PIMIKE's NFL Picks Thread!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

pimike · 11-26-09, 11:42 AM

Originally posted by pimike

Ok we have three games Thursday. The past two years ALL THREE fav won on Thanksgiving. THIS YEAR WILL BE DIFFERENT.

HERE IS WHAT I AM DOING!

I am going to bet 5000 on Lions
If loses I will bet 10,000 on Raiders.
If loses I will bet 25,000 on Denver.

You can do this with what ever your bank roll allows. 50/150/500

If Lions win. I made money and will not bet another game.

HAPPY THANKSGIVING and if you listen you should make money for the DAY!

LIONS +14 bought 2, may not need it.

BrownTown · 11-26-09, 11:45 AM

Originally posted by pimike

LIONS +14 bought 2, may not need it.

Mike ... you like the over at 48?

pimike · 11-26-09, 11:49 AM

Originally posted by BrownTown

Mike ... you like the over at 48?

Not Sure, If Lions don't play D they may get blown out. However it appears both teams may score alot. Clev scored easy and they have no O.

So that said should be good.

My goal is to win money today so therefore I will not play that. It may be good.

Yes I am playing a chase. Yes Chase works. If anybody has followed me they know I have not lost more than 3 in a row of my big bets all year.

BrownTown · 11-26-09, 11:52 AM

Originally posted by pimike

Not Sure, If Lions don't play D they may get blown out. However it appears both teams may score alot. Clev scored easy and they have no O.

So that said should be good.

My goal is to win money today so therefore I will not play that. It may be good.

Yes I am playing a chase. Yes Chase works. If anybody has followed me they know I have not lost more than 3 in a row of my big bets all year.

Thanks for the insight ... hopefully in a few days I can just open up my email to find these nuggets from you!!!

sweetjones55 · 11-26-09, 11:57 AM

Originally posted by pimike

Just wait till right before kick off u may get more points. The whole world is betting Greenbay. Packers are not a good road team.

Thanks mike. Looks like Matthew Stafford and Calvin Johnson are playing.

Lions' Pettigrew leaves game with knee injury

http://sports.espn.go.com/nfl/news/story?id=4691706

Detroit Lions quarterback Matthew Stafford was in the starting lineup Thursday against Green Bay, less than a week after separating his non-throwing shoulder.

Fantasy Sports

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18kk · 11-26-09, 12:03 PM

Yes. Thanks.

Lets get some wins for the family!

BrownTown · 11-26-09, 12:07 PM

Maybe this makes me a square but what Cleveland did to Detroit last week and the Packers D even before the injuries ... I think the over is the play, rather than chasing a side.

pimike · 11-26-09, 12:08 PM

Originally posted by sweetjones55

Thanks mike. Looks like Matthew Stafford and Calvin Johnson are playing.

Lions' Pettigrew leaves game with knee injury

http://sports.espn.go.com/nfl/news/story?id=4691706

Detroit Lions quarterback Matthew Stafford was in the starting lineup Thursday against Green Bay, less than a week after separating his non-throwing shoulder.

http://www.rotoworld.com/content/pla...rt=Nfl&id=4153

18kk · 11-26-09, 12:11 PM

Mike, I have send out mine. Good luck as always!

terrortwylight · 11-26-09, 12:19 PM

i'm tailing. gimme lions -14.

hahaha wow only pimike would actually convince me to take this bet.

pimike · 11-26-09, 12:48 PM

Originally posted by terrortwylight

i'm tailing. gimme lions -14.

hahaha wow only pimike would actually convince me to take this bet.

Good LUCK!!!!

I believe Lions game to PLAY!

goldseeker · 11-26-09, 01:06 PM

gl

HolyMackeral · 11-26-09, 01:13 PM

Great call Mike! Hoping to get a spot on your email list as well -- been trying to follow your posts for a while now!

bombCanada · 11-26-09, 01:16 PM

Good luck mike and all. Looks like the Lions showed up to play today.

bluntsallday · 11-26-09, 02:26 PM

everyone except stafford. he looks like such a goon everytime he throws a pick

vymagic10 · 11-26-09, 02:32 PM

stafford sucks

bluntsallday · 11-26-09, 03:12 PM

so we now lay double the units we laid on Lions on the Raiders ML????????? is that correct?????????

k22t · 11-26-09, 03:30 PM

Originally posted by bluntsallday

so we now lay double the units we laid on Lions on the Raiders ML????????? is that correct?????????

