Miami +7 at Greenbay!!??

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  • thefuture
    SBR High Roller
    • 11-17-09
    • 150

    #1
    Miami +7 at Greenbay!!??
    Does this not seem like the game of the year to take so far. The packers were already banged up coming into today and are in worst shape afterwards (couple guys to cart rides). While the dophlins despite the score moved the ball at will against the pats on monday night and are a decent team. The packers shouldn't be 7 point faves against anybody right now. I know its early in the week but Im thinking about putting every dollar to my name on the fins. Thoughts?
  • t-wizzle
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 12-18-09
    • 38099

    #2
    I saw this too. Seems like easy money.
    Comment
    • Jhart2838
      SBR High Roller
      • 03-29-10
      • 149

      #3
      Weather def a factor here. If its below 40 Id put on the brakes with the all-in. But yes I see cameron wade getting it coupious amount of pressure, and I see a miami's O-line giving henne time. Plus throw in the wildcat. plus throw in brandon marshall. I like it. I like the over too.

      Only downfall I see here is will henne go back to back shitty weeks?

      - GB has good corners.
      Comment
      • HauntingTheHoly
        SBR MVP
        • 04-28-10
        • 1397

        #4
        Interesting point about the weather. Are the dolphins really affected by the cold? Is there any evidence of that? Henne is from Michigan, right? How about the rest of the team? Just b/c they practice in FL, doesn't necessarily mean they can't play in cold...or does it?
        Comment
        • Jhart2838
          SBR High Roller
          • 03-29-10
          • 149

          #5
          not that big of a factor, but if it is really cold out, I wouldnt go huge, id just go big. I think practicing for a whole week then on sunday its 50 degrees cooler can make a difference sometimes.

          But Miami can still run the ball its not like the chargers who throw the ball all over the place are going into gusting winds below 30.
          Comment
          • thefuture
            SBR High Roller
            • 11-17-09
            • 150

            #6
            Not worried about the weather beacuse Miami can run the ball but so far the weather is being predicted to be 57 with a 20% chance of rain. Yes there corners are good but they are down to a 3rd string ss and banged up fs. Ryan Pickett got carted off and mathews has a hamstring issue. On offense they lost finley the teams leading reciever and his back up Donald Lee sprinkle in RB issues and a rookie right tackle who will be starting his 2nd game. The line is where it is based on pre season expectations (superbowl) but not yet a reflection of what they really are.

            O yea I almost forgot the 2 middle linebackers are out as well
            Comment
            • Masu485
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 08-14-08
              • 7700

              #7
              Packers defense is almost 100% Clay Matthews and he was injured today.
              Comment
              • HauntingTheHoly
                SBR MVP
                • 04-28-10
                • 1397

                #8
                Bodog and 5dimes hasn't posted the ATS line for the game and a few others yet, I wonder if they'll delay it until more is known about injuries?

                BTW, how long is Ryan Pickett supposed to be out for? I graduated high school with him - but didn't hear he got injured. Couldn't watch any football this past weekend, regrettably. >
                Comment
                • sweethook
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 11-21-07
                  • 12667

                  #9
                  gb looks good here
                  Comment
                  • GunShard
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 03-05-10
                    • 10032

                    #10
                    Take Miami now, when it's confirmed Rogers isn't playing, then the line would completely change to Miami -5.
                    Comment
                    • pattymayo
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 05-19-09
                      • 10221

                      #11
                      miami early smart play
                      Comment
                      • RJ89
                        SBR Sharp
                        • 09-03-09
                        • 363

                        #12
                        This line doesn't seem to make sense. Check out GB's injurred list

                        Green Bay Packers

                        10/11 Donald Lee: Status: questionable - shoulder
                        10/10 Jermichael Finley: Status: questionable - knee
                        10/10 Clay Matthews: Status: questionable - thigh
                        10/10 Ryan Pickett: Status: questionable - knee
                        10/10 Aaron Rodgers: Status: questionable - concussion
                        10/09 Quinn Johnson: Status: questionable - buttocks
                        10/08 Mark Tauscher: Status: questionable - shoulder
                        10/04 Morgan Burnett: Status: i r - knee
                        10/03 Nick Barnett: Status: i r - wrist
                        10/02 Brandon Chillar: Status: questionable - shoulder
                        10/02 Sam Shields: Status: questionable - calf
                        09/13 Will Blackmon: Status: i r - knee
                        09/12 Ryan Grant: Status: i r - ankle
                        09/12 Justin Harrell: Status: i r - knee
                        09/02 James Starks: Status: out - hamstring
                        08/11 Josh Bell: Status: i r - foot
                        08/05 Atari Bigby: Status: out - ankle
                        07/25 Al Harris: Status: out - knee
                        07/19 Johnny Jolly: Status: out - suspension

                        Comment
                        • Lazyboy311
                          SBR Sharp
                          • 05-04-10
                          • 409

                          #13
                          Damn...thats like 1/4 of their team!!!

