LOCK of the CENTURY - AFC CHAMP GAME - I WOULD LOOK

[chopperocker]

chopperrocker

you let me know how square I am in about a month, ok friend ?

Already hit my first TOP play posted here too by the way. I also have a Ravens future from before the season started at big money, but that is neither here nor there. I was not around then, and it has nothing to do with the game which I believe the PATS will win. Future was one thing.. this game is another, and I will NEVER back off of a play I love for any reason other than analysis. Emotions can't get in the way here or you loose. Sooner or later you will catch up, but until then you might not want to open your mouth as it could come back to make you look a bit foolish.

your missing the point amatuer.

am·a·teur

   /ˈæməˌtʃʊər, -tʃər, -tər, ˌæməˈtɜr/ Show Spelled[am-uh-choor, -cher, -ter, am-uh-tur] Show IPA
noun 1. a person who engages in a study, sport, or other activity for pleasure rather than for financial benefit or professional reasons. Compare professional.
2. an athlete who has never competed for payment or for a monetary prize.
3. a person inexperienced or unskilled in a particular activity: Hunting lions is not for amateurs.
4. a person who admires something; devotee; fan: an amateur of the cinema.


im just trying to save the impressionable novice cappers from idiots that use the misleading LOCK word.

[StrictlyBusiness]

Alright whatever you say boss.

Another add

USF ML + Pat ML 4u : 4.48u

[StrictlyBusiness]

Nebraska covers spread... covers teaser leg

USF covers 2H spread... covers parlay leg

Marshall Loss... Loss

Missouri State covers spread... covers parlay leg

N. Iowa push spread... covers parlay leg

Wisconsin covers spread... covers parlay leg

Wisconsin covers 2H spread... covers parlay leg

New Mexico covers 1H parlay leg

Texas covers spread... covers parlay leg

Ole Miss covers spread... covers parlay leg

New Mexico 2H loss



Waiting on the rest... kicking myself for laying off of the bearcats though, and UCF. Both were strong leans I had to lay off because of a huge card.

[StrictlyBusiness]

Add...

New Mexico 1H ML + Pat 1.4 : 1u

Wisc 2H ML + Pat 2.6 : 2u

[StrictlyBusiness]

Getting ready for the Lobo's, and Aztecs. This should be a great game fellas. I put a little somethin somethin on the first half we will see what happens, and then assess the position at half.

[StrictlyBusiness]

Wiscy now blowing the doors off of the cats. This was actually a very highly rated play for me, and even though I did play more than the usual it should have been played for more. Keep rolling Badgers.. Lets turn full attention to this Lobo game, and have them finish out this half. Another great game here tonight.

[DOMINATER]

strictly your pumping me up I called my guy I just dropped the profit from a house I sold last month , I turned it over in 2 months made 60,000 dollars its all profit I just dropped the whole sixty Brady is getting old, how much longer can he go and they have receivers all over if he gets double teamed he finds the open guy . three weeks ago he had a dead arm ,he came back with a strong fresh arm I agree this is a killer. So what if I drop the cash I have three other businesses pulling in 20 a week plus that 60 can also be made again. I am going for it. I lost way more than that 12 years ago in the market, and I recovered from it. strictly I put the credit on you .you gave me the confidence to open up I been jerking shitty unexcitting bets all year this will wire me up and get my heart pumping. I feel like 20 again thanks alot....

[StrictlyBusiness]

strictly your pumping me up I called my guy I just dropped the profit from a house I sold last month , I turned it over in 2 months made 60,000 dollars its all profit I just dropped the whole sixty Brady is getting old, how much longer can he go and they have receivers all over if he gets double teamed he finds the open guy . three weeks ago he had a dead arm ,he came back with a strong fresh arm I agree this is a killer. So what if I drop the cash I have three other businesses pulling in 20 a week plus that 60 can also be made again. I am going for it. I lost way more than that 12 years ago in the market, and I recovered from it. strictly I put the credit on you .you gave me the confidence to open up I been jerking shitty unexcitting bets all year this will wire me up and get my heart pumping. I feel like 20 again thanks alot....

If you like it, and got it go for it. I can't tell anyone how to bet just lend advice, and if it was me I would not go "ALL IN" on NFL or any sport for that matter. Then again it is more of an investment for you than some type of bankroll dedicated to gambling. You get the point.. Save some type of chunk, and even if we get unlucky we will make it back in college hoops. Believe that much.. You hear me?? BELIEVE THAT MUCH. Glad I can pump you up buddy. Lets have a week to remember...


