NFL Picks & More

FUqer · 10-10-17, 03:28 PM

I did some research on how often teams that win end up covering the spread. I will prolly go back and compare them to the last few seasons and also see how specific teams do, but I don't know if I'll post that. I'm sure there is a better way to come up with a ratio, but I haven't gotten into yet. I did both NFL and NCAA so there is some sort of reference between the two. Have fun dissecting and trying to find edges and let me know what you take away from this. GL!

______________________________
NFL Teams that win cover the spread 83.2% of the time, 5775-1168-188.

NFL Home Teams that win cover 78.3% of the time, 3134-866-115.

NFL Road Teams that win cover 89.8% of the time, 2605-297-72.

NFL Favorites that win cover 74.1% of the time, 3336-1168-188. Home Favs = 72.3%, Road Favs = 78.0% (Favs
win 67.2% of the time.)

(Wins = 67.2% / Covers 74.1% = 0.90)

NFL Favorites of 3 or less that win cover 92.6% of the time, 1095-87-116. Home Favs = 92.0%, Road Favs = 93.4%
(Favs win 55.4% of the time.)

(Wins = 55.4% / Covers 92.6% = 0.60)

NFL Favorites of 3 or more that win cover 70.6% of the time, 2717-1129-173. Home Favs = 69.3%, Road Favs =
73.9% (Favs win 70.5% of the time.)

(Wins = 70.5% / Covers 70.6% = 1.0)

NFL Favorites that win equal to or between -3 and -7 cover 77.0% of the time. (Favs win 65.8% of the time.)

(Wins = 65.8% / Covers 77.0% = 0.85)

NFL Favorites of 7 or less that win cover 80.6% of the time, 2497-601-167. Home Favs = 79.5%, Road Favs =
82.5% (Favs win 62.5% of the time.)

(Wins = 62.5% / Covers 80.6% = 0.78)

NFL Favorites of 7 or more that win cover 61.6% of the time, 1075-671. Home Favs = 61.7%, Road Favs = 61.2%
(Favs win 79.6% of the time.)

(Wins = 79.6% / Covers 61.6% = 1.29)

NFL Favorites of 10 or less that win cover 76.4% of the time, 3001-925-179. Home Favs = 75.1%, Road Favs =
79.2% (Favs win 65.2% of the time.)

(Wins = 65.2% / Covers 76.4% = 0.85)

NFL Favorites of 10 or more that win cover 58.9% of the time, 418-292-16. Home Favs = 59.6%, Road Favs =
54.1% (Favs win 84.1% of the time.)

(Wins = 84.1% / Covers 58.9% = 1.4)

NFL Favorites that win equal to or between -7 and -10 cover 63.4% of the time. (Favs win 77.0% of the time.)

(Wins = 77.0% / Covers 63.4% = 1.2)

Winning Home Favs after a win cover 71.5% (Favs win 70.8% of the time.)

(Wins = 70.8% / Covers 71.5% = 0.99)

Winning Home Favs after a loss cover 73.4% (Favs win 65.8% of the time.)

(Wins = 65.8% / Covers 73.4% = 0.90)

Winning Home Favs after a Road game cover 72.9% (Favs win 68.5% of the time.)

(Wins = 68.5% / Covers 72.9% = 0.94)

Winning Home Favs after a Home game cover 71.1% (Favs win 68.5% of the time.)

(Wins = 68.5% / Covers 71.1% = 0.96)

Winning Road Favs after a win cover 76.7% (Favs win 63.3% of the time.)

(Wins = 63.3% / Covers 76.7% = 0.83)

Winning Road Favs after a loss cover 81.7% (Favs win 65.4% of the time.)

(Wins = 65.4% / Covers 81.7% = 0.80)

Winning Road Favs after a Road game cover 81.3% (Favs win 67.3% of the time.)

(Wins = 67.3% / Covers 81.3% = 0.83)

Winning Road Favs after a Home game cover 77.0% (Favs win 62.4% of the time.)

(Wins = 62.4% / Covers 77.0% = 0.81)

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NCAA Teams that win cover the spread 74.2% of the time, 17155-5974-435

NCAA Home Teams that win cover 69.3% of the time, 9171-4066-288.

NCAA Road Teams that win cover 80.4% of the time, 6907-1688-121.

NCAA Favorites that win cover 65.8% of the time, 11483-5974. (Favs win 76.5% of the time.)

