Wager that I can't hit at least 18 of the next 23 games - ThrowDown Thread

StackinGreen · 12-09-11, 11:35 AM

Climb,
I'm gonna do it. I would definitely tune in on Sunday.

Visual,
It's okay. I would be skeptical too. Let's just keep winning!

ClimbSomeRocks · 12-10-11, 07:09 PM

Originally posted by StackinGreen

Climb,
I'm gonna do it. I would definitely tune in on Sunday.

Visual,
It's okay. I would be skeptical too. Let's just keep winning!

When will you be posting? I'm a snowboard instructor and will be on the mountain all day tomorrow

StackinGreen · 12-10-11, 07:48 PM

After some deliberation, I'm going with 3 team 10 point teaser:

Green Bay -1
New York Jets -.5
BUF/SD over 37.5

Dexter · 12-10-11, 08:14 PM

oh no SGreen. Teasers are a bookies dream. dont do it!

StackinGreen · 12-10-11, 08:42 PM

just this once

Originally posted by Dexter

oh no SGreen. Teasers are a bookies dream. dont do it!

Will you let it fly this one time?

It's posted. I can't turn back now.

a4u2fear · 12-10-11, 09:21 PM

Gl sg

Dexter · 12-10-11, 09:23 PM

Originally posted by StackinGreen

Will you let it fly this one time?

It's posted. I can't turn back now.

did you know that bookies are known to laugh uncontrollably when hanging up the phone after people place teaser bets? its a known fact.

Dexter · 12-10-11, 09:29 PM

i change my avatar and you dont even say anything.....

Ch Br · 12-10-11, 10:56 PM

Originally posted by StackinGreen

After some deliberation, I'm going with 3 team 10 point teaser:

Green Bay -1
New York Jets -.5
BUF/SD over 37.5

If youre gonna tease an over... why not bring down GB/Raiders in GB to 42... packers average 35 there and you know Seabass can kick 2-4 FG's at least

Ch Br · 12-10-11, 10:57 PM

HELL you could tease TB/Jax up to 50, cuz those scrubs are prolly gonna score 17 and 13 respectively

StackinGreen · 12-11-11, 01:51 PM

Originally posted by Dexter

i change my avatar and you dont even say anything.....

I did, don't worry. I'm just trying to figure out what the hell it is, or if it is blasphemous. Can you clarify?

StackinGreen · 12-11-11, 01:54 PM

Originally posted by Ch Br

HELL you could tease TB/Jax up to 50, cuz those scrubs are prolly gonna score 17 and 13 respectively

I could do anything, yes, but these are the plays I liked with spread, and my rule with teasers (Dex says never play them, but occasionally I do) is that you have to like the line to go with it. I considered Jets -10 and Packers -10 near top plays with the BUF/SD over similar, so that's why I decided to tease instead of straight plays. I think those will come close to or cover, it's just that they weren't quite "top plays", therefore the teaser. I didn't like doing it but it will hit.

The next plays will get back to straights, don't worry boys.

StackinGreen · 12-11-11, 06:49 PM

Talk to me boys! The parlay is even gonna hit ...

heating up

I've got tonight's game too. Just wait.

Matt1144 · 12-11-11, 06:51 PM

Tailed your teaser big guy. Let's get that SNF

StackinGreen · 12-11-11, 07:11 PM

Keep it going Matt, I'm hitting my stride. I foresaw this run, that's why I made the thread.

I'll release the pick at 7:45 eastern

ncsubowen · 12-11-11, 07:19 PM

Thanks for all you're doin' stackin!

StackinGreen · 12-11-11, 07:43 PM

New York Giants +4.5

Hit it.

No coincidences · 12-11-11, 07:45 PM

Originally posted by StackinGreen

New York Giants +4.5

Hit it.

You're with over 80% of the public on a line that's gone up 1.5 points. Just sayin'.

ClimbSomeRocks · 12-11-11, 07:47 PM

I was really hoping you'd be on this play. Same lean I had. Lets get it!

StackinGreen · 12-11-11, 07:59 PM

Originally posted by No coincidences

You're with over 80% of the public on a line that's gone up 1.5 points. Just sayin'.

Not worried at all. I handicap the game.

Ch Br · 12-11-11, 08:00 PM

Originally posted by Ch Br

HELL you could tease TB/Jax up to 50, cuz those scrubs are prolly gonna score 17 and 13 respectively

WOW WAS I WRONG!!!!!!!

Ah ha the 'trash' bowl was just that...to think Jax could score on their own, not to mention 2 gifts from Tampa, wtf I feel like i watched the TWILIGHT ZONE......

ahahah serves me right!!!!!

i broke my own rule and bet on SHIT teams!!!!

boy i feel like a tool for fading my own philosophy

Matt1144 · 12-11-11, 08:04 PM

Hey Stacks I just took NY for +3 @ +135. Think they still cover the 3?

