CFL Week 7 Most Exciting CFL Thread Ever Thread....

AndyCapper · 08-14-10, 09:32 PM

Just saw that the White Sox blew a 1-run lead in the ninth to mess your 2-game parlay..... Shitty Deal Bbiz!!!

AndyCapper · 08-14-10, 09:36 PM

Just saw a stat... The Argos lost to Montreal 6 times in a row before the win tonight

BetterBizness · 08-14-10, 09:40 PM

Originally posted by AndyCapper

Wow, great call on the Argos Bbiz! As predicted I couldn't exercise self control (for once a good thing!) and put 1/2 a unit on the Argos at +7.5.... Gutsy call on betting the Argos straight up Bbiz, well done

Thanks Cap.. We still got something... Unfortunately I was a little too busy betting other sports with the Argos to really have a good night...

Nevertheless Good job backing the Argos cover...

balman · 08-14-10, 11:29 PM

okay good night with Argos +7.5 and ML bets... tomorrow i have multiple bets.. on Cal -9.5 , and teaser Cal -3.5 and under 54.5...

cheers

BetterBizness · 08-15-10, 12:23 AM

Thanks Bal..

Have small $10 parlay on Sask +8.5, Ham ML, Tor ML, and ugh.. Edm ML..

Will preview tomorrow, but I think it's more hope and homer than reality...

stefan084 · 08-15-10, 12:45 AM

calgary-8 today fellas?

BetterBizness · 08-15-10, 01:30 AM

Originally posted by tension

Thanks!

I live in Melbourne so the AFL is my game

Melbourne are a young team with a slight possibly of still making the finals where as the Hawks won the premiership 2 years ago with a very good team, most of that team is still intact but they aren't playing nearly as good as they were 2 years ago.

Hawks would be a safe bet as they really need a win after playing horrible and geting smashed last week against the Swans. They didn't even turn up for the first half last week.

I would take the Hawks mL. I'm not sure what the odds are in CA/US terms but Hawks are paying $1.70 (If I got my maths right I believe that is -130)

I like the cut of your jib so far Tension...

I didn't bet.. But I'm watching now in the 4th with Hawthorn up by 17... I couldn't get my book to get me a line.. but I'm working on it for next week.. nice post anyhow..

tension · 08-15-10, 01:48 AM

Hey BetterBizness did you find a bookie to take your bet ? Hawks ran away with it in the last quarter though I was a little bit worried when it started raining.

EDIT: Just read your post above

I went large on the Hawks which recovered my MLB losses

BetterBizness · 08-15-10, 01:53 AM

Originally posted by tension

Hey BetterBizness did you find a bookie to take your bet ? Hawks ran away with it in the last quarter though I was a little bit worried when it started raining.

EDIT: Just read your post above

I went large on the Hawks which recovered my MLB losses

I could not.. Not everyone takes AFL... It's my fault for not having the right books... I will fix that for next week..

I watched the game though... I love the AFL.. WD ...

Art Vandelay · 08-15-10, 02:20 AM

Love Calg as well - they own the Eskies at McMahon!

Spartacuss · 08-15-10, 03:41 AM

Tension....i saw your post and put 1 unit on the Hawks, not bad for a Queenslander. I also use Sportingbet australia, but it dosent have team totals for Mbl so where missing out there.

Maybe when i break the bank, i'll streach my reach to the usa books. I also bought an iphone today so now i can sneak off at work and place some bets.....hehehehe dont tell my boss.

Spartacuss · 08-15-10, 03:44 AM

BB whats your tip for tomorrow? I should read your post just before work starts in 11 hours.....Or I'll be in the dunny looking it up at work............lol

haveuseenm · 08-15-10, 09:58 AM

Nice blog I'll keep watching

cankid · 08-15-10, 12:07 PM

gl today, I see Stamps is out for Edm

BetterBizness · 08-15-10, 12:53 PM

Edmonton @ Calgary Preview 8 PM EST North America

10 AM EST Australia (For all our Aussie Followers)

Calgary -8.5 - O/U 52.5

Edmonton Seasonal Results (Most recent first)

Tor 29 @ Edm 28 - O52.5
BC 25 @ Edm 28 - O52.5
Edm 21 @ Win 47 - O52.5
Edm 20 @ Sask 24 - U52.5
Mon 33 @ Edm 23 - O52.5
BC 25 @ Edm 10 - U52.5

Calgary Seasonal Results (Most recent first)

Calgary 27 @ BC 22 - U52.5
Win 20 @ Cal 23 - U52.5
Sask 20 @ Cal 40 - O52.5
Cal 24 @ Tor 27 - U52.5
Cal 23 @ Ham 22 - U52.5
Tor 16 @ Cal 30 - U52.5

The obvious:

Calgary plays LOTS of unders - 5 of 6... Edmonton Tends to play more Overs - 4 of 6...

Calgary has NOT scored less than 23 Points ALL YEAR... and twice scored 30 or more... The only reason for Unders is that their Defense tends to play solid... Toronto scored the most with 27 as opposition, but the other 5 games, Calgary has held teams to 22, 20, 20, 22, and 16...