(Wins = 76.5% / Cover = 65.8% = 1.2)

NCAA Favorites of 3 or less that win cover 93.2% of the time, 1700-125-99. (Favs win 47.9% of the time.)

(Wins = 47.9% / Cover = 93.2% = 0.51)

NCAA Favorites of 3 or more that win cover 63.5% of the time, 10257-5906-399. (Favs win 79.4% of the time.)

(Wins = 79.4% / Cover = 63.5% = 1.3)

NCAA Favorites that win equal to or between -3 and -7 cover 78.4% of the time, 3195-880-165. (Favs win 64.2% of
the time.)

(Wins = 64.2% / Cover = 78.4% = 0.82)

NCAA Favorites of 7 or less that win cover 82.3% of the time, 4421-948. (Favs win 60.9% of the time)

(Wins = 60.9% / Cover = 82.3% = 0.74)

NCAA Favorites of 7 or more that win cover 59.1% of the time, 7518-5205. (Favs win 85.4% of the time.)

(Wins = 85.4% / Cover = 59.1% = 1.4)

NCAA Favorites of 10 or less that win cover 77.8% of the time, 5877-1675-252. (Favs win 64.3% of the time.)

(Wins = 64.3% / Cover = 77.8% = 0.83)

NCAA Favorites of 10 or more that win cover 57.0% of the time, 5901-4448-208. (Favs win 89.0% of the time.)

(Wins = 89.0% / Cover = 57.0% = 1.6)

NCAA Favorites that win equal to or between -7 and -10 cover 67.8% of the time, 1912-906. (Favs win 73.5% of the time.)

(Wins = 73.5% / Cover = 67.8% = 1.1)

Winning Home Favs after a win cover 62.9% (Favs win 80.9% of the time.)

(Wins = 80.9% / Cover = 62.9% = 1.3)

Winning Home Favs after a loss cover 65.4% (Favs win 74.6% of the time.)

(Wins = 74.6% / Cover = 65.4% = 1.1)

Winning Home Favs after a Road game cover 64.8% (Favs win 77.8% of the time.)

(Wins = 77.8% / Cover = 64.8% = 1.2)

Winning Home Favs after a Home game cover 63.4% (Favs win 79.2% of the time.)

(Wins = 79.2% / Cover = 63.4% = 1.2)

Winning Road Favs after a win cover 68.3% (Favs win 74.9% of the time.)

(Wins = 74.9% / Cover = 68.3 % = 1.1)

Winning Road Favs after a loss cover 72.1% (Favs win 68.9% of the time.)

(Wins = 68.9% / Cover = 72.1% = 0.96)

Winning Road Favs after a Road game cover 70.3% (Favs win 72.9% of the time.)

(Wins = 72.9% / Cover = 70.3% = 1.0)

Winning Road Favs after a Home game cover 69.0% (Favs win 73.2% of the time.)

(Wins = 73.2% / Cover = 69.0% = 1.1)

FUqer · 10-10-17, 04:11 PM

WWCD made a thread about teams on their 3rd str8 Road game and usually when I investigate claims on here they are BS, but this guy is mostly correct, it doesn't seem to be as good in recent years though.

Teams on 3rd str8 Road game

SU = 38.5% 65-104
ATS = 44.9% 75-92-2

2016

SU = 2-1
ATS = 2-1

2015

SU = 3-4
ATS = 3-4

2014

SU = 1-4
ATS = 2-3

2013

SU = 2-2
ATS = 2-2

2012

SU = 1-1
ATS = 1-1

2011

SU = 2-8
ATS = 4-6

2010

SU = 3-4
ATS = 3-4

2009

SU = 3-2
ATS = 3-2

2008

SU = 0-5
ATS = 1-4

FUqer · 10-10-17, 05:04 PM

Originally posted by FUqer

WWCD made a thread about teams on their 3rd str8 Road game and usually when I investigate claims on here they are BS, but this guy is mostly correct, it doesn't seem to be as good in recent years though.

Teams on 3rd str8 Road game

SU = 38.5% 65-104
ATS = 44.9% 75-92-2

2016

SU = 2-1
ATS = 2-1

2015

SU = 3-4
ATS = 3-4

2014

SU = 1-4
ATS = 2-3

2013

SU = 2-2
ATS = 2-2

2012

SU = 1-1
ATS = 1-1

2011

SU = 2-8
ATS = 4-6

2010

SU = 3-4
ATS = 3-4

2009

SU = 3-2
ATS = 3-2

2008

SU = 0-5
ATS = 1-4

There's a big difference between conferences when a team is on their 3rd str8 Road game, making fading the 49ers less appealing this week, but I'd think about fading Denver in Week 9 at Philly.