No, double the units on +14 not ML

bluntsallday · 11-26-09, 03:32 PM

soo.... does that mean we were supposed to take the points with the lions too???? i may have lucked out =X

DJJimGreen · 11-26-09, 03:54 PM

Originally posted by bluntsallday

soo.... does that mean we were supposed to take the points with the lions too???? i may have lucked out =X

Yessir. However, Lions still blew it big. =|

pimike · 11-26-09, 03:58 PM

Guys you take the points. Its a safety net.

oda11 · 11-26-09, 04:41 PM

Yo did you get my PM big kid, and happy thanksgiving!

DJJimGreen · 11-26-09, 07:03 PM

Close but we may be hoping big on Broncos. =X

mrerra · 11-26-09, 07:11 PM

Not over untill the fat lady sings!

mcbaseball10 · 11-26-09, 07:30 PM

I played both losses and now my book (Bodog) still has game at +7 but at -145..What do you think?

pimike · 11-26-09, 07:42 PM

Originally posted by mcbaseball10

I played both losses and now my book (Bodog) still has game at +7 but at -145..What do you think?

Weird, however that is even better.

mcbaseball10 · 11-26-09, 07:45 PM

That's what I thought. Never seen the juice go so high without them moving the line..I know its not a great book for sports wagers, but I use it for poker and sports bet on occasion. So you think I should still try to double up with that much juice?

pimike · 11-26-09, 07:46 PM

Originally posted by mcbaseball10

That's what I thought. Never seen the juice go so high without them moving the line..I know its not a great book for sports wagers, but I use it for poker and sports bet on occasion. So you think I should still try to double up with that much juice?

Guys do what you feel is best. I am only telling you want I am doing.

mcbaseball10 · 11-26-09, 07:48 PM

Mike, you are playing with big boy money and I am betting recreationally. Don't worry about it, just wanted some advice about paying the extra vig.

jqman343 · 11-26-09, 07:49 PM

Ok we have three games Thursday. The past two years ALL THREE fav won on Thanksgiving. THIS YEAR WILL BE DIFFERENT.

HERE IS WHAT I AM DOING!

I am going to bet 5000 on Lions
If loses I will bet 10,000 on Raiders.
If loses I will bet 25,000 on Denver.

You can do this with what ever your bank roll allows. 50/150/500

If Lions win. I made money and will not bet another game.

HAPPY THANKSGIVING and if you listen you should make money for the DAY.

======================================== ======================

Sounds like a 44k Turkey day to me. For your sake (and mine) I hope the game lands on 6, because I'm on the Giants -5. Good luck all.

pimike · 11-26-09, 07:50 PM

Originally posted by mcbaseball10

Mike, you are playing with big boy money and I am betting recreational. Don't worry about it, just wanted to some advice about paying the vig.,,

I would have no problem with that Vig. To me it is a winner, Broncos should win the game outright. You are getting a TD. That means Giants have to win by two scores on the road.

mcbaseball10 · 11-26-09, 07:55 PM

Thank you sir. I will follow your lead!

Happy Thanksgiving!

bombCanada · 11-26-09, 07:57 PM

Originally posted by mcbaseball10

I played both losses and now my book (Bodog) still has game at +7 but at -145..What do you think?

+7 is a huge difference over +5 at almost any price. Think about it...

If Giants win by: at +5: at +6.5: at +7:
3 win win win
5 push win win
6 lose win win
7 lose lose push
8 lose lose lose

Think about which of those outcomes are most likely, and then think about whether you want +5 at -110 or +7 at -145.

Given that most books charge 10 cents for a half point, -145 is a pretty good price. Given that I now see -4 and -4.5 floating around, if Bodog is still on -7 they must have an extraordinarily good reason.

Good luck.

PortsDave · 11-26-09, 07:59 PM

Best of luck to you guys on the Broncos play.

mcbaseball10 · 11-26-09, 08:01 PM

Thanks for the advice guys. I am not smart enough to analyze this info. like you.