2012-13 NFL picks

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  • BigDofBA
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 09-30-09
    • 19313

    #71
    So should Oakland be my first NFL bet of the year?

    I got drilled in NCAA football over the weekend so I took yesterday off.
    Comment
    • No coincidences
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 01-18-10
      • 76300

      #72
      What can you say. Vintage Bungals. Not sure why Lewis is even a HC in this league anymore -- a proven loser.
      Comment
      • MexicanStallion
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 09-08-08
        • 20429

        #73
        Originally posted by No coincidences
        What can you say. Vintage Bungals. Not sure why Lewis is even a HC in this league anymore -- a proven loser.
        He doesn't even have a winning record. As long as the Bungals can float around .500, Brown doesn't care.
        Comment
        • No coincidences
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 01-18-10
          • 76300

          #74
          What a meltdown. 27 unanswered by the Ravens.

          OAK ML -115 (1.15U to win 1)
          Comment
          • PAULYPOKER
            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
            • 12-06-08
            • 36581

            #75
            Originally posted by No coincidences
            CIN +7.5 live +100 (1U to win 1)
            Originally posted by No coincidences
            CIN +13 live +100 (1U to win 1)
            WTF game were U watching?
            Comment
            • No coincidences
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 01-18-10
              • 76300

              #76
              Originally posted by PAULYPOKER
              WTF game were U watching?
              It was 7-0 and 10-0 when I made those bets. Then it was 17-13. Where were you to talk shit when it was a four-point game?
              Comment
              • No coincidences
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 01-18-10
                • 76300

                #77
                You do anything more than troll anymore Pauly?
                Comment
                • 2daBank
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 01-26-09
                  • 88966

                  #78
                  Originally posted by No coincidences
                  Thanks, but I shouldn't have messed with that first half. Stupid. Half bets are for suckers.


                  love half bets myself....mostly totals, not many sides..
                  Comment
                  • No coincidences
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 01-18-10
                    • 76300

                    #79
                    Typical NFL -- you do well, push the envelope, then give it all back. Was up 5.7U and then lost every single SNF and MNF play.



                    7-8, -3.8U thread


                    Week 2 leans:

                    CHI +6
                    CAR +3
                    SEA +3
                    StL +3
                    DET +7
                    Comment
                    • suicidekings
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 03-23-09
                      • 9962

                      #80
                      Originally posted by No coincidences
                      Typical NFL -- you do well, push the envelope, then give it all back. Was up 5.7U and then lost every single SNF and MNF play.



                      7-8, -3.8U thread


                      Week 2 leans:

                      CHI +6
                      CAR +3
                      SEA +3
                      StL +3
                      DET +7
                      Why all dogs? just coincidence? or do you not believe in value on favourites in the NFL? I agree with STL & DET, but less so with the others.
                      Comment
                      • No coincidences
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 01-18-10
                        • 76300

                        #81
                        Just what I initial lean SK.

                        Tonight:

                        CHI TT under 23 (1.05U to win 1)
                        GB +1/under 57 tease (1.1U to win 1)
                        Comment
                        • No coincidences
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 01-18-10
                          • 76300

                          #82
                          GB/CHI under 52 (2.2U to win 2)
                          Comment
                          • PAULYPOKER
                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                            • 12-06-08
                            • 36581

                            #83
                            Love your plays tonight coin
                            Comment
                            • Dexter
                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                              • 12-24-08
                              • 25829

                              #84
                              great night
                              Comment
                              • No coincidences
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 01-18-10
                                • 76300

                                #85
                                Originally posted by Dexter
                                great night
                                Thanks Dex. Felt good after getting my ass handed to me by the Steelers and Bungals.