NFC = 51.8% (43-40-1) ATS
AFC = 38.1% (32-52-1) ATS

FUqer · 10-10-17, 05:35 PM

Week 6 Plays

¤ Eagles +3 +105 (5Dimes)
___________________________

I think the Eagles win SU but it's +money at +3, so wth, gimme the 3.

FUqer · 10-10-17, 06:00 PM

Originally posted by FUqer

Week 6 Plays

¤ Eagles +3 +105 (5Dimes)
¤ Bucs -2 -115 (5Dimes)

___________________________

Going with the Bucs here against a Cardinal team that's been pretty bad so far with not much reason to think it's going to get better.

Cardinals 4-13 ATS L17 at home

4-13-0 (-2.15, 23.5%)	avg line: -6.0	+6: 9-8-0 (52.9%)	-6: 3-14-0 (17.6%)	+10: 13-4-0 (76.5%)	-10: 3-14-0 (17.6%)
4-13-0 (-2.15, 23.5%)	avg total: 46.9	+6: 2-15-0 (11.8%)	-6: 13-4-0 (76.5%)	+10: 2-15-0 (11.8%)	-10: 13-4-0 (76.5%)

Buccaneers 11-0 ATS L11 on the road off a home game in which they allowed four or fewer third down conversions.

7-4-0 (2.91, 63.6%)
11-0-0 (9.59, 100.0%)	avg line: 6.7	+6: 11-0-0 (100.0%)	-6: 7-4-0 (63.6%)	+10: 11-0-0 (100.0%)	-10: 4-7-0 (36.4%)

FUqer · 10-12-17, 12:41 PM

A few other trends in the Panthers favor tonight, regardless I fell pretty good about the Eagles.

Panthers 18-2 SU L20 at Home after playing the previous two on the Road and 15-5 ATS. NFL team in that spot with the line less that 4 are 50-59-2 since 2015 for 46%.

But they're 0-2 ATS the last 2 seasons in that spot after winning both the Road games and NFL teams are 3-5 SUATS in that spot the last two weeks.

Panthers 15-0 SU & 14-1 ATS L15 as a regular season home favorite when they are off a road game and facing an opponent that is averaging at least 360 offensive yards per game.

FUqer · 10-12-17, 07:54 PM

I dunno bout that pass interference they called on the Eagles, would of been 3 & 10.

FUqer · 10-12-17, 10:50 PM

LoL, Eagles had 10 flags thrown on them for 126 yards compared to 1 for the Panthers for 1 yard, and still won. Nice start to the week, screw the refs. Now I just need the Cubs and Winipeg to hold on to leads tonight for the sweep.

2daBank · 10-12-17, 10:51 PM

Originally posted by FUqer

I dunno bout that pass interference they called on the Eagles, would of been 3 & 10.

I couldn't believe the cheap ass one they called on the int on that deep ball. Game really wouldn't been close without refs.

FUqer · 10-12-17, 10:53 PM

Originally posted by 2daBank

I couldn't believe the cheap ass one they called on the int on that deep ball. Game really wouldn't been close without refs.

Nice call on the Over, I hate refs with a passion, look like they could be cast in the next Deniro mob movie.

FUqer · 10-13-17, 06:32 PM

Raiders practice being disrupted this week due to fires and smoke from them, still a possibility the game is moved to Levi's Stadium. Makes me like the Chargers even more.

Raiders still planning to host Chargers - TSN.ca

http://www.tsn.ca/raiders-still-planning-to-host-chargers-1.884474

The Raiders are still planning to host the Los Angeles Chargers in Oakland on Sunday despite concerns about poor air quality resulting from wildfires in California's wine country.

FUqer · 10-15-17, 08:05 AM

Originally posted by FUqer

Week 6 Plays

WIN - ¤ Eagles +3 +105 (5Dimes)
¤ Texans -9 -110 (5Dimes)
¤ 49ers +11 -110 (5Dimes)
¤ Bucs -2 -115 (5Dimes)
¤ Chargers +3 +105 (5Dimes)
___________________________

Added 3 new plays.

