LOCK of the CENTURY - AFC CHAMP GAME - I WOULD LOOK

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  • StrictlyBusiness
    SBR High Roller
    • 12-15-11
    • 139

    #71
    Originally posted by qsilver335
    Most pro betters will actually be on the other side with BAL and the points. Good luck, if NE plays well there is a chance they run BAL out of the building, I just wouldn't bet on it....."It's the lock of the century, of the week!" (for you SVP fans)
    Can lead a horse to water....

    Really I try to let you guys in on the gist of what is going on here, and for some of you its like feeding Robitussin to a 1 year old.
    Comment
    • StrictlyBusiness
      SBR High Roller
      • 12-15-11
      • 139

      #72
      ND +10 + Pat ML 2 : 2.75

      ND +11 + Pat ML 7.5 : 8.25u

      ND ML + Pat ML 1 : 5.48u

      ^^This was the top pick for the day, but I reduced it down a little bit with syracuse having to travel without their big man. You never know how teams may respond, and lets face it they are without adoubt the deepest team in the country. I am looking at a few others tonight, but there is a chance I won't have as much on the Pats as I wanted. Definitely won't if the Domers lose, but if by some chance they win SU I might just get there. We will see what happens, but worst case scenario I just have to put a greater % of my bankroll at risk than I would normally like to do even with such a high rated play. That being said this is by far one of the highest rated plays I have ever had, and hell I have 3 different systems that lock this thing at 80%+ and the one being well over 90%. This is just a beast baby! Nova was a tough beat there, but lets get those domers.
      Comment
      • StrictlyBusiness
        SBR High Roller
        • 12-15-11
        • 139

        #73
        Hope a couple of you guys caught that bad boy.. coast to coast no contest boys. One of my bigger plays so far this season. I am looking at a couple other possibilities tonight, and maybe a half here I am keeping an eye on. Stay tune, and as always shoot me some suggestions or Q's.
        Comment
        • gti175
          SBR MVP
          • 11-06-08
          • 1192

          #74
          Why did you parley everything with pats ml and not the -7?
          Comment
          • StrictlyBusiness
            SBR High Roller
            • 12-15-11
            • 139

            #75
            Originally posted by gti175
            Why did you parley everything with pats ml and not the -7?
            Well that is self explanatory is it not ? Either way I thought I did a good job explaining what I was doing in the initial post though did you even read that ?
            Comment
            • FindTheLock
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 02-27-10
              • 7194

              #76
              Originally posted by gti175
              Why did you parley everything with pats ml and not the -7?
              because pats ML is a stone cold
              Comment
              • StrictlyBusiness
                SBR High Roller
                • 12-15-11
                • 139

                #77
                Too tired for this stuff fellas stayed up all night and throughout today getting in to these games. Strictly Business baby.
                Comment
                • gti175
                  SBR MVP
                  • 11-06-08
                  • 1192

                  #78
                  Originally posted by StrictlyBusiness
                  ND +10 + Pat ML 2 : 2.75

                  ND +11 + Pat ML 7.5 : 8.25u

                  ND ML + Pat ML 1 : 5.48u

                  ^^This was the top pick for the day, but I reduced it down a little bit with syracuse having to travel without their big man. You never know how teams may respond, and lets face it they are without adoubt the deepest team in the country. I am looking at a few others tonight, but there is a chance I won't have as much on the Pats as I wanted. Definitely won't if the Domers lose, but if by some chance they win SU I might just get there. We will see what happens, but worst case scenario I just have to put a greater % of my bankroll at risk than I would normally like to do even with such a high rated play. That being said this is by far one of the highest rated plays I have ever had, and hell I have 3 different systems that lock this thing at 80%+ and the one being well over 90%. This is just a beast baby! Nova was a tough beat there, but lets get those domers.
                  Maybe Im missing it but, where does it say anything about why you took the ml and not the spread? You said if anyone had questions to just ask.

                  Maybe you should have wrote, "I played the ml because I'm too much of a chicken shit to play it on the spread because I'm realizing all the shit I said in the beginning of the week is wrong . Although I feel confident the pats will win I'm not sure about the spread. Thus, this might not be the lock of the century...."

                  Good luck to you tomorrow, the ravens are going to be in this game in the 4th quarter...
                  Comment
                  • StrictlyBusiness
                    SBR High Roller
                    • 12-15-11
                    • 139

                    #79
                    Originally posted by gti175
                    Maybe Im missing it but, where does it say anything about why you took the ml and not the spread? You said if anyone had questions to just ask.

                    Maybe you should have wrote, "I played the ml because I'm too much of a chicken shit to play it on the spread because I'm realizing all the shit I said in the beginning of the week is wrong . Although I feel confident the pats will win I'm not sure about the spread. Thus, this might not be the lock of the century...."

