***The Knuckleballers Computer Based System Tracking Thread***

[TheKnuckleballer]

Overall (36-36-1) -4.3 Units
*****5 Unit Picks***** (0-1) -5.5 Units
****4 Unit Picks**** (0-1) -4.4 Units
***3 Unit Picks*** (4-4) -1.2 Units
**2 Unit Picks** (19-10-1) +15.8 Units
*1 Unit Picks* (13-20) -9 Units

Total Unit Based Record (63-61-2) -4.3 Units
Risk Adj. Winning % (50.00%)

I have seven picks on the card today. Despite the injuries, I really like the Lions to cover the spread today against the Cardinals. This line is inflated. I have the game capped at Cardinals -8.5. Food for thought, the home team is 8-0 ATS in the last 8 meetings between these two teams. Today should be a great day to watch some football. In my opinion, nothing beats watching a game that is being played in inclement weather. GL and enjoy the action!!!

**2 Unit Picks**
Lions +14
Falcons/Jets Over 35
Bengals +7
49ers +9

*1 Unit Picks*
Falcons +7
Raiders +14
Packers +1

[TheKnuckleballer]

No time to update my record or do a write up, but I do have a 3 Unit Pick for tonight. One quick note, if you can't get this line at +3 or better make it a 2 Unit Picks. I will be back later to update the record. GL and enjoy the game!!

***3 Unit Picks***
Redskins '+3

[TheKnuckleballer]

Overall (40-39-2) -6.1 Units
*****5 Unit Picks***** (0-1) -5.5 Units
****4 Unit Picks**** (0-1) -4.4 Units
***3 Unit Picks*** (4-5) -4.5 Units
**2 Unit Picks** (21-12-1) +15.4 Units
*1 Unit Picks* (15-20-1) -7.1 Units

Total Unit Based Record (69-68-3) -6.1 Units
Risk Adj. Winning % (49.29%)

I hope everyone is having a great Christmas!! Tonight's game should be a good one. I have this game capped at Titans +2.5 as opposed to Titans -3. Per my system, the wrong team is favored. Not much to write about, but this should be an interesting matchup. The Titans are on a roll, but I think tonight is the end of the road against a very solid, balanced Chargers team. This should be an emotional game, which bodes well for the Titans early, but the Chargers should pull away in the second half. GL and Merry Christmas!!

**2 Unit Picks**
Chargers +3

[TheKnuckleballer]

Overall (41-39-2) -4.1 Units
*****5 Unit Picks***** (0-1) -5.5 Units
****4 Unit Picks**** (0-1) -4.4 Units
***3 Unit Picks*** (4-5) -4.5 Units
**2 Unit Picks** (22-12-1) +17.4 Units
*1 Unit Picks* (15-20-1) -7.1 Units

Total Unit Based Record (71-68-3) -4.1 Units
Risk Adj. Winning % (50.00%)

I hope everyone had a wonderful Christmas and enjoyed spending time with their families. I have a lot of dogs on the card today. In my opinion, many of today's lines are inflated. Hopefully, we can get back in the black today with a solid card. GL and enjoy today's picks!!!

***3 Unit Picks***
Texans +1

**2 Unit Picks**
Seahawks +14
Panthers +9
Bucs +14
Rams +14.5
Broncos +7

*1 Unit Picks*
Bills +9
Chiefs +13.5

[TheKnuckleballer]

Overall (47-42-2) +2.4 Units
*****5 Unit Picks***** (0-1) -5.5 Units
****4 Unit Picks**** (0-1) -4.4 Units
***3 Unit Picks*** (5-5) -1.5 Units
**2 Unit Picks** (26-14-1) +21 Units
*1 Unit Picks* (16-21-1) -7.2 Units

Total Unit Based Record (83-73-3) +2.4 Units
Risk Adj. Winning % (52.20%)

Yesterday was just what we needed to get back in the black this season. I have a 2 Unit Pick tonight as well. I love the Bears in this position. There may be turmoil in Vikings locker room, and I think that may spill over onto the field tonight. I have this game capped at Vikings -3.5. My main concern is Adrian Peterson, due to the Bears inability to stuff the run this season (allowing 4.36 YPR this season). With below freezing weather, I like the Bears to keep this one closer than the "experts" think. GL and enjoy the game!!

**2 Unit Picks**
Bears +9

(DA BEARS!!!)

[SexyMit]

...

[TheKnuckleballer]

Overall (48-42-2) +4.4 Units
*****5 Unit Picks***** (0-1) -5.5 Units
****4 Unit Picks**** (0-1) -4.4 Units
***3 Unit Picks*** (5-5) -1.5 Units
**2 Unit Picks** (27-14-1) +23 Units
*1 Unit Picks* (16-21-1) -7.2 Units

Total Unit Based Record (85-73-3) +4.4 Units
Risk Adj. Winning % (52.80%)

Today, I have one 4 Unit Winner. The wrong team is favored in the early game. I have the early game capped as Jets -1.5. The linemakers agree with me, seeing as how the line has dropped quickly to Jets +1 from Jets +4. Should be a good day for some football. GL and stay warm today!!

