EP36's Eagles Thread + Prop Shop

haserfauld · 09-10-12, 03:05 PM

Originally posted by EaglesPhan36

Week 1 [Sept.10th @ Bovada] Ravens QB Joe Flacco Total Completions Over 20 [-120]
This may be the smallest number you see on this prop this season if Baltimore's new no-huddle offense functions the way they envison it. The Ravens are looking to be more offensive this year and that could mean a massive year for Flacco who has been handed the reigns of this old schol Jim Kelly/Buffalo Bills-type no huddle. That should mean a lot more pass attempts and chances for a lot more big games for Flacco.

My book has 19.5 @ -130. Tailing for a unit

Also playing AJ Green over 4.5 catches. 1 per quarter + 1 to win seems very likely to me. He is a phenomenal receiver and I don't see Law Firm running against Baltimore.

swordsandtequila · 09-10-12, 03:06 PM

Originally posted by Dollaz

line actually dropped to -115 when i got it @bovado

Line was 5Dimes; now -140.

Like the Green over 4.5 rec, but too juicy for my taste (-160).

haserfauld · 09-10-12, 03:13 PM

Originally posted by swordsandtequila

Line was 5Dimes; now -140.

Like the Green over 4.5 rec, but too juicy for my taste (-160).

-140 at my book for Green.

-115 for over 71.5 yards is tempting too, because I could see green having a 4/80/1 game with his speed

swordsandtequila · 09-10-12, 03:26 PM

Line on Flacco dropped so jumped on it, sprinkled a little on Green yds/score. Good luck all!

J.Flacco pass completions over 20 -130*
AJ.Green receiving yards over 73½ -105*
AJ.Green scores a TD +135*

Not a prop, but Oakland -2.5 +105.

swordsandtequila · 09-10-12, 08:27 PM

1 down, 2 to go. Nice call EP!

EaglesPhan36 · 09-10-12, 08:34 PM

Week 1 [Sept.10th @ 5Dimes] Raiders RB Derek McFadden Total Rushing Yards Over 94.5 [-110]

swordsandtequila · 09-10-12, 08:53 PM

Andy - AJ, AJ - Andy. F*k, let's go!!

swordsandtequila · 09-10-12, 09:25 PM

Well f*k me. Green has 70 yards 5 minutes into the third, doesn't even get a pass thrown his way the whole 4th quarter. Nice job Bungles. At least Brazil came to score. Come on McFadden/Raiders!

EaglesPhan36 · 09-10-12, 10:02 PM

Damn 8-0 Brazil. Wow. Glad I stayed away because I was thinking under. Was ready for World Cup qualis tomorrow over a "friendly" ....

Decent start by McFadden. Ready for him to rip off a long one to really propel the prop. 27 yards. 7 carries I like. If he gets 25-30, should have a good shot.

EaglesPhan36 · 09-10-12, 10:56 PM

[MNF Half Time] San Diego Scores Next [-120]

EaglesPhan36 · 09-10-12, 11:26 PM

Chiggity check! SD scores first. Now let's rip some big runs McFadden!

EaglesPhan36 · 09-10-12, 11:56 PM

No chance for McFadden. Raiders look like crapola. No holes created in the running game and too far behind to run much at all. Oh well, 2-1 at least with the SD half time prop hitting.

EaglesPhan36 · 09-12-12, 04:40 PM

Record: 5-5-1 [+0.30]

SparJMU · 09-12-12, 06:20 PM

OP, what are your thoughts on the Eagles in week 2?

EaglesPhan36 · 09-12-12, 06:31 PM

Interested to see if the defense can handle the no-huddle. Big challenge over facing a rookie QB. We'll see if the offensive game plan includes more running early. I have never understood the aversion to running early, but that is the M.O. under Reid. Pass, pass, pass, pass more. Cincy actually did some decent things running the ball and that is the best way to keep Vick upright IMO. You know they're going to come after him. Sensible game plan would be to loosen them up with the run and then hit them deep. Leaning towards the over as of this point, but much more researching to do. I just don't think Philly is going to keep Baltimore from scoring some points with that no huddle and I think the Eagles can score on Baltimore if they set things up correctly. As for a winner ... Eagles need to protect The Linc, but they have to stop being stupid. Maybe they get more amped for a legit opponent.

EaglesPhan36 · 09-13-12, 04:58 PM

Week 2 [Sept.13 @ Bovada] Bears RB Matt Forte Total Receptions Over 4 [-120]

swordsandtequila · 09-13-12, 05:58 PM

5Dimes has Forte rec. over 3.5 -160, little to juicy but I like its chances. Threw it in a parlay with Forte rec. yards over 35.5 -140, pays +179. Good luck tonight EP!

swordsandtequila · 09-13-12, 09:45 PM

Originally posted by swordsandtequila

5Dimes has Forte rec. over 3.5 -160, little to juicy but I like its chances. Threw it in a parlay with Forte rec. yards over 35.5 -140, pays +179. Good luck tonight EP!

Come on Cutler, one more toss to Forte for EP!

