Originally <a href='/showthread.php?p=17233144'>posted</a> on 12/23/2012:

you guys are really missing the boat on the rousey fight. This isn't the sarah kaufman match up. Which IMO is the best match up for Rousey. A striker who relies on volume punching who specializes in stopping wrestling/leg attacks. Kaufman should throw her brown belt the trash because she is a horrible grappler.

Carmouche is a novice at absolutely everything in mma, and Rousey could actually win a boxing match against her. But we all know she has only one game plan.Rousey is the rightful favorite but I have her at -360.

Of all the things carmouche is good at it's grappling. Her RNC is actually pretty good and Rouseys super aggressive judo leaves her back open because in judo you just sprawl out and the ref stands the fight up.

Look carmouche probably wont win but anything north of +400 is value and you will be burned betting all this chalk one day.