FUqer · 10-15-17, 08:12 AM

Chargers 18-0 ATS L18 when visiting any team with more wins, as long as their opponent is not seeking same-
season revenge for a loss by more than a TD.

18-0-0 (8.50, 100.0%)

avg line: 5.7

+6: 18-0-0 (100.0%)

-6: 10-8-0 (55.6%)

+10: 18-0-0 (100.0%)

-10: 7-10-1 (41.2%)

Chargers 10-3-1 ATS L14 as a road dog

10-3-1 (1.50, 76.9%)

avg line: 5.0

+6: 13-1-0 (92.9%)

-6: 3-11-0 (21.4%)

+10: 13-1-0 (92.9%)

-10: 1-13-0 (7.1%)

Redskins 0-17 ATS L17 as a FG-plus favorite when they are off a road game and facing a team that has forced 4.5
or fewer punts per game.

0-17-0 (-11.97, 0.0%)

avg line: -5.7

+6: 4-13-0 (23.5%)

-6: 0-17-0 (0.0%)

+10: 6-10-1 (37.5%)

-10: 0-17-0 (0.0%)

Redskins 0-10 SUATS L10 at home after a loss in which they were up by at least a TD at the end of the first quarter.

0-10-0 (-14.50, 0.0%)
0-10-0 (-14.45, 0.0%)	avg line: 0.1	+6: 4-6-0 (40.0%)	-6: 0-10-0 (0.0%)	+10: 4-5-1 (44.4%)	-10: 0-10-0 (0.0%)
8-1-1 (10.65, 88.9%)	avg total: 42.2	+6: 7-3-0 (70.0%)	-6: 9-1-0 (90.0%)	+10: 6-3-1 (66.7%)	-10: 9-1-0 (90.0%)

Buccaneers 11-0 ATS L11 on the road off a home game in which they allowed four or fewer third down conversions.

11-0-0 (9.59, 100.0%)

avg line: 6.7

+6: 11-0-0 (100.0%)

-6: 7-4-0 (63.6%)

+10: 11-0-0 (100.0%)

-10: 4-7-0 (36.4%)

Cardinals 4-13 ATS L17 at home

4-13-0 (-2.15, 23.5%)	avg line: -6.0	+6: 9-8-0 (52.9%)	-6: 3-14-0 (17.6%)	+10: 13-4-0 (76.5%)	-10: 3-14-0 (17.6%)
4-13-0 (-2.15, 23.5%)	avg total: 46.9	+6: 2-15-0 (11.8%)	-6: 13-4-0 (76.5%)	+10: 2-15-0 (11.8%)	-10: 13-4-0 (76.5%)

Browns 0-12 SUATS L12 as a dog vs a team that is averaging at least 30 rushes per game.

0-12-0 (-13.25, 0.0%)
0-12-0 (-6.04, 0.0%)	avg line: 7.2	+6: 5-6-1 (45.5%)	-6: 0-12-0 (0.0%)	+10: 11-1-0 (91.7%)	-10: 0-12-0 (0.0%)

Texans 16-5-2 ATS L23 as a favorite

16-5-2 (4.37, 76.2%)

avg line: -4.2

+6: 20-3-0 (87.0%)

-6: 10-13-0 (43.5%)

+10: 20-3-0 (87.0%)

-10: 6-16-1 (27.3%)

Bears 0-10 SU & 2-8 ATS L10 on the road

0-10-0 (-15.10, 0.0%)
2-8-0 (-9.20, 20.0%)	avg line: 5.9	+6: 4-6-0 (40.0%)	-6: 0-10-0 (0.0%)	+10: 6-4-0 (60.0%)	-10: 0-10-0 (0.0%)

Broncos 10-0 SUATS L10 after a game in which Demaryius Thomas had fewer than 3 receptions.

10-0-0 (9.40, 100.0%)
10-0-0 (10.35, 100.0%)	avg line: 0.9	+6: 10-0-0 (100.0%)	-6: 8-2-0 (80.0%)	+10: 10-0-0 (100.0%)	-10: 3-5-2 (37.5%)
2-8-0 (-5.50, 20.0%)	avg total: 43.7	+6: 2-8-0 (20.0%)	-6: 2-8-0 (20.0%)	+10: 2-8-0 (20.0%)	-10: 4-5-1 (44.4%)

Rams 3-12-2 ATS L17.