MexicanStallion · 09-13-12, 09:51 PM

At least you are on the push number for Forte.

swordsandtequila · 09-13-12, 10:09 PM

Bummer EP, Forte out for rest of game. You were definitely on the right side, seeing as how Cutler can't complete anything to a receiver.

haserfauld · 09-14-12, 12:38 AM

What book has the best props/prop availability? I'm locked in to a shitty book I had since last season (still earning my rollover from their Nazi bonus rollover requirements--never doing that again). Looking to open a 2nd account, mostly for props, since my book only has a few.

MexicanStallion · 09-14-12, 01:46 AM

Originally posted by haserfauld

What book has the best props/prop availability? I'm locked in to a shitty book I had since last season (still earning my rollover from their Nazi bonus rollover requirements--never doing that again). Looking to open a 2nd account, mostly for props, since my book only has a few.

5Dimes has several props on each game.

EaglesPhan36 · 09-14-12, 08:49 AM

Yeah a push was nice to get all things considered. As for props, every book I think has NFL props. It is good to have a couple so you can hunt for better prices or lines.

EaglesPhan36 · 09-16-12, 11:35 AM

Record: 5-5-2 [+0.30]

Week 2 [Sept.16 @ Bovada] Eagles RB LeSean McCoy Total Rushing Yards Over 82.5 [-120]
The big question of course is whether or not Andy Reid & Marty Mo figure out that running the ball helps alleviate the pressure on your QB? McCoy really churned out the yards late for Philadelphia in their game winning drive against the Browns. Baltimore did not overly impress by letting Green-Ellis get 90 last week. If he gets 20+ carries, I think he can work over the Ravens D for over this number which seems a tad low to me.

EaglesPhan36 · 09-16-12, 11:55 AM

Week 2 [Sept.16 @ 5Dimes] Saints QB Drew Brees Total Completions Over 26.5 [-145]

haserfauld · 09-16-12, 11:59 AM

Originally posted by EaglesPhan36

Record: 5-5-2 [+0.30]

Week 2 [Sept.16 @ Bovada] Eagles RB LeSean McCoy Total Rushing Yards Over 82.5 [-120]
The big question of course is whether or not Andy Reid & Marty Mo figure out that running the ball helps alleviate the pressure on your QB? McCoy really churned out the yards late for Philadelphia in their game winning drive against the Browns. Baltimore did not overly impress by letting Green-Ellis get 90 last week. If he gets 20+ carries, I think he can work over the Ravens D for over this number which seems a tad low to me.

It does seem low. I'm on over 102.5 rush + receive. Let's hit this! BOL

EaglesPhan36 · 09-16-12, 12:11 PM

2011 Michael Vick still in effect. Nice INT dummy.

Well it's low assuming he actually gets some carries LoL.

EaglesPhan36 · 09-16-12, 12:15 PM

Same as last week. Best runs always a hold. LoL.

EaglesPhan36 · 09-16-12, 01:16 PM

Turnover Machine. By hook or crook. It should probably be added to that Death, Taxes ... and Eagles Red Zone turnovers. F off.

pint86 · 09-16-12, 01:20 PM

I can't believe all these turnovers. Barely survived the Browns with that shyt, not going to survive the Ravens with it.

EaglesPhan36 · 09-16-12, 01:36 PM

[2nd Half] Eagles-Ravens Over 23 [-115]
Turnovers in the red zone cost the Eagles plenty of points. Of course expecting them to correct that is probably stupid. Still, they have moved the ball well and Philadelphia is having trouble with the no huddle for Baltimore. Toss in turnovers to maybe set up short fields instead of killing drives and I think there will be more points.

EaglesPhan36 · 09-16-12, 01:37 PM

Originally posted by pint86

I can't believe all these turnovers. Barely survived the Browns with that shyt, not going to survive the Ravens with it.

Sad thing is it is just "the norm" now for this team. Can't really be mad at the McCoy fumble, that was just dumb luck with the helmet hitting the ball. The other two were squarely on the players for poor play.

EaglesPhan36 · 09-16-12, 02:13 PM

Week 2 [Sept.16 @ Bovada] Detroit QB Matthew Stafford Total Passing Yards Over 285.5 [-115]
Not expecting the Lions to get a ton on the ground, so Stafford and the aerial attack will be big if Detroit is going to compete and/or win today. Stafford threw for 355 in Week 1 as Detroit was forced to come from behind. Last year against SF, he threw for 293 although it took 50 pass attempts to get there. I think one way or another, he can get there today.

Week 2 [Sept.16 @ Bovada] Pittsburgh WR Antonio Brown Total Receiving Yards Over 62.5 [-115]
With Revis out, the Steelers should find more success through the air today. Brown has the ability to make big plays in the passing game and had 74 yards on four catches in Week 1.

EaglesPhan36 · 09-16-12, 02:24 PM

Amazing. Eagles have run MORE than they have passed at this point.

EaglesPhan36 · 09-16-12, 02:36 PM

Week 2 [Sept.16 @ Bovada] RG3 Total Rushing Yards Over 37.5 [-115]
Gut pick for me here. Rams have talked a good game about smashing down on the edges and playing every play like it will be a run. I think easier said than done and I also think that RG3 will be pressured a bit more by this defense and forced to scramble more.