Sportsbook.com $100,000 Survivor pool - 13,500 contestestants already down to 5393

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  • Regul8er
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 11-06-07
    • 10666

    #106
    Well my pool currently sits at 136, with 88 sitting on Pittsburgh tonight. 65% in my case!
    Comment
    • Regul8er
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 11-06-07
      • 10666

      #107
      Pittsburgh most likely wins, but I'm not gonna lie, I love being in my spot. I got through with Baltimore (who likely has the toughest remaining schedule) and still have Pittsburgh who I can use vs Cleveland who they still play twice, or at home vs Cincy.

      Probably crack a few cold ones tonight, and hope KC can hang........I mean who expected SF to not come away with a victory vs the Rams!
      Go Chiefs Go!
      Comment
      • Regul8er
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 11-06-07
        • 10666

        #108
        Still feels like I got knocked out by Pittsburgh winning Monday.

        This week it's going to have to be New England for me. I've already used Houston, Atlanta and Dallas, so they are out of the equation.

        I put a little thought into Denver, but I don't think is the time. One, San Diego is a team that constantly fools us year in and year out. When they look like they will finally start rolling, they find inexcuseable ways to lose. When you count them out, they could through with a quality win. Don't want to risk that here. Two, Denver still has home dates with Tampa, Cleveland and KC, as well as a road game at KC. That's 4 better opportunities to take the Broncos.

        Indy has surprised us all, but I don't think they've improved to the extent where they knock off the Pats at Foxboro. Pats defense seems to get stops when they need to, and they are a serious threat of scoring a TD every time they have the ball. I just don't think Luck can go punch for punch with Brady.....yet!
        Comment
        • yisman
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 09-01-08
          • 75682

          #109
          Gotta be New England
          [quote=jjgold;5683305]I win again like usual
          [/quote]

          [quote=Whippit;7921056]miami won't lose a single eastern conference game through end of season[/quote]
          Comment
          • playersonly69
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 01-04-08
            • 12827

            #110
            I am saving Denver for week 16

            In week 15, I am using New Orleans at home against the Yuccaneers

            In week 14, I am using San Fran

            In week 13, Denver is a great choice, but I will probably use Detroit, Atlanta or San Diego

            In week 12, Chicago is a given unless you want to use Denver in this sport


            Now on to this week, I am personally using Dallas. But you dont have the bye week and get to use Dallas. Alot of people in my league will use Houston most likely. But you can do one of 2 things. You can either take NE now and Denver in week 16, or you can take Denver this week and NE in week 16.


            Since you have so many people left, it is probably best to take Denver this week and save NE for week 16. Not too many guys will have NE that week and you will probably be done to about 20 teams left. There will certainly be at least 10 teams who go undefeated.


            In my $100 league, we still have 54 players left. And i have taken the time to check out who has great teams left. I really expect at least 7-10 of my league to win the whole season and make it to the playoffs
            Comment
            • Regul8er
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 11-06-07
              • 10666

              #111
              playersonly......were sitting at 133.

              Here is the breakdown of how many people can still use each of the mentioned teams:
              Houston - 5
              Atlanta - 22
              New England - 34
              Dallas - 76
              Denver - 94

              About half of the people who haven't taken NE haven't taken Dallas either. Also mix in some Atlanta and Houston, I predict there will be 15-18 on NE this week.

              With Denver playing SD this week, at KC then home vs Tampa.....I imagine over half of the remaining 94 will take them in those games.

              I haven't used Pittsburgh yet, and will probably get a chance to use them week 16 or 17 at home vs Cincy and Cleveland. I'm thinking Ben will be fine by then, and they will probably sit around 8-6, needing wins to make playoffs!

              I will likely use Denver week 12, as I've already used Chicago. Depending what happens this week, I may even consider Cincinnati vs Oakland in week 12.

              Gotta get through week 11 first.
              Comment
              • Regul8er
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 11-06-07
                • 10666

                #112
                In my league, this is my calculated estimated breakdown of teams used this week based on useage and availabilities:

                Dallas - 48
                Denver - 27
                New England - 18
                Atlanta - 15
                New Orleans - 15
                Houston - 4
                Cincinnati - 4
                Washington - 4
                Baltimore - 1
                Comment
                • Regul8er
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 11-06-07
                  • 10666

                  #113
                  13 people have taken Houston, Atlanta, New England, Dallas and Denver.
                  Will be a stressful decision for those folks!
                  Comment
                  • playersonly69
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 01-04-08
                    • 12827

                    #114
                    I did forget to say that I was saving Pitt until week 17 or I will use Atlanta is they need to win the game.



                    Dallas is the obvious option this week for everyone who still has them. They really cant take Dallas at any other time.


                    But with that many people left, I would take Denver this week.



                    How do the playoffs work? And how many people get paid in the end?
                    Comment
                    • playersonly69
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 01-04-08
                      • 12827

                      #115
                      Originally posted by Regul8er
                      13 people have taken Houston, Atlanta, New England, Dallas and Denver.
                      Will be a stressful decision for those folks!

                      Well they can always take New Orleans most likely! There is no way IN HELL that New Orleans loses this week.