Now, Despite being a HOMER... this may have cover written all over it... Edmonton has HUGE troubles moving the ball, and their best WR Stamps is OUT... As I mentioned in a previous post, Edmonton churns out receivers quite regularly.. In fact, just one mans humble opinion which has been mentioned in this thread... Stamps, as good as he is, can basically be attributed to a BIG reason for Edmonton's 2 losses vs Sask, and Montreal with a Horrible Drop to put Montreal away, and a HUGE Fumble after the catch in Sask... Obviously the team is better WITH him than without, but maybe this is the week that a little more focus from the guys that have to make up for him not being there... WR Kelly Campbell, an NFL drop, could be THAT guy to step up...

Something I found interesting...

Edmonton is No. 1 in pass defence in the CFL, while Calgary is No. 2. In fact, the Esks have not given up a 300-yard game through the air this season. The defensive difference is that the Stamps have allowed just 554 yards along the ground, which is second-best in the league behind Montreal, while Edmonton has surrendered a league-worst 987 rushing yards.

On the Plus side... Cal RB Reynolds last 5 games, he has NOT hit 100 yards... In fact, he seems to be getting to be a forgotten part of the offense... Here are his numbers (most recent first - carries, then yards)

10-67, 9-30, 15-93, 9-44, 15-98, 17-116...

So does that mean he's going to light it up tonight??? Well, reading some Edmonton papers, it seems the club is STILL optimistic... And really, they are 1 game behind Winnipeg for the Crossover playoff spot... They SHOULD be optimistic... They have ALOT of weapons, they just had a HORRIBLE first 6 games...

Of course, I'm saying that from a guy that also just put a unit down at 50-1 to win the Grey Cup, becuase at the end of it all, the Esks just have to figure it out, and unlike the NFL, a 1-5 start is bad, but NOT devestating... Esks figure out a way into the Crossover game, and if they are playing well at that point of the year, who knows...

So I'm going to play a unit on the Esks to cover... Action betters may want a small ML bet here... I don't think the Esks will get killed, but then again, Calgary could EASILY win this game 24-14... I'm definitely leaning on the under in any case as well...

I know I said it last night with my Toronto ML play (that won), but this is probably a game that should be avoided... I'm mostly playing with alot of heart, and a little logic, but I just don't see crazy Value in Cal 8.5...

I am going with 1 Unit Parlay Edmonton +8.5 + Under 52.5 ... We're doing well for the week, but I know I'm only playing this because I want the action... I would avoid this game however if I wasn't such a Homer...

AndyCapper · 08-15-10, 01:44 PM

Impressed with your picks so far BBiz. Gonna go with your U52.5 suggestion.

tension · 08-15-10, 04:25 PM

Ok i'm with you on the unders

mcmc · 08-15-10, 05:06 PM

BBiz-Appriciate the thourogh breakdown. Jumping on the under also.

GL to us in the thread!

AndyCapper · 08-15-10, 05:42 PM

C'mon under

AndyCapper · 08-15-10, 06:15 PM

Got BBiz's CFL under parlayed with Paco's Over8.5 in the Phillies/Mets game.

balman · 08-15-10, 08:22 PM

Calgary looking good but the under is in danger.. hopefully stamps shut it down in the 2nd half

BetterBizness · 08-15-10, 09:53 PM

Just Pure ICK all around...

Pure Embarrassment... Esks may NEVER figure it out...

Eskimos did their part in the Under anyhow... oh well.. 3-1 for the Week with some big time +, particularly on the ML...

balman · 08-15-10, 10:54 PM

yeah BB not a bad week in CFL.. we won with Sask, TO, I didnt play Ham/Winn.. and won with TO and Stamps... lost the under on Stamps Esks.. DAM IT STAMPS scored over the total all by themselves... next week is bye week for west so only 2 games.... i look for Mont to be 7-9 Favs vs Winnpeg and Argos to be 3-5 favs vs ti-cats... may play some nfl pre-season next week to.

Cheers

BetterBizness · 08-15-10, 11:54 PM

Originally posted by balman

yeah BB not a bad week in CFL.. we won with Sask, TO, I didnt play Ham/Winn.. and won with TO and Stamps... lost the under on Stamps Esks.. DAM IT STAMPS scored over the total all by themselves... next week is bye week for west so only 2 games.... i look for Mont to be 7-9 Favs vs Winnpeg and Argos to be 3-5 favs vs ti-cats... may play some nfl pre-season next week to.

Cheers

WD Bal being on the right side of Sask and TO...

I knew I was affected by being a homer on the Esks tonight, but I also TRULY thought Edmonton would be gamely...

I'm not going to let it get to me too much, in fact, aside from the last 2 weeks of Eskimo Games, I think I'm 6-2... So far, If you were with me on all my picks except the homer picks... You'd be 8-0...

Onward and Upward In Week 8...

balman · 08-16-10, 06:31 PM

lines are out mont -11 total a 56; Tor -2.5 total at 54... havent looked at the games in details but my first thought is grab Argos at -2.5 before lines goes to -3 or higher.. the other numbers are right on...

what you guys think about the numbers?