****4 Unit Picks****
Jets +1

[TheKnuckleballer]

Overall (49-42-2) +8.4 Units
*****5 Unit Picks***** (0-1) -5.5 Units
****4 Unit Picks**** (1-1) -.4 Units
***3 Unit Picks*** (5-5) -1.5 Units
**2 Unit Picks** (27-14-1) +23 Units
*1 Unit Picks* (16-21-1) -7.2 Units

Total Unit Based Record (89-73-3) +8.4 Units
Risk Adj. Winning % (53.94%)

We started off the post season with a bang yesterday. Today, I have a 2 Unit Pick for the late afternoon matchup. The Packers should win by more than a field goal today. The Packers have the edge in rushing offense and rushing defense. Also, the Packers have converted 47% of their 3rd down attempts this season. This should be a good game, but I like the Packers to win and move on to the next round of the playoffs. GL and enjoy the game!!

**2 Unit Picks**
Packers -2.5

[TheKnuckleballer]

Overall (49-43-2) +6.2 Units
*****5 Unit Picks***** (0-1) -5.5 Units
****4 Unit Picks**** (1-1) -.4 Units
***3 Unit Picks*** (5-5) -1.5 Units
**2 Unit Picks** (27-15-1) +20.8 Units
*1 Unit Picks* (16-21-1) -7.2 Units

Total Unit Based Record (89-75-3) +6.2 Units
Risk Adj. Winning % (53.29%)

Today, I have 3 Winners for everyone. Unfortunately, I don't have time for write ups today. GL and enjoy the football!!

***3 Unit Picks***
Cardinals/Saints Under 57

**2 Unit Picks**
Ravens +6.5

*1 Unit Picks*
Cardinals +7

[TheKnuckleballer]

Overall (49-46-2) -.4 Units
*****5 Unit Picks***** (0-1) -5.5 Units
****4 Unit Picks**** (1-1) -.4 Units
***3 Unit Picks*** (5-6) -4.8 Units
**2 Unit Picks** (27-16-1) +18.6 Units
*1 Unit Picks* (16-22-1) -8.3 Units

Total Unit Based Record (89-81-3) -.4 Units
Risk Adj. Winning % (51.45%)

Yesterday was a nightmare, but today is a new day with one large 5 Unit Pick on tap. I love the Jets in this matchup. They have the edge rushing the ball averaging 4.5 YPR against a Chargers defense that allows 4.4 YPR. This should allow the Jets to control the clock and win the field position battle. Should be a good game, but I truly believe the JETS will walk away with an upset in this matchup. My system has the game capped at Chargers +1. GL and enjoy the game!!!

*****5 Unit Picks*****
Jets +7.5

[fjordo]

Nice play on the Jets Knuckleballer. Hopefully your succesful for the rest of the playoffs.

Best of luck.

[TheKnuckleballer]

Overall (50-46-2) +4.6 Units
*****5 Unit Picks***** (1-1) -.5 Units
****4 Unit Picks**** (1-1) -.4 Units
***3 Unit Picks*** (5-6) -4.8 Units
**2 Unit Picks** (27-16-1) +18.6 Units
*1 Unit Picks* (16-22-1) -8.3 Units

Total Unit Based Record (94-81-3) +4.6 Units
Risk Adj. Winning % (52.81%)

Last week was fun with a big 5 Unit Winner!! Today, I am on the J-E-T-S, JETS, JETS, JETS again as a live dog. This line is way off. I have this game capped as a pickem, but the public's favorite QB, Peyton Manning, and his legendary Colts are favored by more than a TD in this matchup. The Colts lack of a running game will prevent them from covering this 8 point line. The Colts average only 3.4 YPR, while the Jets defense allows just 3.9 YPR. Also, the Jets ability to run the ball and chew up clock will be critical. The Jest average 4.5 YPR, while the Colts defense allows 4.3 YPR. The edge in the rushing game and the Jets ability to limit teams to an average of 4.9 yards per pass attempt will prove to be pivotal. This game will likely be decided by a field goal. GL and enjoy the football!!!

***3 Unit Picks***
Jets +8

[TheKnuckleballer]

Overall (50-47-2) +1.3 Units
*****5 Unit Picks***** (1-1) -.5 Units
****4 Unit Picks**** (1-1) -.4 Units
***3 Unit Picks*** (5-7) -8.1 Units
**2 Unit Picks** (27-16-1) +18.6 Units
*1 Unit Picks* (16-22-1) -8.3 Units

Total Unit Based Record (94-84-3) +1.3 Units
Risk Adj. Winning % (51.93%)

Just closing out my record for the 2009-2010 NFL Season. It was not all that pretty, but it was slightly profitable. I am itching for the 2010-2011 season to get started. I hope you all will continue to follow me as I attempt to improve my system and win more games this season than last. Good luck and start getting excited about the upcoming season!!

[AlphaOmega]

You still did better than I did last season I was raped bad last season ...

[TheKnuckleballer]

Overall (50-47-2) +1.3 Units
*****5 Unit Picks***** (1-1) -.5 Units
****4 Unit Picks**** (1-1) -.4 Units
***3 Unit Picks*** (5-7) -8.1 Units
**2 Unit Picks** (27-16-1) +18.6 Units
*1 Unit Picks* (16-22-1) -8.3 Units

Total Unit Based Record (94-92.4-.3) +1.3 Units
Risk Adj. Winning % (50.35%)

Above is my corrected record for the 2009-2010 NFL Football season. After looking at it, I realized that I failed to calculated my Total Unit Based Record correctly. Thus, my Risk Adjusted Winning % was ever so slightly inflated. Just wanted to fix it. See you this weekend for the new season!