Fade The National TV Winner

[Dexter]

this thread will be used to track how fading a national tv winner will have done over the course of the regular season. i am not making these bets, though sometimes in the other thread, you may see me actually on (or against) some of these plays. i will use the opening line here at sbr, and all bets are for 1 unit.

Week 1 National TV Winners: Steelers, Packers, Pats, Chargers

Week 2 Bets:

bengals +10
bears +1
jets +6.5
ravens +4

YTD Record: 0-0 (0%)

[cgars1]

like the idea...good info to follow and use where needed...bravo

[2daBank]

THINK THIS great idea dex! have you ever backtracked this and if so do you know how well it did? sorry to lazy and short on time 2 do myself

[Danskeren]

Let's hope it works cause I'm on the
Bears, Jets and Ravens for week 2.

[Deceptive]

Being a bronco fan i am very aware of cutlers ability that is why i feel very strongly about the Bears just tanking again this week, he is proven to be overrated and has no problem putting together back to back horrible games much less quarters against good defenses, he was very fortunate to have pro bowl receivers in Denver as well as a good offensive coach. Pitt has a better defense than G.B. even without troy p. easy win for Pitt. my best bet this week hope for the best

[twentyonekid]

that monday nite theory was working good until last year but the pats and sd didn't cover anyway so it looks like a wash this week for any of that with those two

[Dexter]

Week 2: 4-0

YTD: 4-0 (100%)

[Dexter]

starting next week im going to put at least 1x on these games, unless i have a strong lean the other way for whatever reason.

[danrman]

terrific idea... my kinda angle.. kudos

[GGPLAYER]

Wow...I was on the wrong end of all four of those games. Amazing results. The SD game really hurt. Terrible play calling once they got in the red zone.

[Dexter]

terrific idea... my kinda angle.. kudos

i knew you would like this.

[Bluehorseshoe]

I use to do this all the time, but you will get an 0-4 now and then.

[Chuck Luck]

been doing this for years. like a charm....

also dog in the dbl header late game is $

[OvertimePlease]

Wow...I was on the wrong end of all four of those games. Amazing results. The SD game really hurt. Terrible play calling once they got in the red zone.

i feel ur pain, those last 2 calls made me wonder why san diego hasnt fired Nov Turner yet.

[taxman]

Like the angle Dexter..thanks for posting 4-0...good shit

[taxman]

How about the losers in the prime time games?

Tenn L

Bills W

Raiders W

Bears W


Interesting also the losers of these games went 3-1 ATS

[coachr1]

4-0!

[infamousbacardi]

Great thread...looks feasible for sure!! I'll tag next weekend for 1x also. Well done!!

[Dakine]

Nice work....

[Dad]

How about the losers in the prime time games?

Tenn L

Bills W

Raiders W

Bears W


Interesting also the losers of these games went 3-1 ATS

Very interesting. So if you faded the winners and bet the losers you'd be 7-1. We might be on to something here.

[angelodebo]

Ha! I would def. like to see the outcome of this!

[Dfjay9]

Is it even possible to back track this? Where can you find archived TV schedules lol

[Dfjay9]

dbl

[Dexter]

How about the losers in the prime time games?

Tenn L

Bills W

Raiders W

Bears W


Interesting also the losers of these games went 3-1 ATS

why dont you track betting the losers following week, and i'll continue to track fading the winners.

bucs are a play in week 3.

[Gaston Monescu]

this thread will be used to track how fading a national tv winner will have done over the course of the regular season. i am not making these bets, though sometimes in the other thread, you may see me actually on (or against) some of these plays. i will use the opening line here at sbr, and all bets are for 1 unit.

Week 1 National TV Winners: Steelers, Packers, Pats, Chargers

Week 2 Bets:

bengals +10
bears +1
jets +6.5
ravens +4

YTD Record: 0-0 (0%)

Really love those bets. I wish something told me to think hard about the NFL this week, but my efforts were on college football. The fact that Pats and SD barely eeked out wins and that this week they were facing obviously stronger teams, the play would've been fading them, but I stayed away completely.

Any thoughts on MNF?

[MexicanStallion]

Thanks for sharing. Nice work here.

[Dexter]

i tell ya - would love to see the dolphins win, then fade them in sd who is in must win mode.

[Dexter]

ok, the bucs and cards in week 3.

[taxman]

Ok Dexter I will track the losers of the prime time games.See if we stay on thw W path.

Dallas and Miami week 3

[taxman]

ok, the bucs and cards in week 3.

Dallas and Miami week 3

[azn624]

Will follow this and see how things turn out

[DiggityDaggityDo]

Is it even possible to back track this? Where can you find archived TV schedules lol

Very good point here. Is anybody willing to go back to all of last years games and see how this turned out?

[Dexter]

Very good point here. Is anybody willing to go back to all of last years games and see how this turned out?

i'm not doing this, but you can go right to espn.com and backtest. just look for all the night games, thanksgiving day etc

[Dexter]

Week 2 National TV Winners: Giants, Colts

Week 3 Plays:

bucs +7
cards -1

[Pepsimansd]

Hey Dexter,
How about the other games that were on T.V.
Oakland vs K City and Saints vs Eagles
wouldnt you bet against the Raiders and Saints also?