3-12-2 (-4.47, 20.0%)

avg line: 2.9

+6: 10-6-1 (62.5%)

-6: 2-15-0 (11.8%)

+10: 13-4-0 (76.5%)

-10: 2-15-0 (11.8%)

Chiefs 10-2 ATS L12

10-2-0 (6.08, 83.3%)

avg line: -1.8

+6: 11-1-0 (91.7%)

-6: 4-7-1 (36.4%)

+10: 12-0-0 (100.0%)

-10: 3-9-0 (25.0%)

Rams 0-15 OU L15 on the road vs a non-divisional opponent that is scoring more than 24.3% of their points from
field goals

0-15-0 (-11.50, 0.0%)

avg total: 40.8

+6: 0-15-0 (0.0%)

-6: 3-12-0 (20.0%)

+10: 0-15-0 (0.0%)

-10: 7-8-0 (46.7%)

FUqer · 10-15-17, 06:56 PM

Week 6 Results

WIN - ¤ Eagles +3 +105 (5Dimes)
LOSS - ¤ Bucs -2 -115 (5Dimes)
WIN - ¤ Texans -9 -110 (5Dimes)
WIN - ¤ 49ers +11 -110 (5Dimes)
WIN - ¤ Chargers +3 +105 (5Dimes)
____________________________
Week 6 = 4-1 for +2.95
____________________________

Season = 17-15-1 for +1.22
___________________________

ATS Total = 14-12-1 for +1.27

(Dogs = 10-6-1 for +3.81 )
(Favs = 4-6 for -2.54 )
(1st H = 0-0 for +0.00 )
(2nd H = 0-0 for +0.00 )
---------------------------

ML Total = 1-1 for +0.15

(Dogs = 1-1 for +0.15 )
(Favs = 0-0 for +0.00 )
(1st H = 0-0 for +0.00 )
(2nd H = 0-0 for +0.00 )
---------------------------

O/U Total = 1-0 for +1.00

(Over = 0-0 for +0.00 )
(Under = 1-0 for +1.00 )
(1st H = 0-0 for +0.00 )
(2nd H = 0-0 for +0.00 )

---------------------------

Parlays = 0-0 for +0.00
---------------------------
Teasers = 1-2 for -1.20
___________________________

Week 1 = 4-5-1 for -1.23
Week 2 = 4-4 for -0.09
Week 3 = 2-3 for -1.16
Week 4 = 0-0 for -0.00
Week 5 = 3-2 for +0.75
Week 6 = 4-1 for +2.95
____________________________________

Bucs showed up a little too late.

shopbar picks · 10-15-17, 08:01 PM

Nice day congrats

FUqer · 10-16-17, 12:36 AM

Originally posted by shopbar picks

Nice day congrats

Thanks bro!

FUqer · 10-16-17, 06:42 PM

I like the Colts, but not really itching for action so I'm gonna pass and just add it too a parlay. Colts TT Over was interesting to me also.

Model and Trends say Colts and with Mariota bothered by a hammy, it does seem like a good play even on the public road dog in a MNF game seeing how Vegas seems to have killed it again this weekend.

I really like the Chiefs as I been fading the Raiders, but again they are a heavily backed road team in a lone prime time NFL game and that's why I haven't played it.

FUqer · 10-19-17, 10:18 AM

The Chiefs are 15-2 SUATS L17 as a road favorite.

15-2-0 (16.12, 88.2%)
15-2-0 (12.44, 88.2%)	avg line: -3.7	+6: 16-1-0 (94.1%)	-6: 11-4-2 (73.3%)	+10: 16-1-0 (94.1%)	-10: 11-6-0 (64.7%)

The Raiders are 0-15 SUATS L15 at home vs a divisional opponent when the line is within 3 of pick after a game in which they were outgained.

0-15-0 (-9.73, 0.0%)
0-15-0 (-10.60, 0.0%)	avg line: -0.9	+6: 4-10-1 (28.6%)	-6: 0-15-0 (0.0%)	+10: 6-7-2 (46.2%)	-10: 0-15-0 (0.0%)

The Patriots are 15-0 ATS L15 on turf vs non-divisional opponent that is averaging 13+ passing first downs per game.