How about this New Mexico game actually lean sdsu instead here ?

2 HALF PLAY

NMEX 2h ML + Pat ML .7 : .5u

[StrictlyBusiness]

If you are missing this SDSU/NMEX game you are really missing out my friends !!!

49-48 LOBO

[StrictlyBusiness]

SDSU pulling away maybe I should have stuck with the first lean on SDSU... Find a way LOBO I need my icing !!!


Counting this one as a loss early.. Lobo are cooked was not a smart add, but what can you do. Tally:

[StrictlyBusiness]

Nebraska covers spread... covers teaser leg

USF covers 2H spread... covers parlay leg

Marshall Loss... Loss

Missouri State covers spread... covers parlay leg

N. Iowa push spread... covers parlay leg

Wisconsin covers spread... covers parlay leg

Wisconsin covers 2H spread... covers parlay leg

New Mexico covers 1H parlay leg

Texas covers spread... covers parlay leg

Ole Miss covers spread... covers parlay leg

New Mexico 2H loss



Waiting on the rest... kicking myself for laying off of the bearcats though, and UCF. Both were strong leans I had to lay off because of a huge card.

-3.3

Pending: 22.4u : 17.48u - Patriots

(8-2-1 ATS)

[StrictlyBusiness]

Too early to ask for a little love from Andyman / Chopper ????

Yeeehawww

[phillip1969]

I'm not based on what this guys says but the pats will win. If you get the pats at 7 pound it. Take the giants with ml and brake the bank . Good luck to us all .

[phillip1969]

Wow that came out the way you wanted : )

[StrictlyBusiness]

Wow that came out the way you wanted : )

Just about. I did leave some money on the table which is unacceptable in this business, but I will live.

[StrictlyBusiness]

-3.3

Pending: 22.4u : 17.48u - Patriots

(8-2-1 ATS)

Looks like I may have something yummy for tomorrow boys.

[GunShard]

Threads like these usually end up the other way.

I'm not so confident on my Patriots bet anymore.

[StrictlyBusiness]

Tough crowd.

[StrictlyBusiness]

Alabama ML + Pat 3.25 : 3u

Loyola Chi +11.5 + Pat -1 1.45 : 1u

[a4u2fear]

good luck SB, but what is the weather supposed to be like this weekend? The Northeast has been splattered with snow lately.

[FindTheLock]

Lang said on the radio he was picking the patriots! He will tease them like you!

[dredmahawkus]

in 2009 when balt beat the patriots, Bradys recievers were edleman tate and moss....TE baker......they improved that a little.

[Statman]

Interesting comments. Have a feeling at least 1 of the 2 games this weekend will have a dog winning outright. NYG appear to be the obvious choice but with so many people on NE, maybe it's Baltimore? We all know Brady can score but if Balt. controls the clock via their running game against the suspect NE D, that NE offence could be neutralized. Good luck in your plays.

[lakerboy]

in 2009 when balt beat the patriots, Bradys recievers were edleman tate and moss....TE baker......they improved that a little.

who were the ravens receivers?

[FindTheLock]

who were the ravens receivers?

that doesn't matter to the people who love the patriots. All they can remember is the patriots blowing out the broncos and the ravens barely squeaking by the texans. Nothing else is important unless it is evidence to suggest the patriots will win in another blowout. You can't reason with people like this, they watch ESPN all day and believe everything they see and hear from the so called experts. Nothing else matters just hand the patriots the super bowl title and let's skip these next few games.

[casinobones]

Hey Strictly,Do you think the line in the Patriots game will drop below 7 and do you think the total will drop or rise? I was thinking of betting it early with my Local,and he uses mainly the lines from scoresandodds and its been at 7/50.5 all week.I'm thinking of going ahead and buying the hook and betting it at 6.5 because I got a feeling all the sharp smart $$$ is gonna coming in about an hour b4 game time on the Pats and move it up.IMO thinking the total in this game goes over 50.5 points too. I'm thinking the total my go up a bit also? I'm thinking of teasing Pats -1 and over 44.5 with a 6 point teaser and parlaying N.E. -7 & over 50.5 ? I think the 49ers may win but between 3-7 points so a Giant teaser +8.5 & over 36.5 may also be in order? thoughts.....

