him
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Deuce
                                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                      • 01-12-08
                                                      • 29843

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by ryanXL977
                                                      please tell me what beliefs i hold that are liberal. go ahead. tell me how any of my beliefs, even one, differ from dwight eisenhower. go ahead. tell me.

                                                      you are a ****ing brain dead moron who chooses what to believe by what the radio tells him
                                                      I am the one who thinks we're in the middle east for oil?

                                                      I am the one who thinks our health care is sub par to the world?

                                                      I am the one who thinks Bush made serious profits and only went to Iraq for his own well being?

                                                      I am the one that thinks redistributing the wealth to lazy fukks is sweet?

                                                      I am the one that thinks it is imminent we need to pull from Iraq immediately?

                                                      I am the one who thinks Bush stole the election by rigging machines?

                                                      I am the one who sits in my room with a tin foil cap on?
                                                      Comment
                                                      • ryanXL977
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 02-24-08
                                                        • 20615

                                                        #28
                                                        when did i say we are there for oil?
                                                        when did i say bush made money off it?
                                                        when did i say bush rigged machines?

                                                        and yes, we should pull out of iraq immediately, it has bankrupted us. they have no wmds, they are no threat

                                                        if you think they are, go fight

                                                        youre a ****ing chickenshit and a liar

                                                        i said not one of those things
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Deuce
                                                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                          • 01-12-08
                                                          • 29843

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by ryanXL977
                                                          when did i say we are there for oil?
                                                          when did i say bush made money off it?
                                                          when did i say bush rigged machines?

                                                          and yes, we should pull out of iraq immediately, it has bankrupted us. they have no wmds, they are no threat

                                                          if you think they are, go fight

                                                          youre a ****ing chickenshit and a liar

                                                          i said not one of those things
                                                          I will have proof momentarily. Sit tight.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • ryanXL977
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 02-24-08
                                                            • 20615

                                                            #30
                                                            we are in iraq for two reasons
                                                            it won gop midterm elections in 04
                                                            and it allows us to place military bases in the mid east, which has been the goal of the neocons for roughly 20 + yrs
                                                            reagan wouldnt do it, and clinton wouldnt either
                                                            but they tried, and they succeeded with bush bc he is in over his head and a dunce

                                                            youre a moron dude
                                                            go read a book
                                                            Comment
                                                            • etothep
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 09-14-07
                                                              • 1299

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by Deuce
                                                              I am the one that thinks redistributing the wealth to lazy fukks is sweet?
                                                              Yeh, teachers, firemen, & police officers are all overpiad. Fukk them for essentially stealing our money!!
                                                              Comment
                                                              • ryanXL977
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 02-24-08
                                                                • 20615

                                                                #32
                                                                bush has very little to do with whats happening, it is the interests who placed him in office, the men behind him who have created this mess. bush is a moron , its more cheney and neocon policies. these are idealogues and not bright dudes. they have taken over your party, yet you support them bc you worry about small issues.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Deuce
                                                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                  • 01-12-08
                                                                  • 29843

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by etothep
                                                                  Yeh, teachers, firemen, & police officers are all overpiad. Fukk them for essentially stealing our money!!
                                                                  Never said that, ace. They will take money from your boss to pay them resulting in you losing your job.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • jagaf22
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 01-22-08
                                                                    • 2932

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by etothep
                                                                    Yeh, teachers, firemen, & police officers are all overpiad. Fukk them for essentially stealing our money!!
                                                                    Don't forget the military...
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • ryanXL977
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 02-24-08
                                                                      • 20615

                                                                      #35
                                                                      we spend more on military then the rest of the world combined, rather than building infrastructure, creating jobs, new energy, health care, we start wars

                                                                      we can cut military by 75% and still be stronger than anyone
                                                                      its a waste, it will ruin us

                                                                      if iraq didnt have oil , we would not be there, but thats not the big reason we are there. its a smaller issue
                                                                      Comment
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