15-0-0 (18.93, 100.0%)
15-0-0 (14.47, 100.0%)	avg line: -4.5	+6: 15-0-0 (100.0%)	-6: 11-4-0 (73.3%)	+10: 15-0-0 (100.0%)	-10: 8-6-1 (57.1%)
10-4-1 (5.37, 71.4%)	avg total: 51.6	+6: 5-10-0 (33.3%)	-6: 12-3-0 (80.0%)	+10: 4-11-0 (26.7%)	-10: 12-3-0 (80.0%)

The Patriots are 18-2 ATS L20 at home vs a non-divisional opponent that has allowed a season-to-date average third down conversion percentage of less than 40.25%.

19-1-0 (17.25, 95.0%)
18-2-0 (10.40, 90.0%)	avg line: -6.8	+6: 18-2-0 (90.0%)	-6: 11-9-0 (55.0%)	+10: 18-2-0 (90.0%)	-10: 10-9-1 (52.6%)
14-6-0 (6.00, 70.0%)	avg total: 47.6	+6: 10-10-0 (50.0%)	-6: 16-4-0 (80.0%)	+10: 8-12-0 (40.0%)	-10: 17-3-0 (85.0%)

The Falcons are 0-10 ATS L10 on turf and after a loss in which they were leading at the end of the 3rd quarter.

0-10-0 (-8.20, 0.0%)	avg line: -0.3	+6: 5-4-1 (55.6%)	-6: 0-10-0 (0.0%)	+10: 7-3-0 (70.0%)	-10: 0-10-0 (0.0%)
6-3-1 (2.35, 66.7%)	avg total: 47.1	+6: 5-5-0 (50.0%)	-6: 7-3-0 (70.0%)	+10: 4-6-0 (40.0%)	-10: 7-3-0 (70.0%)

The Falcons are 9-2 SUATS L11 on the road.

9-2-0 (8.36, 81.8%)
9-2-0 (8.05, 81.8%)	avg line: -0.3	+6: 10-1-0 (90.9%)	-6: 7-4-0 (63.6%)	+10: 11-0-0 (100.0%)	-10: 6-5-0 (54.5%)

The Titans are 14-0 ATS L14 when they are off a home game that they did not lose by more than 24 points and they are visiting a non-divisional opponent that is scoring on 30% or less of their drives.

13-1-0 (10.36, 92.9%)
14-0-0 (11.04, 100.0%)	avg line: 0.7	+6: 14-0-0 (100.0%)	-6: 7-7-0 (50.0%)	+10: 14-0-0 (100.0%)	-10: 7-7-0 (50.0%)

The Titans are 1-11 ATS L12 off a win in which they outgained their opponent.

3-9-0 (-8.92, 25.0%)
1-11-0 (-9.29, 8.3%)	avg line: -0.4	+6: 6-6-0 (50.0%)	-6: 0-12-0 (0.0%)	+10: 6-6-0 (50.0%)	-10: 0-12-0 (0.0%)

The Fortyniners are 0-12 ATS L12 at home vs a non-divisional opponent when their last two games were on the road and they are off a loss as a dog.

0-12-0 (-6.83, 0.0%)

avg line: -2.2

+6: 5-6-1 (45.5%)

-6: 0-12-0 (0.0%)

+10: 9-3-0 (75.0%)

-10: 0-12-0 (0.0%)

The Redskins are 10-0 ATS L10 vs a divisional opponent after a game as a home favorite in which they converted at least five third downs.

10-0-0 (7.35, 100.0%)	avg line: 4.7	+6: 10-0-0 (100.0%)	-6: 4-6-0 (40.0%)	+10: 10-0-0 (100.0%)	-10: 4-6-0 (40.0%)
7-3-0 (5.35, 70.0%)	avg total: 45.0	+6: 4-6-0 (40.0%)	-6: 8-2-0 (80.0%)	+10: 3-7-0 (30.0%)	-10: 9-1-0 (90.0%)

The Colts are 12-2 ATS L14 as a home dog.

10-4-0 (0.64, 71.4%)
12-2-0 (5.61, 85.7%)	avg line: 5.0	+6: 12-2-0 (85.7%)	-6: 7-7-0 (50.0%)	+10: 12-2-0 (85.7%)	-10: 3-11-0 (21.4%)

The Saints are 10-2 ATS L12 on the road.

10-2-0 (5.62, 83.3%)

avg line: 3.6

+6: 11-1-0 (91.7%)

-6: 5-7-0 (41.7%)

+10: 12-0-0 (100.0%)

-10: 3-9-0 (25.0%)

____________________________________

The Raiders are 0-15 OU L15 vs a divisional opponent when they are off a home game in which their opponent had more third down conversions than punts.