[StrictlyBusiness]

Hey Strictly,Do you think the line in the Patriots game will drop below 7 and do you think the total will drop or rise? I was thinking of betting it early with my Local,and he uses mainly the lines from scoresandodds and its been at 7/50.5 all week.I'm thinking of going ahead and buying the hook and betting it at 6.5 because I got a feeling all the sharp smart $$$ is gonna coming in about an hour b4 game time on the Pats and move it up.IMO thinking the total in this game goes over 50.5 points too. I'm thinking the total my go up a bit also? I'm thinking of teasing Pats -1 and over 44.5 with a 6 point teaser and parlaying N.E. -7 & over 50.5 ? I think the 49ers may win but between 3-7 points so a Giant teaser +8.5 & over 36.5 may also be in order? thoughts.....

I am really not sure about the total if it does move it will likely be only 1pt or so. I really don't think the spread will move much at all either, but I would guess if it were to go lower it wouldn't be under 6.5 like earlier in the week. I think there is a good possibility of the Pats getting hammered before the kickoff like you said. FindTheLock thinks otherwise, but he also thinks that the Patriots are somehow the public team. The reality is that most people will be drawn to the Ravens getting 7 points against "a soft Pats defense" etc etc.. FindLock is wayyy off on this game, and reminds me of a lot of the "pseudo-sharps" all over these forums in that many times they really have no clue about "public" type betting even though that is their own base strategy !

I have a handful of college bball I will be looking at for tomorrow, and will be posting them shortly. Let me know if you like anything there, and want any input.

[FindTheLock]

I am really not sure about the total if it does move it will likely be only 1pt or so. I really don't think the spread will move much at all either, but I would guess if it were to go lower it wouldn't be under 6.5 like earlier in the week. I think there is a good possibility of the Pats getting hammered before the kickoff like you said. FindTheLock thinks otherwise, but he also thinks that the Patriots are somehow the public team. The reality is that most people will be drawn to the Ravens getting 7 points against "a soft Pats defense" etc etc.. FindLock is wayyy off on this game, and reminds me of a lot of the "pseudo-sharps" all over these forums in that many times they really have no clue about "public" type betting even though that is their own base strategy !

I have a handful of college bball I will be looking at for tomorrow, and will be posting them shortly. Let me know if you like anything there, and want any input.

as the line steadily moves from 9 to 7 you're convinced the patriots will be getting hammered haha. Give the guy proper advice and tell him to wait till the line moves to 6.5 with regular vig attached to it.

[StrictlyBusiness]

So not only are you horrible at figuring out public perception, but your reading comprehension seems to be horrible as well. No wonder you strictly base your plays off others thoughts... you likely cannot think for yourself!

Best I can tell you is that you found the right thread FindLOck. I have no problem helping even folks like you make some coin.

[FindTheLock]

so when you have a baseless argument you resort to ad hominem attacks. I would expect nothing less from a self proclaimed talent like yourself. I read very well, and you're under the false presumption that you're on the sharp end of this stick. Carry on! If you're on the same side as lang you're doing it wrong.

[moshi]

FindTheLock thinks otherwise, but he also thinks that the Patriots are somehow the public team. The reality is that most people will be drawn to the Ravens getting 7 points against "a soft Pats defense" etc etc..

Currently 80% public on Baltimore ML but 76% on New England to cover.

[StrictlyBusiness]

Currently 80% public on Baltimore ML but 76% on New England to cover.

Yea well I would not put much stock into public % numbers on websites never have never will you can use them as a guide, but just can't trust those. That would especially go for whatever place is showing like 80% on the Pats, really ? I have SI loaded, and they have 54% on Ravens for spread with 67% on Raven ML.

Either way don't really want Find to derail the thread with sidetalk. I have no problem helping him out, and teaching him what I can just don't want to clutter up too much.

[gti175]

Patriots are a lock! All the way!!!!!! Lock it up , bet your house or trailer, which ever you own .. Lol

[qsilver335]

Most pro betters will actually be on the other side with BAL and the points. Good luck, if NE plays well there is a chance they run BAL out of the building, I just wouldn't bet on it....."It's the lock of the century, of the week!" (for you SVP fans)

[StrictlyBusiness]

Nova +1 2H + Pat ML 5 : 7u

ND +10 + Pat ML 2 : 2.75