                    Good luck to you tomorrow, the ravens are going to be in this game in the 4th quarter...
                    Yea sure if you say so. All I know is at the end of the day I will have money in my pocket unlike you, but don't feel bad. Most people are just like you -EV lifetime, and never really have a chance. Luckily I do not discriminate, and have no problem helping you just like I have been helping Mr. Find.

                    Good day sir !
                    Comment
                    • 5mike5
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 09-21-11
                      • 52053

                      #80
                      Originally posted by gti175
                      Maybe Im missing it but, where does it say anything about why you took the ml and not the spread? You said if anyone had questions to just ask. Maybe you should have wrote, "I played the ml because I'm too much of a chicken shit to play it on the spread because I'm realizing all the shit I said in the beginning of the week is wrong . Although I feel confident the pats will win I'm not sure about the spread. Thus, this might not be the lock of the century...." Good luck to you tomorrow, the ravens are going to be in this game in the 4th quarter...
                      Comment
                      • StrictlyBusiness
                        SBR High Roller
                        • 12-15-11
                        • 139

                        #81
                        Originally posted by StrictlyBusiness
                        -3.3

                        Pending: 22.4u : 17.48u - Patriots

                        (8-2-1 ATS)
                        Alabama loss... loss

                        Loyola Chi loss... loss

                        Nova 2H... loss (tough tough beat woulda really sent us over the top)

                        *TOP* Notre Dame covers spread... covers teaser leg

                        Notre Dame covers ML... covers parlay leg


                        ***TOP plays now 2-0 ATS ! (9-5-1 ATS)

                        Pending: 34.9u : 36.71u - Patriots

                        -13




                        Tally in a few....
                        Comment
                        • StrictlyBusiness
                          SBR High Roller
                          • 12-15-11
                          • 139

                          #82
                          Now just for Pats to hit the field, and run through the motions. See you guys at the finish
                          Comment
                          • gti175
                            SBR MVP
                            • 11-06-08
                            • 1192

                            #83
                            Originally posted by StrictlyBusiness
                            Yea sure if you say so. All I know is at the end of the day I will have money in my pocket unlike you, but don't feel bad. Most people are just like you -EV lifetime, and never really have a chance. Luckily I do not discriminate, and have no problem helping you just like I have been helping Mr. Find.

                            Good day sir !
                            I don't have a problem with people
                            Posting plays. I do when they use lock of the century words or other attention grabbing titles. Although I don't normally confront people like this bc it's pointless. I felt a little obligation because I feel the ravens have a solid Chance of winning straight up. If they lose tomorrow , I wont lose sleep over it nor will my bank account suffer. I don't spend all day on this forum posting plays looking for approval of total strangers, nor do I feel the need to brag about how much money I have. I've come to realize the people
                            Who brag about how much they bet or how much money they have usually don't have any, or bet nothing close.
                            Comment
                            • FindTheLock
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 02-27-10
                              • 7194

                              #84
                              Originally posted by gti175
                              I don't have a problem with people
                              Posting plays. I do when they use lock of the century words or other attention grabbing titles. Although I don't normally confront people like this bc it's pointless. I felt a little obligation because I feel the ravens have a solid Chance of winning straight up. If they lose tomorrow , I wont lose sleep over it nor will my bank account suffer. I don't spend all day on this forum posting plays looking for approval of total strangers, nor do I feel the need to brag about how much money I have. I've come to realize the people
                              Who brag about how much they bet or how much money they have usually don't have any, or bet nothing close.
                              according to some people you should tease the patriots with the patriots and throw in another play on the patriots. Parlay everything with the patriots and take out a loan on your house so you can bet on the patriots to beat the patriots. No other team on this planet can beat the patriots so you might as well bet on the patriots to get it done against the patriots. I am sure there is a bookie who will let you bet on that shit. It's a
                              Comment
                              • qsilver335
                                SBR MVP
                                • 11-11-09
                                • 1025

                                #85
                                Originally posted by StrictlyBusiness
                                Can lead a horse to water.... Really I try to let you guys in on the gist of what is going on here, and for some of you its like feeding Robitussin to a 1 year old.
                                I don't need to be led to water. Like most people on this forum I read posts, respond to some, learn some, teach some. I don't need to brag about my record or money won. If I was not successful at this game I wouldn't still be playing. But at the end of the day I make my own bets. Tailing someone completely is just not smart. Sure if you win it is great, but when you lose there is no worse feeling than knowing you lost with no input of your own. My best advice to anyone on here is to make your own bets. That all being said, ask any good investor in any aspect of life (sports, stocks, real estate, venture capitol) it is all about bank roll management. You never want to put too much of your bank roll on one investment. In my opinion, parlaying every bet with a Pats win is foolish. I think you do a good job, and if you had just played all of those games strait up you would already have a nice profit, but its not worth throwing everything away on the real chance that the Pats can actually lose this game....Anyway, good luck. I hope the Pats come through for you and all pays off. There is no doubt that if you win you will be on here tooting your own horn. If the Pats lose I hope you actually come back to read the posts here, because like any "Stone Cold Lock of the Century, of the Week" post, there will undoubtedly be a few comments here for you to read.