                      Not much of a chance that Cincinnati loses this week either
                      Comment
                      • Regul8er
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 11-06-07
                        • 10666

                        #116
                        I would still stress about taking NWO or Cincy on the road!
                        No playoffs, $201,600 gets distributed evenly between undefeated entrees after week 17.
                        Comment
                        • Regul8er
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 11-06-07
                          • 10666

                          #117
                          The odds of the 5 most likely picks this week (DAL, DEN, NE, ATL, NWO) all winning this week would be about +290 in a parlay.
                          Not likely of happening. So most likely at one of the above teams will be losing on Sunday.
                          Comment
                          • Regul8er
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 11-06-07
                            • 10666

                            #118
                            Originally posted by Regul8er
                            In my league, this is my calculated estimated breakdown of teams used this week based on useage and availabilities:

                            Dallas - 48
                            Denver - 27
                            New England - 18
                            Atlanta - 15
                            New Orleans - 15
                            Houston - 4
                            Cincinnati - 4
                            Washington - 4
                            Baltimore - 1
                            Pretty close with my guesses:
                            Dallas - 54 (off by 6)
                            Denver-27 (EXACT)
                            New England - 9 (off by 9)
                            Atlanta - 15 (EXACT)
                            New Orleans - 17 (off by 2)
                            Houston - 4 (EXACT)
                            Washington - 4 (EXACT)
                            St. Louis - 3 (off by 3)
                            Cincinnati - 2 (off by 2)
                            San Fran - 1 (off by 1)
                            Comment
                            • Regul8er
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 11-06-07
                              • 10666

                              #119
                              3 people out.....terrible weekend.
                              Would suck to make it, and go splits with 100 people. All the opportunities are being wasted.
                              Comment
                              • yisman
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 09-01-08
                                • 75682

                                #120
                                yet another wild Sunday

                                There's been a lot of this this season.

                                Heavy favorites barely eking it out late. A roller coaster for survivor players.

                                good estimates. That must've taken a lot of time, to go through every entry's picks.

                                Originally posted by Regul8er
                                The odds of the 5 most likely picks this week (DAL, DEN, NE, ATL, NWO) all winning this week would be about +290 in a parlay.
                                Not likely of happening. So most likely at one of the above teams will be losing on Sunday.
                                What would've been amusing was a chalk parlay with the MLs (I'm sure a bunch of people bet them):

                                Houston (went to OT, looked several times like a loser)
                                Denver (easy winner)
                                New England (easy winner)
                                Dallas (went to OT, looked several times like a loser)
                                Atlanta (was behind two scores and were very fortunate to survive)
                                [quote=jjgold;5683305]I win again like usual
                                [/quote]

                                [quote=Whippit;7921056]miami won't lose a single eastern conference game through end of season[/quote]
                                Comment
                                • RMStanley
                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                  • 10-03-11
                                  • 824

                                  #121
                                  I'm so pissed that the yokels who did no planning and wound up stuck with Dallas over Cleveland yesterday escaped thanks to Ed "Big Game" Hochuli and his crew's bullshit calls which completely facilitated a Cowboys special "comeback".

                                  Would have wiped out about 40% of the remaining pool.
                                  Comment
                                  • RMStanley
                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                    • 10-03-11
                                    • 824

                                    #122
                                    Originally posted by Regul8er
                                    Well my pool currently sits at 136, with 88 sitting on Pittsburgh tonight. 65% in my case!
                                    What is you guys' pool locations? I enjoy Sportsbook.com's contest but there's simply way too many entrants for the mere $100k payout the issue. Their pot should be about $250,000 to be honest - they're keeping way too much of the entry fees.

                                    I'm looking to enter more pools next year that have a better payout ratio (ideally there has to be a pool that pays out over 66% of their entry fees).
                                    Comment
                                    • yisman
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 09-01-08
                                      • 75682

                                      #123
                                      waste of money to enter pools where they keep so much
                                      [quote=jjgold;5683305]I win again like usual
                                      [/quote]

                                      [quote=Whippit;7921056]miami won't lose a single eastern conference game through end of season[/quote]
                                      Comment
                                      • RMStanley
                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                        • 10-03-11
                                        • 824

                                        #124
                                        Originally posted by yisman
                                        waste of money to enter pools where they keep so much
                                        They're a blast - more entertainment than an other form of wagering. But yeah I want to find pools w better payout ratios next year
                                        Comment
                                        • playersonly69
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 01-04-08
                                          • 12827

                                          #125
                                          EVERY PERSON left in my $100 league won this week!

                                          And all but 1 guy in the $25 league won this week and that idiot took Jacksonville
                                          Comment
                                          • Regul8er
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 11-06-07
                                            • 10666

                                            #126
                                            Originally posted by RMStanley
                                            They're a blast - more entertainment than an other form of wagering. But yeah I want to find pools w better payout ratios next year
                                            I'm on clubbigfun.com
                                            Its Canadian operated, so not sure if you'd even be able to enter.
                                            Comment
                                            • Regul8er
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 11-06-07
                                              • 10666

                                              #127
                                              Definately going to be on Denver this weekend. A little over half of the league has already taken Denver, and will have to settle on Cincy, Indy, Seattle.Was hoping to wait out Denver a little longer, but the time is now. Denver's home games vs Cleveland and KC weeks 16 and 17 may be meaningless at that point, as they may have home field wrapped up by then, and no motivation to win if Atlanta has home field wrapped up by then.Plus a few other good looking options have popped up lately for those weeks, Tampa vs STL week 16 comes to mind, as this will likely be a must win for the Bucs.Goodluck to all this weekend.
                                              Comment
                                              • yisman
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 09-01-08
                                                • 75682

                                                #128
                                                Denver and Cincinnati are the only two that make sense.

