Hotcross NFL 2019 thread

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  • StackinGreen
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 10-09-10
    • 12140

    #36
    Hahaha, good win.
    Comment
    • hotcross
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 08-04-17
      • 7934

      #37
      Week 9 - Nov.3 Sunday Night Football

      BALTIMORE +144 ML // 5 units to win 7.20
      Comment
      • hotcross
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 08-04-17
        • 7934

        #38
        Originally posted by hotcross
        Week 9 - Nov.3 Sunday Night Football

        +7.20 Win >> BALTIMORE +144 ML // 5 units to win 7.20

        Results:

        WEEK 9 = +7.20 units (1-0 W/L)

        OVERALL: +10.64 units (15-12 W/L = .555 pct)



        Baltimore never trailed in the game, but they sure tried to!

        On this Sunday, home teams won 11 of 11 games outright, including 5 underdogs (with Miami getting their first win on the season - hosted the NY Jets at home). There was a London game in which the designated 'visitors' Houston won handily against Jacksonville.
        Comment
        • hotcross
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 08-04-17
          • 7934

          #39
          Week 10 - Sunday Nov.10

          CINCINNATI +10.5 -110 // 2.20 units to win 2

          CINCINNATI +415 ML // 1 unit to win 4.15

          TENNESSEE +6 -110 // 2.20 units to win 2

          ATLANTA +14 -115 // 3.45 units to win 2

          ATLANTA +575 ML // 2 units to win 11.50



          these are real stinky dogs, but I did a lot of homework on it, gotta roll with them

          little more time to decide on afternoon games, but these are the picks I like most actually anyway
          Comment
          • Hman
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 11-04-17
            • 21429

            #40
            GL today HC
            Comment
            • hotcross
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 08-04-17
              • 7934

              #41
              forgot one ::

              CLEVELAND -155 ML // 4.65 units to win 3


              I'm very sure Cleveland wins this game, the -3 spread don't know if they cover, maybe land right on it. It is extremely rare for a team to go 0-4 home W/L and that's what Cleveland is trying to avoid. Just lay the -3 ??? Fuggetabout it, I'll eat the extra 1.50 units of juice if I'm gonna play them in this spot, which I decided to do.
              Comment
              • hotcross
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 08-04-17
                • 7934

                #42
                type above on today's original post regarding the Atlanta spread. Its a 3 unit play

                "ATLANTA +14 -115 // 3.45 units to win 2"

                should read:
                ATLANTA +14 -115 // 3.45 units to win 3
                Comment
                • hotcross
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 08-04-17
                  • 7934

                  #43
                  I'm just gonna hold here no matter the outcomes of the early games. I see a lot of 50/50 games, my leans would be:

                  NOT OFFICIAL PLAYS
                  :

                  MIAMI +11
                  LA RAMS -4
                  CAROLINA +4 and ML
                  MINNESOTA +3 and ML
                  SEATTLE +6 and ML
                  Comment
                  • hotcross
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 08-04-17
                    • 7934

                    #44
                    Originally posted by hotcross
                    Week 10 - Sunday Nov.10

                    -2.20 Loss >> CINCINNATI +10.5 -110 // 2.20 units to win 2

                    -1.00 Loss >> CINCINNATI +415 ML // 1 unit to win 4.15

                    +2.00 Win >> TENNESSEE +6 -110 // 2.20 units to win 2

                    +3.00 Win >> ATLANTA +14 -115 // 3.45 units to win 3

                    +11.50 Win >> ATLANTA +575 ML // 2 units to win 11.50

                    +3.00 Win >> CLEVELAND -155 ML // 4.65 units to win 3


                    Results:

                    WEEK 10 = +16.30 units (4-2 W/L)

                    OVERALL: +26.94 units (19-14 W/L = .576 pct)



                    Bad pick on Cincinnati, Baltimore was probably the easiest pick on the board, but guess I wanted to spread out the chances on the dogs.