0-15-0 (-11.00, 0.0%)

avg total: 43.7

+6: 0-15-0 (0.0%)

-6: 5-10-0 (33.3%)

+10: 0-15-0 (0.0%)

-10: 6-6-3 (50.0%)

The Saints are 23-0 OU L23 when they are off a game as a home favorite and facing a non-divisional opponent that has averaged less than 5.14 yards per play and less than 32:10 of possession time season-to-date.

23-0-0 (11.15, 100.0%)

avg total: 45.2

+6: 17-6-0 (73.9%)

-6: 23-0-0 (100.0%)

+10: 11-9-3 (55.0%)

-10: 23-0-0 (100.0%)

The Packers are 0-13 OU L13 at home with a Monday night game next.

0-13-0 (-9.15, 0.0%)

avg total: 44.4

+6: 0-13-0 (0.0%)

-6: 4-9-0 (30.8%)

+10: 0-13-0 (0.0%)

-10: 9-4-0 (69.2%)

The Dolphins are 0-19 OU L19 off a win as a dog and when favored on grass over a team that had fewer regular season wins the previous season.

0-19-0 (-10.26, 0.0%)

avg total: 39.3

+6: 0-19-0 (0.0%)

-6: 5-13-1 (27.8%)

+10: 0-19-0 (0.0%)

-10: 12-7-0 (63.2%)

The Fortyniners are 18-1 OU L19 as a dog of not more than ten points vs a team that has forced an average of fewer than 1.25 turnovers per game and allowed less than 4.95 yards per carry, season-to-date.

18-1-0 (7.34, 94.7%)

avg total: 43.4

+6: 9-10-0 (47.4%)

-6: 18-1-0 (94.7%)

+10: 7-12-0 (36.8%)

-10: 18-1-0 (94.7%)

The Steelers are 13-0 OU L13 as a home favorite off a game as a dog in which their turnovers committed decreased by at least two over their previous game.

13-0-0 (10.31, 100.0%)

avg total: 39.8

+6: 8-4-1 (66.7%)

-6: 13-0-0 (100.0%)

+10: 6-7-0 (46.2%)

-10: 13-0-0 (100.0%)

The Bengals are 1-14 OU L15 on the road after a game in which at least 30 percent of their first downs were from third down.

1-14-0 (-11.67, 6.7%)

avg total: 44.4

+6: 0-15-0 (0.0%)

-6: 2-13-0 (13.3%)

+10: 0-15-0 (0.0%)

-10: 7-8-0 (46.7%)

The Redskins are 0-11 OU L11 on the road on Monday night.

0-11-1 (-9.25, 0.0%)

avg total: 42.8

+6: 0-12-0 (0.0%)

-6: 3-9-0 (25.0%)

+10: 0-12-0 (0.0%)

-10: 6-5-1 (54.5%)

The Redskins are 11-0 OU L11 when they have played at least 5 games and are one game above 500 on the season.

11-0-0 (9.86, 100.0%)

avg total: 43.9

+6: 7-4-0 (63.6%)

-6: 11-0-0 (100.0%)

+10: 5-6-0 (45.5%)

-10: 11-0-0 (100.0%)

FUqer · 10-19-17, 06:19 PM

Week 7 Plays

¤ Chiefs -3 +100 (5Dimes)
____________________________

I really like the Chiefs tonight, I've been hesitant only because of the public backing on a Thursday game, but considering how well Vegas did last week and has done this season, I'm going to risk it with the public road team. I don't think Carr is healthy and I would still like KC even if he was, the Raiders defense isn't very good. The Chiefs have been road warriors lately going 15-2 SUATS L17 as a Road Favorite.

FUqer · 10-19-17, 06:53 PM

Still alive in Yahoo survivor 100K contest, tough decision this week, Titans or Cowboys? I'm 50/50.

Notorious_Donk · 10-19-17, 07:08 PM

Originally posted by FUqer

Week 7 Plays

¤ Chiefs -3 +100 (5Dimes)
____________________________

I really like the Chiefs tonight, I've been hesitant only because of the public backing on a Thursday game, but considering how well Vegas did last week and has done this season, I'm going to risk it with the public road team. I don't think Carr is healthy and I would still like KC even if he was, the Raiders defense isn't very good. The Chiefs have been road warriors lately going 15-2 SUATS L17 as a Road Favorite.