                                                probably the only week to use cincinnati
                                                [quote=jjgold;5683305]I win again like usual
                                                [/quote]

                                                [quote=Whippit;7921056]miami won't lose a single eastern conference game through end of season[/quote]
                                                Comment
                                                • Regul8er
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 11-06-07
                                                  • 10666

                                                  #129
                                                  yisman......yup, that's what I figured.

                                                  Living in Cincy, and watching them team closely week in and week out....I personally don't feel comfortable picking them, as they are known to lay eggs (ex Miami at home, Cleveland on road). Plus the Palmer returning home thing concerns me.

                                                  With only 5 weeks after this week, I feel I have enough good spots to use other teams (if of course Denver wins this week)
                                                  I'll have opportunities to possibly take Pittsburgh, Seattle, Buffalo, Indy, Tampa, San Diego, Miami. Although I would never feel comfortable taking San Diego.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • RMStanley
                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                    • 10-03-11
                                                    • 824

                                                    #130
                                                    Originally posted by Regul8er
                                                    I would still stress about taking NWO or Cincy on the road!
                                                    No playoffs, $201,600 gets distributed evenly between undefeated entrees after week 17.
                                                    Man I need to find a better pool next year. Sportsbook keep slike 66% of the entry fees on ours.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • RMStanley
                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                      • 10-03-11
                                                      • 824

                                                      #131
                                                      I picked Denver with 1 of my remaining entries and Indianapolis with the other remaining entry. Go Raiders!
                                                      Comment
                                                      • RMStanley
                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                        • 10-03-11
                                                        • 824

                                                        #132
                                                        Originally posted by Regul8er
                                                        I'll have opportunities to possibly take Pittsburgh, Seattle, Buffalo, Indy, Tampa, San Diego, Miami. Although I would never feel comfortable taking San Diego.
                                                        Saints are better than any of these teams.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Regul8er
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 11-06-07
                                                          • 10666

                                                          #133
                                                          One problem.....I used the Saints @ Tampa a few weeks ago.
                                                          It was a nailbiter, but it made things easy on me the last 4 weeks.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • yisman
                                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                                            • 09-01-08
                                                            • 75682

                                                            #134
                                                            Originally posted by RMStanley
                                                            Man I need to find a better pool next year. Sportsbook keep slike 66% of the entry fees on ours.
                                                            man what a great racket they have going. Even better than taking bets on -110 lines.
                                                            [quote=jjgold;5683305]I win again like usual
                                                            [/quote]

                                                            [quote=Whippit;7921056]miami won't lose a single eastern conference game through end of season[/quote]
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Regul8er
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 11-06-07
                                                              • 10666

                                                              #135
                                                              Ya that truly incredible they pocket 66% of entry fees.....highway robbery!
                                                              Comment
                                                              • playersonly69
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 01-04-08
                                                                • 12827

                                                                #136
                                                                I went with NE on two of my pools this week and am taking Chicago Bears on the other 2. My only problem is that 25% of the pools also took NE
                                                                Comment
                                                                • kingofhoarbags
                                                                  SBR Sharp
                                                                  • 03-10-12
                                                                  • 329

                                                                  #137
                                                                  I'M OUT!
                                                                  sportsbook.ag free $20,000 Survivor Pool
                                                                  Had Dallas on Thanksgiving
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • playersonly69
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 01-04-08
                                                                    • 12827

                                                                    #138
                                                                    FUVCKKING INCREDIBLE!!! Again almost everyone in my pool advances!! All 54 guys won again this week.


                                                                    A few of the other mother fuckers took Cleveland in my pool for some reason

                                                                    That is like 5 weeks this season where everyone left in the contest won that week, I have never seen a year like this one
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • yisman
                                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                                      • 09-01-08
                                                                      • 75682

                                                                      #139
                                                                      see playersonly, Cleveland up to 3 wins now
                                                                      [quote=jjgold;5683305]I win again like usual
                                                                      [/quote]

                                                                      [quote=Whippit;7921056]miami won't lose a single eastern conference game through end of season[/quote]
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Regul8er
                                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                                        • 11-06-07
                                                                        • 10666

                                                                        #140
                                                                        Not a terrible week in my pool. I survived with Denver......even though I sweated it out.

                                                                        18 of the 133 got knocked out, bringing mine down to 115.
                                                                        7 had Tennessee, 5 had Arizona, 2 had Pittsburgh, 2 had Seattle, 1 had New Orleans, 1 had Philly.
                                                                        The 2 on Baltimore were freakin lucky!
                                                                        Comment
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