                                For the record I am on the under in this game, with 1 unit (bankroll management).
                                Comment
                                • Bets2win
                                  SBR Rookie
                                  • 01-22-12
                                  • 1

                                  #86
                                  I usually post on covers.com but I read this n your entire premise is ridiculous... If you've been "following the Pats for weeks", then you would've realized LAST WEEK was the "gift"... Denver was so overhyped, it was ridiculous! NE at home Vs a bad QB with a mediocre team was your NE "lock of the century". Thiswk your getting an inflated line from NE Bc they destroyed Denver and Baltimore had trouble beating Houston but anyone who watched, CLEARLY saw it had absolutely nothing to do with Yates, it was Houstons D that kept that game close and their Defense has been top 5 in the NFL the entire season so that's no surprise. NE "had lots of value" LAST WEEK.... This line is inflated at 7.5-9... Betting is about picking your spots and you're picking an AWFUL spot to make NE your "bet of the century"
                                  Comment
                                  • StrictlyBusiness
                                    SBR High Roller
                                    • 12-15-11
                                    • 139

                                    #87
                                    qsilver if you bothered to read the post you would realize I do play my college separate.
                                    Comment
                                    • qsilver335
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 11-11-09
                                      • 1025

                                      #88
                                      Every play in this post has some sort of parlay or teaser with the Pats, maybe you need to reread your own post..... And just so you know almost all "pro" or "sharp" or what ever you want to call it money is on the Ravens with the points. That does not mean they will win, because there is no such thing as a lock, but that's where the pro money is. Most people I talked to were able to get it at +7.5 or better.....I just saw you have only been a member here for a month. Makes me wonder how many other names have your lock of the century threads failed under? And if this one fails will you just make a new posting name?
                                      Comment
                                      • StrictlyBusiness
                                        SBR High Roller
                                        • 12-15-11
                                        • 139

                                        #89
                                        Yea they are all attached to parlays/teasers, because that is what this thread is about. I dont have a thread seperate for cbb yet man. Just never mind good luck jeez.. try to have some fun, and look what happens.
                                        Comment
                                        • CallMeMrOMac
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 10-17-11
                                          • 1213

                                          #90
                                          $10,000 on Pats -7

                                          Gonna go pass out now. My brain may legit be leaking and my heart won't stop beating.
                                          Comment
                                          • StrictlyBusiness
                                            SBR High Roller
                                            • 12-15-11
                                            • 139

                                            #91
                                            3-0 Pats !


                                            I got thrown off by side chatter earlier, and forgot the main reason I hopped on here quick. Played both NC State, and NW today. Both in teasers with pats as well for a unit. Plenty of time to get down on NW for those still looking..

                                            Wont count NC obviously here are the others:

                                            NW +11 Pats 1.45 : 1u

                                            Now adding ML parlay ingame:


                                            NW ML + Pat ML 1 : 3.8u


                                            Also might be the cheapest price so extra for in, and will add if ravens luck out and score again:

                                            Pats in-game -280

                                            8.40u : 3u
                                            Comment
                                            • StrictlyBusiness
                                              SBR High Roller
                                              • 12-15-11
                                              • 139

                                              #92
                                              Total domination here by the Pats, and you fellas were wondering why this is my lock of century. Some of even convinced "smart" or "pro" money is on the Ravens... what a laugh !
                                              Comment
                                              • StrictlyBusiness
                                                SBR High Roller
                                                • 12-15-11
                                                • 139

                                                #93
                                                Just as I figured Pats answer quick. Don't think I will be able to get another good price on the ingame # so here is the recap I meant to post up earlier today as well:


                                                Wiscy ML + Pat ML 4u : 2u

                                                N.Iowa +8 + Pat PK 2.6u : 2u


                                                Nebraska +10 + Pat PK 2.6 : 2u

                                                Texas +11 + Pat PK 2.6 : 2u

                                                Ole Miss +7.5 + Pat PK 1.3 : 1u

                                                Missouri St +7 + Pat PK 1.3 : 1u
                                                New Mexico 1H ML + Pat 1.4 : 1u

                                                Wisc 2H ML + Pat 2.6 : 2
                                                ND +10 + Pat ML 2 : 2.75
                                                ND +10 + Pat ML 2 : 2.75

                                                ND +11 + Pat ML 7.5 : 8.25u

                                                ND ML + Pat ML 1 : 5.48u
                                                USF ML + Pat ML 4u : 4.48u
                                                NW +11 Pats 1.45 : 1u
                                                NW ML + Pat ML 1 : 3.8u


