First time posting NFL picks here so i'll say I'm 0-0 ATS. I have won this year so far, and in my pickem league I am picking at 54%, but obviously that's every game, and I didn't bet all those games.

Denv -2.5 Denv has improved almost every week. It's nearly impossible to beat Peyton in December before he had a defense, now that he has a defense, Flacco's not going to be able to put up anywhere near the numbers manning will.

Patriots -5.5 Brady doesn't lose at home in december. Pressure is still on SF rookie QB to keep his job, and we all know what the patriots do vs rookie qbs. Patriots by double digits.

Jags +7.5 Miami can't pass, only has one real option in Hartline who is going to play banged up. As the year has went on Miami has digressed and the Jags although terrible, have played better with Henne. Jags cover easily, and quite possibly get their third win of the season.