StackinGreen · 12-11-11, 08:18 PM

I think they win outright, yes, but my play is a "top play" and to me in this matchup, NYG a different team with Bradshaw, divisional matchup, it'll be close. NYG covers.

BettingWizard · 12-11-11, 08:21 PM

I kinda like giants ml

Matt1144 · 12-11-11, 08:21 PM

Sweet. I'm a greedy bastard always trying to get plus odds

BOL though, just another step in your quest

No coincidences · 12-11-11, 08:21 PM

Originally posted by StackinGreen

Not worried at all. I handicap the game.

So do I.

I think the Cowboys win by at least 6. Not sure what advantage you're giving the Giants here.

Dexter · 12-11-11, 08:27 PM

Originally posted by No coincidences

You're with over 80% of the public on a line that's gone up 1.5 points. Just sayin'.

you are so enamored with public %'s and line movements....it is like nothing i have ever seen on this board.

you do realize the "public" play wins about 50% of the time....right?

Dexter · 12-11-11, 08:28 PM

Originally posted by No coincidences

So do I.

I think the Cowboys win by at least 6. Not sure what advantage you're giving the Giants here.

RLM to the favorite? i didnt even have to look at your post to know you were taking the cowboys tonight. lol

Dexter · 12-11-11, 08:30 PM

Originally posted by StackinGreen

Talk to me boys! The parlay is even gonna hit ...

heating up

I've got tonight's game too. Just wait.

parlay never posted, never happened...

you're not one of those guys, are you?

No coincidences · 12-11-11, 08:31 PM

Originally posted by Dexter

you are so enamored with public %'s and line movements....it is like nothing i have ever seen on this board.

you do realize the "public" play wins about 50% of the time....right?

Originally posted by Dexter

RLM to the favorite? i didnt even have to look at your post to know you were taking the cowboys tonight. lol

My formula has worked for the NFL. I've killed it for five weeks straight. No sense in stopping now. And yes, I do more than just follow line movement -- but paint me with that brush if you must. It's a part of my capping process. Sorry if that bothers you.

Matt1144 · 12-11-11, 08:35 PM

Originally posted by Dexter

parlay never posted, never happened...

you're not one of those guys, are you?

I think he meant his teaser. Haha give the guy a break, he's been posting official plays since he started the thread.

Dexter · 12-11-11, 08:40 PM

Originally posted by No coincidences

My formula has worked for the NFL. I've killed it for five weeks straight. No sense in stopping now. And yes, I do more than just follow line movement -- but paint me with that brush if you must. It's a part of my capping process. Sorry if that bothers you.

haha - its worked for 5 weeks?

i know...have seen you thumping your chest a lot lately.

i love you nocoin - one day hopefully you'll realize that its ok to take a "square" play sometimes.

can you please stop with the capping games stuff? all you ever say is "i dont see the angle", yet you never mention what type of angles you look at. you look at line changes, and public %'s....there is nothing wrong with that, just admit it. thats why you get so much shit from people on here.

StackinGreen · 12-11-11, 08:48 PM

Originally posted by Dexter

parlay never posted, never happened...

you're not one of those guys, are you?

I didn't claim to have bet a parlay, ever. I was talking about those 3 hitting straight (Bills just missed the over). Recall that I said I didn't play all 3 because they were at difficult spread junctions --- go look it up --- I liked the NYJ and GB under or at 10 and thought Bills was a very solid line at 47.5/48

Perhaps that 1 point miss on the over was reason to take a teaser on those? Obviously it was.

Never sweated it, Dex.

Now, the Giants are about to Boss them. Guess who is taking the streak to 4-0 since declaring it mattered. Stay tuned ...

Love The Action · 12-11-11, 09:04 PM

Originally posted by StackinGreen

Now, the Giants are about to Boss them. Guess who is taking the streak to 4-0 since declaring it mattered. Stay tuned ...

Technically, in this thread you are only 3-0. The first play you claim to have won was never posted in this thread. Just saying.

In addition, while going 18-5 is cool, it's a completely arbitrary accomplishment and really doesn't "matter" at all. I still don't understand what you are trying to prove.

I'm not hating, I hope you do it. I'm just saying -- it doesn't "matter" nor does it prove anything. If you do it, it will be cool, but no one really cares except you. If you don't do it, that will be unfortunate for you, but no one will really care about that either.

I hope you get the Giants though because I have them teased up to +10.5.

Good luck!

StackinGreen · 12-11-11, 09:32 PM

Originally posted by Love The Action

Nope, not necessarily. You asked whether it could be done and I responded affirmatively. Conceivably, one could go 18-5 by throwing darts and getting "lucky." In your case, I would say much less randomness is involved because of your previous record over the 50-60 game small sample. If you go on another run like 18-5, there would be less randomness involved this time and such a streak is to be more likely the result of "skill" than luck. Now all you need to do is win.

Who's being consistent now, LTA? Is it much less randomness, or are you trying to diminish my good start out of the gate when I called it?