Also.. Chiefs 11-5 ATS on the road after losing ATS in previous game, including a win against the Raiders in Oakland last year. BOL FUqer

FUqer · 10-19-17, 07:19 PM

Originally posted by Notorious_Donk

Also.. Chiefs 11-5 ATS on the road after losing ATS in previous game, including a win against the Raiders in Oakland last year. BOL FUqer

Let's just hope their not playing against the refs tonight also. GL!

FUqer · 10-19-17, 07:21 PM

Now that I thought about it for a minute, I'm going with the Cowboys in Survivor. They are off a bye, while the 49ers are flying back from the East Coast.

FUqer · 10-19-17, 08:16 PM

Complete BS call there, that was a fumble, KC ball, the first Cooper TD was questionable on OI. Can't complain too much about it, I took that risk, but it's still ridiculous.

FUqer · 10-19-17, 08:36 PM

Good to see the Raiders sticking up for their QB after all that talk, but that hit was legal, blame the play call. Lynch suspended for that, hahaha arsehole.

FUqer · 10-19-17, 10:11 PM

KC got away with one there on the PI in the end zone.

FUqer · 10-19-17, 10:23 PM

Kinda glad KC didn't get a FG there, forces them to play defense.

FUqer · 10-19-17, 10:50 PM

OMG this ending!

FUqer · 10-19-17, 10:51 PM

WTF!!!!

Notorious_Donk · 10-20-17, 09:35 AM

KC defense had multiple chances to win that game

FUqer · 10-22-17, 03:49 AM

Sunday 10/22 Plays

¤ Colts +3 -105 (Bovada)
¤ Dolphins -3 -115 (5Dimes)
¤ Bengals +5 -105 (Bovada)
¤ Broncos -1 -110 (Bovada)

¤ Parlay +115 (Saints -190)(Titans -245)
____________________________

Don't have the energy to make any write ups, sorry. GLA!

FUqer · 10-22-17, 03:59 AM

Originally posted by FUqer

Sunday 10/22 Plays

¤ Colts +3 -105 (Bovada)
¤ Dolphins -3 -115 (5Dimes)
¤ Bengals +5 -105 (Bovada)
¤ Broncos -1 -110 (Bovada)
¤ Ravens +4.5 -110 (5Dimes)

¤ Parlay +115 (Saints -190)(Titans -245)
____________________________

Forgot the Ravens.

johnnyvegas13 · 10-22-17, 06:04 AM

Like ur card

gl

FUqer · 10-23-17, 08:16 AM

Week 7 Results

LOSS - ¤ Chiefs -3 +100 (5Dimes)
LOSS - ¤ Colts +3 -105 (Bovada)
PUSH - ¤ Dolphins -3 -115 (5Dimes)
LOSS - ¤ Bengals +5 -105 (Bovada)
LOSS - ¤ Broncos -1 -110 (Bovada)
LOSS - ¤ Ravens +4.5 -110 (5Dimes)

WIN - ¤ Parlay +115 (Saints -190)(Titans -245)
____________________________
Week 7 = 1-5-1 for -4.15
____________________________

Season = 18-20-2 for -2.93

___________________________

ATS Total = 14-17-2 for -4.03

(Dogs = 10-9-1 for +0.61 )
(Favs = 4-8-1 for -4.64 )
---------------------------

ML Total = 1-1 for +0.15

(Dogs = 1-1 for +0.15 )
(Favs = 0-0 for +0.00 )
---------------------------

O/U Total = 1-0 for +1.00

(Over = 0-0 for +0.00 )
(Under = 1-0 for +1.00 )
---------------------------
Parlays = 1-0 for +1.15
---------------------------
Teasers = 1-2 for -1.20
___________________________

Week 1 = 4-5-1 for -1.23
Week 2 = 4-4 for -0.09
Week 3 = 2-3 for -1.16
Week 4 = 0-0 for -0.00
Week 5 = 3-2 for +0.75
Week 6 = 4-1 for +2.95
Week 7 = 1-5-1 for -4.15
________________________

My discipline got the better of me in the NFL on Sunday, I didn't like the card much and didn't put much effort into it but yet when Sunday came I couldn't resist and made bad decisions. Luckily I've had a good week in NBA & NHL at 8-1, but I got to do better in the NFL. Hopefully this bad week will motivate me a little more, cuz it's been lacking this year with everything going on.

shopbar picks · 10-23-17, 06:29 PM

Which way do you lean tonight?