                    How bad is Cleveland? Final 19-16 win. So many chances to score, cannot punch it in from the goal line, a couple times. Leading all game-long, but only with 12 points until giving it up late in the 4th. Get bailed out on a fumble for Buffalo scoop and score by Buffalo, but called back, late on the clock that woulda put the dagger in their Brown heart. Finally they are able to drive down and get the go ahead final touchdown with 1:44 left on the clock.... Buffalo long FG attempt to tie misses. I'll take this win, but just horrible team in all facets beyond what I've described here, even though they have all the talent in the world (at least on offense).
                    Comment
                    • hotcross
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 08-04-17
                      • 7934

                      #45
                      Week 11 - Sunday Nov.17


                      WASHINGTON -2 -105 // 2.10 units to win 2

                      SAN FRANCISCO -10 -105 // 2.10 units to win 2

                      PARLAY 2-teams @ -174
                      > DALLAS -360 ML
                      > SAN FRANCISCO -430 ML
                      Risk 3 units to win 1.72
                      Comment
                      • hotcross
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 08-04-17
                        • 7934

                        #46
                        Originally posted by hotcross
                        Week 11 - Sunday Nov.17

                        -2.10 Loss >>
                        WASHINGTON -2 -105 // 2.10 units to win 2

                        +0 push >> SAN FRANCISCO -10 -105 // 2.10 units to win 2

                        +1.72 Win >> PARLAY 2-teams @ -174

                        > DALLAS -360 ML
                        > SAN FRANCISCO -430 ML
                        Risk 3 units to win 1.72

                        Results:

                        WEEK 11 = -0.38 units (1-1-1 W/L/D)

                        OVERALL: +26.56 units (20-15-1 W/L/D = .571 pct)



                        Lucky push on that ending for San Francisco

                        Washington was a terrible pick. Got fooled thinking they could do something off their bye week against the Jets, but now I see why everyone was fading them. In the first half, Redskins got a lot of chances, defense was contributing with a couple forced turnovers, but that putrid offense couldn't do anything. Really ugly.
                        Comment
                        • hotcross
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 08-04-17
                          • 7934

                          #47
                          WEEK 12 = NO PLAYS

                          probably missed a couple of bets for Sunday, just was more focused on hockey
                          Comment
                          • hotcross
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 08-04-17
                            • 7934

                            #48
                            Week 13 - Sunday Dec.1

                            CINCINNATI +140 ML // 2.50 units to win 3.50


                            Think Cincy gets their first win on the season against the Jets. Might add a couple units to spread tomorrow depending on line movement, right now its going RLM. I'm not only betting because of the line, though. Andy Dalton is supposed to be back in as QB and let's not forget the Jets are still the Jets.
                            Comment
                            • hotcross
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 08-04-17
                              • 7934

                              #49
                              adding for Week 13 - Sunday Dec.1 ::


                              INDIANAPOLIS +1 -105 // 1.05 units to win 1.00

                              JACKSONVILLE +3 -115 // 1.15 units to win 1.00


                              PLAYER PROP: MARK INGRAM (BALT) = scores a Touchdown -110 // 1.65 units to win 1.50

                              PLAYER PROP: GREG OLSEN (CAR) = scores a Touchdown +175 // 1 unit to win 1.75

                              PLAYER PROP: ANDY DALTON (CIN) = at least 2 passing Touchdowns +104 // 1.50 units to win 1.56

                              PLAYER PROP: ANDY DALTON (CIN) = at least 3 passing Touchdowns +396 // 1 unit to win 3.96
                              Comment
                              • hotcross
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 08-04-17
                                • 7934

                                #50
                                Week 13 - Monday Night Football

                                MINNESOTA +3 -116 // 5.80 units to win 5

                                MINNESOTA +138 ML // 5 units to win 6.90
                                Comment
                                • hotcross
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 08-04-17
                                  • 7934

                                  #51
                                  Results:

                                  WEEK 13 = -14.65 units (1-8 W/L)

                                  OVERALL: +11.91 units (21-23-1 W/L/D = .477 pct)



                                  Fair to say I had a bad Week 13, perhaps got what was coming to me. Regret not just staying with my original Bengals pick but added to that and made a disaster of it.



