Originally <a href='/showthread.php?p=17578174'>posted</a> on 01/22/2013:
I've got ravens futures at +1100 and +850. I'm leaning Baltimore ML, so I probably just won't bet it, and let my futures ride. From a financial perspective on gambling, you've got Baltimore at +800 to win this game, when the real line is somewhere between +150/+200. That's an extremely +EV situation, so you would only hedge if you think niners ML has value.
I've got ravens futures at +1100 and +850. I'm leaning Baltimore ML, so I probably just won't bet it, and let my futures ride. From a financial perspective on gambling, you've got Baltimore at +800 to win this game, when the real line is somewhere between +150/+200. That's an extremely +EV situation, so you would only hedge if you think niners ML has value.