Fade The National TV Winner

[rezkoness69]

those are regionally televised game. Neither of those two games were on in Chicago.

[Dexter]

Hey Dexter,
How about the other games that were on T.V.
Oakland vs K City and Saints vs Eagles
wouldnt you bet against the Raiders and Saints also?

no - thats different for everyones local listings.

any MNF, SNF game - those Thursday Night games on the NFL Network and there are some Sat games as well. Anything that is on for the entire nation to see.

my mindset is that these teams get extra pumped when on display for the whole country and there could be a letdown off a win. times where you will likely see my go heavier, is when a team is off a big win vs a divisional rival. the packers beat the bears, then lost at home straight up to the bengals as a 9 point choice. going forward, i think i will weight those plays higher.

[Chuck Luck]

bears were the NATIONAL afternoon game...

seattle should be a play also.

[Mr Winters]

bears were the NATIONAL afternoon game...

seattle should be a play also.

You're kind of missing the point of this angle. . . It's about the BIG national spotlight. Sunday night game - only 1 game on. Monday night game - only one game on. The teams know this, get pumped up. The winner has a psychological (and physical) letdown. That's the theory. I think in general it's less theory and more a fact of life.

I guess that's the point of following this thread. . .

[yisman]

^ agreed.

it's about the national TV primetime winners, not Sunday afternoon games which are never nationally televised and which go up against a lot of other games.

[Dad]

SO how is this working out, fellas?

[CashIn]

i think fading people on this forum works best

[darkenergy]

i think fading people on this forum works best

that's funny

[Dexter]

bears were the NATIONAL afternoon game...

seattle should be a play also.

2 things you're not getting:

1) we are talking about primetime games that are seen everywhere in the country. the bears/seahawks were not a game televised everywhere.

2) we are fading the winner, not the loser. sea is not a play this week.

[Dexter]

Week 3: 0-2

YTD: 4-2 (67%)

[Dexter]

Week 3 National TV Winners: Colts, Cowboys

Week 4 Plays:

Seahawks +10.5
Broncos +3

[Dexter]

i really like the broncos play, but will lay off the seahawks as this autobet conflicts with another that i have (fading the west coast team on the east coast with a 3 hour time difference)

[Dexter]

Week 4: 1-1

YTD: 5-3 (63%)

________________________________________ __________

Week 4 National TV Winners: Vikings, Steelers

Week 5 Plays:

Rams +10
Lions +11.5

[Dexter]

Ok Dexter I will track the losers of the prime time games.See if we stay on thw W path.

Dallas and Miami week 3

update from your end...

[azn624]

How about the losers in the prime time games?

Tenn L

Bills W

Raiders W

Bears W


Interesting also the losers of these games went 3-1 ATS

For week 3

Dallas W

Miami L

For Week 4

No play since Arizona and Carolina were both on bye. Is this something that should be followed after a bye week?

For Week 5

No play since Green Bay and San Diego are both on bye as well (something going on here?), Might do Arozona and Carolina

YTD 4-2

[azn624]

On a side note for the national televised Indy and Miami are on bye next week, never kept up with this but has 1 sunday night and monday night team always get bye the next week?

[yisman]

no, not always. Sometimes.

[HoulihansTX]

With the plays being Rams/Lions. It looks like a week to fade the concept of the thread title.

[Dexter]

With the plays being Rams/Lions. It looks like a week to fade the concept of the thread title.

the nfl is the one sport where the unexpected/underdogs come out of nowhere. i have no problem with either play.

[Saluki09]

Vikings -10 is an easy cover against the Rams. This game is over by halftime, also do the Rams even know who there qb is tomorrow? If Bulger is out have fun with Boller starting.

[2daBank]

I AGREE RAMS ARE ALWAY AUTO FADE BUT BULGER BEING OUT HASNT EXACTLY CHANGED THIS SHITTY OFF. not that boller is any good but certainly not any worse than bulger at this point not saying take the rams just dont base it on which garbage qb starts for them

[Serbone]

With the plays being Rams/Lions. It looks like a week to fade the concept of the thread title.

Fade the fade.

[HoulihansTX]

I'm taking the Vikings, and the Lions. The system has been .500 so far, so that further motivates my reasoning.

Although I do believe this thread will be around 55%- 60% at the end of the season.

Let's get money fellas.

[Dexter]

I'm taking the Vikings, and the Lions. The system has been .500 so far, so that further motivates my reasoning.

Although I do believe this thread will be around 55%- 60% at the end of the season.

Let's get money fellas.

the system hasnt been 500. its 5-3 so far.

[Dexter]

Vikings -10 is an easy cover against the Rams. This game is over by halftime, also do the Rams even know who there qb is tomorrow? If Bulger is out have fun with Boller starting.

you and 85% of the public agree

http://www.thespread.com/nfl-football-public-betting-chart

[Saluki09]

Easy cover for Vikings, congrats everyone who backed Minny

[Dexter]

Easy cover for Vikings, congrats everyone who backed Minny

dont be that guy (kid)

[HoulihansTX]

I'm taking the Vikings, and the Lions. The system has been .500 so far, so that further motivates my reasoning. Although I do believe this thread will be around 55%- 60% at the end of the season. Let's get money fellas.

I apologize for my incorrect statistic. I looked at any earlier post when it was (2-2). But still my theory cashed.
Gl to all

[Dexter]

Week 5: 1-1

YTD: 6-4 (60%)

[Dexter]

Week 5 National TV Winners: Colts, Dolphins

Week 6 Plays: None (both on a bye)

[HoulihansTX]

How is this concept doing. I know Panthers upset the Cards.

[Dexter]

i'll update later - these are my A5 autobets now, so i didnt even bother keeping up with this thread. 1-1 this past week. i'll update the record later. right around 1 or 2 games over 500