                                3-0, +4U Thursday
                                10-8, +0.2U season
                                Comment
                                • No coincidences
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 01-18-10
                                  • 76300

                                  #86
                                  PHI -3 (1.1U to win 1)
                                  PHI -155 (1.55U to win 1)
                                  IND +3 -115 (2.3U to win 2)
                                  JAX +7 (1.1U to win 1)
                                  KC +3 -105 (1.05U to win 1)
                                  TB +8 (1.1U to win 1)
                                  Comment
                                  • No coincidences
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 01-18-10
                                    • 76300

                                    #87
                                    SEA +3.5 (2.2U to win 2)

                                    Going to back my Liedowns tonight.
                                    Comment
                                    • Vinnie Paz
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 03-27-12
                                      • 12177

                                      #88
                                      Whys everyone like the lions so much??
                                      Comment
                                      • No coincidences
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 01-18-10
                                        • 76300

                                        #89
                                        PIT ML live -120 (2.4U to win 2)
                                        Comment
                                        • No coincidences
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 01-18-10
                                          • 76300

                                          #90
                                          Originally posted by No coincidences
                                          PHI -3 (1.1U to win 1)
                                          PHI -155 (1.55U to win 1)
                                          IND +3 -115 (2.3U to win 2)
                                          JAX +7 (1.1U to win 1)
                                          KC +3 -105 (1.05U to win 1)
                                          TB +8 (1.1U to win 1)
                                          3-3, +0.75U to start with the 'Hawks pending.
                                          Comment
                                          • No coincidences
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 01-18-10
                                            • 76300

                                            #91
                                            SEA ML live -110 (1.1U to win 1)
                                            Comment
                                            • D3 Mighty Ducks
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 12-17-09
                                              • 11939

                                              #92
                                              How did u get TB +8? I had the Gmen +7 and I'll gladly take the push in that good/awful performance by Eli.
                                              Comment
                                              • No coincidences
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 01-18-10
                                                • 76300

                                                #93
                                                Originally posted by D3 Mighty Ducks
                                                How did u get TB +8? I had the Gmen +7 and I'll gladly take the push in that good/awful performance by Eli.
                                                What do you mean? They were +8 at Bovada, and being juiced at +9 at a bunch of other shops.
                                                Comment
                                                • No coincidences
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 01-18-10
                                                  • 76300

                                                  #94
                                                  6-3, +5.95U today
                                                  16-11, +6.15U thread


                                                  Was going to play Detroit, but I'll just quit while I'm ahead for the day.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Dexter
                                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                    • 12-24-08
                                                    • 25829

                                                    #95
                                                    Originally posted by No coincidences
                                                    6-3, +5.95U today
                                                    16-11, +6.15U thread


                                                    Was going to play Detroit, but I'll just quit while I'm ahead for the day.
                                                    excellent work.....so now you're saying i should pound det 100x since you wont play it? lol

                                                    im gonna watch late money...leaning under
                                                    Comment
                                                    • No coincidences
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 01-18-10
                                                      • 76300

                                                      #96
                                                      Originally posted by Dexter
                                                      excellent work.....so now you're saying i should pound det 100x since you wont play it? lol

                                                      im gonna watch late money...leaning under
                                                      Probably.

                                                      I don't know about this one. Hard to get a read on my Liedowns. Like the under as well, but not enough to play it.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • No coincidences
                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                        • 01-18-10
                                                        • 76300

                                                        #97
                                                        Week 3 leans:

                                                        DEN +1.5
                                                        TEN +4
                                                        MIN +7
                                                        OAK +4.5
                                                        MIA +2.5
                                                        BAL -2.5
                                                        SD -3
                                                        Comment
                                                        • suicidekings
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 03-23-09
                                                          • 9962

                                                          #98
                                                          Originally posted by No coincidences
                                                          Week 3 leans:

                                                          DEN +1.5
                                                          TEN +4
                                                          MIN +7
                                                          OAK +4.5
                                                          MIA +2.5
                                                          BAL -2.5
                                                          SD -3
                                                          I like Denver and Baltimore a fair bit. The Titans are a tough team to back as I suspect they might end up a 4-12 team this year. The only one of those games I've played so far is the Falcons ML.

                                                          Also starting to think that the Bengals get beaten by RG3 and that deep passing attack. The Bengals secondary made Flacco & Weeden look pretty spectacular in the last two weeks. Overall CIN is ranked 30th in pass defense and 32nd in rush defense by Football Outsiders.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • No coincidences
                                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                                            • 01-18-10
                                                            • 76300

                                                            #99
                                                            In order at this point, my favorite plays are:

                                                            1) Oakland
                                                            2) San Diego
                                                            3) Philly
                                                            4) Minnesota
                                                            5) Denver
                                                            6) Tennessee
                                                            7) Miami

                                                            Not really interested in the Ravens anymore.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • 2daBank
                                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                                              • 01-26-09
                                                              • 88966

                                                              #100
                                                              love me some sd...