                                  Week 14 - Thursday Dec.5

                                  CHICAGO +3 -110 // 1.10 units to win 1
                                  Comment
                                  • Checkerboard
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 05-15-06
                                    • 7799

                                    #52
                                    Thanks for Chicago winner!
                                    Comment
                                    • hotcross
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 08-04-17
                                      • 7934

                                      #53
                                      Week 14 - Sunday Dec.8


                                      SAN FRANCISCO +3 -150 (*buy to +3) // 1.50 units to win 1

                                      SAN FRANCISCO +115 ML // 2 units to win 2.30

                                      KANSAS CITY +148 ML // 5 units to win 7.40
                                      Comment
                                      • Hman
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 11-04-17
                                        • 21429

                                        #54
                                        GL today HC
                                        Comment
                                        • hotcross
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 08-04-17
                                          • 7934

                                          #55
                                          Originally posted by hotcross
                                          Week 14 - Thursday Dec.5

                                          +1.00 Win >> CHICAGO +3 -110 // 1.10 units to win 1

                                          Week 14 - Sunday Dec.8

                                          +1.00 Win >> SAN FRANCISCO +3 -150 (*buy to +3) // 1.50 units to win 1

                                          +2.30 Win >> SAN FRANCISCO +115 ML // 2 units to win 2.30

                                          +7.40 Win >> KANSAS CITY +148 ML // 5 units to win 7.40

                                          Results:

                                          WEEK 14 = +11.70 units (4-0 W/L)

                                          OVERALL: +23.61 units (25-23-1 W/L/D = .521 pct)



                                          That's how you bounce back after a bad week, boys and gentlemen! and maybe one lady reading here too

                                          No more action for me in the remaining Sunday/Monday Night games
                                          Comment
                                          • Checkerboard
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 05-15-06
                                            • 7799

                                            #56
                                            Thanks for sharing hotcross!
                                            Comment
                                            • hotcross
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 08-04-17
                                              • 7934

                                              #57
                                              Made a Moneyline favorites parlay bet spanning tonight's Week 14 Monday Night game, then Week 15 Thursday Nighter, along with a game from the Week 15 Sunday Dec.15 schedule, as follows:

                                              I will count this as one wager for Week 15 on my record:

                                              PARLAY 3-teams @ -113

                                              > PHILADELPHIA -415 ML (Mon. Dec.9)
                                              > BALTIMORE -900 ML (Thurs. Dec.12)
                                              > OAKLAND -275 ML (Sun. Dec.15)
                                              Risk 1.50 units to win 1.32
                                              Comment
                                              • StackinGreen
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 10-09-10
                                                • 12140

                                                #58
                                                Atta boy hotcross
                                                Comment
                                                • pimike
                                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                  • 03-23-08
                                                  • 37140

                                                  #59
                                                  Great weekend!
                                                  Comment
                                                  • hotcross
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 08-04-17
                                                    • 7934

                                                    #60
                                                    Ok Mike where are your picks? Don't see it often enough from you.


                                                    Thanks for checking in, all of youse
                                                    Comment
                                                    • hotcross
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 08-04-17
                                                      • 7934

                                                      #61
                                                      Originally posted by hotcross
                                                      I will count this as one wager for Week 15 on my record:

                                                      PARLAY 3-teams @ -113

                                                      > PHILADELPHIA -415 ML (Mon. Dec.9) = Won in Overtime but didn't cover -9
                                                      > BALTIMORE -900 ML (Thurs. Dec.12) = Won and covered big spread -17
                                                      > OAKLAND -275 ML (Sun. Dec.15) = Lost outright, blown game

                                                      -1.50 Loss >> Risk 1.50 units to win 1.32

                                                      Results:

                                                      WEEK 15 = -1.50 units (0-1 W/L)

                                                      OVERALL: +22.11 units (25-24-1 W/L/D = .510 pct)



                                                      Didn't find the best plays to make last week.... knew I wanted to take the Raiders in their last game in Oakland, but didn't fully trust them, so I took the moneyline and they sure did throw that game away after leading 16-6 at halftime against Jacksonville, never scored in the second half and then just a comedy of errors in about the last 5 minutes to give it away. Kinda knew it was possible, not a great play, but didn't risk a lot on the parlay.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • StackinGreen
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 10-09-10
                                                        • 12140