                                                Pats in-game -280

                                                8.40u : 3u


                                                Pending: 45.75u : 44.51u - Patriots
                                                Comment
                                                • gti175
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 11-06-08
                                                  • 1192

                                                  #94
                                                  Originally posted by StrictlyBusiness
                                                  Total domination here by the Pats, and you fellas were wondering why this is my lock of century. Some of even convinced "smart" or "pro" money is on the Ravens... what a laugh !
                                                  Yup the game is over. Especially since no one has ever come back from a 10-3 Score before. You really are retarded
                                                  Comment
                                                  • StrictlyBusiness
                                                    SBR High Roller
                                                    • 12-15-11
                                                    • 139

                                                    #95
                                                    Originally posted by gti175
                                                    Yup the game is over. Especially since no one has ever come back from a 10-3 Score before. You really are retarded
                                                    Game pretty much over big fella. Not hard to see who is dominating.

                                                    Sure they have to finish up, but things look very good for the smart money on the Patriots.

                                                    If this goes under -200 I will add 5-10 more units, but I have to stop once I hit 20% of bankroll which I am nearing here.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • StrictlyBusiness
                                                      SBR High Roller
                                                      • 12-15-11
                                                      • 139

                                                      #96
                                                      gti you are an alright guy. Some people are bigger homers than others, but your not a bad guy. You stick around, and I have no problem sharing good info/insight I have. I will be starting a full time CBB thread after this, and I am much better in college hoops than even NFL. This thread shows a good preview of that I think. So I look forward to continued sucess here, and we can all benefit from it
                                                      Comment
                                                      • StrictlyBusiness
                                                        SBR High Roller
                                                        • 12-15-11
                                                        • 139

                                                        #97
                                                        The cats still in the locker room. Falling down 11-0 here to open the game. Honestly would have loved to have Flacco connect on that pass to give me one last shot on the ingame play to cover the cost of that one.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • StrictlyBusiness
                                                          SBR High Roller
                                                          • 12-15-11
                                                          • 139

                                                          #98
                                                          Very good half.

                                                          We should explode in the 2H boys strap in.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • StrictlyBusiness
                                                            SBR High Roller
                                                            • 12-15-11
                                                            • 139

                                                            #99
                                                            Yes
                                                            Comment
                                                            • balls2wall
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 12-20-09
                                                              • 2642

                                                              #100
                                                              Can someone fill me in? I stopped reading after "LOCK of the CENTURY"
                                                              Comment
                                                              • StrictlyBusiness
                                                                SBR High Roller
                                                                • 12-15-11
                                                                • 139

                                                                #101
                                                                Alright guys this is my last wager as I am fast approaching my absolute max of 20% bankroll on this play already. I see a few very solid options in college bball this week so I am going place an open parlay here for this week. I really wanted to limit this game to just a play on the game result, but I will gamble a little taking the Pats 2H ML. This will eat at my profits if they win by less than 3, but they get the ball to start the 2H where they will likely score right off the bat.

                                                                Open Parlay for week:

                                                                Pats 2H ML + <open> 5u : ?
                                                                Comment
                                                                • StrictlyBusiness
                                                                  SBR High Roller
                                                                  • 12-15-11
                                                                  • 139

                                                                  #102
                                                                  Some of you guys need to lighten up, really !

                                                                  I have a number of different contacts in the industry, and of everything I have learned over the years my uncle told me something very simple that was the most useful of all. You see he ran one of the sportsbooks out in the desert for near 15 years. He knew who many of the real players were, and even though he never bet himself he understood the game as well as anyone. I walked in one day a bit bummed out so he wondered what was wrong. I showed him my slips from down the way, and he immediately realized the problem. Two of the toughest beats you will take on totally fluke plays. It wasn't the discussion about hedging that sticks out, but it was the other advnice that followed "You can't take this game too seriously if you want to survive."

                                                                  To this day those are the truest words I have heard, and something that everyone who takes this as more than just a hobby must live by and truly understand.


                                                                  Brady n co. .......... up 6 !
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • BigDofBA
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 09-30-09
                                                                    • 19313

                                                                    #103
                                                                    This thread is a joke.

                                                                    You act like you know so much. Lol.

                                                                    Ravens winning!
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • StrictlyBusiness
                                                                      SBR High Roller
                                                                      • 12-15-11
                                                                      • 139

                                                                      #104
                                                                      I do know a bit. Look what did I say before this game. Ravens would have to win on a fluke, and Pats just fumbled kick after totally dominating entire game.

                                                                      Remember this though buddy it is not over, and this just will give me a better price if Ravens score to ADD.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • PR9
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 12-30-11
                                                                        • 2813

                                                                        #105
                                                                        heh
                                                                        Comment
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