                                                              my guess is my mush will call in pit 2marro, i never lay his action off (why would i the guy is terrible, hasnt hit a gm this yr betting the thu nighter every week and 1 on sunday) so guess really good chance im on oak as this def that "sure thing" winner he loves to bet, he gotta hit one tho so maybe this the week,..

                                                              not sure i can play phi, not that i want zona but tough gm...

                                                              scared of sf...

                                                              no way id play den, i like hou and as long as my mush doesnt call them in as his play (possible even tho not as likely as pit) i will be playing hou, actually already played them -1.5 cause figure i can buy out if need be..

                                                              i teased mia with dal.,.

                                                              still prob play balt even tho liked them much better if pats wouldnt have lost..
                                                              Comment
                                                              • No coincidences
                                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                                • 01-18-10
                                                                • 76300

                                                                #101
                                                                Originally posted by 2daBank
                                                                love me some sd...

                                                                my guess is my mush will call in pit 2marro, i never lay his action off (why would i the guy is terrible, hasnt hit a gm this yr betting the thu nighter every week and 1 on sunday) so guess really good chance im on oak as this def that "sure thing" winner he loves to bet, he gotta hit one tho so maybe this the week,..

                                                                not sure i can play phi, not that i want zona but tough gm...

                                                                scared of sf...

                                                                no way id play den, i like hou and as long as my mush doesnt call them in as his play (possible even tho not as likely as pit) i will be playing hou, actually already played them -1.5 cause figure i can buy out if need be..

                                                                i teased mia with dal.,.

                                                                still prob play balt even tho liked them much better if pats wouldnt have lost..
                                                                If I can get a 3 with Denver, I'll take it. Otherwise, I might just pass.

                                                                Hate to say this because I know it's playing with fire, but I don't anticipate dropping much from the above card tomorrow. Might have action on all seven games. Just can't find enough reason to let any of them go, but six or seven plays in the NFL typically doesn't end well.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • 2daBank
                                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                                  • 01-26-09
                                                                  • 88966

                                                                  #102
                                                                  Originally posted by No coincidences
                                                                  If I can get a 3 with Denver, I'll take it. Otherwise, I might just pass.

                                                                  Hate to say this because I know it's playing with fire, but I don't anticipate dropping much from the above card tomorrow. Might have action on all seven games. Just can't find enough reason to let any of them go, but six or seven plays in the NFL typically doesn't end well.
                                                                  yea i could see myself buying out of hou if den hits +3 (or if mush boy calls hou in, hoping not), who knows but honestly think this line should have opened there anyway..

                                                                  in the espn ats contest i play im pretty sure i played same side of all those besides den, i dont see anything wrong with playing 7 gms of coarse i prob play that many on avg, not even counting live betting and halftime bets...
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • No coincidences
                                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                                    • 01-18-10
                                                                    • 76300

                                                                    #103
                                                                    Going to lock the Viqueens in now because I can get a 7.5 at Blowdog.

                                                                    MIN +7.5 (2.2U to win 2)

                                                                    Think the Niners squeak out a 4-6 point win here.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • No coincidences
                                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                                      • 01-18-10
                                                                      • 76300

                                                                      #104
                                                                      As most of you know, I really like playing the perception angle in a commie league like the NFL.

                                                                      The Niners are unbeatable at the moment. While they're the best team in football early on, laying more than a TD in a rowdy place like the Metrodome is very suspect.

                                                                      The Raiders and Titans have their seasons on the line tomorrow at home. They're both buy low investments. Miami as well to a certain extent, even though they're 1-1. I just don't like the makeup or the cadence of the Jets.

                                                                      Arizona's a sell high. Love their D, but the Eagles are just plain better and I think they'll take care of business accordingly.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Balco10
                                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                        • 09-11-10
                                                                        • 5478

                                                                        #105
                                                                        This year you cant bet against the Niners!
                                                                        Comment
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