                                                        #62
                                                        Who you got this week HC
                                                        Comment
                                                        • hotcross
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 08-04-17
                                                          • 7934

                                                          #63
                                                          Week 16 - Saturday Dec.21

                                                          LA RAMS +7 -115 // 1.15 units to win 1.00

                                                          LA RAMS +257 ML // 1.00 units to win 2.57
                                                          Comment
                                                          • hotcross
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 08-04-17
                                                            • 7934

                                                            #64
                                                            got the split yesterday with Rams losing by a last-second FG. Try it again:

                                                            Week 16 - Sunday Dec.22

                                                            PHILADELPHIA +2.5 -105 // 1.05 units to win 1.00

                                                            PHILADELPHIA +117 ML // 1.00 units to win 1.17



                                                            maybe a play on both Sunday/Monday Night games also....still thinking on those....
                                                            Comment
                                                            • hotcross
                                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                                              • 08-04-17
                                                              • 7934

                                                              #65
                                                              adding ::

                                                              ARIZONA +8 -120 // 6.00 units to win 5.00
                                                              Comment
                                                              • hotcross
                                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                • 08-04-17
                                                                • 7934

                                                                #66
                                                                Originally posted by hotcross
                                                                Week 16 - Saturday Dec.21

                                                                +1.00 Win >>
                                                                LA RAMS +7 -115 // 1.15 units to win 1.00

                                                                -1.00 Loss >> LA RAMS +257 ML // 1.00 units to win 2.57



                                                                Week 16 - Sunday Dec.22

                                                                +1.00 Win >> PHILADELPHIA +2.5 -105 // 1.05 units to win 1.00

                                                                +1.17 Win >> PHILADELPHIA +117 ML // 1.00 units to win 1.17


                                                                +5.00 Win >> ARIZONA +8 -120 // 6.00 units to win 5.00
                                                                Results:

                                                                WEEK 16 = +7.17 units (4-1 W/L)

                                                                OVERALL: +29.28 units (29-25-1 W/L/D = .537 pct)
                                                                Comment
                                                                • hotcross
                                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                  • 08-04-17
                                                                  • 7934

                                                                  #67
                                                                  Week 17 - Sunday Dec.29

                                                                  CINCINNATI +3 -120 // 1.20 units to win 1.00

                                                                  PITTSBURGH -1 -110 // 1.10 units to win 1.00




                                                                  To land on these two picks out of the whole card, looks ugly. I'm still studying matchups, but sadly these are the games that makes sense so far. Probably shouldn't play anything today. The very short odds for Buffalo at home looks very strange. NO, GB, NE, and KC should win, but do they cover large spreads? Confusing card.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Hman
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 11-04-17
                                                                    • 21429

                                                                    #68
                                                                    GL today HC
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • hotcross
                                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                      • 08-04-17
                                                                      • 7934

                                                                      #69
                                                                      Originally posted by hotcross
                                                                      Week 17 - Sunday Dec.29

                                                                      +1.00 Win >> CINCINNATI +3 -120 // 1.20 units to win 1.00

                                                                      -1.10 Loss >>
                                                                      PITTSBURGH -1 -110 // 1.10 units to win 1.00

                                                                      Results:

                                                                      WEEK 17 = -0.10 units (1-1 W/L)

                                                                      OVERALL: +29.18 units (30-26-1 W/L/D = .535 pct)





                                                                      FUTURES BETS (prior to Wilcard Round):

                                                                      WORLD CHAMPIONS = KANSAS CITY CHIEFS +440 // 1.00 units to win 4.40

                                                                      NFC CHAMPIONS = GREEN BAY PACKERS +330 // 1.00 units to win 3.30
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • hotcross
                                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                        • 08-04-17
                                                                        • 7934

                                                                        #70
                                                                        Wildcard game - Saturday Jan.4

                                                                        TENNESSEE +5 -115 // 2.30 units to win 2.00
                                                                        Comment
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