                          Wonder what the line will do when/if Rodgers is ruled out due to concussion?!? The league is getting really tight about head injuries and it wouldn't surprise me at all to see him ruled inactive as a "precautionary" measure...a la Kolb
                          Comment
                          • bobbyk1133
                            SBR MVP
                            • 08-05-10
                            • 2245

                            #14
                            I'd say the chances of Rodgers being out are about 90% given how teams are handling concussions now. Most books have this game off the board, but even if Rodgers is in MIA +5 was the right play.
                            Comment
                            • gogogo
                              SBR Rookie
                              • 09-03-10
                              • 29

                              #15
                              good luck all i like mia this week
                              Comment
                              • ProfaneReality
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 04-14-09
                                • 7607

                                #16
                                fukk GB, I hope they get crushed
                                Comment
                                • big0mar
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 01-09-09
                                  • 3374

                                  #17
                                  Where exactly are you seeing this line?
                                  [B][B]They key isn't getting rich quick. The key is getting rich slowly, and enjoying it.

                                  [/B][/B][SIZE=1][URL="http://forum.sbrforum.com/sbr-points/490161-points-available-loan.html#post4633361"][/URL][/SIZE]
                                  Comment
                                  • Silverbullet
                                    SBR High Roller
                                    • 09-14-07
                                    • 105

                                    #18
                                    Green Bay has a decent defense should keep it close but I like Miami to cover and possibly win it
                                    Comment
                                    • castle
                                      SBR Sharp
                                      • 10-04-10
                                      • 344

                                      #19
                                      Where are you seeing +7?
                                      Comment
                                      • ufcmma36
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 02-22-10
                                        • 1065

                                        #20
                                        wow. they took it off 5dimes
                                        Comment
                                        • nbarlotta3
                                          SBR Sharp
                                          • 04-11-10
                                          • 451

                                          #21
                                          I would wait to see if Rodgers is playing or not.
                                          Comment
                                          • ManBearPig
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 12-04-08
                                            • 2473

                                            #22
                                            This line isn't on the board anywhere right now...Everyone is waiting for the news on Rogers I bet. I'm in Reno and it's not even on the board here (that I've seen) either so it's not just offshore.
                                            Comment
                                            • terpkeg
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 10-26-09
                                              • 2364

                                              #23
                                              What books had this open? I see no line history anywhere.
                                              Comment
                                              • thefuture
                                                SBR High Roller
                                                • 11-17-09
                                                • 150

                                                #24
                                                It was pinnacle one of the offshores that sbr gives you to look at. They must gave taken it down because it was still there when I went to bed last night.
                                                Comment
                                                • NYSportsGuy210
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 11-07-09
                                                  • 11347

                                                  #25
                                                  Miami + 4 or more points is the pick here IMO too.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • PROfitableEnergy
                                                    Restricted User
                                                    • 05-31-10
                                                    • 538

                                                    #26
                                                    Love this play... sucks they took it down... agree with NYS I would take Miami +3.5/+4 or higher...
                                                    Comment
                                                    • greenyman
                                                      SBR Rookie
                                                      • 10-12-10
                                                      • 4

                                                      #27
                                                      sounds like a good play
                                                      Comment
                                                      • big0mar
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 01-09-09
                                                        • 3374

                                                        #28
                                                        This line won't be higher than 3.5
                                                        [B][B]They key isn't getting rich quick. The key is getting rich slowly, and enjoying it.

                                                        [/B][/B][SIZE=1][URL="http://forum.sbrforum.com/sbr-points/490161-points-available-loan.html#post4633361"][/URL][/SIZE]
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Zubi
                                                          SBR Sharp
                                                          • 12-26-09
                                                          • 357

                                                          #29
                                                          Yep! I don't see any lines on this one either.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • regretz
                                                            SBR Sharp
                                                            • 12-18-09
                                                            • 370

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by NYSportsGuy210
                                                            Miami + 4 or more points is the pick here IMO too.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • HauntingTheHoly
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 04-28-10
                                                              • 1397

                                                              #31
                                                              Bodog hasn't stopped with just keeping this one off, but FIVE others as well, for six total. WTF?
                                                              Comment
                                                              • d2bets
                                                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                • 08-10-05
                                                                • 39995

                                                                #32
                                                                Can't believe you got this. Never saw a line. I don't think it'll be more than -3, tops.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • DaProfessor23
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 12-07-08
                                                                  • 1180

                                                                  #33
                                                                  if line is + points on phins , im teasing the Under and Phins for atleast a few units , and then a few units on phins ML
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • thefuture
                                                                    SBR High Roller
                                                                    • 11-17-09
                                                                    • 150

                                                                    #34
                                                                    The hilton has it at greenbay -6.5 http://www.pregame.com/lines/history...ate=2010-10-17
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • slacker00
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 10-06-05
                                                                      • 12262

                                                                      #35
                                                                      I bet Rodgers plays. Just a hunch.
                                                                      Comment
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